Tennis Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

[Totallympics 69]

Edited March 14, 2023 by Sindo

[JoshMartini007 2,559]

With two singles quotas per gender available to previous GS/gold medal winners I wanted to see who would be eligible. The priority goes to the athlete with the most Grand Slam and Olympic wins with the next tie breaker going to the higher ranked athlete. Athletes must be in the top 400 and not already qualified through the rankings.

 

Here's where we stand after the 2023 Australian Open.

 

Men

Athlete	GS/Olympic Wins	World Ranking
Rafael Nadal	23	6
Novak Djokovic	22	1
Andy Murray	5	64
Stan Wawrinka	3	135
Daniil Medvedev	1	12
Alexander Zverev	1	14
Marin Cilic	1	21
Dominic Thiem	1	99

Not too many options since Nadal, Djokovic and the now retired Federer won so many Grand Slams and most will probably qualify via rankings anyway. Murray is pretty safe should he drop in ranking and wants to go for a third Olympic gold. If he doesn't retire, I could see Wawrinka taking the quota. Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.

 

Women

Athlete	GS/Olympic Wins	World Ranking
Venus Williams	8	659
Naomi Osaka	4	65
Iga Swiatek	3	1
Angelique Kerber	3	106
Petra Kvitova	2	13
Simona Halep	2	15
Victoria Azarenka	2	16
Garbine Muguruza	2	82
Svetlana Kuznetsova	2	1292
Aryna Sabalenka	1	2
Belinda Bencic	1	9
Elena Rybakina	1	10
Jelena Ostapenko	1	12
Barbora Krejcikova	1	30
Sloane Stephens	1	39
Bianca Andresscu	1	42
Emma Raducanu	1	77
Sofia Kenin	1	207

I sometimes forget that Venus Williams has not yet retired. Regardless even if she breaks into the top 400 she won't compete at the Olympics due to the United States quite likely already qualifying four women. The same can be said for Russia (should they compete), Czechia and Spain. Given Osaka's decision on taking mental breaks she may still compete at the Olympics even if she decides to take an extended break. Kerber is currently taking a pregnancy leave, but is in a good position to take the quota if her comeback is a bit slow. I wouldn't be surprised if Raducanu ended up taking the quota when all is said and done.

[EselTheDonkey 825]

  On 1/31/2023 at 5:22 AM, JoshMartini007 said:

 

  Thiem might be eligible, but he's been on the record at not caring about the Olympics.

 

Expand  

He did say, that he wanted to play the 2024 Olympics, though. He loves Roland Garros and has been successful there.

[Makedonas 2,193]

How do the Davis Cup/Fed Cup requirements factor in here? I know they have bent the rules for some 'stars' in the past. Princess Wozniacki for example, meanwhile Tsitsipas had to drag his *ss to the Philippines in the middle of the season to play Davis Cup to be eligible for the Olympics.

 

Osaka will probably have a protected ranking when she comes back so I guess she won't need this quota.

Edited February 4, 2023 by Makedonas

[JoshMartini007 2,559]

  On 2/4/2023 at 3:40 PM, Makedonas said:

How do the Davis Cup/Fed Cup requirements factor in here? I know they have bent the rules for some 'stars' in the past.

 

Osaka will probably have a protected ranking when she comes back so I guess she won't need this quota.

Expand  

The Davis Cup/BJK Cup requirements (two appearance, at least one in 2023/2024) still apply, but all players can apply through the exceptions...

 

1) Injury/Illness

2) Newcomer clause (their ranking was too low to be realistically selected until recently)

3) Strength of nation (their nation has too many top players)

4) Historic participation at Davis/BJK Cup and/or Olympics

 

The exceptions are pretty vague, but if you are a young player, an old player, from a nation with many players or just injury prone then you are probably safe.

 

Basically if you are in your mid-20s to low-30s and from a nation with few top players and in good health you better get your Davis/BJK Cup appearances in.

[Makedonas 2,193]

  On 2/4/2023 at 4:02 PM, JoshMartini007 said:

The Davis Cup/BJK Cup requirements (two appearance, at least one in 2023/2024) still apply, but all players can apply through the exceptions...

 

1) Injury/Illness

2) Newcomer clause (their ranking was too low to be realistically selected until recently)

3) Strength of nation (their nation has too many top players)

4) Historic participation at Davis/BJK Cup and/or Olympics

 

The exceptions are pretty vague, but if you are a young player, an old player, from a nation with many players or just injury prone then you are probably safe.

 

Basically if you are in your mid-20s to low-30s and from a nation with few top players and in good health you better get your Davis/BJK Cup appearances in.

Expand  

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

[JoshMartini007 2,559]

  On 2/4/2023 at 4:15 PM, Makedonas said:

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

Expand  

The exceptions are so vague that if a player really wanted to attend the Olympics they can easily get around the requirements. Worst case scenario you'd just need a doctor's note suggesting they should take rest for a mild sprain which coincidentally was on the same weeks as the cups.

[JoshMartini007 2,559]

Speaking of Davis Cup requirements, this week was the first opportunity for athletes to fulfill the requirements. Looking at the current top 100, we have 28 singles and 40 doubles players obtaining at least two Davis Cups appearances with one being in 2023-2024. This seems pretty low, but you have to remember that are not competing this week due to getting a bye to the next round and are of course suspended from Davis Cup play. If we were to filter athletes from those nations out the numbers are 28/70 and 40/83.

 

Here are the 10 highest ranked athletes which have not fulfilled the requirements (and are not from the nations listed above).

 

Singles

1. Novak Djokovic

4. Casper Ruud

8. Taylor Fritz

9. Holger Rune

10. Hubert Hurkacz

15. Frances Tiafoe

21. Marin Cilic

26. Sebastian Korda

28. Diego Schwartzman

29. Grigor Dimitrov

 

Doubles

5. Jean-Julien Rojer

7. Mate Pavic

9. Austin Krajicek

11. Ivan Dodig

12. Lloyd Glasspool

13. Horacio Zeballos

18. John Isner

21. Andreas Mies

25. Santiago Gonzalez

26. Kevin Krawietz

 

There's still plenty of time for the top athletes to fulfill their Davis Cup requirements, but I suspect some will take the exception route.

[prso1000 679]

  On 2/4/2023 at 10:59 PM, JoshMartini007 said:

Speaking of Davis Cup requirements, this week was the first opportunity for athletes to fulfill the requirements. Looking at the current top 100, we have 28 singles and 40 doubles players obtaining at least two Davis Cups appearances with one being in 2023-2024. This seems pretty low, but you have to remember that are not competing this week due to getting a bye to the next round and are of course suspended from Davis Cup play. If we were to filter athletes from those nations out the numbers are 28/70 and 40/83.

 

Here are the 10 highest ranked athletes which have not fulfilled the requirements (and are not from the nations listed above).

 

Singles

1. Novak Djokovic

4. Casper Ruud

8. Taylor Fritz

9. Holger Rune

10. Hubert Hurkacz

15. Frances Tiafoe

21. Marin Cilic

26. Sebastian Korda

28. Diego Schwartzman

29. Grigor Dimitrov

 

Doubles

5. Jean-Julien Rojer

7. Mate Pavic

9. Austin Krajicek

11. Ivan Dodig

12. Lloyd Glasspool

13. Horacio Zeballos

18. John Isner

21. Andreas Mies

25. Santiago Gonzalez

26. Kevin Krawietz

 

There's still plenty of time for the top athletes to fulfill their Davis Cup requirements, but I suspect some will take the exception route.

Expand  

Ivan Dodig is playing today against Austria. 

[Agger 1,664]

  On 2/4/2023 at 4:15 PM, Makedonas said:

This all applies to Wozniacki yet they still allowed her to play in 2016 and she was talking about Tokyo but retired in January 2020. Since 2011, she only played Fed Cup once (2015)

Expand  

But she was selected for 2016 where injury got in the way.