Wrestling Qualification for Summer Olympic Games 2016

[Gianlu33 4,574]

65kg

 

Garcia  and Novachkov  qualified for Rio  

The bronze medallist at 2015 Panamerican Games has beat 2-2 the athlete from Romania George Bucur and in the second semifinals the last wrestling olympic quota goes to the bronze medallist at the 2014 European Championship Borislav Novachkov that has beat 4-8 the Belarussian Azamat Nurykau

[intoronto 5,645]

5 minutes ago, Gianlu33 said:

65kg

 

Garcia  and Novachkov  qualified for Rio  

The bronze medallist at 2015 Panamerican Games has beat 2-2 the athlete from Romania George Bucur and in the second semifinals the last wrestling olympic quota goes to the bronze medallist at the 2014 European Championship Borislav Novachkov that has beat 4-8 the Belarussian Azamat Nurykau

 

Oh wow! I thought you wrote earlier he is out  (lol). 

 

Now two Canadian men have qualified for Rio.

[JoshMartini007 2,538]

Hopefully UWW clarifies the 125kg situation soon.

[africaboy 33]

19 hours ago, MHSN said:

Here is my preview about freestyle draws

 

but first I have to say we have less depth in freestyle comparing to Greco-Roman which means the level of competition is quite low ! makes harder to predict, but still there are some great wrestlers not qualified yet.

 

59kg

I think in easier top half , the winner of Buruian-Atli match in first round will make it to Rio. can't see any other competition for them (maybe Ewald or the Chinese guy), Atli is slight favorite here.

in bottom half we have two very good wrestlers Shuptar and Andreyev. both world medalist, I think the quota will be between them but still we have the Kyrgyz guy, Mejias, Metreveli and a guy from Uzbekistan

I expect Turkey and Ukraine to qualify.

 

65kg

we have 32 wrestlers here ! still the top half is still easier despite having 16 wrestlers in each half ! it's hard to pick a clear favorite here becuase there are 4-5 good (but not great) wrestlers there , Garcia (CAN), Perpelita (MDA), Bucur (ROU) and Habat (SLO) all have chances here and maybe the guy from Kyrgyzstan. Bucur has a clean path to the semifinal. still I think Garcia has more chance.

we have Molinaro, Zhumagaziyev, Novachkov, Safaryan, Radulov, Nurykov and few more good wrestlers from Japan, France and Korea here. it's really hard to pick someone they are all at the same level. Novachkov might even got the quota if they disqualify the Ukrainian wrestlers. on other hand Radulov (UKR) is very good but he is probably not prepared as a last minute entry. Safaryan is a former world champion.

I expect Canada and Belarus to qualify.

 

74kg

out of remaining wrestlers, I see only Rashid Kurbanov as a serious medal treat in Rio and he is not here ! Uzbekistan is sending Abdurakhmanov (raised in USA , world bronze medalist) here, he is the top favorite in top half, have an easy path to quarterfinal probably against China, his semifinal will be probably against Ukraine or Germany, I consider Ukraine as the second favorite behind him.

again there is no clear favorite in second half, but a bunch good wrestlers almost in the same level. Brzozowski, Sufiev, Ncube, Nagy, Friev, Grigoryan, even the new Belarus guy, beside all of them I'm curious to see this Uruguayan guy Palacio ! he is an American wrestler with Uruguay heritage. I won't surprise if he qualifies (still not a top favorite here) . really hard to pick one snce they are all at the same level. but I go with my favorite wrestler here , our Tajik friend.

I expect Uzbekistan and Tajikistan to qualify.

 

86kg

The biggest name here is a former world champion Aldatov. this is his last chance and I think he won't miss it.by saying that he still has some competition in top half. Ismanov in second round, Murtazaliev/Harth in Quarters and probably Ianulov (or Japan) in semifinal, I think Ianulov is the only real treat for him. he lost narrowly in Serbia.

bottom half is much easier this time, wide open for everybody. I had to check the list so many times to pick one ! if Tagziev survives his first match he has an easy way to the semifinal (I have no idea about the Russian guy of France but his CV doesn't look good) in the lower quarter I see Korea, Latvia, even FInland and Romania with chance, Stefan (ROU) used to be a good wrestler but did nothing special recently.

I expect Ukraine and South Korea to qualify.

 

97kg

Only in this weight , I didn't have hard time to pick two wrestlers ! Khudelbulga has a dream draw in top half. nobody serious on his way to the semifinal and there he only has to beat India or Germany to make it. Shala of Albania also can make a surprise here, this Mongolia guy was terrible at home two weeks ago which makes me give chance to those guys as well. still he is the clear favorite.

with Saritov around, this is useless to talk about the rest, he will qualify most probably, I think the only one who can challenge Saritov is Yanouksi, that will be a close mtch.

I expect Mongolia and Romania to qualify.

 

125kg

We have a very weird situation here, 3 wrestlers are here while they shouldn't ! Ukraine and Belarus qualified the weight before but they are still here (and still not clear who will qualify instead of them) Brazilian guy Jaoude also qualified in Greco-Roman but still he is trying his chance (which is an absolute ZERO) in freestyle they have a naturalized Armenian wrestler who will probably take his place in Greco-Roman. I won't surprise if they simply qualify all top 4 wrestlers here, so it's better for everybody to take bronze medal matches serious ! but if they want to give spot to someone Iliev of BUL deserved it more, but he is still here !

OK let's back to the competition without considering all these crazy things.we have some surprising names in top half, Saidov (BLR) and Krupnyakv (KGZ) !! both from Russia, both considered be a big name in 97kg, both once got banned for doping. Saidov was the biggest nobody ! I heard so many things about him and now he has to qualify the weight AGAIN for Belarus. we also have Chintoan and Matuhin here, plus Vivenes.

in bottom half it will be between the new guy of Ukraine, Greece and Slovakia. and maybe Iliev.

I expect Belarus and Ukraine to qualify again

Very good predictions  more than 80% - congrats !

[MantaRaymarc 132]

23 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Hopefully UWW clarifies the 125kg situation soon.

I'm sure the 125kg situation must be resolved at the end of the month.

 

[hckošice 14,835]

Updated as of May 8th, 2016

[Quasit 865]

4 hours ago, dareza said:

omg,who will win quotas now in -125kg?

 

e: nevermind

Edited May 8, 2016 by Quasit

[MHSN 3,621]

So far we have 5 positive drug tests in these qualifiers, all of them in freestyle which is surprising ! let's see what should happen here "Per Rules" even though rules are not clear about this .

 

* that Egyptian guy in African qualifier won't be a big problem, they will most prbably give the quota to the bronze medalist from GBS

* Ukraine quota in women's 58kg freestyle will most probably go to Moldova, bronze medalist

 

But situation is more complicated for remaining 3 spots

 

* Ukraine won quota in men's 65kg FS, if they disqualify him his quota will go to Georgia, but Georgia also qualified in Mongolia . if they want to go through the rules, his quota will go to Novachkov (BUL), who also qualified today !! bronze medalist today Molinaro (USA) will get his spot.

 

* in 125kg , both Euro finalists tested positive, so both bronze medalists should qualify, Iliev (BUL) and Ligeti (HUN), but the problem is Ligeti also qualified in Mongolia. in Mongolia Iliev (BUL) finished 4th and if they considered him "Already qualified" we have to take a look at both 5th placers Greece and Kyrgyzstan to see which one has more classification points Arzoumanidis has 6 while Lazarev has 15 which means KGZ has to get the last quota.

 

of course this is a weird situation and UWW can take any possible decision to surprise us but what I wrote is the most logical call.

 

 

[sameerph 5]

No chance for bronze medalist here ?

[MHSN 3,621]

2 hours ago, africaboy said:

Very good predictions  more than 80% - congrats !

 

Yeah actually 8 out of 12. I didn't expect that myself, I would be happy even with half of that probably.