website statistics
Jump to content

[OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread


Wanderer
 Share

Recommended Posts

First exit polls for our parlamentary elections todays. 

 

GERB - 32,5% (Right, Euro, Conservatism). Our ruling party of PM Borisov, who have won every election since it's creation in 2007, bar the last presidential one in november. And their 4th time in 4 Parlamentary elections over 30%.

 

Socialist Party - 28% (Left, Socialism, leans pro-russian). After their win in the Presidency, they had plans for a win here, but still they almost doubled their score from the last elections, which were an all-time low for them after a string of horrendous decisions. Guess many bulgarians have short memory.....

 

DPS - 10% (Turkish/Gipsy minority party). - Slightly less than what they usually do

United Patriots - 9,5 % (Nationalism, Euroscepticism) - Expected a little higher, again slightly worse than last time.

Will - 5% (Nationalism, Populism) - New party by a businessman. I thought they would get a better result to be honest. 

Reformist Bloc - 4% (Right/Center, Euro) - 4% is the barrier for election, so they could very well go out when the official results come in.

 

As for coalitions, the most likely would be GERB + Patriots + Reformatic Bloc +/- Will.  Even without them, the other 3 will have majority. A pretty good chance that GERB will do all the ruling, while the smaller parties just bring in the numbers. 

 

The other coalition Socialists + Turkish, won't have a majority of votes and i don't think any of the other parties want to work with them. But still there is a possibility if the others don't reach an agreement, they'll give them a cabinet without a majority.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

27 minutes ago, Federer91 said:

First exit polls for our parlamentary elections todays. 

 

GERB - 32,5% (Right, Euro, Conservatism). Our ruling party of PM Borisov, who have won every election since it's creation in 2007, bar the last presidential one in november. And their 4th time in 4 Parlamentary elections over 30%.

 

Socialist Party - 28% (Left, Socialism, leans pro-russian). After their win in the Presidency, they had plans for a win here, but still they almost doubled their score from the last elections, which were an all-time low for them after a string of horrendous decisions. Guess many bulgarians have short memory.....

 

DPS - 10% (Turkish/Gipsy minority party). - Slightly less than what they usually do

United Patriots - 9,5 % (Nationalism, Euroscepticism) - Expected a little higher, again slightly worse than last time.

Will - 5% (Nationalism, Populism) - New party by a businessman. I thought they would get a better result to be honest. 

Reformist Bloc - 4% (Right/Center, Euro) - 4% is the barrier for election, so they could very well go out when the official results come in.

 

As for coalitions, the most likely would be GERB + Patriots + Reformatic Bloc +/- Will.  Even without them, the other 3 will have majority. A pretty good chance that GERB will do all the ruling, while the smaller parties just bring in the numbers. 

 

The other coalition Socialists + Turkish, won't have a majority of votes and i don't think any of the other parties want to work with them. But still there is a possibility if the others don't reach an agreement, they'll give them a cabinet without a majority.

Any of these parties offers any solutions to the migrant problems?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

39 minutes ago, lapaj said:

Any of these parties offers any solutions to the migrant problems?

 

More specific? Nothing new than what it already is. :d We have the wall with Turkey, which is patrolled by the army. There isn't much traffic like in 2015 that's for sure. Plus the bigger problem was always with Greece, which have horrendous control.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, lapaj said:

In Hungary the socialists criticize the fence. They say that is useless, but I never heard their solution.

Is there no a party in Bulgaria which would destroy the wall? That is a good news.

 

Yes, noone has said they don't want the wall, that would be suicidal for them. :d Our Socialist in contrast have said they want to extend the wall and not accept the relocation policy of the EU, much like a nationalistic party. 

 

By the way with the official results one party fell bellow the 4% barrier and we will have only 5 parties, which would bring up the seats for the top 2 parties.

GERB - 32,6% - 95 seats

Socilists - 27,2% - 80

United Patriots - 9,07% - 27

Turkish Party - 8,99% - 26

Volya (Will) - 4,15% - 12

 

121 is needed for a majority, which is enough for GERB + Patriots and eventually Volya.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

20 hours ago, Gianlu33 said:

Good news from Bulgaria, bad results for UP and Volya :clap:

17553871_1091776127600966_7097518348031676454_n.jpg?oh=832d777bc271f9bfe80e683a6bed9202&oe=59713D0E

And In French polls Macron consolidates his lead over Le Pen,  Germany's AFD is gradually getting less support in almost every poll, True Finns are going down with crazy speed :) It might be yet to early to say for sure but I believe the natiobalist anti-eu  Right Wing wave is slowly vanishing here in Europe. Even in Poland our nationalistic PiS loses heavily in the newest polls, with only 2-3% support more than the centrist PO. Even Turkey's Erdogan seems scared as s**t of the upcoming referendum as many polls indicate Turkish people might for the first time vote against him. and it might be a pretty huge for him catastrophe if he loses

My favourite Volleyball position: LIBERO. You ask why? Look here. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZyIOarNAONk

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, VolleyRuller96 said:

And In French polls Macron consolidates his lead over Le Pen,  Germany's AFD is gradually getting less support in almost every poll, True Finns are going down with crazy speed :) It might be yet to early to say for sure but I believe the natiobalist anti-eu  Right Wing wave is slowly vanishing here in Europe. Even in Poland our nationalistic PiS loses heavily in the newest polls, with only 2-3% support more than the centrist PO. Even Turkey's Erdogan seems scared as s**t of the upcoming referendum as many polls indicate Turkish people might for the first time vote against him. and it might be a pretty huge for him catastrophe if he loses

 

In SVk it´s going in the very very wrong way...apparently the neo-nazi party is incredibly increasing their %. :facepalm:especially among the first time voters around 18 years olds peoples...this is really worrying..

 

It already was a huge shock during last elections, when they gained some seats http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/11/18/slovakia-comes-to-grips-with-proudly-neo-nazi-party.html

 

but now during the last revealed pronostics they are apparently passed to 3rd place :cry: the problem is now when they surprisingly entered the parliament, there no chance that their party will be banned as it was planned before

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • https://www.fantaski.it/news/2024/11/22/tommaso-sala-si-rompe-il-crociato-in-allenamento.asp   Now the entire Italian team will be hanging on Vinatzer, who will finish maybe 30% of the races in the season. Tragedy. Sala was not an outstanding skier, but he could have made it to the top 10 several times. The biggest debacle in slalom in decades is coming  This winter seasons haven't even started yet but I'm fed up with him. We have regression in every discipline, Vittozzi disease, disaster in men`s alpine skiing, what else? Unfortunately, we have been much better in summer sports than in winter sports recently.
    • Tense men's semi but  10  8 after 11.      made a 3 in the 10th!
    • Violette Braun is the first  woman in a World Cup since 2009. Today she obliterated the NR in the 1500 by 3 seconds (2'04) on a rather slow track. Second 1500 ever for her, first was in Inzell a few weeks back (2'07) with what seemed like very good conditions.   It means a lot of room for improvement and a good sign for the 3000 which is her real strong event at the moment - she lacks basic speed but had one of the fastest final laps today, 10th over Div A and B. Faster last than penultimate lap must be quite unusual too.
    • When? I understand this is a joke about this great job 
    • The same thing happened after Turin 2006. That hall later was never used for skating competitions again, only the Indoor ECH in athletics was organized there once in 2009 and that was it. After that it was only used for commercial fairs etc. It will be the same with Milan. Regarding the indoor arena in Collalbo, it was a great idea to make it an Italian center of skating sports for many years: good location, high altitude, tourist town. Well, but according to the organizers, it`s not worth doing it, but why? Why is`t not worth doing anything here but Germany has a similar track in Inzell and it is possible there? They should hire a good manager who will develop a plan for them to make it worth doing. The same is with the bobsleigh track in Cortina. It was also not worth renovating it and if Salvini's and other big politics and determination hadn`t come into it, the competition would probably have been in Austria or St. Moritz.   The cooperation with the Netherlands is probably only supposed to concern short track. Besides, this cooperation will not do anything if we don`t have at least one indoor track for training in the summer and early autumn. The Dutch Federation isn`t a charity and will not build us infrastructure for free so that we can train on it. There are no miracles. It`s probably more about taking advantage of the opportunity to train with someone like Fontana, who is a legend in short track. After 2026 this cooperation will end, when she leaves.
    • For Ghiotto to win 2 golds at the Olympics, he would have to be the second van der Poel or Sablikova in they pick of form. You have to be a genius to beat this whole coalition of Norwegians, Dutchmen etc. However, I don't see that much talent in him. I'd like to be wrong, but I'm afraid that he'll end up with some silver-bronze in the 10 km and that's it. If he starts losing to Eitrem now, who is 22 years old, it won't bode well for the future, and there's also Roest + maybe another Dutchman will jump out. Generally, our team is poorly prepared for this season and it's not like Ghiotto is on individual training on the moon and has just come down to earth and will now win everything while the rest of the team are in terrible form. Of course, the lack of form of Bosa or Trentini means e.g. 20th place, not 10th, but for Ghiotto it could mean 4/5 place, instead of 1st. It's the same with the team. For today, the only positive performance for us is Lollobrigida's 2nd place in the b category of the women's 1500 meters and Fontana's solid performance in the same event. The rest is terrible.
    • Costantini & Mosaner will back to play together for the frist time since Beijing 2022 Our NOC and Federation do an amazing work.
    • Right now I’m watching Scotland-Switzerland at the European Curling Championships, even though Germany-Norway would probably be a more interesting game… (can’t find any streaming options for it)   At 4:00am Scotland-Italy in the women’s bronze medal match, and at 9:00am TBD-TBD in the men’s bronze medal match   We’ll see if I’ll have enough time for the Davis Cup, Women’s/Men’s Slalom WC Gurgul, Skeleton WC Yanqing, BPT Challenge Chennai, BWF China Masters, WTT Finals Fukuoka, GSOC Kioti National, Freestyle Skiing WC Beijing, Alpine Skiing WC Killington, Moguls WC Ruka   Also will be following along with the Canadian Curling Olympic Mixed Doubles Qualifier, UCI Champions League Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, Open Water WC Neom, Luge WC Lillehammer/Cross Country WC Ruka, Ski Jumping WC Ruka   Friday (November 22) 4:30 PM: NBA - Warriors v. Pelicans 8:00 PM: ISU Speed Skating World Cup Nagano - Day 2 10:00 PM: European Curling Championships - Women’s Gold Medal Match   Saturday (November 23) 5:00 AM: European Curling Championships - Men’s Gold Medal Match 4:00 PM: NHL - Canucks v. Senators 8:00 PM: ISU Speed Skating World Cup Nagano - Day 3   Sunday (November 24)   Monday (November 25) 7:00 PM: NBA - Warriors v. Nets   Tuesday (November 26) 4:00 PM: NHL - Canucks v. Bruins   Wednesday (November 27) 4:30 PM: NHL - Canucks v. Penguins 7:00 PM: NBA - Warriors v. Thunder   Thursday (November 28)   Friday (November 29) 1:00 AM: ISU Speed Skating WC Beijing - Day 1 10:00 AM: UCI Track Cycling Nations League Apeldoorn - Day 1 12:00 PM: NHL - Canucks v. Sabres
    • As far as I am concerned, there are two very simple problems: infrastructure and the lack of cooperation between sports federations. Let me explain. The MiCo2026 Olympics will provide virtually no legacy in ice sports, there is still a lack of an indoor hall, there is no federal centre that has been promised for so many years. It could have been an opportunity to make a nice roof in Baselga di Pinè, but instead they preferred to make temporary facilities in Rho.   The second problem is the total lack of cooperation between roller skating and speed skating, we have a huge pool and we are not exploiting it. Fortunately we are doing a few small collegiate events, the technical collaboration with the Netherlands absolutely must be exploited.   I am not so negative however about the current situation, Ghiotto practically on the 10k seems to be off the scale (watch out for the Czech and Norwegian) and he can medal in the 5k and drag the pursuit team. In the mass start you have more cards in both the men's and women's, let's see what Fontana does. And a Fontana-Peveri-Lollobrigida pursuit team can also play for a third place
    • Canada Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2026 Milano Cortina   Ski Sports   Alpine Skiing  (13) - That's been the team size the last couple of Olympics so it's a safe bet again. Cross Country Skiing  (10) - Not too familiar with the qualification system. Probably around 6 men and 4 women. Ski Jumping  (5) - Loutitt, Strate and Maurer for sure on the women's side. Possibly a 4th will qualify. On the men's side, if Bowd-Clowes returns, then he should also qualify. Nordic Combined  (0) - Been a nonexistent sport for a while. No athletes competing in the World Cup or Continental Cup. Freestyle Skiing  (32) - Should qualify a team in mixed aerials which means a maximum team size of 32 athletes. Which athletes in which disciplines to be determined. Snowboarding  (24) - Full teams in slopestyle and big air. Then somewhere between 1-4 athletes in the other disciplines. Biathlon  (6) - Based on the Nations Cup last year, the men finished outside the top 20 and wouldn't qualify a relay team (and that's without Russia and Belarus). With Christian Gow's retirement, that makes things even more difficult. Women's relay should still qualify though. Ski Mountaineering  (1) - Gonna be optimistic here and say that one athlete will qualify either through the World Rankings or continental quota.     Skating Sports   Speed Skating  (16) - 7 to 8 men, 8 to 9 women. For now, I'll say 8 of each gender. Short Track Speed Skating  (10) - Full team size. With the current skill level of the team, anything else would be a tragedy. Figure Skating  (12) - Most likely 1 man (I hope) and 1 woman, then 2-3 pairs and 2-3 ice dance couples. For now, let's say 2 in pairs and 3 in ice dance.     Sleigh Sports   Luge  (7) - 2 women + 1 entry in each of the other disciplines Skeleton  (4) - 1 or 2 men + 2 or 3 women Bobsleigh  (14) - 2 men's crews (in both events) and 3 women's crews (in both events)     Team Sports   Curling  (12) - Full team or else you might as well burn the federation to the ground. Ice Hockey  (48) - Both men's and women's teams already qualified       Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (229) Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (184)   Total Realistic Prediction  -  (214)
×
×
  • Create New...