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How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games 2018?


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:CAN

 

Alpine skiing: 0 medals likely, maybe 1 by luck.

Biathlon: 0 medals likely, maybe 1 by luck

Bobsleigh: 2 medals (one men's and one women's)

Cross-country skiing: 0 medals likely, maybe 1 by luck

Curling: 3 medals, anything less would be a real shock. 

Figure skating: Team medal, ice dance and perhaps Osmond in the women's event. 3 medals.

Freestyle skiing: 2 moguls medals, one in women's ski cross, one in slopestyle, one in halfpipe. 5 total. 

Hockey: 2 medals (hard to gauge though)

Luge: 2 medals (one women's and one relay)

Nordic Combined: Not competing in the sport, so 0. :d

Skeleton: 0 medals likely, maybe 1 by luck

Ski jumping: 0 medals

Short track: 2 relay medals, Hamelin with an individual medal, the women with one individual medal. 4 medals.

Snowboarding: 2 medals in men's slopestyle and 2 medals in big air. 4 total. 

Speed skating: I think Bloeman will win 2 medals, a women's medal (likely Blondin) and maybe another one from the men. So 3-4.

 

Total: 32-37

 

 

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34 minutes ago, Dragon said:

I think I said something similar about GBR and cycling at Rio.

"They'll be lucky to win 4 medals" I said :facepalm:

So expect Netherlands to win 30 medals this time.

:d 

 

Well, just like GBR's domination in track cycling, Dutch domination in speed skating is not a good thing for anyone who's actually a fan of the sport instead of purely cheering for the flag behind someone's name. So I hope a repeat of Sochi won't happen and realistically, a repeat of that domination is simply not likely :p 

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Looking at it per event doesn't really work well when trying to come up with a total number of medals, but alright, here we go:

 

No speed skating

Snowboarding: maybe 1 medal if someone pulls off an upset, not entirely unrealistic, but 0 medals is more likely

Shorttrack: most likely option is 0 medals, 1 is still far from unlikely and 2 would be great

Skeleton: depending on whether or not our NOC is being an asshole, an outsider 

 

Speed skating 
W 500m: 1 medal if everything works out perfect, most likely is 0 medals

W 1000m: 1 medal should be possible, 0 is just as much possible and on a fantastic day 2 is not impossible neither

W 1500m: should be 1 medal, possibly 2. 0 would be disappointing from a Dutch perspective

W 3000m: 1 medal, 0 and 2 is possible as well

W 5000m: not more than 1 medal

W TP: 1 medal if nothing weird happens

W mass start: 0 is the most likely, though 1 is almost just as much possible

 

M 500m: 10-20 medal contenders, so anything from 0-3 is possible. Most realistic would be 1

M 1000m: 2 medals is quite realistic, so is 1. 3 is not impossible neither (albeit with a smaller chance of course), 0 is not very realistic

M 1500m: at least 1 is rather likely, 2 is quite possible as well

M 5000m: should definitely be at least 1 medal, 2 medals would be a small surprise

M 10000m: should definitely be 1 medal, but 2 is pretty likely

M TP: 1 medal if nothing weird happens

M mass start: 0 is the most likely, though 1 is almost just as much possible

 

Which could make for a total of around....15/16 :d 

 

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10 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Yeah, we have no idea who you've got your Slovak hopes on.... :p 

 

I told it, if we reach the quarterfinals I´ll be more than happy, but the medal is very unlikely even with our new Canadian coach and re-calmed general atmosphere resulting in the end of the Boycott of our 50 best players :old:

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1 minute ago, hckosice said:

 

I told it, if we reach the quarterfinals I´ll be more than happy, but the medal is very unlikely even with our new Canadian coach and re-calmed general atmosphere resulting in the end of the Boycott of our 50 best players :old:

I wasn't talking about ice hockey :lol:

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