Tokyo 2020 Day after Day as it could have happened

[hckošice 14,838]

23 minutes ago, Dragon said:

11.00 Cycling-Men's road race:
1. Greg Van Avermaet    BEL
2. Peter Sagan        CZE
3. Dan Martin        IRL

that would be Petr 

[Dragon 1,846]

1 minute ago, hckosice said:

that would be Petr 

You noticed my deliberate mistake. 

The first time I predict a Czech medal I will credit it to Slovakia....

[Dragon 1,846]

Just now, Dragon said:

You noticed my deliberate mistake. 

The first time I predict a Czech medal I will credit it to Slovakia....

Correction

 

11.00 Cycling-Men's road race:
1. Greg Van Avermaet    NED
2. Peter Sagan               CZE
3. Dan Martin                 GBR

 

[rafalgorka 1,540]

I   My March/April 2020 choice for men's cycling road race in Tokyo was: 1. Primoz Roglic SLO 2. Mads Pedersen DEN 3. Matteo Trentin ITA

 

My today choice would be different (no Pedersen and no Trentin) but still thinking who should be chosen.

 

So firstly, maybe we should discuss what the start list will look like? Who will race for Team Belgium and who will race for France or Netherlands, for example?

 

 

[rafalgorka 1,540]

Tokyo 2021 - day 1 simulation - ctd.

 

Cycling - M Road Race - possible start list - early draft

 

JPN 2

BEL 5 - Wout van Aert, Remco Evenepoel (???), Greg van Avermaet

ITA 5 - Vincenzo Nibali, Filippo Ganna

NED 5 - Wilco Kelderman

FRA 5 - Julian Alaphilippe, Guillaume Martin

COL 5 - Daniel Felipe Martinez Poveda, Miguel Angel Lopez Moreno

ESP 5 - Mikel Landa Meana, Enric Mas Nicolau, Alejandro Valverde

SLO 4 - Primoz Roglic, Tadej Pogacar

GER 4 - Maximilian Schachmann, Lennard Kamna

AUS 4 - Richie Porte, Jai Hindley, Michael Matthews

DEN 4 - Jakob Fuglsang, Mads Pedersen, Soren Kragh Andersen

GBR 4 - Tao Geoghegan Hart, Simon Philip Yates, Adam Yates, Geraint Thomas

NOR 4 - Alexander Kristoff

SUI 4 - Marc Hirschi, Stefan Kung

AUT 3 - Patrick Konrad

POL 3 - Michał Kwiatkowski, Rafał Majka

IRL 3 - Daniel Martin

RUS 3

RSA 3 - Daryl Impey

KAZ 3

CAN 3 - Michael Woods

CZE 3

ECU 2 - Richard Carapaz

POR 2 - Joao Almeida

SVK 2

ERI 2

USA 2

NZL 2 - George Bennett

EST 2

ALG 2

LUX 2

LAT 2

TUR 2

BLR 1

UKR 1

CRC 1

GRE 1

ROU 1

IRI 1

SWE 1

HUN 1

VEN 1

MAR 1

AZE 1

LTU 1

RWA 1

MEX 1

GUA 1

ARG 1

CHN 1

NAM 1

BUR 1

TPE 1

UZB 1

PER 1

PAN 1

HKG 1

[Benolympique 2,398]

58 minutes ago, rafalgorka said:

Tokyo 2021 - day 1 simulation - ctd.

 

Cycling - M Road Race - possible start list - early draft

 

JPN 2

BEL 5 - Wout van Aert, Remco Evenepoel (???), Greg van Avermaet

ITA 5 - Vincenzo Nibali, Filippo Ganna

NED 5 - Wilco Kelderman

FRA 5 - Julian Alaphilippe, Guillaume Martin

COL 5 - Daniel Felipe Martinez Poveda, Miguel Angel Lopez Moreno

ESP 5 - Mikel Landa Meana, Enric Mas Nicolau, Alejandro Valverde

SLO 4 - Primoz Roglic, Tadej Pogacar

GER 4 - Maximilian Schachmann, Lennard Kamna

AUS 4 - Richie Porte, Jai Hindley, Michael Matthews

DEN 4 - Jakob Fuglsang, Mads Pedersen, Soren Kragh Andersen

GBR 4 - Tao Geoghegan Hart, Simon Philip Yates, Adam Yates, Geraint Thomas

NOR 4 - Alexander Kristoff

SUI 4 - Marc Hirschi, Stefan Kung

AUT 3 - Patrick Konrad

POL 3 - Michał Kwiatkowski, Rafał Majka

IRL 3 - Daniel Martin

RUS 3

RSA 3 - Daryl Impey

KAZ 3

CAN 3 - Michael Woods

CZE 3

ECU 2 - Richard Carapaz

POR 2 - Joao Almeida

SVK 2

ERI 2

USA 2

NZL 2 - George Bennett

EST 2

ALG 2

LUX 2

LAT 2

TUR 2

BLR 1

UKR 1

CRC 1

GRE 1

ROU 1

IRI 1

SWE 1

HUN 1

VEN 1

MAR 1

AZE 1

LTU 1

RWA 1

MEX 1

GUA 1

ARG 1

CHN 1

NAM 1

BUR 1

TPE 1

UZB 1

PER 1

PAN 1

HKG 1

for France, I had made the choice: Julian Alaphilippe, Warren Barguil, Rémi Cavagna, Arnaud Démare and Rudy Molard

[CCB 565]

4 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Tokyo 2021 - day 1 simulation - ctd.

 

Cycling - M Road Race - possible start list - early draft

 

JPN 2

BEL 5 - Wout van Aert, Remco Evenepoel (???), Greg van Avermaet

ITA 5 - Vincenzo Nibali, Filippo Ganna

NED 5 - Wilco Kelderman

FRA 5 - Julian Alaphilippe, Guillaume Martin

COL 5 - Daniel Felipe Martinez Poveda, Miguel Angel Lopez Moreno

ESP 5 - Mikel Landa Meana, Enric Mas Nicolau, Alejandro Valverde

SLO 4 - Primoz Roglic, Tadej Pogacar

GER 4 - Maximilian Schachmann, Lennard Kamna

AUS 4 - Richie Porte, Jai Hindley, Michael Matthews

DEN 4 - Jakob Fuglsang, Mads Pedersen, Soren Kragh Andersen

GBR 4 - Tao Geoghegan Hart, Simon Philip Yates, Adam Yates, Geraint Thomas

NOR 4 - Alexander Kristoff

SUI 4 - Marc Hirschi, Stefan Kung

AUT 3 - Patrick Konrad

POL 3 - Michał Kwiatkowski, Rafał Majka

IRL 3 - Daniel Martin

RUS 3

RSA 3 - Daryl Impey

KAZ 3

CAN 3 - Michael Woods

CZE 3

ECU 2 - Richard Carapaz

POR 2 - Joao Almeida

SVK 2

ERI 2

USA 2

NZL 2 - George Bennett

EST 2

ALG 2

LUX 2

LAT 2

TUR 2

BLR 1

UKR 1

CRC 1

GRE 1

ROU 1

IRI 1

SWE 1

HUN 1

VEN 1

MAR 1

AZE 1

LTU 1

RWA 1

MEX 1

GUA 1

ARG 1

CHN 1

NAM 1

BUR 1

TPE 1

UZB 1

PER 1

PAN 1

HKG 1

Netherlands will have only 4 riders, because they choose an extra track cycling rider instead of 5 riders for men's road rice. The 4 Dutch riders will be presumably Wilco Kelderman, Tom Dumoulin, Steven Kruiswijk and Sam Oomen. Not sure if the extra track cycling rider (Jan Willem van Schip) also rides the road race.

 

Favourites: BELGIUM for sure. Hoping for Wout van Aert!

[Dragon 1,846]

19 hours ago, Benolympique said:

for France, I had made the choice: Julian Alaphilippe, Warren Barguil, Rémi Cavagna, Arnaud Démare and Rudy Molard

Is there a possibility some countries will choose a sprinter? Or is the course just too tough?

[Benolympique 2,398]

46 minutes ago, Dragon said:

Is there a possibility some countries will choose a sprinter? Or is the course just too tough?

I am not a cycling specialist

[rafalgorka 1,540]

54 minutes ago, Dragon said:

Is there a possibility some countries will choose a sprinter? Or is the course just too tough?

I think it is very unlikely. This is really tough course, a few serious climbs on the way. So I don't think we will see any "classic" sprinters like Demare, Ackermann or Bennett (they will have to wait for Paris 2024), but riders like Kristoff could be there.

 

https://www.cyclingweekly.com/news/racing/olympics/olympic-cycling-race-route-357988