website statistics
Jump to content
  • Register/Login on Totallympics!

    Sign up to Totallympics to get full access to our website.

     

    Registration is free and allows you to participate in our community. You will then be able to reply to threads and access all pages.

     

    If you encounter any issues in the registration process, please send us a message in the Contact Us page.

     

    We are excited to see you on Totallympics, the home of Olympic Sports!

     

Athletics Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024


Recommended Posts

2 hours ago, phelps said:

theoretically...but find another 2nd tier relay that can run 42.13 or better ;)

 

I wouldn't rule it out for Switzerland, though of course it would need for the Kambundjis to finally run in the relays.

Edited by EselTheDonkey
Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626124
Share on other sites

Updating how many quotas each country guarantees.
 

 

The qualification document indicates that each team can take 5 athletes on their gender relay and 4 athletes on their mixed relay
athletes with individual quota MUST participate in the M and F 4x100m and 4x400m, but it doesn't say anything regarding the mixed 4x400m (or I haven't found)

 

So I'm counting it as 5 (and 2 men and 2 women on the mixed relay), but obviously they could pick someone from 200m, 800m, 400m hurdles, etc.

(AFTER DAY 2)
120 female quotas (55 on 4x100m, 56 on 4x400, 9 on the mixed relay)
120 male quotas (58 on 4x100, 51 on 4x400, 11 on the mixed relay)

 

wow, it was 50%-50% if my math is right. Obviously, in the end, many if not most of these quotas will come through new EST or  individual ranking.


Female 4x100m


:AUSAUS - no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:CANCAN- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:FRAFRA- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GERGER- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NEDNED- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)
+

:CIVCIV- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NGRNGR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:SUISUI- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:TTOTTO- no women (gets 5 female quotas)



Male 4x100m

 

:CANCAN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:CHNCHN- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:FRAFRA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:ITAITA- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

+
:AUSAUS- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GERGER- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GHAGHA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:LBRLBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:RSARSA- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

 

 

Female 4x400m

:CANCAN- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:FRAFRA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:IRLIRL - 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:NORNOR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
+
:BELBEL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:ESPESP- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:INDIND- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
:NEDNED- 2 women (gets 3 quotas)
:SUISUI- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

 

Male 4x400m

 

:BOTBOT- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:BELBEL- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GERGER- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 2 man (gets 3 quotas)
:ITAITA- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)

:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:RSARSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
+
:BRABRA-
 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
:ESPESP
- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:INDIND- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:POLPOL- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:TTOTTO- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)


Mixed 4x400m

:BELBEL- 1 men + 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:DOMDOM- 1 men + 1 woman (gets 1 male + 1 female quota)

:FRAFRA- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:IRLIRL - 1 woman (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NEDNED - 1 man + 2 women (probably gets 1 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NGRNGR - 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:POLPOL- 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:USAUSA- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
+
:BAHBAH- 1 man (gets 1 male + 2 female quota)
:GERGER- 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:GBRGBR-  3 women + 1 man (no additional quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:JAMJAM- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
:SUISUI- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:UKRUKR- no athlete! (gets 2 male + 2 female quota)

Edited by Pasolini
Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626335
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Pasolini said:

Updating how many quotas each country guarantees.
 

 

The qualification document indicates that each team can take 5 athletes on their gender relay and 4 athletes on their mixed relay
athletes with individual quota MUST participate in the M and F 4x100m and 4x400m, but it doesn't say anything regarding the mixed 4x400m (or I haven't found)

 

So I'm counting it as 5 (and 2 men and 2 women on the mixed relay), but obviously they could pick someone from 200m, 800m, 400m hurdles, etc.

(updating final calculations in a couple of minutes)

(QUOTAS OF DAY 1)
So apparently the first day offered 131 quotas
66 female quotas (30 on 4x100m, 32 on 4x400, 4 on the mixed relay)
65 male quotas (31 on 4x100, 26 on 4x400, 8 on the mixed relay)


Female 4x100m


:AUSAUS - no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:CANCAN- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:FRAFRA- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GERGER- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NEDNED- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)
+

:CIVCIV- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NGRNGR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:SUISUI- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:TTOTTO- no women (gets 5 female quotas)



Male 4x100m

 

:CANCAN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:CHNCHN- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:FRAFRA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:ITAITA- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

+
:AUSAUS- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GERGER- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GHAGHA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:LBRLBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:RSARSA- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

 

 

Female 4x400m

:CANCAN- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:FRAFRA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:IRLIRL - 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:NORNOR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
+
:BELBEL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:ESPESP- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:INDIND- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
:NEDNED- 2 women (gets 3 quotas)
:SUISUI- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

 

Male 4x400m

 

:BOTBOT- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:BELBEL- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GERGER- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 2 man (gets 3 quotas)
:ITAITA- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)

:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:RSARSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
+
:BRABRA-
 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
:ESPESP
- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:INDIND- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:POLPOL- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:TTOTTO- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)


Mixed 4x400m

:BELBEL- 1 men + 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:DOMDOM- 1 men + 1 woman (gets 1 male + 1 female quota)

:FRAFRA- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:IRLIRL - 1 woman (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NEDNED - 1 man + 2 women (probably gets 1 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NGRNGR - 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:POLPOL- 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:USAUSA- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
+
:BAHBAH- 1 man (gets 1 male + 2 female quota)
:GERGER- 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:GBRGBR-  3 women + 1 man (no additional quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:JAMJAM- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
:SUISUI- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:UKRUKR- no athlete! (gets 2 male + 2 female quota)

the maximum is 5 quotas and not 6? I just realized this :swimming:

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626342
Share on other sites

20 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

the maximum is 5 quotas and not 6? I just realized this :swimming:

yeah, the 6th quota is AP. As the 3rd male and 3rd female from mixed.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626374
Share on other sites

Hammer Thrower Volodymyr Myslyvchuk, originally from :UKR has been living for quite some time in the Czech Republic and in January, he obtained Czech citizenship. Recently, he threw 77,31 m which means limit for ECH in June. Now, Czech athletic federation is dealing with WA whether he can represent :CZE at the ECH this year. I checked his ranking, he is currently 31st in Road to Paris and his last throw was only less than a meter from the strict limit to Paris. Do you guys think he may get an approval for ECH? If so, if he throws 78,20m or qualifies to Paris through the Olympic ranking, could he represent :CZE ??? I know the timing is quite tight and I remember that before there were some rules that you have to represent your new country for a year or two? Not quite sure..... before you can qualify for the Olympics representing your new country. Does anybody how is it right now before Paris? I also noticed some athletes, weightlifters switched to :BRN citizenship and qualified to Paris but I don't know how long ago they changed the nationality. Thanks. 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626749
Share on other sites

On 5/6/2024 at 2:46 AM, Pasolini said:

Updating how many quotas each country guarantees.
 

 

The qualification document indicates that each team can take 5 athletes on their gender relay and 4 athletes on their mixed relay
athletes with individual quota MUST participate in the M and F 4x100m and 4x400m, but it doesn't say anything regarding the mixed 4x400m (or I haven't found)

 

So I'm counting it as 5 (and 2 men and 2 women on the mixed relay), but obviously they could pick someone from 200m, 800m, 400m hurdles, etc.

(AFTER DAY 2)
120 female quotas (55 on 4x100m, 56 on 4x400, 9 on the mixed relay)
120 male quotas (58 on 4x100, 51 on 4x400, 11 on the mixed relay)

 

wow, it was 50%-50% if my math is right. Obviously, in the end, many if not most of these quotas will come through new EST or  individual ranking.


Female 4x100m


:AUSAUS - no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:CANCAN- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:FRAFRA- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GERGER- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NEDNED- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)
+

:CIVCIV- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:NGRNGR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:SUISUI- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:TTOTTO- no women (gets 5 female quotas)



Male 4x100m

 

:CANCAN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:CHNCHN- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:FRAFRA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:ITAITA- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:JAMJAM- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

+
:AUSAUS- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GERGER- no men (gets 5 quotas)
:GHAGHA- no men (gets 5 quotas)

:LBRLBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:RSARSA- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

 

 

Female 4x400m

:CANCAN- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:FRAFRA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:GBRGBR- 3 women (gets 2 female quotas)

:IRLIRL - 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:ITAITA- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:NORNOR- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:POLPOL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)

:USAUSA- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
+
:BELBEL- 1 woman (gets 4 female quotas)
:ESPESP- no women (gets 5 female quotas)
:INDIND- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

:JAMJAM- 3 women (gets 2 quotas)
:NEDNED- 2 women (gets 3 quotas)
:SUISUI- no women (gets 5 female quotas)

 

Male 4x400m

 

:BOTBOT- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)

:BELBEL- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GBRGBR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:GERGER- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:JPNJPN- 2 man (gets 3 quotas)
:ITAITA- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)

:NGRNGR- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)

:RSARSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
+
:BRABRA-
 3 men (gets 2 quotas) 
:ESPESP
- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:INDIND- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:POLPOL- 0 man (gets 5 quotas)
:TTOTTO- 1 man (gets 4 quotas)
:USAUSA- 3 men (gets 2 quotas)


Mixed 4x400m

:BELBEL- 1 men + 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:DOMDOM- 1 men + 1 woman (gets 1 male + 1 female quota)

:FRAFRA- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:IRLIRL - 1 woman (probably gets 2 male quotas)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NEDNED - 1 man + 2 women (probably gets 1 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:NGRNGR - 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:POLPOL- 1 woman (probably no additional quota)* the male and female 4x400 qualifed above
:USAUSA- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
+
:BAHBAH- 1 man (gets 1 male + 2 female quota)
:GERGER- 1 man (probably gets 2 female quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:GBRGBR-  3 women + 1 man (no additional quota)* the male 4x400 qualifed above
:JAMJAM- 3 men + 3 women (no additional quota)
:SUISUI- no athlete! (probably gets 2 male quota)* the female 4x400 qualifed above
:UKRUKR- no athlete! (gets 2 male + 2 female quota)

Good work, but I think many countries will use the mixed to bring extra quotas as like you said, the “you must use individual quotas to count” in the gendered races doesn’t apply (and they can’t bring subs specifically for the mixed)

 

For Ireland I’m counting our women’s as 4 new quotas and mixed as 2 men and 2 women (Adeleke is already qualified). I expect Mawdsley will qualify in the women’s too so it might end up being 2 individuals, 5 women relay runners, 2 men relay runners 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626760
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Jan Linha said:

Hammer Thrower Volodymyr Myslyvchuk, originally from :UKR has been living for quite some time in the Czech Republic and in January, he obtained Czech citizenship. Recently, he threw 77,31 m which means limit for ECH in June. Now, Czech athletic federation is dealing with WA whether he can represent :CZE at the ECH this year. I checked his ranking, he is currently 31st in Road to Paris and his last throw was only less than a meter from the strict limit to Paris. Do you guys think he may get an approval for ECH? If so, if he throws 78,20m or qualifies to Paris through the Olympic ranking, could he represent :CZE ??? I know the timing is quite tight and I remember that before there were some rules that you have to represent your new country for a year or two? Not quite sure..... before you can qualify for the Olympics representing your new country. Does anybody how is it right now before Paris? I also noticed some athletes, weightlifters switched to :BRN citizenship and qualified to Paris but I don't know how long ago they changed the nationality. Thanks. 

The last international event he competed representing :UKR that I could found was the 2018 Euros. Three years has passed since that, so he wouldn't have any problems to represent another country.

 

Now it's only waiting until WA gives the thumbs up. We spaniards are in the same scenario waiting for former :CUB Yulemnis Aguilar is given the green ligth in time for the ECH cause she already has spanish nationality.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626761
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Jur said:

The last international event he competed representing :UKR that I could found was the 2018 Euros. Three years has passed since that, so he wouldn't have any problems to represent another country.

 

Now it's only waiting until WA gives the thumbs up. We spaniards are in the same scenario waiting for former :CUB Yulemnis Aguilar is given the green ligth in time for the ECH cause she already has spanish nationality.

Oh, I see. So it's about being at an international events and representing the country. So if he did not participate in other competitions where he would represent another country since 2018, so it should be fine, right. So now, let's hope Myslyvchuk and Aguilar get the green light from WA and can participate in ECH and possibly also at the Olympics 💪💪💪

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626766
Share on other sites

:SUD Yaseen ABDALLA

:JOR Moath ALKHAWALDEH

:CHA Valentin BETOUDJI

:CPV Samuel FREIRE

:ISV Eduardo Terrance GARCIA

:MLT Jordan GUSMAN

:PRK Il Ryong HAN

:MKD Dario IVANOVSKI

:CYP Amine KHADIRI

:KGZ Ilya TYAPKIN

:URU Cristhian ZAMORA

 

Receibed universiality quotas in Men's Marathon

 

 

:MDA  Lilia FISIKOVICI

:NAM Helalia JOHANNES

:BHU Kinzang LHAMO

:LES Mokulubete Blandina MAKATISI

:BUL Militsa MIRCHEVA

:ZIM Rutendo Joan NYAHORA

:PRK Kwang-Ok RI

:NEP Shantoshi SHRESTHA

:KGZ Sardana TROFIMOVA

 

Receibed universiality quotas in Women's Marathon

 

 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626857
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Jur said:

:SUD Yaseen ABDALLA

:JOR Moath ALKHAWALDEH

:CHA Valentin BETOUDJI

:CPV Samuel FREIRE

:ISV Eduardo Terrance GARCIA

:MLT Jordan GUSMAN

:PRK Il Ryong HAN

:MKD Dario IVANOVSKI

:CYP Amine KHADIRI

:KGZ Ilya TYAPKIN

:URU Cristhian ZAMORA

 

Receibed universiality quotas in Men's Marathon

 

 

:MDA  Lilia FISIKOVICI

:NAM Helalia JOHANNES

:BHU Kinzang LHAMO

:LES Mokulubete Blandina MAKATISI

:BUL Militsa MIRCHEVA

:ZIM Rutendo Joan NYAHORA

:PRK Kwang-Ok RI

:NEP Shantoshi SHRESTHA

:KGZ Sardana TROFIMOVA

 

Receibed universiality quotas in Women's Marathon

 

 

It ´s official ?

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/10329-athletics-qualification-to-summer-olympic-games-paris-2024/page/69/#findComment-626860
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • China Media Group (CMG) will broadcast all 116 gold medal events of the Milan Winter Olympics live on CCTV-1, CCTV-5, CCTV-5+ and CCTV-16. It will also use technologies such as 4K/8K ultra-high definition to enhance the viewing experience. Live broadcasts of all events will be carried out from 16:00 Beijing time to 06:00 the next day.
    • The strength of the UK is that they are 100% focused on the track, while Italy must to navigate between the track and the road: the line-up is different for practically every event, etc. Paternoster should focus 100% on the track; she won't win anything big on the road anymore. As it is, she's weak both there and there. The situation is different with Balsamo, as she's also having significant success on the road and likely earns the most money there.
    • Discovery+ in the UK have also got their schedule up now.     I notice that only thing listed as being in UHD is the Opening Ceremony though....     
    • The problem over the last few years was that no-one was able to keep pace with the big Katie Archibald turns. Looks to be sorted now.  
    • The women's top 50 is so crammed with athletes from the same five nations that it is not inconceivable they are unable to fill the full quota from the top 50, in which case a third double spot would open up between USA/BEL/GBR
    • That women's pursuit team looks brutally fast. Batter you over the head into submission brutal, perhaps not seen since the early Trott-Rowsell days The 4 minute barrier could be on borrowed time.   The two British women sprinters Finucane and Caldwell also look pretty ominous, indeed the whole women's sprint team looks in some shape and with some depth to get that result without Finucane   Work to do for the British men's teams, but they won't be unhappy either, not to mention Joe Truman's unexpected Kilo win.
    • I prefer to do mine like this guy (https://app.podiumsport.it/) does his "Projected Medals" as probability based rather than straight medal picking... all things being equal, conversion rates should be about the same and the outliers come out in the wash. Unfortunately most people just like medal picking, and think any other approach is weird  
    • So probably: Men Oceania: Americas: Africa: Asia: One of  Europe: One of Host: World Rankings: Combination of  (probably not)  and whichever countries don’t qualify from Asian Games.  Universality: ? Final Qualification Tournament: One of the above in World Rankings    and one of  (most likely) or  seem safe with two quotas. The other will be favourites if a third team gets allocated two.    Women Oceania: Europe: One of Americas:  /  if US is ineligible due to their host quota, if the host quota gets reallocated then Canada will be in contention in the rankings Africa:   Asia: One of   Host: World Rankings: Combination of  (x1?)  (x1/2)  (x1/2), whichever doesn’t qualify out of  / ,  and  ? Final Qualification Tournament: One of above.  Universality: ?    is safe with two quotas between  it’ll be tough for whoever misses out of those three.   nevermind , 
    • The rankings look likely to give two spots each in the men's side to Egypt (2nd athlete at 3) and GB (second athlete at 9). the nearest contender after that is France and both Egypt and GB have plenty of contenders after their respective number 2 but before France's umber 2   Women's side looks a bit more of a battle, with Egypt again likely to provide 2, and then a fight between USA, GBR and BEL for the other lucky double spot. That said, so dominant are the Egyptians, Americans and Brits, that failing to find all the contenders in the top 50 is entirely plausible, possibly opening a third 'double' spot.
    • I'd done my final revisions on my prediction spreadsheets.. and I'm sticking with 26 for Canada.    Take it to the bank! (But don't sign anything)
×
×
  • Create New...