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[PREDICTION CONTESTS] PyeongChang 2018 Olympic Bet Contest Discussion Thread


LDOG
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The Olympic Bet Contest was held for the first time in 2012 for the London Olympics and then again for the 2016 Olympics in Rio. It consisted of a series of questions asked to the users about the Games which they had to answer for Yes or No, while placing a "bet" of a certain number of points in each answer at the same time.

 

These are some examples:

2- The best-placed European NOC in the overall 2016 Summer Olympics medal table will be Russia. [YES/NO - X]

10- Japan will finish ahead of South Korea in the medal table. [YES/NO - X]

 

or for specific sports:

 

Aquatics - Water Polo (1)

39- The men's final will be played by two ex-yugoslav nations (CRO, MNE, SRB). [YES/NO - X]

 

 

My intention is to hold this contest again for the upcoming Winter Olympic Games in Pyeongchang, so I'll need your help. This thread will be used for you people to make suggestions for possible questions to be featured in the contest. You can see here the questions (and the overall format) that were used for the 2016 contest, so you can get an idea of what are we looking for.

 

Just keep in mind two basic things when making a suggestion:

a) Don't make it too easy: that is, don't make a bet which has a very obvious answer for Yes or No.

b) Try to avoid ambiguity in the question as much as possible: formulate the question in a way in which it's clear what it is asking for.

 

With the Winter Olympics having less sports in comparison to the Summer ones, there will probably be a lower number of total bets this time. The Selection Committee, composed of me and some other users, will then pick by the end of January the best suggestions which will be used for the contest. Please, take into account that it is possible that we select one of your suggestions but then make a little modification to it (in the phrasing, etc) to improve it and/or clarify it. You may make as many suggestions as you like on this thread. 

 

One more thing: There are two categories you guys can make suggestions for. First, there is the "Sporting Rivalries and Medals" category, which covers general aspects of the Games and/or rivalries between specific countries. Second, there are the Individual sports categories, which are bets about each sport in particular.

 

We count with your help!

 

Cheers, LDOG.

Edited by LDOG
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Biathlon:

Martin Fourcade to win 3 or more gold medals in men's biathlon

A Russian born athlete to win gold in biathlon

Both JT Boe and Martin Fourcade on the podium in both the sprint and pursuit competitions in biathlon

There will be more than 10 biathletes with clean shooting in the men's 20km individual

 

Alpine skiing:

Naoki Yuasa of Japan to complete the man's slalom course in both legs

Hirscher to finish ahead of Kristoffersen in men's slalom

 

Luge

Clean medal sweep for Germany in women's luge

 

Cross country skiing:

Ustyugov to win gold in both freestyle and classic

 

Speed skating:

Clean medal sweep for the Netherlands in any speed skating discipline

 

Ski jumping:

Kamil Stoch to win all three gold medals in ski jumping

A Kazakh athlete not to place last in the men's large hill qualification

 

Figure skating:

A figure skater to land a quadruple jump in a combination with two triples without falling

 

USA men's ice hockey team to not make it past the groups

Edited by stefanbg
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49 minutes ago, stefanbg said:

USA men's ice hockey team to not make it past the groups

 

all teams will past the groups :d  the group winners and best ranked 2nd team directly for the quarterfinals, all other teams will play the round of 16. 2nd best 2nd ranked team vs worst last 4th ranked, worst 2nd ranked vs second best last ranked team etc...etc...

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2 minutes ago, hckosice said:

 

all teams will past the groups :d  the group winners and best ranked 2nd team directly for the quarterfinals, all other teams will play the round of 16. 2nd best 2nd ranked team vs worst last 4th ranked, worst 2nd ranked vs second best last ranked team etc...etc...

 

Oh sorry... not a big ice hockey fan... will take it out of the list.

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Just now, stefanbg said:

 

Oh sorry... not a big ice hockey fan... will take it out of the list.

 

no problem buddy :) I like your questions, especially the one with Naoki Yuasa, I would bet a big No 9 out of 10 races for sure, but there still a chance that he can succeed in this one :d

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Sporting rivalries and medals

  • Norway will finish ahead of Germany in the medal table
  • Canada will finish ahead of the USA in the medal table
  • At least 27 countries will win a medal

Alpine skiing

  • Less than 10 countries will win at least a medal 
  • The gold medal in men's alpine combined will be won by a skier who was ranked 21st or worst after the first run
  • Mikaela Shiffrin will win at least 3 gold medals
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