Only one stage to go, before Finals
Seeing this opportunity, an overview about Surfing Qualification
Women
Brisa
Johanne
Tatiana
Teresa are already in the Olympics.
Carissa , imo, is qualified as well; she cannot be overtaken by any other American/Hawaian surfer, which automatically put her in the Olympics. The same applies to Wright which cannot see any other Australian girl ahead of her, giving her ticket too.
The second American and Australian quota will be decided between: Marks , Lakey , Caitlin , Picklum and Gilmore
There's a chance of Lakey and Caitlin do not advance to the Finals, which would give olympic spot directly to Marks.
As for the quota, only Gilmore can still "steal" the place provisonally secured by Picklum. She needs the second place at to keep her dream alive. Even though, the second place wouldn't give her enough points to feel "safe". The first place, added to a poor performance from Caitlin and Lakey is her best option for the place on Finals.
Men
Toledo
Fioravanti
Ewing
Colapinto are already in the Olympics
John John Florence is qualified too, imo. Even if either Barron or Ian win the last stage, they can't sum enough points to overtake him.
All the other quotas are still open. And, it will be a fierce battle for the second Brazilian and Australian quota. And for the other three spots.