Canada's 2024 Olympics Qualification Discussion

[Dragon 2,026]

On 5/21/2024 at 9:09 PM, NearPup said:

This is the second time Canada fails to qualify a male rower at a non-boycotted Olympics.

 

The first time? 1900.

Actually Toronto Argonaut Rowing Club did enter in 1900 but pulled out before the Games began

[Josh 11,497]

I’m bored, so I decided to take a crack at roster predictions for Canada in the team sports we’ve already qualified in. Let’s see how wrong I am in a month 

 

(This’ll be edited, as I dont want the content to get erased)
 

Women’s Rugby 7s

Olivia Apps

Krissy Scurfield

Olivia De Couvreur

Charity Williams
Alysha Corrigan

Fancy Bermudez

Chloe Daniels

Asia-Hogan Rochester

Keyara Wardley

Carissa Norsten

Piper Logan

Sophie de Goede

 

Florence Symonds/Breanna Nicholas out. 

 

Women’s Basketball

Kia Nurse

Bridget Carleton

Nirra Fields

Natalie Achonwa

Syla Swords

Laeticia Amihere

Kayla Alexander

Shay Colley

Aaliyah Edwards

Cassandre Prosper

Sami Hill

Yvonne Ejim

 

Women’s Waterpolo

Jessica Gaudreault

Axelle Crevier

Emma Wright

Verica Bakoc

Serena Browne
Shae La Roche

Hayley McKelvey

Kindred Paul

Elyse Lamay-Lavoie

Floranne Carroll

Maria Mimides

Clara Vulpisi (not sure if Claire Wright has retired…)

 

Women’s Football
Kailen Sheirdan

Sabrina D’Angelo

Adriana Leon
Janine Beckie

Cloe Lacasse

Vanessa Gilles
Nichelle Prince

Quinn
Jordyn Huitema
Kadeisha Buchanan

Ashley Lawrence
Jessie Fleming

Julia Grosso
Desirae Scott
Deanne Rose

Jayde Riviere 

Gabrielle Carle

Evelyn Viens
Jade Rose

 

Maybe Simi Awujo/Shelina Zadorsky as dark hors picks. 

Men’s Basketball

Jamal Murray

Zach Edey

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

RJ Barrett

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Wiggins

Kelly Olynk

Dillon Brooks

Nickel Alexander-Walker

Dwight Powell

Lu Dort

Shaedon Sharpe

No Benedict Mathurin (injury related reasoning, I would put him over Sharpe if healthy), Melvin Ejim, Chris Boucher, Corey Joseph or Trey Lyles. 

 

Men’s Volleyball

Stephen Maar

Arthur Szwarc

Eric Loeppky

Fynn McCarthy

Xander Ketrzynski

Jordan Schnitzer

Danny Demyanenko

Justin Lui

Landon Currie

Luke Herr

Nicholas Hoag

Lucas Van Berkel

 

Still can’t believe Sclater and Perrin have retired from the NT…

Edited June 4, 2024 by Josh

[intoronto 6,394]

With qualification wrapping up in most sports, I wanted to see the team size difference vs 2020 (for team sports, I went with the 'normal' size in 2020, instead of the covid increase). I also did not include sports which are not on the Paris program (or were not on the Tokyo program, like Breaking). For the sports not done yet, I have estimated the team size.

 

Sport / Discipline	2020	2024	Difference	Notes
Basketball	12	24	12
Volleyball - Indoor	12	24	12	Estimated
Gymnastics - Artistic	5	10	5
Swimming	24	28	4
Basketball 3x3	0	4	4
Equestrian	6	9	3
Shooting	1	3	2
Volleyball - Beach	4	6	2	Estimated
Wrestling	4	6	2
Cycling - Track	13	14	1
Fencing	11	12	1	2 substitutes competed in Tokyo
Surfing	0	1	1
Table tennis	3	4	1
Tennis	4	5	1	Estimated
Artistic Swimming	8	8	0
Water polo	12	12	0
Archery	2	2	0	Estimated
Cycling - BMX freestyle	0	0	0
Football	18	18	0
Golf	4	4	0	Estimated
Gymnastics - Rhythmic	0	0	0
Handball	0	0	0
Judo	6	6	0
Modern Pentathlon	0	0	0
Skateboarding	4	4	0	Estimated
Taekwondo	2	2	0
Marathon swimming	2	1	-1
Cycling - Mountain Biking	3	2	-1
Cycling - BMX racing	2	1	-1
Gymnastics - Trampoline	2	1	-1
Triathlon	4	3	-1
Canoeing - Slalom	4	2	-2
Cycling - Road	6	4	-2
Sport climbing	2	0	-2	Estimated
Boxing	5	2	-3
Canoeing - Sprint	16	13	-3
Sailing	9	6	-3
Badminton	8	4	-4
Weightlifting	5	1	-4
Diving	10	5	-5
Athletics	57	50	-7	Estimated
Rugby Sevens	24	12	-12	Estimated
Field hockey	16	0	-16
Rowing	29	11	-18
Total	359	324	-35

 

 

 

 

[JoshMartini007 2,765]

To be fair, 2020 was a high year for Canada. Even if we fail to qualify volleyball (a 50/50 chance IMO), we'll have a similar size to 2016 (which was also a high mark).

 

I'm hoping Rowing Canada figures itself out.

[Josh 11,497]

On 6/2/2024 at 8:04 AM, JoshMartini007 said:

To be fair, 2020 was a high year for Canada. Even if we fail to qualify volleyball (a 50/50 chance IMO), we'll have a similar size to 2016 (which was also a high mark).

 

I'm hoping Rowing Canada figures itself out.

Agreed, but at the same time there’s been many disappointments this Olympic qualification period. Wasn’t expecting 380, but thought 330-335 was doable. 

[Topicmaster1010 5,330]

Athletics Road to Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker (June 4th Update):

 

New Entry Standards: Audrey Leduc (200m), Lauren Gale, Grace Konrad, Savannah Sutherland

New Athletes via Rankings: None

Dropped Out: Julie-Anne Staehli, Briana Scott, Brooke Overholt, Grace Fetherstonhaugh, Kaila Butler

 

Change in rankings since last update are indicated in brackets

 

The news is mostly not great.

 

Women:

 

100m (56 quotas):

15. Audrey Leduc - ES (-1)

51. Khamica Bingham (-7)

 

200m (48 quotas):

14. Audrey Leduc - ES (NEW)

46. Jacqueline Madogo (+1)

 

400m (48 quotas):

15. Lauren Gale - ES (NEW)

25. Zoe Sherar - ES (+19) 

48. Grace Konrad (-5)

 

800m (48 quotas):

45. Jazz Shukla (-3)

 

1500m (45 quotas):

29. Lucia Stafford - ES (-1)

39. Simone Plourde (-3)

 

100m Hurdles (40 quotas):

22.  Mariam Abdul-Rashid - ES (-1)

31. Michelle Harrison (-1)

 

400m Hurdles (40 quotas):

20. Savannah Sutherland - ES (+6)

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

22. Ceili McCabe - ES

26. Regan Yee

 

Pole Vault (32 quotas):

5. Alysha Newman - ES

26. Anicka Newell (-2)

 

Shot Put (32 quotas):

2. Sarah Mitton - ES

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

3. Camryn Rogers - ES

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

35. Malindi Elmore - ES

 

Men:

 

100m (56 quotas):

23. Brendon Rodney - ES (-3)

31. Andre de Grasse (+6)

35. Aaron Brown (-5)

 

200m (48 quotas):

7. Andre de Grasse - ES

12. Aaron Brown - ES (-2)

22. Brendon Rodney - ES (-2)

 

400m (48 quotas):

3. Christopher Morales-Williams - ES

 

800m (48 quotas):

2. Marco Arop - ES

 

1500m (45 quotas):

26. Charles Philibert-Thiboutot - ES (-1)

36. Kieran Lumb (-6)

 

5000m (42 quotas):

12. Mohammed Ahmed - ES (-4)

34. Benjamin Flanagan - ES (-4)

 

10000m (27 quotas):

9. Mohammed Ahmed - ES (-3)

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

21. Jean-Simon Desgagnes (-1)

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

1. Ethan Katzberg - ES

15. Adam Keenan

21. Rowan Hamilton (-2)

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

18. Cameron Levins - ES

65. Rory Linkletter - ES

 

20km Race Walk (48 quotas):

13. Evan Dunfee - ES

 

Decathlon (24 quotas):

1. Pierce Lepage - ES

3. Damian Warner - ES

 

So overall that's 41 individual qualifiers (18 men + 19 women) + another woman for the mixed race walk event + relay quotas (2 M 4x100m + 3 W 4x100m + 2 W 4x400m). So that's roughly a team size of 45 athletes.

[Josh 11,497]

Early July I’ll (hopefully*) be doing a rundown of Canada’s Olympic qualification period! 
 

Couple of weeks before the games begin, I’ll also (hopefully*) be doing a Canadian Olympic preview, including listing all the various medal chances, and making predictions of my own. 

* Might not have enough time, with all the sporting events I watch, and all of the other stuff I do but we’ll see. 

[Topicmaster1010 5,330]

Athletics Road to Paris 2024 Qualification Tracker (June 18th Update):

 

New Entry Standards: Andre de Grasse (100m)

New Athletes via Rankings: Jacqueline Madogo (100m), Regan Yee (5000m), Thomas Fafard (5000m)

Dropped Out: None

 

Change in rankings since last update are indicated in brackets

 

Last update before trials.

 

Women:

 

100m (56 quotas):

15. Audrey Leduc - ES

53. Khamica Bingham (-2)

56. Jacqueline Madogo (NEW)

 

200m (48 quotas):

15. Audrey Leduc - ES (-1)

44. Jacqueline Madogo (+2)

 

400m (48 quotas):

16. Lauren Gale - ES (-1)

27. Zoe Sherar - ES (-2) 

48. Grace Konrad

 

800m (48 quotas):

39. Jazz Shukla (+6)

 

Aurora Rynda is 49th. One spot outside qualification.

 

1500m (45 quotas):

30. Lucia Stafford - ES (-1)

42. Simone Plourde (-3)

 

5000m (42 quotas):

38. Regan Yee (NEW)

 

Briana Scott and Julie-Anne Staehli sit in the 43rd and 48th qualification positions.

 

100m Hurdles (40 quotas):

22. Mariam Abdul-Rashid - ES

32. Michelle Harrison (-1)

 

400m Hurdles (40 quotas):

8. Savannah Sutherland - ES (+12)

 

Brooke Overholt is currently 49th.

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

23. Ceili McCabe - ES (-1)

28. Regan Yee (-2)

 

Grace Fetherstonhagh is 38th.

 

Pole Vault (32 quotas):

5. Alysha Newman - ES

26. Anicka Newell

 

Shot Put (32 quotas):

2. Sarah Mitton - ES

 

Grace Tennant is 46th.

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

3. Camryn Rogers - ES

 

Kaila Butler and Jillian Weir are 36th and 41st.

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

35. Malindi Elmore - ES

 

*Discus Throw: Julia Tunks is in 35th position. Agnes Esser is in 41st position.

*Javelin Throw: Liz Gleadle is in 47th position.

*Heptathlon: Nicole Ostertag is in 41st position. Georgia Ellenwood is in 49th position.

 

Men:

 

100m (56 quotas):

27. Brendon Rodney - ES (-4)

29. Andre de Grasse (+2) - ES

36. Aaron Brown (-1)

 

200m (48 quotas):

7. Andre de Grasse - ES

12. Aaron Brown - ES

23. Brendon Rodney - ES (-1)

 

400m (48 quotas):

3. Christopher Morales-Williams - ES

 

800m (48 quotas):

4. Marco Arop - ES (-2)

 

Abdullahi Hassan is 59th

 

1500m (45 quotas):

29. Charles Philibert-Thiboutot - ES (-3)

40. Kieran Lumb (-4)

 

5000m (42 quotas):

12. Mohammed Ahmed - ES

35. Benjamin Flanagan - ES (-1)

40. Thomas Fafard (NEW)

 

10000m (27 quotas):

10. Mohammed Ahmed - ES (-1)

 

3000m Steeplechase (36 quotas):

22. Jean-Simon Desgagnes (-1)

 

Hammer Throw (32 quotas):

1. Ethan Katzberg - ES

13. Rowan Hamilton (+8)

17. Adam Keenan (-2)

 

Marathon (80 quotas):

18. Cameron Levins - ES

65. Rory Linkletter - ES

 

20km Race Walk (48 quotas):

13. Evan Dunfee - ES

 

Decathlon (24 quotas):

2. Pierce Lepage - ES (-1)

3. Damian Warner - ES

 

*100m Hurdles: Craige Thorne is 43rd.

*High Jump: Django Lovett is 43rd.

 

Quota Total:

18 female individual qualifiers + 4 female relay athletes + 19 male individual qualifiers + 2 male relay athletes + 1 mixed race walk = 44 athletes

Edited June 21, 2024 by Topicmaster1010

[intoronto 6,394]

Rynda was 48th, a Sri Lankan athlete bumped her to 49

Staehli is out and won't compete in Paris.

[intoronto 6,394]

Both beach volleyball teams into the semis at the NORCECA qualifiers.