Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[Rafa Maciel 1,597]

27 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

do you have details of ?

Haven't found details yet - although do know they are predicting Amandine Buchard to take gold in Judo -52Kg 

[Rafa Maciel 1,597]

 Medal Projection 100 days out from Paris (Partial)

 

 

Gold Medalists:

Natsumi Tsunoda - Judo -48Kg

Hifumi Abe - Judo -66Kg

Judo Mixed Team Event

Daiki Hashimoto - Gymnastics Individual All-Around

Daiki Hashimoto - Gymnastics Horizontal Bar

Artistic Gymnastics Men's Team

Yui Susaki - Wrestling Freestyle 50Kg

Akari Fujinami - Wrestling Freestyle 53Kg

Tsugumi Sakurai - Wrestling Freestyle 57Kg

Misaki Emura - Fencing Individual Saber

Fencing Men's Team Foil

Haruka Kitaguchi - Javelin

Kokona Hiraki - Skateboarding Park

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Uta Abe - Judo -52Kg

 

 

[AlexMunegu59 33]

 Gold Medal Projection 100 days out from Paris

 

Basketball 3x3 : Équipe féminine

BMX Racing : Romain Mahieu

Boxe : Sofiane Oumiha (-63,5 kg)

Cyclisme sur piste : Benjamin Thomas (omnium hommes), Mathilde Gros (sprint dames)

Équitation : Concours complet par équipes

Escrime : Romain Cannone (épée hommes), Marie-Florence Candassamy (épée dames), épée hommes par équipes, sabre dames par équipes

Handball : Équipe masculine, équipe féminine

Judo : Luka Mkheidze (-60 kg), Amandine Buchard (-52 kg), Clarisse Agbégnénou (-63 kg), Romane Dicko (+78 kg), Teddy Riner (+100 kg)

VTT : Pauline Ferrand-Prévot (cross-country dames)

Voile : Lauriane Nolot (Formula Kite dames)

Tir : Clément Bessaguet (tir rapide pistolet 25 m hommes)

Skateboard : Vincent Milou (street hommes)

Natation : Maxime Grousset (100 m papillon hommes), Léon Marchand (200 m 4 nages hommes, 400 m 4 nages hommes)

Taekwondo : Magda Wiet-Hénin (57-67 kg), Althéa Laurin (+67 kg)

Triathlon : Léo Bergère, relais mixte

 

[phelps 7,744]

5 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

https://www.nielsen.com/news-center/2024/virtual-medal-table-forecast-100-days/

 

Gracenote releases medal projection 100 days to go!

 

 

 is going to win 13 gold medals in swimming only...plus all the rest

 

and I really hope  is NOT going to win all those gold medals (also,  getting more than 12...the minimum target is a record breaking 15)

[hckošice 15,029]

 

If Salkazanov qualify to Paris : 1 medal

 

If Salkazanov fail to qualify in the final wrestling world qualifier in Istanbul next month ? 0 medal

 

 

Simple as that

Edited April 17, 2024 by hckošice

[phelps 7,744]

3 hours ago, CCB said:

Your prediction is much more accurate than Gracenote's, who still thinks Netherlands will win a silver medal at the 4x100 freestyle in swimming  and a total of 18 golds 

no, I think this is way too optimistic

 

3 hours ago, CCB said:

Your prediction is much more accurate than Gracenote's, who still thinks Netherlands will win a silver medal at the 4x100 freestyle in swimming  and a total of 18 golds 

well, this is definitely not out of reach...yeah, everything must go according to plan (and have a bit of luck, too), but it's not impossible

 

if cycling, rowing and athletics specialists all perform to their best, that might push  to the Moon

[Rafa Maciel 1,597]

 Medal Projection 100 days out from Paris:

 

Gold Medalists:

Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Individual Sprint

Harrie Lavreysen - Track Cycling Keirin

Track Cycling Men's Team Sprint

Track Cycling Men's Madison

Femke Bol - 400m Hurdles

Mathieu van der Poel - Cycling Road Race

Sharon van Rouwendaal - Marathon Swimming

Men's Field Hockey

Women's field Hockey

Tes Schouten - Swimming 200m Breaststroke

van de Werken/Lambriex - Sailing 49er

Duetz/van Aanholt - 49er FX

Luuc van Opzeeland - Sailing iQFOiL

Rowing - Men's Double Sculls

Rowing - Women's Four

Rowing - Women's Pair

Rowing - Men's quadruple Sculls

Rowing - Women's Single Sculls

 

 

Silver Medalists:

Sifan Hassan - 10000m

Athletics Women's 4x400m Relay

Swimming - Women's 4x100m Freestyle Relay

Rowing - Women's Eight

Rowing - Men's Single Sculls

 

 

Bronze Medalists:

Athletics 4x400m Mixed Relay

Sifan Hassan - 5000m

Niek Kimmann - BMX Racing

Laura Smulders - BMX Racing

Ellen van Dijk - Cycling Individual Time Trial

Demi Vollering - Cycling Road Race

Equestrian Team Show Jumping

Harrie Smolders - Equestrian Individual Show Jumping

Sanne van Dijke - Judo -70Kg

Guuske Steenhuis - Judo -78Kg

Judo Mixed Team

Puck Pieterse - Mountain Bike

Women's Waterpolo

Marrit Steenbergen - Swimming 100m Freestyle

Rowing - Women's Quadruple Sculls

[Dkats 298]

Regarding aus, Can’t see grace brown being favourite for the time trial

And who’s predicted for gold in the woman’s 200m if not MOC or titmus 🧐🧐

 

[Faramir 372]

2 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Is there any extended tally present covering all nations and their medal breakup.

Nope, you have to pay them to get details of a country.

[JoshMartini007 2,554]

7 hours ago, TeamGB said:

If GB win only 13 Golds I will be shocked, and honestly same with Australia, I could see them near that target in just Swimming.

 

Yeah, unfortunately for these types of services, their model puts a lot of weight on the last world championships. For swimming so many people missed the 2024 edition (as expected) that the prediction is skewed. Since Australia depends on swimming for many of its medals, they are going to be severely underestimated in this model.

 

GraceNote would be better off to either combine the times of the last two championships or even disregard 2024 and only use 2023.