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Women's Basketball Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024


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8 minutes ago, hoversaBR said:

If France or the United States are drawn into a certain group, that group will only give 2 quotas for the Olympics.

Now, I realized the teams will play on Belém. In the middle of summer haha

 

Good luck to those who enter to our group

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https://www.fiba.basketball/news/jelena-brooks-and-lenke-kiss-to-perform-draw-for-the-fiba-women-s-olympic-qualifying-tournaments-2024

 

DRAW TOMORROW

 

 

 

Pot 1 :USA :CHN :AUS :ESP

 

Pot 2 (AMERICA 1) :BEL :FRA :BRA

 

Pot 3 :JPN :SRB :NGR (AMERICA 2)

 

Pot 4 :HUN :SEN :NZL :GER

Edited by Benolympique
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Here are the restrictions for the draw

 

  • The four hosts will be immediately allocated to the tournament taking place in their country.
  • USA and France can not be drawn in the same Tournament.

  • There must be a minimum of one and a maximum of two European teams in each Tournament.
  • China and Japan cannot be drawn in the same Tournament.
  • Australia and New Zealand cannot be drawn in the same Tournament.
  • The two African teams must be drawn in the same Tournament to ensure that all Regions are represented at the Olympic Games.
  • There must be a team from Americas in each Tournament.

 

This restricts the draw quite a bit.

 

For example, :USA must be in the same group as :BEL . From there the other two teams can be a combination of

  • :JPN :NZL 
  • :JPN :GER 
  • :SRB :NZL 
  • :NGR :SEN

 

 

 

:CHN 's group can only be

  • AM1 :SRB :NZL
  • AM1 :SRB :GER 
  • :FRA AM2 :NZL 
  • :FRA AM2 :GER

 

:BRA 's group can only be

  • :AUS :JPN :GER
  • :AUS :SRB :GER
  • :ESP :JPN :NZL
  • :ESP :JPN :GER
  • :ESP :SRB :NZL
  • :ESP :NGR :SEN

 

 

:HUN 's group can only be

  • :ESP AM1 :JPN 
  • :AUS AM1 :JPN 
  • :AUS AM1 :SRB
  • :AUS :FRA AM2

 

 

Nigeria and Senegal are severely restricted with only two possible outcomes. France and Americas 2 will also be in the same tournament

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Because I have way too much time on my hands today, here are the 11 possible outcomes. Along with the chance each scenario has at happening (hope my math is correct).

 

Scenario 1 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN AM1 :SRB :GER

:ESP :BRA :JPN :NZL

:AUS :FRA AM2 :HUN

 

Scenario 2 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN AM1 :SRB :NZL

:ESP :BRA :JPN :GER

:AUS :FRA AM2 :HUN

 

Scenario 3 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :JPN :GER

:CHN AM1 :SRB :NZL

:ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN

:AUS :FRA AM2 :HUN

 

Scenario 4 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :JPN :NZL

:CHN AM1 :SRB :GER

:ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN

:AUS :FRA AM2 :HUN

 

Scenario 5 - 50% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN :FRA AM2 :NZL

:AUS :BRA :SRB :GER

:ESP AM1 :JPN :HUN

 

Scenario 6 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :SRB :NZL

:CHN :FRA AM2 :GER

:ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN

:AUS AM1 :JPN :HUN

 

Scenario 7 - 6.25% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN :FRA AM2 :GER

:ESP :BRA :SRB :NZL

:AUS AM1 :JPN :HUN

 

Scenario 8 - 3.125% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN :FRA AM2 :NZL

:ESP :BRA :JPN :GER

:AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN

 

Scenario 9 - 3.125% chance

:USA :BEL :NGR :SEN

:CHN :FRA AM2 :GER

:ESP :BRA :JPN :NZL

:AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN

 

Scenario 10 - 3.125% chance

:USA :BEL :JPN :NZL

:CHN :FRA AM2 :GER

:ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN

:AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN

 

Scenario 11 - 3.125% chance

:USA :BEL :JPN :GER

:CHN :FRA AM2 :NZL

:ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN

:AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN

Edited by JoshMartini007
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1 hour ago, Benolympique said:

Tournament : :CHN

 AM2 - :CHN:NZL - :FRA

 

 

Tournament : :BEL

:SEN -  :USA - :BEL - :NGR

 

 

Tournament : :BRA

:BRA - :GER - :SRB - :AUS

 

 

Tournament : :HUN

:ESP - :HUN - AM1 - :JPN

https://www.fiba.basketball/news/colombia-to-host-fiba-women-s-olympic-pre-qualifying-tournament

 

Canada & Puerto Rico "SHOULD" advance out of this tournament.

 

--------------------------------------

 

10 spots are open.

 

In China

 

France + Two teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: China & ?

 

China
France
New Zealand
AM2

 

In Belgium

 

USA + Two teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Belgium & ?

 

USA
Belgium
Nigeria
Senegal

 

In Brazil

 

Three teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Serbia, Australia, & ?

 

Serbia
Brazil
Germany
Australia

 

In Hungary

 

Three teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Spain, Japan, & ?

 

Spain
Japan
Hungary
AM1

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Mr. Cam
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27 minutes ago, Mr. Cam said:

https://www.fiba.basketball/news/colombia-to-host-fiba-women-s-olympic-pre-qualifying-tournament

 

Canada & Puerto Rico "SHOULD" advance out of this tournament.

 

--------------------------------------

 

10 spots are open.

 

In China

 

France + Two teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: China & ?

 

China
France
New Zealand
AM2

 

In Belgium

 

USA + Two teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Belgium & ?

 

USA
Belgium
Nigeria
Senegal

 

In Brazil

 

Three teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Serbia, Australia, & ?

 

Serbia
Brazil
Germany
Australia

 

In Hungary

 

Three teams advance to Paris

 

Teams that "should" advance: Spain, Japan, & ?

 

Spain
Japan
Hungary
AM1

 

 

 

 

 

 

new-zealand ; nigeria , brazil and canada

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1 hour ago, Benolympique said:

Tournament : :CHN

 AM2 - :CHN:NZL - :FRA

 

 

Tournament : :BEL

:SEN -  :USA - :BEL - :NGR

 

 

Tournament : :BRA

:BRA - :GER - :SRB - :AUS

 

 

Tournament : :HUN

:ESP - :HUN - AM1 - :JPN

Assuming :PUR and :CAN qualify (as expected) here are my predictions. 
 

Tournament 1: :PUR:CHN

Tournament 2: :BEL:NGR

Tournament 3: :BRA:AUS:SRB

Tournament 4: :CAN:JPN:ESP

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