rafalgorka

It's a pity W rugby sevens are on days -2 and -1. M tournament would be much more interesting for me. In Paris, it was the biggest fun before the opening ceremony. But this LA schedule is expected, US is much better in W Sevens.

I want       in!!! 

I want       in!!! 

Farthofer!!!    6.04.21 over the men's 5k in group B   
 
not that  Kongshaug,  Gross and  Sasaki have done a lot worse (6.05, 6.06 and 6.08 respectively)
 
and  Morozova also did skate 3.58.03 over the women's 3k, with  Zueva and Korzhova below the 4-minute mark too 

We just have to wait for the points scores to be official, but usually my calculations are correct
 
That would mean 254.05 for Bruna and 372.46 for Jaque. With that, Bruna improves her points score in the Brazilian ranking (she replaces a 309), Jaque replaces a 460 and so improves a bit more, but is still a bit over 60 points behind Bruna (in the 6-race average). I'd give it an excellent 8 out of 10 today, even though Bruna was hoping for better.
 
Some important considerations for the last Olympic ticket fight (which is basically 100% between Bruna and Jaque):
 
Whoever has A criteria in the FIS distance points list on 19 January 2026 (under 150 points) has priority over the other, if both have A criteria there is a ranking consisting of their 2 best classic sprints, 2 best freestyle distance races and 2 'whatever' races. Considering Jaque has a 127 from last season in Canada, that is a bit of a danger we need to keep an eye on. If nobody has the A criteria, the next in line is whoever has the B criteria (under 350 points) in both distance and sprint. Right now, that is only Bruna, Jaque needs to improve her sprint points - her average with today's result would be 364, her single best is 344, so she would at least need to do better than today. If more than one athlete has B criteria in both disciplines, there is a ranking consisting of their best 3 classic sprints and best 3 freestyle distance races. Next in line is only in case there is no athlete who has B criteria in both disciplines, but that will not happen, since Bruna already has it and can't lose it.  
This is where especially for Jaque there is a bit of a dilemma, I assume. Go all-in on distance races to try and get the A-criteria, which would automatically give her the ticket if Bruna doesn't manage to do so (but if Bruna does, Bruna is right now leading that ranking too), but if that fails and because of it she doesn't get her sprint average under 350, it hands the ticket straight to Bruna. The other option is going for sprints to ensure she has B-criteria in both disciplines, but that could come at the cost of distance results and based on the past 2 years is certainly no guarantee to work.
 
This thing with A-criteria/B-criteria right now is one of the most important things. Jaque will do both the 10k classic (tomorrow) and freestyle (Sunday), Bruna will focus on the distance freestyle races.
 
There are a little over two more months of lots and lots of mental maths and playing with Excel to go  
 

With all finishers home after the prelim round, Bruna is 46/71 - 40.11 down on the Laura Gimmler in the lead, about 20 off 30th.  Actually beating a decent number of the Finnish, Swedish and Norwegian club skiers.  Importantly, also beat all but one of the minor nations - Aussies, Lithuanians, Icelanders and the other Brazilian, veteran Jaque Mourao.  Guess we have to wait to get final points score, but if she were  I'd call that a really good day.  

Absolutely, it was all old and/or artificial but the past two days have brought a whole bunch of actual snow
 
Forecasts for next week in Gällivare are quite something btw, slowly creeping in on -20 degrees which is when races are canceled. 

Right, tomorrow morning it is, 10:00 local time, 09:00 CET. First race of the all-important Olympic season for Bruna, classic sprint in Olos/Muonio . Hard to give an exact goal, but if she scores under 309.78 points, she at least improves her points standings in the Brazilian ranking, so let's take that as a starting point. She does have some ambitious goals, let's see  
 
Bruna's start time is 10:10/09:10, live timing should become available here:
https://live.fis-ski.com/cc-2872/results-pda.htm
 
Although they might also appear here:
https://www.enlund.fi/live/olos2025/index.html

Nominees for Polish Sports Personality of the Year (TBD in early January).
 
I'd give it to Kubica for Le Mans 24h victory.
 

 
 
 

CHINA
Shan Yichun - Zhu Yu (Gems)
 

Euro Groups WCQ
 
Group D
(France - 1st)
 
 vs  will play for the runners-up slot. 
 
Group F
 
 10 pts, need 1 point for WC tickets (vs Armenia at home)
 (8 pts) vs  (7 pts), maybe will play only for the runners-up slot. 
 
Group I
 
 vs  
Italy at play-offs and Norway at world Cup (if Italy don't win 9-0...... )
 
Group K
(England - 1st)
 
  have been confirmed in second place, and the play-offs, thanks to Kristjan Asllani (Torino FC) goal in Andorra
 

I can't see anything.  I haven't cross-checked each event with the schedule, however.
 
Also, one other change...baseball is now starting Day -1, moving things up a day.

https://stillmed.olympics.com/media/Documents/Olympic-Games/LA28/Official-Programme-of-the-Olympic-Games-Los-Angeles-2028.pdf
 

https://stillmed.olympics.com/media/Documents/Olympic-Games/LA28/Official-Programme-of-the-Olympic-Games-Los-Angeles-2028-FR.pdf
 
 
update 13 November

I asked Grok AI to "predict the medal table for the 2028 Olympic Games".
I think it went a bit mad...
 
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Top 20 Predicted Medal TableRanked by golds, then silvers, then bronzes. Projections factor 2025-27 Worlds results, with ~5% fluctuation for injuries/economics. Rank Nation Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 United States (Host) 58 42 35 135 2 China 42 38 32 112 3 Great Britain 28 24 22 74 4 Australia 24 20 23 67 5 France 22 21 19 62 6 Japan 20 19 21 60 7 Germany 18 17 20 55 8 Netherlands 16 14 15 45 9 Italy 15 16 14 45 10 Canada 14 13 16 43 11 South Korea 13 12 13 38 12 India 12 10 11 33 13 Brazil 10 9 12 31 14 New Zealand 9 8 10 27 15 Kenya 8 7 9 24 16 Hungary 7 8 7 22 17 Sweden 6 6 8 20 18 Poland 5 5 6 16 19 Spain 5 4 5 14 20 Iran 4 4 5 13

That's because US W swimming is very strong and US M swimming ain't that strong now...

(Having gone through the schedule now, happy to see that most of the predicted schedule matches this updated calendar.).  

Slight typo:
https://inside.fei.org/system/files/LA2028 Qualification System_final.pdf

side.fei.org/system/files/LA2028%20Qualification%20System_final.pdf

The FEI has officially approved the equestrian PDFs, which means that the United States formally has the nine equestrian quotas.

Basketball already published an article explaining their proposal (Men: https://about.fiba.basketball/en/our-sport/basketball/national-team-competition-systems/olympic-mens-basketball-tournaments / Women: https://about.fiba.basketball/en/our-sport/basketball/national-team-competition-systems/olympic-womens-basketball-tournaments), as well as volleyball (https://www.insidethegames.biz/articles/1138613/fivb-los-angeles-2028-calendar). No full proposal known yet from hockey, but at least we know that FIH Pro League will give one quota each season.

First step done: Get it all into one Excel file that you can now filter and sort if desired.  More to come.
la28sessionschedule.xlsx

I am so excited for this.  @clemsonbeav, @rafalgorka this is what we live for.

Any chance to upgrade your schedule table soon heh? Busy days for ChatGPT i guess 😀

Full schedule:
 
https://drive.google.com/file/d/100yGpndypOTBi9m1lmB6w1CeHfaBW8uk/view