Figure Skating ISU Oberstdorf Adult Competition 2019

Ahh Makes sense. I always find it frustrating when selection policies don't account for circumstances like that, even if countries have such strength in depth. For what it's worth, I ran a simulation today which has Schulting making it, but honestly there's so many variables take it with a pinch of salt.   Event Skater Qualifying Rank 500m 1 Kok 1 1500m 1 Beune 2 Mass Start Grounewoud 3 3000m 1 Conijn 4 1000m 1 Kok   5000m 1 Conijn   1000m 2 Leerdam 5 5000m 2 Beune   1500m 2 Rijpma De Jong 6 3000m 2 Beune   500m 2 Leerdam   500m 3 Fledderus 7 3000m 3 Grounewoud   1500m 3 Daleman 8 1000m 3 Schulting 9 Interestingly, if you put it back to the current matrix Vekerk would not qualify, making it an easy choice for the 1000m.   Guarantee someone will through a spanner in the works before then though. 

Just a reminder we get extra biathlon this weekend with the annual stadium race from the Schalke 04 Stadium in Gelsenkirchen.     Live on Discovery Eurosport etc..   https://www.biathlon-aufschalke.de/biathlon-2025  

They're very likely going to give Leerdam a 1000m spot no matter if she qualifies in another distance or not. A skater who is picked like that would, in the 'matrix', be placed in the first spot for that distance, which would push Schulting to the spot for 3rd place in the 1000m. That's the 15th and last spot on the matrix, and would mean she is out if there are more than 8 different skaters above that position.    Verkerk has, realistically speaking, no chance at all of going to the Olympics (unless by a miracle she qualifies for the 500m).

Could they give Leerdam a place in the 1000 at Milan if she qualifies through the 500? And surely Vekerk would be the one to lose out rather than Schulting?

Makes it extra tragic that she's still quite likely to not actually make it due to Leerdam most likely making it anyway despite falling...seems like everyone there just automatically assumed her 2nd place will be enough and started celebrating