Swimming Qualification for Summer Olympic Games 2016

[vinipereira 3,054]

Maria Lenk Trophy (Brazilian trials) - Day 3

 

Men's 200m Butterfly - Leonardo de Deus (1:55.54) and Kaio Márcio (1:56.21)

Women's 200m Freestyle - Larissa Oliveira (1:57.27) and Manuella Lyrio (1:58.43)

Women's 200m Individual Medley - Joanna Maranhão (2:14.04)

 

Good day with athletes qualified in all events.

[Agger 1,591]

 Danish Open

 

Men's 1500m Freestyle - Pal Joensen

Women's 50m Freestyle - Pernille Blume

 

Also the men's 4x200m Freestyle will most likely be Anders Lie, Daniel Skaaning, Søren Dahl and Magnus Westermann.

[uk12points 434]

Automatic Qualifiers (100% going to Rio 2016): 

• James Guy, 400 freestyle, 200 freestyle
• Adam Peaty, 100 breaststroke
• Hannah Miley, 400 IM
• Max Litchfield, 400 IM
• Andrew Willis, 200 breaststroke
• Jazmin Carlin, 400 freestyle
• Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, 200 IM
• Ben Proud, 50 freestyle

Possible Consideration (1st or 2nd place and within 2% of consideration standard):

• Ross Murdoch, 100 breaststroke
• Stephen Milne, 400 freestyle
• Aimee Willmott, 400 IM
• Georgia Davies, 100 back
• Chloe Tutton, 200 breast
• Molly Renshaw, 200 breast
• Fran Halsall, 50 freestyle
• Craig Benson, 200 breaststroke
• Timothy Shuttleworth, 1500 freestyle

Relay athletes:

• Men's 4x100m Freestyle - Duncan Scott, Ben Proud, Adam Barrett, James Disney-May
• Men's 4x200m Freestyle - James Guy, Stephen Milne, Robert Renwick, Duncan Scott
• Men's 4x100m Medley - James Guy, Chris Walker-Hebborn, Adam Peaty, Duncan Scott
• Women's 4x200m Freestyle - Jazmin Carlin, Eleanor Faulkner, Georgia Coates, Camilla Hattersley
• Women's 4x100m Medley - Alys Thomas, Georgia Davies, Siobhan Marie O'Connor, Siobhan Marie O'Connor (Fran Halsall)

 

This is just a projection and we will have to wait a couple of weeks to find out the official team. The only 100% qualifiers are the first 8 athletes.

[OlympicsFan 783]

55 minutes ago, uk12points said:

Automatic Qualifiers (100% going to Rio 2016): 

• James Guy, 400 freestyle, 200 freestyle
• Adam Peaty, 100 breaststroke
• Hannah Miley, 400 IM
• Max Litchfield, 400 IM
• Andrew Willis, 200 breaststroke
• Jazmin Carlin, 400 freestyle
• Siobhan-Marie O’Connor, 200 IM
• Ben Proud, 50 freestyle

Possible Consideration (1st or 2nd place and within 2% of consideration standard):

• Ross Murdoch, 100 breaststroke
• Stephen Milne, 400 freestyle
• Aimee Willmott, 400 IM
• Georgia Davies, 100 back
• Chloe Tutton, 200 breast
• Molly Renshaw, 200 breast
• Fran Halsall, 50 freestyle
• Craig Benson, 200 breaststroke
• Timothy Shuttleworth, 1500 freestyle

Relay athletes:

• Men's 4x100m Freestyle - Duncan Scott, Ben Proud, Adam Barrett, James Disney-May
• Men's 4x200m Freestyle - James Guy, Stephen Milne, Robert Renwick, Duncan Scott
• Men's 4x100m Medley - James Guy, Chris Walker-Hebborn, Adam Peaty, Duncan Scott
• Women's 4x200m Freestyle - Jazmin Carlin, Eleanor Faulkner, Georgia Coates, Camilla Hattersley
• Women's 4x100m Medley - Alys Thomas, Georgia Davies, Siobhan Marie O'Connor, Siobhan Marie O'Connor (Fran Halsall)

 

This is just a projection and we will have to wait a couple of weeks to find out the official team. The only 100% qualifiers are the first 8 athletes.

Overall disappointing results in my opinion.

 

Mens 50 free: Good time for Proud, but i dont think he can challenge for a medal in Rio and he was faster in the prelims ...

My prediction: Proud will finish 5th in Rio.

Mens 100 free: Great time for Scott, but a bit disappointing for Proud, no other guys sub 49. I wouldnt nominate Barrett and Disney-May for the relay only. I think it would be pretty hard for the 400 free relay to reach the final.

My prediction: Your relay wont reach the final, but i can see Scott surprising everyone to reach the final. On paper the final should consist of McEvoy, Chalmers, Stravius, Mignon, Adrian, Zetao, Condorelli and Morozov. In my opinion there are about 20 guys who could reach the final, i think no other event has the same depth.

Mens 200 free: Great time for Guy, he will swim sub 1:45 in Rio, also amazing time for Scott, but only one guy sub 1:47 ...

My prediction: I dont think that you can beat the australian 800 free relay, USA and France also might be dangerous. I am pretty sure that you will win silver or bronze.

Mens 400 free: Another great time for Guy, but the rest was pretty disappointing.

My prediction: Safe medal for Guy, but i dont see him beating Yang or Horton.

Mens 1500 free: Insane improvement from Shuttleworth, but no one sub 14:55 and only one other guy (barely) sub 15:00.

My prediction: No chance for a medal, but both guys could reach the final. On paper the final should consist of Yang, Paltrinieri, Detti, 2 american guys, 2 australian guys and Akram.

Mens 100 breast: Good time for Peaty, but clearly slower than last year, pretty disappointing time for Murdoch.

My prediction: Gold for Peaty, silver for Van der Burgh, bronze is pretty open, Murdoch will at least finish 8th.

Mens 200 breast: Great time for Willis, but no one else sub 2:09 ...

My prediction: I dont see a medal for GB in Rio, but both guys could reach the final.

Mens 100 fly: Even weaker than expected, no one sub 52.

My prediction: No final for GB in Rio and this might cost you a medley relay.

Mens 200 fly: As slow as expected, no qualified athlete, so no prediction needed.

Mens 100 back: Very disappointing times from CWH and Tancock, very bad news for your medley relay.

My prediction: CWH will still reach the final, but no chance for a medal.

Mens 200 back: Disappointing time from Greenbank, but i still think that he should be nominated.

My prediction: Greenbank will reach the semifinal.

Mens 200 IM: Might have been the most disappointing event, no one sub 1:59.

My prediction: No final for GB in Rio. I think only Litchfield should be nominated for this event, because he will be in Rio for the 400 IM anyway ...

Mens 400 IM: Finally some improvement from Litchfield, the rest was very disappointing.

My prediction: This event has been pretty weak recently, Litchfield might reach the final.

 

I wouldnt nominate the following athletes from your list: Disney-May, Barrett, Thomas and maybe Faulkner/Hattersley.

 

Edited April 18, 2016 by OlympicsFan

[OlympicsFan 783]

Womens 50 free: I expected at least 24.3 from Halsall, i thought she would win bronze in Rio, but now i am not so sure anymore, both Campbell sisters, Sjöstrom and Kromowidjojo should be ahead of her.

My prediction: Halsall will reach the final but not finish better than 5th.

Womens 100 free: No sub 54 time, i wouldnt nominate a 400 free relay, so no prediction needed.

Womens 200 free: Disappointing times overall, especially for Carlin, only one girl sub 1:58. Great time from Coates.

My prediction: I think Carlin should focus on 400/800 free. Your relay could reach the final, i think your federation should allow Coates to compete in the individual event.

Womens 400 free: The best race for Carlin, but also a bit slower than expected.

My prediction: Carlin will fight against Ahwood, Van Rouwendaal, Boyle and maybe the second american girl for silver and bronze.

Womens 800 free: Extremely disappointing time from Carlin, i dont see how she wants to challenge for a medal in Rio.

My prediction: Carlin reaches the final, but wont win a medal.

Womens 100 breast: Good time from SMOC, disappointing time from Tutton and Renshaw, no girl sub 1:07.

My prediction: SMOC should focus on 200 IM and maybe 200 free. Renshaw and Tutton should focus on 200 breast, so no british girl in womens 100 breast.

Womens 200 breast: Great times from Tutton and Renshaw, both have to be safed.

My prediction: Both british girls could reach the final and Tutton might have a tiny chance for a medal.

Womens 100 fly: One of the most disappointing events, no girl should be nominated. I dont think that your medley relay could come close to a medal, so i wouldnt safe anyone for the medley relay only.

My prediction: No british girl in womens 100 fly.

Womens 200 fly: Great time from Large, but not a very good winning time, i still think that Lowe should be safed.

My prediction: Lowe will reach the semifinal.

Womens 100 back: Great time from Davies, but pretty slow from all other girls.

My prediction: Davies will reach the final, but no chance for a medal.

Womens 200 IM: Very solid time from SMOC, the rest about as fast as expected.

My prediction: SMOC will win a minor medal in Rio with sub 2:09.

Womens 400 IM: Good times from Miley and Willmott. Especially Rudin was very disappointing.

My preciction: Both reach the final, but probably no medal. Willmott might have a very small chance for bronze.

 

Disappointing times: Mens fly/back/IM, womens fly, womens 200 back, womens 100 breast, womens 50/100/200/800 free

Ok/as good as expected times: Mens breast, mens free, womens 400 free, womens IM

Good/better than expected times: Womens 200 breast, womens 100 back

 

My medal predictions:

Gold for Peaty and Guy (200 free)

Good chance for silver or bronze for Guy (400 free), Carlin (400 free), SMOC (200 IM), mens 800 free relay

Small chance for silver or bronze for Proud (50 free), mens medley relay (very small chance), Willis (200 breast), Halsall (50 free), Carlin (800 free), Tutton (200 breast), Willmott (400 IM)

I think overall 6 medals and two of them in gold would be a realistic goal for british swimming in Rio.

 

[uk12points 434]

31 minutes ago, OlympicsFan said:

Overall disappointing results in my opinion.

 

Mens 50 free: Good time for Proud, but i dont think he can challenge for a medal in Rio and he was faster in the prelims ...

My prediction: Proud will finish 5th in Rio.

Mens 100 free: Great time for Scott, but a bit disappointing for Proud, no other guys sub 49. I wouldnt nominate Barrett and Disney-May for the relay only. I think it would be pretty hard for the 400 free relay to reach the final.

My prediction: Your relay wont reach the final, but i can see Scott surprising everyone to reach the final. On paper the final should consist of McEvoy, Chalmers, Stravius, Mignon, Adrian, Zetao, Condorelli and Morozov. In my opinion there are about 20 guys who could reach the final, i think no other event has the same depth.

Mens 200 free: Great time for Guy, he will swim sub 1:45 in Rio, also amazing time for Scott, but only one guy sub 1:47 ...

My prediction: I dont think that you can beat the australian 800 free relay, USA and France also might be dangerous. I am pretty sure that you will win silver or bronze.

Mens 400 free: Another great time for Guy, but the rest was pretty disappointing.

My prediction: Safe medal for Guy, but i dont see him beating Yang or Horton.

Mens 1500 free: Insane improvement from Shuttleworth, but no one sub 14:55 and only one other guy (barely) sub 15:00.

My prediction: No chance for a medal, but both guys could reach the final. On paper the final should consist of Yang, Paltrinieri, Detti, 2 american guys, 2 australian guys and Akram.

Mens 100 breast: Good time for Peaty, but clearly slower than last year, pretty disappointing time for Murdoch.

My prediction: Gold for Peaty, silver for Van der Burgh, bronze is pretty open, Murdoch will at least finish 8th.

Mens 200 breast: Great time for Willis, but no one else sub 2:09 ...

My prediction: I dont see a medal for GB in Rio, but both guys could reach the final.

Mens 100 fly: Even weaker than expected, no one sub 52.

My prediction: No final for GB in Rio and this might cost you a medley relay.

Mens 200 fly: As slow as expected, no qualified athlete, so no prediction needed.

Mens 100 back: Very disappointing times from CWH and Tancock, very bad news for your medley relay.

My prediction: CWH will still reach the final, but no chance for a medal.

Mens 200 back: Disappointing time from Greenbank, but i still think that he should be nominated.

My prediction: Greenbank will reach the semifinal.

Mens 200 IM: Might have been the most disappointing event, no one sub 1:59.

My prediction: No final for GB in Rio. I think only Litchfield should be nominated for this event, because he will be in Rio for the 400 IM anyway ...

Mens 400 IM: Finally some improvement from Litchfield, the rest was very disappointing.

My prediction: This event has been pretty weak recently, Litchfield might reach the final.

 

I wouldnt nominate the following athletes from your list: Disney-May, Barrett, Thomas and maybe Faulkner/Hattersley.

 

Wow, your analysis is amazing. I agree with you about the overall results, they are dissapointing, but I think the selectors have made it clear over the years that if you are close enough you will qualify, therefore many athletes won't have peaked and swam similar times to the Aussies in their trials. Honestly, I doubt there will be many suprises when the team is revealed, and most people on your list will probably be on the plane to Belo Horizonte (the Gb training camp). One positive sign is that people seem to be saving themselves for Rio, building their season steadily with 1 ultimae goal, the Olympics.

 

I agree with your medal predictions but a lot will rely on how well the Aussies and Americans perform on the big stage and whether China up their game as to how many medals we can achieve. The traget for all sports is to equal/beat London 2012 and with 3 medals in London swimming should exceed London 2012 and help to compensate for the anticipated loss of medals in Cycling. Overall I would rather have a rubbish trials and a brilliant games than the other way round, if they put in the effort from here we could have some fantastic results come Rio 2016.

[uk12points 434]

15 minutes ago, OlympicsFan said:

Womens 50 free: I expected at least 24.3 from Halsall, i thought she would win bronze in Rio, but now i am not so sure anymore, both Campbell sisters, Sjöstrom and Kromowidjojo should be ahead of her.

My prediction: Halsall will reach the final but not finish better than 5th.

Womens 100 free: No sub 54 time, i wouldnt nominate a 400 free relay, so no prediction needed.

Womens 200 free: Disappointing times overall, especially for Carlin, only one girl sub 1:58. Great time from Coates.

My prediction: I think Carlin should focus on 400/800 free. Your relay could reach the final, i think your federation should allow Coates to compete in the individual event.

Womens 400 free: The best race for Carlin, but also a bit slower than expected.

My prediction: Carlin will fight against Ahwood, Van Rouwendaal, Boyle and maybe the second american girl for silver and bronze.

Womens 800 free: Extremely disappointing time from Carlin, i dont see how she wants to challenge for a medal in Rio.

My prediction: Carlin reaches the final, but wont win a medal.

Womens 100 breast: Good time from SMOC, disappointing time from Tutton and Renshaw, no girl sub 1:07.

My prediction: SMOC should focus on 200 IM and maybe 200 free. Renshaw and Tutton should focus on 200 breast, so no british girl in womens 100 breast.

Womens 200 breast: Great times from Tutton and Renshaw, both have to be safed.

My prediction: Both british girls could reach the final and Tutton might have a tiny chance for a medal.

Womens 100 fly: One of the most disappointing events, no girl should be nominated. I dont think that your medley relay could come close to a medal, so i wouldnt safe anyone for the medley relay only.

My prediction: No british girl in womens 100 fly.

Womens 200 fly: Great time from Large, but not a very good winning time, i still think that Lowe should be safed.

My prediction: Lowe will reach the semifinal.

Womens 100 back: Great time from Davies, but pretty slow from all other girls.

My prediction: Davies will reach the final, but no chance for a medal.

Womens 200 IM: Very solid time from SMOC, the rest about as fast as expected.

My prediction: SMOC will win a minor medal in Rio with sub 2:09.

Womens 400 IM: Good times from Miley and Willmott. Especially Rudin was very disappointing.

My preciction: Both reach the final, but probably no medal. Willmott might have a very small chance for bronze.

 

Disappointing times: Mens fly/back/IM, womens fly, womens 200 back, womens 100 breast, womens 50/100/200/800 free

Ok/as good as expected times: Mens breast, mens free, womens 400 free, womens IM

Good/better than expected times: Womens 200 breast, womens 100 back

 

My medal predictions:

Gold for Peaty and Guy (200 free)

Good chance for silver or bronze for Guy (400 free), Carlin (400 free), SMOC (200 IM), mens 800 free relay

Small chance for silver or bronze for Proud (50 free), mens medley relay (very small chance), Willis (200 breast), Halsall (50 free), Carlin (800 free), Tutton (200 breast), Willmott (400 IM)

I think overall 6 medals and two of them in gold would be a realistic goal for british swimming in Rio.

 

The British federation are desperate for great results after the London 2012 flop. Beacuse of this they will most likely accept all relays as great opportunities to get top 6 performances and reach more finals. At the British Trials we had Target Tokyo events, therefore some boarderline young athletes will probably be selected so they can gain an Olympic experience.

[JoshMartini007 2,214]

Russian Trials - Day 2

 

Men's 100m Breaststroke - Vsevolod Zanko, Kirill Prigoda

Women's 100m Butterfly - Svetlana Chimrova

 

Like I said before technically someone could take Prigoda's spot due to "uncontrollable circumstances," but it's doubtful.

[JoshMartini007 2,214]

Great Britain is set to announce its swimming team on April 22nd

[JoshMartini007 2,214]

Russian Trials - Day 3

 

Men's 200m Freestyle - Aleksandr Krasnykh

Men's 100m Backstroke - Evgeny Rylov, Grigory Tarasevich

Women's 100m Backstroke - Daria Ustinova, Anastasia Fesikova

 

No one reached the women's 100m breaststroke standard, but with the "uncontrollable circumstances" rule Yuliya Efimova essentially has the spot waiting for her should she not get suspended.