MedalChampion

Canada will likely finish with 27 medals, which is more than the previous Winter Olympic total of 26. Wow. 

Yeah, lol. The US will win 50+ gold medals in LA. 

I don't think the US system is fragile. It's more that the United States is facing increased competition in their traditional sports (Australia in swimming, Canada in athletics, etc.). Meanwhile, China continues to dominate in its preferred sports (diving, table tennis, etc.).

It's always easier for an authoritarian country in this regard. Look at the DDR: was about 16 million population but they managed to win a similar number of medals as the much larger USSR in some editions.
 
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/East_Germany

I don't think the US system is fragile. It's more that the United States is facing increased competition in their traditional sports (Australia in swimming, Canada in athletics, etc.). Meanwhile, China continues to dominate in its preferred sports (diving, table tennis, etc.).

No more athlete scholarships for foreigners, problem solved 

37 gold medals for China  !

is it over now ?

Final two days of the Olympics and the battle for top spot on the medal table is as close as ever with both the United States and China tied with 33 medals each. The United States will have the most silvers so China needs to outright win more medals. Lets take a look at the remaining 52 events.
 
Artistic Swimming - 1 Event
China currently leads the women's duet by 9.5 points. While the sport has had a major judging overhaul, it would be quite shocking for China to miss out in gold.
 
Athletics - 10 Events
Unsurprisingly, this is the sport with the most remaining events. Fortunately for the United States they are having a great meet. I'd say they are favourites in women's 100m hurdles, and women's 4x400m relay while they have a chance in the men's 800m, men's 5000m, men's 4x400m relay, men's high jump, and women's 1500m. Unfortunately for China I don't see them with any chance for gold.
 
Basketball - 2 Events
The United States have teams in both finals and they are both the favourites to win.
 
Boxing - 4 Events
Of the four events, China has a boxer in the women's middleweight final. I'd classify her as the favourite, but Panama will also have a great chance at winning.
 
Breaking - 1 Event
The United States has the defending champion, but I hesitate to call him the favourite as the event is quite open. China also has a pretty strong breaker and could win gold too. This is one of the few events where China and the United States will be directly at odds for gold.
 
Canoeing - 3 Events
The United States is the favourite in the women's C1 200m. While China could medal in the event or the women's K1 500m it would be quite surprising for them to win gold.
 
Cycling - 4 Events
Jennifer Valente is the reigning world champion in the women's omnium and with a team pursuit gold medal she'll be looking to win a second gold medal.
 
Diving - 1 Event
China current leads the men's 10m platform after the preliminary round with a second athlete in 4th. While this may be their weaker event, relatively speaking it's hard not to call them the favourites.
 
Football - 1 Event
The United States is in the final of the women's tournament and will be the favourites to win it all.
 
Golf - 1 Event
Going into the final day, the United States is two off the lead while China is five off. Both will have a chance for gold here.
 
Gymnastics - 1 Event
While China has a team in the women's rhythmic group all-around final it would be very unlikely for them to win gold.
 
Handball - 2 Events
China and the United States didn't even qualify to this events let alone compete in the final.
 
Modern Pentathlon - 2 Events
Neither of them are in the men's final and it is quite unlikely either of them will reach the women's final.
 
Sport Climbing - 1 Event
The United States has a finalist in the women's combined. Gold would be difficult, but she does have a chance.
 
Table Tennis - 1 Event
China is the heavy favourite to win the women's team gold.
 
Taekwondo - 2 Events
Both nations will actually face each other in the men's +80kg. China is also competing in the women's +67kg. With that said, it is quite unlikely either nation will win gold.
 
Volleyball - 3 Events
The United States is in the women's indoor volleyball final. I feel Italy will be the favourite, but they will have a great chance at winning.
 
Water Polo - 2 Events
Neither China nor the United States are in the gold medal match in either event.
 
Weightlifting - 4 Events
China will be the favourites in the men's -102kg and women's +87kg only a fail lift will prevent them from winning gold.
 
Wrestling - 6 Events
The three events to be decided tomorrow don't have athletes representing either side. The final three events likely favours the United States. In the men's freestyle -65kg you have a world -70kg champion and in the men's freestyle -97kg the United States has Kyle Snyder who I also give a chance.
 
 
Here's the breakdown summary:
 
China
Favourites - 6
Chance - 2
 
United States
Favourites - 7
Chance - 11
 
Things look good on paper for the United States as China has relatively fewer chances over the next few days. In China's defense, their favourites are a lot more likely to pan out for them than the United States' so in the event of bad luck China still has a path to finish top of the table.

Day 13 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 13, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 30 gold medals (+1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 29 gold medals (-5 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 14 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 40 gold medals
 China - 33 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals

Day 12 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 12, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 27 gold medals (+2 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 25 gold medals (-7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 13 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 41 gold medals
 China - 31 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals

So much for Australia only being good at swimming.  

Most of the countries have not passed their gold medal line. Except Australia who have all gotten over their 14.5 Gold line. Superb
 
China had their line at 33.5 Gold 2 months prior to Olympic which rises to 35.5 while US lines started at 38.5 which goes up to 40.5
 
US is expected to win China by 5 Gold medals

Day 11 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 11, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 24 gold medals (= compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 22 gold medals (-10 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 13 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 39 gold medals
 China - 28 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals

Day 11 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 11, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 24 gold medals (= compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 22 gold medals (-10 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 13 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 39 gold medals
 China - 28 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals

It's the third Olympics in a row that  didn't win a medal the 6th August. 

Incredible! The pubs were packed in Dublin tonight for sure to cheer on Kellie! 
I never want this to end. Waited for years to have an Olympics like this and it’s actually happening 

Day 10 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 10, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 21 gold medals (-1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 21 gold medals (-8 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 13 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 38 gold medals
 China - 30 gold medals
France - 17 gold medals
 

Day 10 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 10, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 21 gold medals (-1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 21 gold medals (-8 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 13 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 38 gold medals
 China - 30 gold medals
France - 17 gold medals
 

I note that the Australia medal count is extremely female dominated. Only one gold medal of twelve is by a male. Be of interest to have different tables for men and women for all countries.
My impression of Australia (from spending time there) is that the women there are much more Olympic Games interested than men who much prefer their local sports. Simply put sporty boys choose their sport for economic possibility whereas sporty girls want to be an Olympian. 
Of course, women are also affected by the financial possibilities of sport. I'm sure many Eastern Europeans of both sexes who once would have been track and field athletes now look to play sports like tennis (and of course soccer)

Day 9 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 9, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 19 gold medals (-1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 19 gold medals (-5 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 12 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 38 gold medals
 China - 33 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals
 
Almost certain that the USA will finish first now.
France will probably not reach 20 gold medals.

Day 9 Update
 
Right now, at the end of Day 9, we have the following gold medals for the USA, China, and France:
 19 gold medals (-1 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 19 gold medals (-5 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 12 gold medals (+7 compared to the same period at the 2020 Games)
 
This would imply the following total at the end of the 2024 Games:
 USA - 38 gold medals
 China - 33 gold medals
 France - 17 gold medals
 
Almost certain that the USA will finish first now.
France will probably not reach 20 gold medals.

So, there is still one last race for Australia to finish first in the rankings. 

Finally a  China showcase  Pan Zhanle is just phenomenal - 45.92 is even better than the legendary Lezak swim of 2008 
 
The US lose the men's mixed for the first time in decades.

Took until the very last chance for the men to win an individual gold, and to overtake in the medal table.

a) Australia is the favorite in women’s medley relay? I think the U.S. is the favorite.
b) France is the favorite in men’s medley relay? I think the U.S. is the favorite there as well, but France could fight for a medal.