How Many Athletes will Your Nation Qualify for the Summer Olympic Games 2020?

[OlympicsFan 860]

Archery: Optimistic: 6 athletes (both teams), realistic/pessimistic: 4 athletes (women's team and Kahllund)

Artistic Swimming: 0

Athletics: Optimistic: 84, realistic/pessimistic: 70

Badminton: 0

Baseball: 0

Basketball: Optimistic: 12 (men's team), realistic/pessimistic: 0

Beach Volleyball: 4 (2 female teams)

Boxing: Optimistic: 7, realistic: 4, pessimistic: 3

Canoeing - Slalom: 4

Canoeing - Sprint: 13

Cycling - BMX: 1

Cycling - Mountain Bike: 1

Cycling - Road: 6 (3 men, 3 women)

Cycling - Track: 18

Diving: 7

Equestrian: 12

Fencing: Optimistic: 6 (men's sabre team, women's foil team), realistic: 4 (one team + one individual), pessimistic: 1-3 (at least one athlete in men's sabre or women's foil should qualify)

Field Hockey: 36

Football: 18 (only the women's team)

Golf: Optimistic: 2 (Schauffele + Masson), realistic/pessimistic: 1 (Masson)

Gymnastics - Artistic: 10

Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0

Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

Handball: Optimistic: 28, realisitc: 14 (only men's team), pessimistic: 0

Judo: 10

Karate: 0

Modern Pentathlon: 2

Rowing: 36 (all boats on the men's side, no coxless pair/eight on the women's side)

Rugby Sevens: 0

Sailing: Optimistic/realistic: 13, pessimistic: 11 (no Nacra)

Shooting: Optimistic: 14 (in men's/women's air rifle the two talents Janssen and Ulbrich qualify), realistic: 12

Skateboarding: 0

Softball: 0

Sport Climbing: 0

Surfing: 0

Swimming: 29

Table Tennis: 8

Taekwondo: Optimistic: 6, realistic: 2-3, pessimistic: 0

Tennis: 5

Triathlon: Optimistic: 2 (Saller and Lindemann), realisitc/pessimistic: 1 (only Lindemann)

Volleyball: Optimistic: 24, realistic/pessimistic: 0

Water Polo: 0

Weightlifting: Optimistic: 2, realistic/pessimistic: 1 (only Müller)

Wrestling: Optimistic: 10, realistic: 7, pessimistic: 5


Total Sports: Optimistic: 32, realistic: 30, pessimistic: 28

Optimistic Total Athletes: 436
Realistic Total Athletes: 354
Pessimistic Total Athletes: 330

I think we will end up at around 380 athletes (hopefully not more).

Edited August 1, 2018 by OlympicsFan

[amen09 392]

Archery: 0, no chance

Artistic Swimming: 0, no chance

Athletics: 3 -5--8

Badminton: 0, no chance

Baseball: 0 no chance

Basketball: 0-12-12

Beach Volleyball: 0-2-2

Boxing: 2-4-6

Canoeing - Slalom: 0

Canoeing - Sprint: 1-2-3

Cycling - BMX: 0 no chance

Cycling - Mountain Bike: 0 no chance

Cycling - Road: 0

Cycling - Track: 0 no chance

Diving: 0 no chance

Equestrian: 0

Fencing: 4-5-6

Field Hockey: 0 no chance

Football: 0-0-12     30% men's team

Golf: 0

Gymnastics - Artistic: 0

Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0

Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0

Handball: 0-12-24   men's team 80% womens' team 15 %

Judo: 3-5-7

Karate: 0-1-3

Modern Pentathlon: 0 no chance

Rowing: 2

Rugby Sevens: 0

Sailing: 1-2-4

Shooting: 1-2-3

Skateboarding: 0  no chance

Softball: 0 no hance

Sport Climbing: 0  

Surfing: 0  no chance

Swimming: 1-2-2

Table Tennis: 1-2-2

Taekwondo: 2-3-4

Tennis: 1-2-2

Triathlon: 0-0-1

Volleyball: 0-0-24  men's 40% women's 20%

Water Polo: 0 no chance

Weightlifting: 2-2-4

Wrestling: 2-3-5


Total Sports: 14/18/21 (17 in 2012 and 2016)

Optimistic Total Athletes: 136

Realistic Total Athletes: 69 (83 in 2012 -61 in 2016)

Pessimistic Total Athletes: 26

[AlFHg 330]

@amen09 yay, other people using three-color code for this post 

Edited August 1, 2018 by AlFHg

[Agger 1,700]

9 hours ago, OlympicsFan said:

Badminton: 0

 

No Lamsfuss/Herttrich?

[EselTheDonkey 834]

vor 11 Stunden schrieb OlympicsFan:

 

Badminton: 0  

Triathlon: Optimistic: 2 (Saller and Lindemann), realisitc/pessimistic: 1 (only Lindemann)

 

 

 

@Badminton: If the cut-off day were now, than Germany would be qualified in all disciplines. I don't think this will happen, but I'm sure it will be more than 0.

@Triathlon: The Mixed relay will probably qualify, making it at least 4 athletes.

Edited August 1, 2018 by EselTheDonkey

[rybak 3,302]

My predictions 

 

Archery: 0-2

Artistic Swimming: We are finally starting competing in this sport but Olympics is too much for now, maybe in 2024 if not 2028

Athletics: Our current the best indivudual and maybe overall sport, I think even over 65 athletes is possible, depends of qualifying standards

Badminton: Sadly our the best mixed doubles pair is retired so, 0-3 (mens singles and doubles) 

Baseball: Never 

Basketball: I believe that we will qualify in mens 3x3 but nothing more

Beach Volleyball: 4-6 or even more

Boxing: No idea

Canoeing - Slalom: 3-4 

Canoeing - Sprint: Around 15 maybe less or more, I REALLY hope that finally we will have gold in this sport 

Cycling - BMX: 0

Cycling - Mountain Bike: 2-3

Cycling - Road: 6-8

Cycling - Track: Above 10

Diving: 0-1 as always

Equestrian: 0-3 but 0 is sadly more possible

Fencing: Above 10

Field Hockey: 0

Football: we lost our the best chance to qualify for Rio, now we will wait for next good chance next 20 years

Golf: 0 but at least appear in this sport (we will have a pair in upcoming European Championships!)

Gymnastics - Artistic: 1-2

Gymnastics - Rhythmic: 0

Gymnastics - Trampoline: 0-2

Handball: womens team have a chance 

Judo: 3-6

Karate: we are decent in this but very small number of quotas destroyed our chances

Modern Pentathlon: 2-4

Rowing: around 25

Rugby Sevens: 0

Sailing: 8-10, we will know more in 2 weeks after end of World champs

Shooting: 1-4

Skateboarding: No idea

Softball: 0

Sport Climbing: 0-1

Surfing: we have federation of this sport at all?

Swimming: above 15

Table Tennis: 0-4

Taekwondo: 0-3

Tennis: 2-4

Triathlon: 0-2

Volleyball: mens team and I have hopes for womens team first time since Beijing

Water Polo: 0

Weightlifting: 2-6

Wrestling: 4-8


Total Sports: My math is awful

Optimistic Total Athletes: look above

Realistic Total Athletes:  the same

Pessimistic Total Athletes: as well here 

[OlympicsFan 860]

vor 4 Stunden schrieb Agger:

 

No Lamsfuss/Herttrich?

Hopefully not.

[dcro 10,210]

2 hours ago, rybak said:

 Equestrian: 0-3 but 0 is sadly more possible

 

That is pessimistic. Poland is right now a big favorite for eventing team quota. Possibly also in jumping.

[OlympicsFan 860]

vor 2 Stunden schrieb EselTheDonkey:

 

@Badminton: If the cut-off day were now, than Germany would be qualified in all disciplines. I don't think this will happen, but I'm sure it will be more than 0.

@Triathlon: The Mixed relay will probably qualify, making it at least 4 athletes.

I know, those predictions are more my personal hope, i don't want any tourists to be nominated. I also predicted 1 (Pries) in BMX, although i think that Germany has a world silver medallist in freestyle BMX, but i don't rate this sport. The same is true for all the other new sports.

Sadly i think that Germany will also qualify someone in women's mountainbike, men's beach volleyball, rhythmic gymnastics and trampoline.

Edited August 1, 2018 by OlympicsFan

[EselTheDonkey 834]

I disagree with this. IMO, the more, the better. You already Need a good Performance to qualify, so I wouldn't call them tourists. Especially not in Badminton doubles, where only 16 doubles per discipline are allowed.