Rowing WR World Championships 2023 Road to Paris 2024

[JoshMartini007 2,214]

Not the greatest championships for Canada, but that's to be expected given the level of our program.

 

Remember when rowing use to be our best performing sport? Thankfully the other sports have step up.

[Benolympique 1,638]

1 hour ago, phelps said:

Part #2

 

women's Lightweights Double Sculls (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

 

Nations Favorites ?

[Ogreman 205]

19 hours ago, Ogreman said:

					Form rankings
	M1X	W1X	M2-	W2-	M2X	W2X	LM2X	LW2X	M4-	W4-	M4X	W4X	M8+	W8+
1	GER	NED	GBR<	AUS	NED	ROU	IRL	GBR	GBR	AUS	POL	NED	GBR	ROU<
2	DEN	AUS	ROU>	ROU	CRO<	LTU	FRA	ROU<	AUS	ROU	NED	CHN	NED	GBR
3	NZL	NZL	SWI	NED	ITA	CHN<	SWI	FRA	NZL	GBR	ITA	GBR	AUS	CAN
4	JPN	SWI	ESP	IRL	IRL>	USA	ITA	USA<	NED	USA	GBR	SWI	ROU<	AUS
5	GRE	GER	IRL	GRE	ROU	FRA	CZE	IRL	USA	NED	AUS	UKR	GER	USA
6	BEL	USA	LTU	GBR	ESP	IRL	ESP	GRE>	FRA	IRL	ROU	GER	USA>	CHN
7	CRO	AUT	SRB	USA	BEL	AUS	GRE	NZL	ROU	CHN	EST<	ITA<	CHN	ITA
8	BUL	UZB<	AUS	LTU	CHN	GRE<	BEL	CHN	UKR	DEN	UKR<	USA>	ITA	GER
9	NED>	SRB<	DEN<	CHI	NZL	NED	NZL	ITA	SWI<	NZL	IRL	CAN	CAN
10	LTU	CHN>	USA	DEN	MDA	NOR	UKR	CAN	CHN<	ESP	GER	AUS	AUT
11	CAN	BUL	AIN (B)	ESP	USA	POL	MEX>	POL	GER>	POL	NOR	FRA
12	AIN (R)	ESP	CRO<	CZE>	FRA	GER	NOR	SWI	POL	GER	SWI	ROU
13	SRB	LTU	NZL	CRO	AUS	GBR	POL	AUS	RSA>	CAN	LTU	CZE
14	HUN	ITA<	ITA	GER	NOR<	ITA	CHN	AUT	IRL>	MEX	CHN
15	ITA>	AIN (B)<	RSA	POL	GER	NZL	GER	GER	ITA		USA
16	NOR	CZE	CAN	ITA	GBR	CZE	POR	ESP	DEN		CAN
17	URU<	TUR	NED	NZL	GRE	CAN	AUS	DEN			CZE
18	BRA	ROU	TUR	CAN	CZE	SWI>	USA	TUN
19	ESP	GBR>	POL	AIN (B)	SRB	RSA	TUR>	PER
20	AUS	UKR	FRA	FRA	POL>		AUT	EGY
21	USA	AIN (R)	CHN	CHN	UKR<		EST
22	POR	FRA	GER	PAR	SWE<		URU
23	AIN (B)	JPN	HUN		LTU		UZB>
24	CHN	POL	SLO		BUL		ISR
25	SLO	NOR<	CZE		URU>		EGY
26	TUN	LAT<	EGY		RSA
27	TUR	SLO			CUB
28	MON	PER			EGY
29	ROU	KUW			PER
30	CYP	BRN			BRN
31	ISR	TOG
32	AZE
33	SWE>
34	EGY
35	MEX>
36	ESA<
37	BER
38	FIN
39	PAR
40	ZIM
41	CIV<
42	IRQ
43	GEO
44	BAR
45	ANG
46	BEN
47	SUD
48	LIB

So 122/144 (84.7%) of semifinalists I had ranked in the top 12. (Obviously not counting the eights here). Only two boats not in the top 16 made the semis and one was the AIN (Belarus) boat which obviously had zero form to go off. Accounting for a few errors on my part and quarterfinal/repechage draws meaning in some cases 4 or 5 boats I had picked were competing for the same spots in the semis I think this estimation has gone pretty well. Obviously we will see how many actual qualifiers it gets right and medals well might be less accurate so not sure how useful it would be as say an Olympic predictor. It no longer looks quite as clean but at least nine of the semifinalists were right in every boat class so we should be on for an 80+% hit rate on correct Olympic qualifiers.

It was a bad day for Greece and Belgium who had multiple projected qualifiers miss out on the semis. Italy are the big winners so far.

Edited September 6, 2023 by Ogreman

[Werloc 3,127]

Good thing that I didn't see live how our men's pair and double botched the quarterfinals  

[phelps 6,872]

and here we go with the men's Semifinals Lineup:

 

men's Single Sculls (9 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1: (AIN2)
SF #2:

men's Pairs (11 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

men's Double Sculls (11 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

men's Fours (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

men's Quadruple Sculls (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

 

[phelps 6,872]

Part #2

 

men's Eights (5 OQPs, Top 2 Advance to the Final, already through to the Top 6)
Repechage Heat:

men's Lightweights Double Sculls (7 OQPs, Top 3 Advance to the Final)
SF #1:
SF #2:

 

[phelps 6,872]

3 hours ago, Adriano said:

Italy what a performance

yeah, way better than expected

 

but it's only a first step

 

most of these boats won't even qualify to the Olympics...and the medals are far away from our capability (with 2, maybe 3 exceptions)

 

however, having 12 of our 13 Olympic boats (in 1 event we didn't participate) in the top 12 of the World is great, it means that our rowing is still very good on average

 

unfortunately, right now we miss a few absolute top class rowers to build 2 or 3 crews being consistently a gold medal threat

[phelps 6,872]

3 hours ago, Benolympique said:

Nations Favorites ?

 and  in SF #1 (3rd spot is very open, I hope  but I don't trust them at all)

 and  in SF #2 ( should get the 3rd spot, but  might sneak in into the top 3 as well)

 

in any case, if the weather is like today, the lane draw will do it, as there's too much disparity between the lanes 1-3 and the others (Today, good 90% of the races had the boats in the lanes 1-3 also in the top 3 of the rankings, with very few exceptions...and not only because they were the top seeds)

[Benolympique 1,638]

11 minutes ago, phelps said:

 and  in SF #1 (3rd spot is very open, I hope  but I don't trust them at all)

 and  in SF #2 ( should get the 3rd spot, but  might sneak in into the top 3 as well)

 

in any case, if the weather is like today, the lane draw will do it, as there's too much disparity between the lanes 1-3 and the others (Today, good 90% of the races had the boats in the lanes 1-3 also in the top 3 of the rankings, with very few exceptions...and not only because they were the top seeds)

what are France's chances for the LW2x and M4-?

 

and for the rest of the Tqo, can we hope to qualify one or two boats?

[Rafa Maciel 1,259]

Looking distinctly likely that  could end up sending one of their smallest rowing squads to an Olympic Games in over 20 years. Having only entered 12 out of the 14 classes, they are now down to just 9 boats still in contention. 

 

The only positive to the situation is that over half of the remaining British crews could find themselves on the podium at the end of the regatta.