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How many medals do you expect from your Nation at the 2020 Olympics? (2021 "A" version)


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4 minutes ago, Vic Liu said:

It's quite consistent to my prediction. Mine is 89 medals and 36 golds. It predicts 85 medals and 38 golds. I really wanna know the breakdown of the table.

One used to be able to click on the country and see a list of all medals, not anymore :(

 

Oh well, the most fun about the VMT is usually the people discussing all full of fire and sometimes even anger or frustration, whereas it's really nothing more than something to fill the time instead of a serious prediction for events :d (that's how Gracenote itself sees it though, of course, but surely we know better :p )

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15 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

One used to be able to click on the country and see a list of all medals, not anymore :(

 

Oh well, the most fun about the VMT is usually the people discussing all full of fire and sometimes even anger or frustration, whereas it's really nothing more than something to fill the time instead of a serious prediction for events :d (that's how Gracenote itself sees it though, of course, but surely we know better :p )

Yeah. You need to pay for the breakdowns now unless media cares about it. Swedish media has reported the medals set for Sweden
https://www.svt.se/sport/tokyo-2020/statistiken-visar-sverige-gor-sitt-basta-os-i-modern-tid

 

But yeah, it's not really anything but a small, fun thing to spend 10 minutes on at the 100-days mark :p

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:KAZ  1-5-10 :p

 

I am more interseted by the 2022 WOG predictions. 

 

:AUS  monobob gold ahead of USA silver & Bronze :d

 

Norway winning 25 golds :bowdown:

Switzerland winning 9 golds :lol:

and I find it funny how they insist that all 3 medals of Poland will be only silver

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:FRA PRONOSCTICS FRENCH MEDIA :FRA

OR 9  -  SILVER 13   -  BRONZE 19

TOTAL 41

Médaille Sport Athlète Discipline
Or Athlétisme Kevin Mayer Décathlon
Or Cyclisme Benjamin Thomas Omnium
Or Escrime Enzo Lefort Fleuret
Or Escrime - Epée par équipes H
Or Karaté Steven Da Costa -67kg
Or Natation eau libre Marc-Antoine Olivier 10km H
Or Pentathlon moderne Valentin Belaud Individuel H
Or Triathlon - Epreuves par équipes
Or VTT Pauline Ferrand-Prévot Cross-Country F
Argent Basketball 3x3 - Tournoi F
Argent BMX Sylvain André Individuel H
Argent Cyclisme Route Julian Alaphilippe Course en ligne H
Argent Escrime - Sabre par équipes F
Argent Judo Romane Dicko +78kg F
Argent Judo Amandine Buchard Nordmeyer 52kg F
Argent Judo Clarisse Agbegnenou 63kg F
Argent Judo Madeleine Malonga 78kg F
Argent Judo - Epreuves par équipes Mixte
Argent Natation - Relais 4x100m F
Argent Pentathlon moderne Valentin Prades Individuel H
Argent Voile Pierre Le Coq RS:X
Argent VTT Jordan Sarrou Cross-Country H
Bronze Athlétisme Alexandra Tavernier Marteau F
Bronze Athlétisme Yohann Diniz 50km marche
Bronze Aviron - Deux sans barreur
Bronze Basket - Tournoi H
Bronze Boxe Billal Bennama Poids mouches
Bronze Boxe Sofiane Oumiha Poids légers
Bronze Canoé-Kayak Maxime Beaumont K1 200m
Bronze Cyclisme Piste - Vitesse par équipes H
Bronze Cyclisme Piste - Madison F
Bronze Equitation - Concours complet par équipes
Bronze Escrime Yannick Borel Epée H
Bronze Escrime - Fleuret par équipes H
Bronze Handball - Tournoi F
Bronze Haltérophilie Dora Tchakounte 59kg
Bronze Judo Sarah-Leonie Cysique 57kg
Bronze Judo Margaux Pinot 70kg
Bronze Tir Clément Bessaguet Pistolet 25m
Bronze Triathlon Vincent Luis Individuel H
Bronze Voile Charline Picon RS:X
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13 hours ago, tjunior said:

14-22 medals

 

Athletics  0-1 Men's Hammer Throw (Halász Bence)

Basketball 0-1 ( If qualified, 3*3 Women's Team)

Canoe Sprint 5-6 (3-4 Women's kayak, 1 women's canoe, 1 men's kayak)

Fencing 1-2 ( Men's and Women's Sabre Team, Szilagyi, Szatmari, Pusztai and Marton Individual Sabre, Siklósi Individual Epée )

Judo 0-1 ( Tóth Krisztián or Karakas Hedvig)

Modern Pentathlon 0-1

Sailing 0-1 (Men's Finn)

Shooting 1 (Peni, Sidi, Major and if qualified Dénes, 10m rifle team)

Swimming 5-6 ( Milak 100/200 fly 100/200/400 free, Hosszú(?) 200/400 medley, Kapás 200 fly, Rasovszky 10km, maybe Verrasztő 400 medley, Kenderesi 200 fly and maybe maybe Szabó 100 fly)

Waterpolo 1

Wrestling 1 (Lőrinc Tamás,  Lőrinc Viktor and Muszukaev)

 

 

I think 5-6 medals in swimming is only realistic if Hosszu gets back close to her best (sub 4:32 and sub 2:08). Other athletes should combine for 2-4 medals. 2 medals for Milak and then maybe 1-2 medals for Kesely, Kenderesi and maybe Rasovszky.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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I expect 3-4:

 

Rowing:           1-2

Gymnastics    0-1

Boxing             0-2

Taekwando     0-1

Sailing              0-1

 

Then again I expected 3-4 in Boxing alone in Rio and we got none.

 

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10 hours ago, Braulio said:

 

In the Women's 200m Breaststroke add South Africa's Tatjana Schoenmaker. She just posted a 2:20 at their Olympic Trials and is a current world championship medalist too. She could well win the gold there and a grab another medal in the 100m. 

 

 

She could definitely medal in both, but obviously she doesn’t belong on that list. There are multiple other woman who could swim between 2:20 and 2:21. I guess you didn’t really get what my list was about.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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42 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

:FRA PRONOSCTICS FRENCH MEDIA :FRA

OR 9  -  SILVER 13   -  BRONZE 19

TOTAL 41

Médaille Sport Athlète Discipline
Or Athlétisme Kevin Mayer Décathlon
Or Cyclisme Benjamin Thomas Omnium
Or Escrime Enzo Lefort Fleuret
Or Escrime - Epée par équipes H
Or Karaté Steven Da Costa -67kg
Or Natation eau libre Marc-Antoine Olivier 10km H
Or Pentathlon moderne Valentin Belaud Individuel H
Or Triathlon - Epreuves par équipes
Or VTT Pauline Ferrand-Prévot Cross-Country F
Argent Basketball 3x3 - Tournoi F
Argent BMX Sylvain André Individuel H
Argent Cyclisme Route Julian Alaphilippe Course en ligne H
Argent Escrime - Sabre par équipes F
Argent Judo Romane Dicko +78kg F
Argent Judo Amandine Buchard Nordmeyer 52kg F
Argent Judo Clarisse Agbegnenou 63kg F
Argent Judo Madeleine Malonga 78kg F
Argent Judo - Epreuves par équipes Mixte
Argent Natation - Relais 4x100m F
Argent Pentathlon moderne Valentin Prades Individuel H
Argent Voile Pierre Le Coq RS:X
Argent VTT Jordan Sarrou Cross-Country H
Bronze Athlétisme Alexandra Tavernier Marteau F
Bronze Athlétisme Yohann Diniz 50km marche
Bronze Aviron - Deux sans barreur
Bronze Basket - Tournoi H
Bronze Boxe Billal Bennama Poids mouches
Bronze Boxe Sofiane Oumiha Poids légers
Bronze Canoé-Kayak Maxime Beaumont K1 200m
Bronze Cyclisme Piste - Vitesse par équipes H
Bronze Cyclisme Piste - Madison F
Bronze Equitation - Concours complet par équipes
Bronze Escrime Yannick Borel Epée H
Bronze Escrime - Fleuret par équipes H
Bronze Handball - Tournoi F
Bronze Haltérophilie Dora Tchakounte 59kg
Bronze Judo Sarah-Leonie Cysique 57kg
Bronze Judo Margaux Pinot 70kg
Bronze Tir Clément Bessaguet Pistolet 25m
Bronze Triathlon Vincent Luis Individuel H
Bronze Voile Charline Picon RS:X

Kind of sad that even I could make better predictions than French media.

 

Your men’s 400 free relay 99.999 % won’t win silver. Olivier winning gold would also be a shock, given that both Wellbrock and Paltrinieri have far superior speed. Manaudou should win silver and maybe you will win a medal in men’s 800 free.
 

You can justify predicting gold for Mayer, but I wouldn’t feel comfortable about it. Predicting medals in women’s hammer throw and for grandpa Diniz also seems questionable. I would rather predict a medal in men’s pole vault and/or men’s 110 m hurdles.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

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29 minutes ago, OlympicsFan said:

I think 5-6 medals in swimming is only realistic if Hosszu gets back close to her best (sub 4:32 and sub 2:08). Other athletes should combine for 2-4 medals. 2 medals for Milak and then maybe 1-2 medals for Kesely, Kenderesi and maybe Rasovszky.

Personally I am very pessimistic about Hosszú. Maybe she will pull through and win a medal like how László Cseh did at multiple Games where he wasn't at his best, but I have a bad feeling about where this is going for Hosszú. It's like Dániel Gyurta before Rio, except it might be an even worse situtation. Maybe the European Championships will paint a different picture, we will see. I also have a bad feeling about Késely, she lost a lot of her motivation when the Games got delayed and it still shows. 

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