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Now that I've seen them all, here is the list of Oscars Best Picture nominees sorted by my preference.

 

Green Book

Roma

The Favorite

Vice

A Star is Born

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

BlacKkKlansman

 

It's close between the top 2. Bottom 3 do not belong here.

#banbestmen

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16 hours ago, dcro said:

Now that I've seen them all, here is the list of Oscars Best Picture nominees sorted by my preference.

 

Green Book

Roma

The Favorite

Vice

A Star is Born

Black Panther

Bohemian Rhapsody

BlacKkKlansman

 

It's close between the top 2. Bottom 3 do not belong here.

The bottom 3 being my favorites :mumble::lol:

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

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Today is the Oscars so here I am with my predictions. This year I managed to watch 33 of the 37 feature films nominated, and all 15 shorts, for a total of 48/52 (or 92%). In the last 2 years, I had 17/24 correct guesses, but missed Best Picture in both. Today, I'm not so sure about the big award either. I'm going with Roma, but this is kind of a "artsy" movie that the Academy members could ignore and go with something more accessible/popular like Green Book or Black Panther (or even Bohemian Rhapsody, which can very well win the most Oscars tonight and take the title of worst winner ever).

 

["will win" is my prediction / "could win" is my alternate prediction / "should win" is my personal ranking from what I've watched / "shoud have been nominated" is a way to remember other notable work].

 

Spoiler

Best Picture

WILL WIN: Roma

COULD WIN: Green Book or Black Panther

SHOULD WIN: 1. Roma; 2. The Favourite; 3. BlacKkKlansman; 4. A Star is Born; 5. Black Panther; 6. Green Book; 7. Vice; 8. Bohemian Rhapsody.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Can You Ever Forgive Me? (actually this year only Roma and The Favourite would be in my top 10)

 

 

Directing

WILL WIN: Alfonso Cuarón, Roma

COULD WIN: Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman

SHOULD WIN: 1. Alfonso Cuarón, Roma; 2. Yorgos Lanthimos, The Favourite; 3. Pawel Pawlokowski, Cold War; 4. Spike Lee, BlacKkKlansman; 5. Adam McKay, Vice.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Paul Schrader, First Reformed

 

 

Actor in a Leading Role

WILL WIN: Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody

COULD WIN: Christian Bale, Vice

SHOULD WIN: 1. Bradley Cooper, A Star is Born; 2. Willem Dafoe, At Eternity's Gate; 3. Christian Bale, Vice; 4. Viggo Mortensen, Green Book; 5. Rami Malek, Bohemian Rhapsody.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Ethan Hawke, First Reformed

 

 

Actress in a Leading Role

WILL WIN: Glenn Close, The Wife

COULD WIN: Olivia Colman, The Favourite

SHOULD WIN: 1. Olivia Colman, The Favourite; 2. Melissa McCarthy, Can You Ever Forgive Me?; 3. Glenn Close, The Wife; 4. Yalitza Aparicio, Roma; 5. Lady Gaga, A Star is Born.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Toni Collette, Hereditary

 

 

Actor in a Supporting Role

WILL WIN: Mahershala Ali, Green Book

COULD WIN: Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?

SHOULD WIN: 1. Richard E. Grant, Can You Ever Forgive Me?; 2. Sam Elliott, A Star is Born; 3. Mahershala Ali, Green Book; 4. Adam Driver, BlacKkKlansman; 5. Sam Rockwell, Vice.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Alex Wolff, Hereditary

 

 

Actress in a Supporting Role

WILL WIN: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk

COULD WIN: Rachel Weisz, The Favourite

SHOULD WIN: 1. Rachel Weisz, The Favourite; 2. Marina de Tavira, Roma; 3. Emma Stone, The Favourite; 4. Amy Adams, Vice. Not watched: Regina King, If Beale Street Could Talk.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Claire Foy, First Man

 

 

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)

WILL WIN: BlacKkKlansman

COULD WIN: Can You Ever Forgie Me?

SHOULD WIN: 1. Can You Ever Forgive Me?; 2. BlacKkKlansman; 3. A Star is Born; 4. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs. Not watched: If Beale Street Could Talk.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Widows

 

 

Writing (Original Screenplay)

WILL WIN: The Favourite

COULD WIN: Green Book

SHOULD WIN: 1. First Reformed; 2. The Favourite; 3. Roma; 4. Vice; 5. Green Book.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Eighth Grade

 

 

Animated Feature Film

WILL WIN: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse

COULD WIN: Incredibles 2

SHOULD WIN: 1. Isle of Dogs; 2. Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse; 3. Mirai; 4. Incredibles 2; 5. Ralph Breaks the Internet.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: didn't watch any other good animations aside from these

 

 

Documentary Feature

WILL WIN: Free Solo

COULD WIN: RBG

SHOULD WIN: 1. Minding the Gap; 2. Free Solo; 3. Of Fathers and Sons; 4. RBG; 5. Hale County This Morning, This Evening.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: McQueen (which wasn't in the shortlist, so I pick Won't You Be My Neighbor? from those)

 

 

Foreign Language Film

WILL WIN: Mexico, Roma

COULD WIN: Poland, Cold War

SHOULD WIN: 1. Mexico, Roma; 2. Poland, Cold War; 3. Lebanon, Capernaum; 4. Japan, Shoplifters. Not watched: Germany (Never Look Away).

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: didn't watch any of the other four shortlisted movies but I'm eager to see Burning

 

 

Cinematography

WILL WIN: Roma

COULD WIN: Cold War

SHOULD WIN: 1. Roma; 2. Cold War; 3. The Favourite; 4. A Star is Born. Not watched: Never Look Away.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: First Man

 

 

Film Editing

WILL WIN: Bohemian Rhapsody

COULD WIN: Vice

SHOULD WIN: 1. The Favourite; 2. BlacKkKlansman; 3. Vice; 4. Green Book; 5. Bohemian Rhapsody.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Roma

 

 

Costume Design

WILL WIN: Black Panther

COULD WIN: The Favourite

SHOULD WIN: 1. Black Panther; 2. The Favourite; 3. The Ballad of Buster Scruggs; 4. Mary Queen of Scots. Not watched: Mary Poppins Returns.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Paddington 2

 

 

Production Design

WILL WIN: Black Panther

COULD WIN: The Favourite

SHOULD WIN: 1. Roma; 2. The Favourite; 3. First Man; 4. Black Panther. Not watched: Mary Poppins Returns.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Isle of Dogs

 

 

Makeup and Hairstyling

WILL WIN: Vice

COULD WIN: Mary Queen of Scots

SHOULD WIN: 1. Border; 2. Vice; 3. Mary Queen of Scots.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: The Favourite

 

 

Music (Original Score)

WILL WIN: Black Panther

COULD WIN: If Beale Street Could Talk

SHOULD WIN: 1. Isle of Dogs; 2. Black Panther; 3. BlacKkKlansman. Not watched: If Beale Street Could Talk and Mary Poppins Returns.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: First Man

 

 

Music (Original Song)

WILL WIN: "Shallow", A Star is Born

COULD WIN: "All the Stars", Black Panther

SHOULD WIN: 1. "Shallow", A Star is Born; 2. "All the Stars", Black Panther; 3. "The Place Where Lost Things Go", Mary Poppins Returns; 4. "When a Cowboy Trades His Spurs for Wings", The Ballad of Buster Scruggs, 5. "I'll Fight", RBG.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: "We Won't Move", The Hate U Give

 

 

Sound Editing

WILL WIN: A Quiet Place

COULD WIN: Bohemian Rhapsody

SHOULD WIN: 1. First Man; 2. Roma; 3. Black Panther; 4. A Quiet Place; 5. Bohemian Rhapsody.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Hereditary

 

 

Sound Mixing

WILL WIN: Bohemian Rhapsody

COULD WIN: Black Panther

SHOULD WIN: 1. Roma; 2. First Man; 3. A Star is Born; 4. Black Panther; 5. Bohemian Rhapsody.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: At Eternity's Gate

 

 

Visual Effects

WILL WIN: First Man

COULD WIN: Avengers: Infinity War

SHOULD WIN: 1. First Man; 2. Ready Player One; 3. Solo: A Star Wars Story; 4. Christopher Robin. Not watched: Avengers: Infinity War.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Isle of Dogs

 

 

Short Film (Animated)

WILL WIN: Bao

COULD WIN: Weekends

SHOULD WIN: 1. Bao; 2. One Small Step; 3. Late Afternoon; 4. Weekends; 5. Animal Behaviour.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Lost & Found

 

 

Short Film (Documentary)

WILL WIN: Period. End of Sentence.

COULD WIN: Black Sheep

SHOULD WIN: 1. Black Sheep; 2. Lifeboat; 3. Period. End of Sentence.; 4. A Night at the Garden; 5. End Game.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: My Dead Dad's Porno Tapes

 

 

Short Film (Live Action)

WILL WIN: Marguerite

COULD WIN: Skin

SHOULD WIN: 1. Marguerite; 2. Mother (Madre); 3. Fauve; 4. Skin; 5. Detainment.

SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Chuchotage (Susotázs)

 

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Tonight's the Oscar night. As a :POL I have, of course, hopes for at least one Award for "Cold War" (pure patriotism, I haven't seen it ;) ). Among the other films I have my "Favorite" ;). I also keep my fingers crossed for the other "monarchist" film - "Mary, Queen of Scots". Other hopes are the other "Favorite" Oscars - especially for Rachel Weisz as supporting actress (sentiment from the "Mummy" movies and beloved "Runaway Jury" makes her my personal No. 2 among favorite actresses of Hollywood's history, just after Princess Grace).

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31 minutes ago, dcro said:

 

Please let that be true.

 

 

Even though she isn't my favourite this year, I want her to win. The performance is great + she deserved this a long time ago. Watch out for Olivia Colman though.

 

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