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Oldira

Totallympics Fanatic
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  1. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in Team Ireland - Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker   
    Delighted to see Jack Woolley qualify today 
  2. Like
    Oldira reacted to mpjmcevoy in Team Ireland - Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker   
    It doesn't count for swim ireland, but it does for IOC. And its Paris 2024 who give out the quotas. If Ireland reject one, that's fine, but that's a case of handing a place back, not having failed to win it.
  3. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in Team Ireland - Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker   
    FWIW they have said that they’ll accept any invitations for Paris (unlike Tokyo when they said they wouldn’t but ended up having to to fill the relay team) 
     
    Theres space for Ferguson and McCusker as not a huge amount of qualifiers world wide 
  4. Haha
    Oldira got a reaction from Makedonas in Swimming at the Aquatics WA World Championships 2024   
    In that case I hope Bermuda never win a gold medal again.
  5. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in Swimming at the Aquatics WA World Championships 2024   
    There’ll be some crazy scenes when he wins the 1,500m by 3 seconds later in the week 
  6. Like
    Oldira reacted to OlympicsFan in Swimming at the Aquatics WA World Championships 2024   
    Agreed that swimming doesn't need more events and also there should be less relay quotas, but i would rather cut the 4 x 200 free relay, since it is pretty much always super uncompetitive.
  7. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from mpjmcevoy in Boxing IOC Olympic Qualifier 1 2024   
    But the lads already there had to win a number of fights to get there (maybe not the Australians)
  8. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from Adriano in Boxing IOC Olympic Qualifier 1 2024   
    Then the lads that lose in the QF at QF1 may have another 4 fights at the Second qualifier
  9. Like
    Oldira reacted to mrv86 in Diving at the Aquatics WA World Championships 2024   
    I'd say is still too early, she is still has some possibility.
  10. Like
    Oldira reacted to mattiekav119 in Ireland Predictions for Paris 2024   
    Great performances by both teams at the Perth 7s.
     
    Hopefully can develop some consistency over the season and translate it into a good performance in Paris!
     
    Definite medal contenders now in both - the draw will be vital.
  11. Like
    Oldira reacted to OlympicIRL in Men's Field Hockey Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024   
    Ireland is in the Pro League so will have matches against the top nations which should help with Olympic preparation. What an achievement for this team to make it to the Olympics, they’ve had to completely rebuild in recent years and it all came good at the right time  
  12. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from Ogreman in Team Ireland - Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker   
    Have to admit I am flabbergasted at the 66kg decision but the coaches know a hell of a lot more than me.
  13. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from mpjmcevoy in Ireland Predictions for Paris 2024   
    I think it’s pretty certain we will win a quota in Dressage. The Brazil team failed to make the MER and there was no qualifier from Group so there are two composites (Finland and Portugal) meaning we get the individual quota that Finland had. You can move Dressage to a S.
    Excellent article btw.
  14. Thanks
    Oldira got a reaction from Ogreman in Ireland Predictions for Paris 2024   
    I think it’s pretty certain we will win a quota in Dressage. The Brazil team failed to make the MER and there was no qualifier from Group so there are two composites (Finland and Portugal) meaning we get the individual quota that Finland had. You can move Dressage to a S.
    Excellent article btw.
  15. Like
    Oldira reacted to Rafa Maciel in Track Cycling UEC European Championships 2024   
    Apologies you are right - each Nations Cup event is worth a maximum of 1600. I was looking at the column for continental champs which are only worth 1200. 
  16. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in Sailing ILCA 6 World Championships 2024   
    So... Ireland is 48 ahead of 8th place at the moment but I think the medal race splits from the "last race" for the others. Meaning the best points total any of the non-top 10 can finish is 11
     
    Meaning  and  have qualified with  already in the medal race and through to Paris too
  17. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from Adriano in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation (Version 2)   
    I believe you will be very close with the Ireland numbers. We should get 2/3 more in Boxing and probably no divers. Otherwise you are spot on.
  18. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from Topicmaster1010 in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation (Version 2)   
    I believe you will be very close with the Ireland numbers. We should get 2/3 more in Boxing and probably no divers. Otherwise you are spot on.
  19. Like
    Oldira got a reaction from rafalgorka in Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation (Version 2)   
    I believe you will be very close with the Ireland numbers. We should get 2/3 more in Boxing and probably no divers. Otherwise you are spot on.
  20. Thanks
    Oldira reacted to Ogreman in Boxing Olympic Rankings   
    So I decided to try and figure out who would be the likely qualifiers at the world qualifying tournaments and well many many hours, lots of procrastinating and a contender for the ugliest excel file ever created later I ended up ranking every boxer who competed at the continental qualifying tournaments and doing well some other stuff too.
     
    Obviously these are just my rankings and well I will fully admit aren't especially accurate even if I did spend a significant amount of time thinking about every position but they should at least be the most accurate boxing rankings out there.
     
    Just quickly in terms of boxing rankings that already exist the IBA have a ranking which is based on points system based on how far you get into their competitions. Even in a normal cycle where everyone was competing in the IBA's competitions they would still be woefully inaccurate because of the way they are calculated. They are also self perpetuating given that these rankings determine seedings which then effect how far into competitions boxers get. Anyway they are completely useless.
     
    Then boxrec has a ranking system which is accurate enough and as I understand based on the quality of your opponents you beat/ lose to. It does fall into weird pitfalls  where sometimes it overrates/ underrates one group of boxers and then when they keep beating/ losing to eachother and it gets stuck in a cycle and ends up with some weird rankings as a result. Also if you keep losing to good boxers without fighting bad ones or only beat bad boxers without ever fighting good ones it can end up with weird rankings. Finally while boxrec results database is very good it is still missing a lot of competitions particularly outside of Europe.
     
    And then finally Taylor O'Higgins (worth a follow on twitter) used to do an amateur boxing rankings on the Fight site and he is a boxing coach so obviously knows a lot more about the actual boxing side of things than I would. He has mentioned doing the rankings again a couple of times on twitter but as far as I know hasn't posted them.
     
    So ye hopefully these fill a bit of a hole and help with some of the qualifying/ medal projections on this site where some of the boxing related projections have been a bit hit and miss.
     
    I'll only post the top 50 boxers in each weightclass and the top 60 or so in my country rankings but I have linked an Excel file with the complete rankings of every weight class and ranked every country plus the same stuff but broken down by continental if anyone wants to look at them.
     
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1RN05tE5ipfkwHf_7c4vNLpV89zaHfMWw/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113545580127855067750&rtpof=true&sd=true
     
    (To be clear this is not the ugly Excel file I referred to earlier)
  21. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in National & International Sports Awards   
    Men’s rugby team ended the year as a disappointment though. The rowers should have won. Criminally underrated 
  22. Like
    Oldira reacted to MHSN in Taekwondo WT Grand Slam Champions Series 2023   
    nothing, it's not about him. wish him best of luck in European Qualifiers
     
    but he just didn't deserve to qualify by virtue of his 6th place in the WR, the 6th place didn't belong to him in a fair world. or any kind of world.
     
    ps: in case you don't know what I'm talking about, check the Taekwondo Olympic Qualification thread.
  23. Like
    Oldira reacted to dodge in Boxing at the Pacific Games 2023   
    It has never been about the “strongest athletes/teams” competing.
     
    If it was the marathon would be 40 Ethiopians deep. The track 100m would have 15 Jamaicans and 15 from the USA. The swimming 100m freestyle would have 8-10 Australians
     
    There would be no African representation in more than half the sports. 
     
    It’s fine if you think that’s a better Olympics, but it sounds awful to me. A global spread is far more enjoyable to watch for me. For some just reaching the Olympics is a goal. That’s good enough 
  24. Sad
    Oldira got a reaction from Jur in Taekwondo Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024   
    So Jack Woolley  narrowly misses at 58kg and has to qualify at European qualifier? 
  25. Like
    Oldira reacted to Joshi in Boxing at the Pacific Games 2023   
    1. There's no money in boxing and 2. Those that partake in combat sports and with NZ's relative success in the UFC and MMA they'd rather be Israel Adesanya instead (not the greatest role model to follow however).
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