JoshMartini007

I view the summer team sports as:

Football > Basketball > Volleyball > Handball > Rugby Sevens > Field Hockey > Water Polo

Rugby Sevens and Field Hockey are close IMO. Rugby Sevens does better with men while Field Hockey does better with women. Rugby Sevens also has a better global distribution IMO.

Ice Hockey (and winter sports in general) is difficult to compare. If we hold Ice Hockey to Summer Olympics standards it would rank just above Water Polo at best because so few nations participate, but fewer nations take part in winter sports so is it a fair comparison?

Clearly field hockey is more popular than water polo

just needs a 2-goal win to make the semis, even one goal may be enough depending on how the other match goes.

The winner of and will advance. could advance with a loss, but needs the other match to go their way.

A draw would be then end for or (unless both games end in a draw)

Canada's chances were very slim, but they are pretty much gone now.

12 minutes ago, Benolympique said:

so we know the 3 countries    that will fight for 2 quotas

Pretty much. Unfortunately, I think Canada will be the odd team out.

Egypt in the semis is a real possibility now.

Eritrea was the sacrificial lamb in this fight.

If someone is brave enough, UCI has confirmed its quotas so nothing should stop the creation of its Wikipedia page at this point.

2 hours ago, Jur said:

If  qualifies here, her NAM quota goes to

is already qualified, the quota will be reallocated to Cayman Islands

On 1/7/2024 at 10:53 AM, Mateus Nagime said:

I was thinking about this...

 

So far only Fiji media has published this? Perhaps the Fiji Sailing Federation and athletes don't know the rules or they are trying to put forward the news. I will try to contact World Sailing regarding this (has someone already tried?) but I don't think they would respond...

 

No World Sailing has published it as well. You can see it here

3 hours ago, Jur said:

If  wons the quota here, the 2nd Oceanian continental quota wont be awared and would move to the Last Chance Regatta, cause there where only two countries (  &  ) compiting

Since was given the ILCA 7 quota (I still think it's a mistake) then may still get the ILCA 6 reallocated quota.

1 hour ago, dodge said:

The results page (with no results yet) helpfully mark which athletes are eligible for Olympic consideration

 

https://jpvm.org/results/2024/ILCA_6_Worlds/womens_results.html

Unfortunately they didn't get the memo that the Worlds are higher priority than the continental qualifiers

From a morale perspective losing 10-2 is pretty soul crushing, especially for a junior team. The coaching staff better be ready to deal with that.

are also eligible to win a quota since the 2024 Worlds have a higher priority. Should they qualify here then their continental quota will be reallocated.

1 hour ago, Dragon said:

 

From a data preservation point of view do you have the information achieved somewhere off-site? It would be a huge loss should the site be taken down.

Yeah, the IOC been walking a fine line over the past year. I doubt they will be dumb enough to give them quotas, that's a PR nightmare waiting to happen.

No clearly the water sport coalition will form a boycott. Say goodbye to sailing, canoeing, rowing, swimming, 1/3 of the triathlon and the 3000m steeplechase

53 minutes ago, Adriano said:

Lack of Polish team is also possible, waiting for new season. Skowrońska sold his main horse, Stremler is not sure

Poland currently has 5 athlete/horse combos with MER

Beata Stremler (Fairplay)

Marta Sobierajska (Ultrablue de Massa)

Magdalena Jura (Ron)

Aleksandra Szulc (Breakdance)

Zaneta Skowronska-Kozubik (Red Mexx)

So a team is still possible without the two. Plus more athletes/horses will still have time to get the MER in 2024, the end of the year requirement is to ensure there's at least three athletes with MER in the team event, which Poland has.

Did a thorough review. Only Brazil does not have the MER for dressage. Assuming they do not compete then they and the Group F quota will get reallocated. Here is the reallocation table going into the final month.

- 2738

- 2716

- 2590**

- 2567

- 2505**

Both Norway and Luxembourg only have two riders with MER. Regardless unless something crazy happens the quotas will likely go to Finland and Portugal.

I believe the nations next in line are

I haven't looked to see whether the other nations have MER, but along with Brazil, the Group F quota will be reallocated.

Here's the Netherlands qualification standards

Besides athletics/swimming (or injuries) most NOCs accept their quotas. Sweden usually has additional requirements, especially if the person that earned the quota is unfit to use it. Sailing Canada has declined quotas in the past as they don't want poor results impacting their funding.

1 hour ago, hckošice said:

( chosed rather their W Team, do not ask me why)

I figure they'd have a better chance for a gold medal

Some might also use it as a practice for the Olympics, meaning very few will be peaking for this event.

I wonder if one of the teams are willing to throw the 5th place match so they could compete in OQT3. On paper  are more difficult than  though it seems Spain might be on the downswing while Slovenia is on the upswing so it may not matter

Plus if  finishes 8th then OQT2 will turn into the easier group.

10 minutes ago, Josh said:

Semifinals
 Norway v.  Denmark

 Sweden v.  France

 

Norway and France have already qualified for Paris, whoever makes it further out of Sweden and Denmark joins them. 

Technically, Norway can qualify here, their European quota will get reallocated to Denmark

7 minutes ago, Dragon said:

This sounds a lot like what the USSR said before the 1984 Games. Using athlete safety concerns to justify pulling out of the Games

Unlike 1984, they don't have as much influence on other nations to follow suit.