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Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day


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Day 6 Thu 01.08

 

77. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - W Individual All-Around

 

1. Simone Biles USA

2. Rebeca Andrade BRA

3. Shilese Jones USA

 

Biles simply unstoppable here.

 

78. ATHLETICS - M 20km Race Walk

 

1. Alvaro Martin ESP

2. Zhang Jun CHN

3. Christopher Linke GER

 

4. Karlstroem SWE by 3 secs.

 

79. ATHLETICS - W 20km Race Walk

 

1. Maria Perez ESP

2. Kimberly Garcia Leon PER

3. Yang Jiayu CHN

 

Double gold for Spain in race walk.

 

80. CANOE SLALOM - M K1

 

1. Jiri Prskavec CZE

2. Titouan Castryck FRA

3. Joseph Clarke GBR

 

Prskavec repeats his awesome final run from Tokyo. Mateusz Polaczyk 6th for Poland.

 

81. FENCING - W Foil Team

 

1. Italy

2. France

3. Japan

 

Easy win for Italy.

 

82. JUDO - W -78kg

 

1. Audrey Tcheumeo FRA

2. Alice Bellandi ITA

3. Inbar Lanir ISR

3. Ma Zhenhao CHN

 

Another French gold in Paris.

 

83. JUDO - M -100kg

 

1. Peter Paltchik ISR

2. Zelym Kotsoiev AZE

3. Ilia Sulamanidze GEO

3. Michael Korrel NED

 

Many very close contests in this category.

 

84. ROWING - W Double Sculls

 

1. Romania

2. United States

3. Lithuania

 

First gold for Romania in Paris.

 

85. ROWING - M Double Sculls

 

1. Netherlands

2. Croatia

3. Ireland

 

Fist Irish medal in Paris.

 

86. ROWING - W Four

 

1. Netherlands

2. Great Britain

3. Romania

 

2nd NED gold today. Dutch fans celebrating like in Zandvoort.

 

87. ROWING - M Four

 

1. Great Britain

2. United States

3. New Zealand

 

Very close fight for gold. NED 4th here.

 

88. SAILING - W Skiff 49erFX

 

1. Great Britain

2. Netherlands

3. Sweden

 

First sailing gold for Team GB.

 

89. SAILING - M Skiff 49er

 

1. Netherlands

2. Great Britain

3. Spain

 

Nice 6th place for Poland here.

 

90. SHOOTING - M 50m Rifle 3 Positions

 

1. Aishwary Tomar IND

2. Petr Nymbursky CZE

3. Alexander Schmirl AUT

 

First gold for India in Paris. Tomar survives big internal fight for one of 2 quotas for India in this event and then wins gold in style. Tomasz Bartnik POL 7th.

 

91. SWIMMING - W 200m Fly

 

1. Summer McIntosh CAN

2. Regan Smith USA
3. Zhang Yufei CHN

 

McIntosh wins on last 25m. Dekkers AUS 4th.

 

92. SWIMMING - M 200m Back

 

1. Hubert Kos HUN

2. Ryan Murphy USA

3. Mewen Tomac FRA

 

Nice win for Kos with huge PB.

 

93. SWIMMING - W 200m Breast

 

1. Lilly King USA

2. Tatjana Schoenmaker RSA

3. Tes Schouten NED

 

Gold for Lilly King but Evgeniia Chikhunova swims much faster this week in a local meet in Moscow.

 

94. SWIMMING - W 4x200m Free Relay

 

1. Australia

2. United States

3. China

 

Massive WR here.

Edited by rafalgorka

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My medal table after Day 6 (94 events)

 

:CHN 13-6-10---29

:USA 10-18-11---39

:GBR 9-7-8---24

:AUS 9-6-6---21

:FRA 9-4-4---17

:ITA 5-9-4---18

:JPN 5-6-4---15

:NED 4-4-4---12
:CAN 3-2-1---6

:GEO 3-0-1---4

:KOR 2-3-4---9

:BRA 2-2-2---6

:ESP 2-2-1---5

:HUN 2-1-2---5

:TUN 2-0-0---2

:GER 1-3-3---7

:IND 1-2-0---3

:ROU 1-1-3---5

:NZL 1-1-2---4

:AZE 1-1-1---3

:CRO 1-1-1---3

:CZE 1-1-1---3

:SLO 1-1-1---3

:BEL 1-1-0---2

:UKR 1-0-3---4

:ISR 1-0-2---3

:SRB 1-0-2---3

:LTU 1-0-1---2

:FIJ 1-0-0---1

:POL 0-2-2---4

:HKG 0-2-1---3

:GRE 0-2-0---2

:SUI 0-1-2---3

:SVK 0-1-2---3

:KUW 0-1-0---1

:MEX 0-1-0---1

:MDA 0-1-0---1

:PER 0-1-0---1

:RSA 0-1-0---1

:AUT 0-0-3---3

:KOS 0-0-2---2

:POR 0-0-2---2

:SWE 0-0-2---2

:UZB 0-0-2---2

:AND 0-0-1---1

:ARG 0-0-1---1

:CUB 0-0-1---1

:IRI 0-0-1---1

:IRL 0-0-1---1

:TUR 0-0-1---1

 

 

 

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Still awful games for Germany so far. Have i missed sth here??? Maybe a gold in canoe slalom? Or shooting?

Looks like scheduling is really bad for Germany this time. They will have much more medal chances in the 2nd half of the games.

Edited by rafalgorka

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Day 7 Fri 02.08.

 

95. ARCHERY - Mixed Team

96. ATHLETICS - M 10,000m

97. BADMINTON - Mixed Doubles

98. BMX CYCLING - M Racing

99. BMX CYCLING - W Racing

100. DIVING - M Synchro 3m Springboard

101. EQUESTRIAN - Team Jumping

102. FENCING - M Team Epee

103. JUDO - W +78kg

104. JUDO - M +100kg

105. ROWING - M Pair

106. ROWING - W Pair

107. ROWING - M Lightweight Double Sculls

108. ROWING - W Lightweight Double Sculls

109. SAILING - M Windsurfing IQFoil

110. SAILING - W Windsurfing IQFoil

111. SHOOTING - W 50m Rifle 3 Positions

112. SWIMMING - M 50m Free

113. SWIMMING - W 200m Back

114. SWIMMING - M 200m IM

115. TENNIS - Mixed Doubles

116. TRAMPOLINE GYMNASTICS - W Individual

117. TRAMPOLINE GYMNASTICS - M Individual

 

There will be also a bronze medal match in TENNIS - W Singles

 

Edited by rafalgorka

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On day 6 POL is happy because Iga Świątek wins her semifinal in W Singles against Ons Jabeur TUN :-) So we have a medal number 5, gold or silver.

It was a very hard battle though 6-3, 6-7, 6-4.

 

In second semi Coco Gauff beats Jelena Ostapenko.

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Coming back to Germany -

if we repeat 2023 WCH results in all the events (unlike repeat of 99% of them like I do in this thread heh) we would have 2 golds - Eventing Team and W Team in archery.

Next days should be much better.

 

I don't think it looks that similar for any other NOC if we exclude athletics powerhouses like ETH KEN or JAM.

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I’ll probably do this again about a month before the games, when teams start to get announced (and when form starts to actually matter). That being said;


Day 6 (August 1, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Individual All Around

Gold- :USA Simone Biles

Silver- :BRA Rebecca Andrade

Bronze- :USA Sunisa Lee

 

Athletics- Men’s 20km Race Walk

Gold- :ITA Massimo Stano

Silver- :ESP Alvaro Martin

Bronze- :JPN Toshikazu Yamanishi

 

:CAN Evan Dunfee 4th (again) :p

 

Athletics- Women’s 20km Race Walk

Gold- :ESP Maria Perez

Silver- :PER Kimberly Garcia Leon

Bronze- :CHN Qieyang Shijie

 

:ITA Antonella Palmisano 4th. 
 

Canoe Slalom- Men’s K1

Gold- :CZE Jirí Prskavec (or Prindis/Krejci)

Silver- :ITA Giovanni De Gennaro
Bronze- :SVK Jakub Grigar

 

Fencing- Women’s Team Foil

Gold- :ITA Italy

Silver- :FRA France

Bronze- :JPN Japan

 

Judo- Women’s -78kg

Gold- :FRA Audrey Tcheuméo

Silver- :ISR Inbar Lanir

Bronze- :BRA Mayra Aguiar

Bronze- :NED Guusje Steenhuis

 

:ITA Alice Bellandini, and :GER Anna Marie Wagner both lose their bronze medal bouts and place 5th. 
 

Judo- Men’s -100kg

Gold-:AZE Zelym Kotsoiev

Silver- :ISR Peter Paltchik

Bronze- :CAN Kyle Reyes

Bronze- :GEO Illia Sulamanidze

 

Unsure which category Kripaljek will compete in at Paris, maybe any Czech users on this forum can help?

 

Rowing- Women’s Double Sculls

Gold- :ROU Ancuta Bodnar/Simońa Radis

Silver- :NED Lisa Scheenaard/Nika Vos

Bronze- :USA Kristina Wagner/Sophia Vitas

 

Rowing- Men’s Double Sculls

Gold- :CRO Valentin Sinković/Martin Sinković
Silver- :NED Melvin Twellaar/Stef Broenink

Bronze- :ESP Aleix García/Rodrigo Conde

 

Rowing- Women’s Four

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :NED Netherlands

Bronze- :AUS Australia

 

Rowing- Men’s Four

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :NED Netherlands

 

Sailing- Men’s Skiff

Gold- :NED Bart Lambriex/Floris van de Werken

Silver- :NZL Isaac McHardie/William McKenzie

Bronze- :ESP Diego Botín/Floriàn Trittel

 

Sailing- Women’s Skiff

Gold- :BRA Martine Grael/Kahena Kunze

Silver- :NED Odile van Aanholt/Annette Duetz

Bronze- :SWE Vilma Bobeck/Rebecca Netzler

 

Third gold in a row for the Brazilian duo. 

 

Shooting- Men’s 50m Rifle 3 Positions

Gold- :CZE Petr Nymbursky

Silver- :IND Aishwary Tomar

Bronze- :AUT Alexander Schmirl

 

:NOR Jon-Hermann Hegg fourth. 


Swimming- Women’s 200m Butterfly

Gold- :CAN Summer McIntosh

Silver- :CHN Zhang Yufei

Bronze- :USA Regan Smith

 

:BIH Lana Pudar 4th.

 

Swimming- Men’s 200m Backstroke

Gold- :HUN Hubert Kos

Silver- :USA Ryan Murphy

Bronze- :GBR Luke Greenbank

 

Swimming- Women’s 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Gold- :AUS Australia

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :CHN China

 

Swimming- Women’s 200m Breastroke

Gold- :RSA Tatjana Schoenmaker

Silver- :USA Lilly King

Bronze- :USA Kate Douglass

 

Medal Table After Day 6

:CHN 12-6-5– 23

:USA 9-16-15– 40

:JPN 7-5-6– 18

:GBR 7-4-8– 19

:AUS 6-9-7– 22

:FRA 6-5-5– 16

:ITA 6-4-5– 15

:CAN 5-0-3– 8

:HUN 5-0-1– 6

:GER 4-2-1– 7

:NED 3-5-6– 14

:BRA 3-2-3– 8

:KOR 2-3-7– 12

:ESP 2-2-3– 7

:NZL 2-2-0– 4

:GEO 2-1-3– 6

:CZE 2-1-2– 5

:ROU 2-1-0– 3

:CRO 2-1-0– 3

:SUI 1-3-1– 5

:BEL 1-1-0– 2

:TUN 1-1-0– 2

:SVK 1-0-2– 3

:RSA 1-0-1– 2

:AZE 1-0-1– 2

:LTU 1-0-0– 1

:POL 0-2-1– 3

:SRB 0-2-0– 2

:ISR 0-2-0– 2

:UKR 0-1-3– 4

:GRE 0-1-2– 3

:IND 0-1-1– 2

:UZB 0-1-1– 2

:SWE 0-1-1– 2

:HKG 0-1-1– 2

:BER 0-1-0– 1

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:PER 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:SMR 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:SLO 0-0-2– 2

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:TPE 0-0-1– 1

:POR 0-0-1– 1

:MEX 0-0-1– 1

:CUB 0-0-1– 1

:AUT 0-0-1– 1

:NOR 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
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5 hours ago, Josh said:

 

I’ll probably do this again about a month before the games, when teams start to get announced (and when form starts to actually matter). That being said;


Day 6 (August 1, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Individual All Around

Gold- :USA Simone Biles

Silver- :BRA Rebecca Andrade

Bronze- :USA Sunisa Lee

 

Athletics- Men’s 20km Race Walk

Gold- :ITA Massimo Stano

Silver- :ESP Alvaro Martin

Bronze- :JPN Toshikazu Yamanishi

 

:CAN Evan Dunfee 4th (again) :p

 

Athletics- Women’s 20km Race Walk

Gold- :ESP Maria Perez

Silver- :PER Kimberly Garcia Leon

Bronze- :CHN Qieyang Shijie

 

:ITA Antonella Palmisano 4th. 
 

Canoe Slalom- Men’s K1

Gold- :CZE Jirí Prskavec (or Prindis/Krejci)

Silver- :ITA Giovanni De Gennaro
Bronze- :SVK Jakub Grigar

 

Fencing- Women’s Team Foil

Gold- :ITA Italy

Silver- :FRA France

Bronze- :JPN Japan

 

Judo- Women’s -78kg

Gold- :FRA Audrey Tcheuméo

Silver- :ISR Inbar Lanir

Bronze- :BRA Mayra Aguiar

Bronze- :NED Guusje Steenhuis

 

:ITA Alice Bellandini, and :GER Anna Marie Wagner both lose their bronze medal bouts and place 5th. 
 

Judo- Men’s -100kg

Gold-:AZE Zelym Kotsoiev

Silver- :ISR Peter Paltchik

Bronze- :CAN Kyle Reyes

Bronze- :GEO Illia Sulamanidze

 

Unsure which category Kripaljek will compete in at Paris, maybe any Czech users on this forum can help?

 

Rowing- Women’s Double Sculls

Gold- :NED Lisa Scheenaard/Roos de Jong (although predicting the Dutch team in any rowing event is pretty much impossible, wouldn’t be surprised if Youssifou partnered up with one of them instead)

Silver- :ROU Ancuta Bodnar/Simońa Radis

Bronze- :USA Kristina Wagner/Sophia Vitas

 

Rowing- Men’s Double Sculls

Gold- :CRO Valentin Sinković/Martin Sinković
Silver- :NED Melvin Twellaar/Stef Broenink

Bronze- :ESP Aleix García/Rodrigo Conde

 

Rowing- Women’s Four

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :NED Netherlands

Bronze- :AUS Australia

 

Rowing- Men’s Four

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :NED Netherlands

 

Sailing- Men’s Skiff

Gold- :NED Bart Lambriex/Floris van de Werken

Silver- :NZL Isaac McHardie/William McKenzie

Bronze- :ESP Diego Botín/Floriàn Trittel

 

Sailing- Women’s Skiff

Gold- :BRA Martine Grael/Kahena Kunze

Silver- :NED Odile van Aanholt/Annette Duetz

Bronze- :SWE Vilma Bobeck/Rebecca Netzler

 

Third gold in a row for the Brazilian duo. 

 

Shooting- Men’s 50m Rifle 3 Positions

 

Will edit with my predictions later on. 


Swimming- Women’s 200m Butterfly

Gold- :CAN Summer McIntosh

Silver- :CHN Zhang Yufei

Bronze- :USA Regan Smith

 

:BIH Lana Pudar 4th.

 

Swimming- Men’s 200m Backstroke

Gold- :HUN Hubert Kos

Silver- :USA Ryan Murphy

Bronze- :GBR Luke Greenbank

 

Swimming- Women’s 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Gold- :AUS Australia

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :CHN China

 

Swimming- Women’s 200m Breastroke

Gold- :RSA Tatjana Schoenmaker

Silver- :USA Lilly King

Bronze- :USA Kate Douglass

 

 

Medal Table After Day 6 (minus one shooting event)

:CHN 12-6-5– 23

:USA 9-16-15– 40

:JPN 7-5-6– 18

:GBR 7-4-8– 19

:AUS 6-9-7– 22

:FRA 6-5-5– 16

:ITA 6-4-5– 15

:CAN 5-0-3– 8

:HUN 5-0-1– 6

:NED 4-4-6– 14

:GER 4-2-1– 7

:BRA 3-2-3– 8

:KOR 2-3-7– 12

:ESP 2-2-3– 7

:NZL 2-2-0– 4

:GEO 2-1-3– 6

:CRO 2-1-0– 3

:SUI 1-3-1– 5

:ROU 1-2-0– 3

:CZE 1-1-2– 4

:BEL 1-1-0– 2

:TUN 1-1-0– 2

:SVK 1-0-2– 3

:RSA 1-0-1– 2

:AZE 1-0-1– 2

:LTU 1-0-0– 1

:POL 0-2-1– 3

:SRB 0-2-0– 2

:ISR 0-2-0– 2

:UKR 0-1-3– 4

:GRE 0-1-2– 3

:UZB 0-1-1– 2

:SWE 0-1-1– 2

:HKG 0-1-1– 2

:BER 0-1-0– 1

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:PER 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:SMR 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:SLO 0-0-2– 2

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:IND 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:TPE 0-0-1– 1

:AZE 0-0-1– 1

:POR 0-0-1– 1

:MEX 0-0-1– 1

:CUB 0-0-1– 1

I don't think we will try De Jong or Youssifou in the double sculls again, at last worlds they were moved to the quadruple sculls and won gold. I think we sort of gave up on trying to beat Bodnar/Radis in the double sculls.

 

Meanwhile I believe Twellaar/Broenink have a big chance of winning gold in the mens double sculls. 

 

Overall great predictions though, love reading through these!

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Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, Lithuania, New Zealand, Norway, and Spain lost two quotas and Algeria, Argentina, Croatia, Cuba, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Portugal, Tunisia lost one quota.   The following nations have gained two athletes; Japan, Morocco while the following nations gained one athlete; Angola, Austria, Belgium, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Cote d’Ivoire, Denmark, Estonia, Kuwait, Latvia, Mexico, Romania, Philippines, Paraguay, Puerto Rico, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Togo, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu   Rugby Sevens Fixing a couple of mistakes. First on the men, actually has the Asian quota over and in the women as is essentially shutting down the program, I think it is only right to remove them until they decide to compete again. This means is also projected to qualify.   As for new updates, we saw the third tier SVNS compete, which brought no new updates and the Singapore SVNS. I also didn’t add the Dubai or Cape Town SVNS in my calculations. For both, while there was some shuffling no one ultimately fell out.   Shooting The Asian Shotgun Championships were held this month. A few top shooters were missing. The only change to the projection is is set to qualify in women’s trap, pushing out   Squash The Tournament of Champions was held this month. Additionally, the qualification document was released. There was some restriction as to how many nations can send two players and this sport will offer universality quotas.   The following nations lost an athlete quota; Colombia, France, Great Britain, Hong Kong, Malaysia, and New Zealand. The following nations gained an athlete quota; Canada, Pakistan, Spain (x2), Switzerland, Ukraine   Triathlon The qualification document was released. There are a few changes relative to 2024. Projection changes include: Losses to Hong Kong and Slovenia and gains for Austria and China.   Weightlifting The qualification document was released. One change to be made was the reallocation process for host nation quotas. Due to this, El Salvador Iraq, Palau, Sri Lanka, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu lost quotas while Australia, China, Dominican Republic, Iran, and Samoa (x2) gained quotas.   Wrestling The qualification document was released. There were some significant changes to the qualification process including using the world rankings and the final qualifier only consisting of non-qualified nations. The projection changes are as follows; losses to Belarus, Bulgaria, China, Georgia, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia, Russia, South Korea, Sweden, and Turkey.   Belgium and Lithuania gained 2 quotas while American Samoa, Austria, Estonia, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Latvia, Madagascar, Spain, and Turkmenistan gained 1 quota.
    • Looks like we in the Philippines are in the same situation. No news yet on whether we’ll be able to watch the Games 
    • Cricket is any day in a better position than Baseball, Modern Pentathlon or Rowing 8s globally
    • http://i.imgur.com/gLJZbix.jpg   Honestly football is just on another level. For other sports, an expanded field or creating multiple host cities likely only works with baseball, cricket and maybe basketball, and only in very specific countries.
    • No streaming for the games in India. I contacted IOC they just sent me a list where the games will be shown live.    Last games we had the Olympic channel and YouTube showing the live coverage for regions with no media rights. This time sadly no such schedule.   So much about making the games accessible to all...
    • What revealed those files of Epstein !!!! thousands of scandals , horrible diguisting things mixing politic criminalities , robbery , scam , manipulation...etc    all those celebrities of shht that you love   
    • I wonder if instead of having flexibility around what sport to add there should be one or two team sports per game with an expanded field (of 16 or 32 or w/e) where the host gets to pick which which team sports (if any) has an expanded field.
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