[OFF TOPIC] Coronavirus Pandemic

[rybak 3,222]

Today Polish Ministry of Health confirmed first case of reinfection, women from Bytom (Silesia) who recovered some weeks ago  

[Fly_like_a_don 1,091]

A big randomised sero survey of covid 19 shows 64 million people had been infected in india by the disease by May itself. As per the estimations by August end at least 1/4th of Indian population has been infected which could even be 2/3rd in worst case scenario as the sero survey results of August are out. 

 

However re infection percentage is very very less. Not sure if we need many doses of vaccine when it arrives .

[up and down 82]

On 11/09/2020 at 20:18, Fly_like_a_don said:

A big randomised sero survey of covid 19 shows 64 million people had been infected in india by the disease by May itself. As per the estimations by August end at least 1/4th of Indian population has been infected which could even be 2/3rd in worst case scenario as the sero survey results of August are out. 

 

However re infection percentage is very very less. Not sure if we need many doses of vaccine when it arrives .

Thanks for sharing this information. How is the latest situation in India? Is it getting better?

[up and down 82]

Here is some latest information to be shared.

 

 

https://theconversation.com/smoke-from-wildfires-can-worsen-covid-19-risk-putting-firefighters-in-even-more-danger-145998

 

Smoke from wildfires can worsen COVID-19 risk, putting firefighters in even more danger

 

Two forces of nature are colliding in the western United States, and wildland firefighters are caught in the middle.

 

Emerging research suggests that the smoke firefighters breathe on the front lines of wildfires is putting them at greater risk from the new coronavirus, with potentially lethal effects.

 

At the same time, firefighting conditions make precautions such as social distancing and hand-washing difficult, increasing the chance that, once the virus enters a fire camp, it could quickly spread.

 

As an environmental toxicologist, I have spent the last decade expanding our understanding of how wood smoke exposure impacts human health.

 

Much of my current research is focused on protecting the long-term health of wildland firefighters and the communities they serve.

 

Air pollution and lingering COVID-19 damage

 

People have long understood that the air they breathe can impact their health, dating back more than 2,000 years to Hippocrates in the treatise “On Airs, Waters, and Places.”

 

Today, there is a growing consensus among researchers that air pollution, specifically the very fine particles called PM2.5, influences risk of respiratory illness. These particles are 50 times smaller than a grain of sand and can travel deep into the lungs.

 

Italian scientists reported in 2014 that air pollutants can increase the viral load in the lungs and reduce the ability of specialized cells called macrophages to clear out viral invaders. Researchers in Montana later connected that effect to wood smoke. They found that animals exposed to wood smoke 24 hours before being exposed to a pathogen ended up with more pathogen in their lungs. The wood-smoke exposure decreased the macrophages’ ability to combat respiratory infection.

 

Coronavirus research now suggests that long-term exposure to PM2.5 air pollution, produced by sources including wildfires, power plants and vehicles, may make the virus particularly deadly.

 

Scientists at Harvard University’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health looked at county-level data nationwide this spring and found that even a small increase in the amount of PM2.5 from one U.S. county to the next was associated with a large increase in the death rate from COVID-19. While small increases in PM2.5 also raised the risk of death from other causes for older adults, the magnitude of the increase for COVID-19 was about 20 times greater. The results were released before the usual peer review process was conducted, to help warn people of the risks.

 

Taken together, these findings suggest that air pollution, including wood smoke, could increase the risk that wildland firefighters will develop severe COVID-19 symptoms.

 

Doctors have also found lingering heart and lung damage in some COVID-19 patients, raising additional concerns for people in physically demanding jobs like firefighting.

 

Lessons from ‘camp crud’

 

The risk of the virus spreading probably doesn’t surprise seasoned firefighters.

 

They’re already familiar with “camp crud,” a combined upper and lower respiratory illness accompanied by cough and fatigue that has become common in firefighting camps. The illness seems to ramp up at the end of the season, which is in line with the idea that repeated exposure to smoke may suppress the immune system and make the body more vulnerable to infection.

 

Firefighters take a break at a fire camp.

Further evidence that wildfire smoke may impact the risk of viral infections can be found in an influenza study that looked at 10 years of air pollution data in Montana. The results indicate that wildfire smoke exposure influences flu rates months later.

 

How to protect firefighters from COVID-19

 

So, what can be done to avoid the spread of COVID-19 among wildland firefighters?

 

Guidance released in May from the National Interagency Fire Center, which coordinates wildland firefighting resources in western states, acknowledges that wildfire smoke “may lead to an increased susceptibility to COVID-19 infection, worsen the severity of the infection, and pose a risk to those who are recovering from serious COVID-19 infection.”

 

The National Wildfire Coordinating Group encourages fire teams to make sure personal protective equipment is available and to maintain records of symptoms so illnesses can be tracked and the virus contained.

 

Its guidance also calls for camps to be outfitted for better hygiene, such as adding hand-washing stations and mobile shower units, as well as providing access to medical care, making isolation possible and coordinating cross-agency communication about the public health risks. Single-person tents would also allow for more effective social distancing.

 

All of that is harder to carry out during quickly changing fire conditions. Fire camps may include hundreds of personnel. One administrative control being implemented is to create firefighter “pods” or small groups that work, eat and bunk together away from other similar pods. This limits opportunities for spreading the virus and makes containment easier if a positive case is identified.

 

Camp personnel can also help stop the spread by having coronavirus test kits on hand and following protocols for pre-screening, quarantining and removing infected firefighters from the field.

 

Researchers recently modeled the benefits of pre-screening and social distancing for preventing the spread of COVID-19 in fire camps. They found that screening techniques may work for fire camps that are established for a few days, whereas social distancing was more effective in fire scenarios that lasted weeks or months.

 

Wildland firefighter numbers are already down in many areas due to pandemic-related complications, but these numbers may become particularly strained as the fire season progresses. There is a fear that COVID-19 cases along with cases of camp crud, which could be mistaken for COVID-19, could severely deplete firefighter numbers.

 

The safety of rural western communities depends on the wildland firefighters and their ability to respond to emergencies. Protecting their health helps protect public health, too.

[rybak 3,222]

605 new cases today in , the highest number since two weeks when new "strategy" was introducted, also we have the highest number of deaths (24) since 18th June (at that day was 30), among victims is 100yo women...

[dcro 10,210]

Czech Republic keeps setting some worrisome records.

[rybak 3,222]

In less than 3 weeks after changing the "strategy of fight against virus" - where only people with symptoms will be tested and someone who was in quarantine or was isolated can leave house 10 days later even without making another test to confirm that person is recovered - and letting children to go to schools we have here record number of 1002 cases. Previous daily record was 903...

[Fly_like_a_don 1,091]

@up and down You must be happy to know just like anyone else that the peak has passed on September 18th at 10.17 lakh cases. Despite 8-12 lakh tests consistently cases have decreased. Yesterday 75k cases were recorded despite more tests than September 18.Current active cases are 9.68lakhs . Similiraly states with 3.02 and 1.04 lakhs active cases are now at 2.72 lk and 71k currently ( the 2 worst affected states  Maharashtra   and AP )

[dcro 10,210]

Slovakia Huge numbers today.

[rybak 3,222]

Second day a row we have +1500 cases, sadly number of deaths also increased and stabled at between 25-30 with 32 today  

 

Also today we surpassee China in total number of cases, it seemed impossible yet half year ago...