I can't answer your questions about bob, luge and skeleton, because I'm not sure what you mean. Too low? Too high?
I do not expect a second medal in Snowboard. I would be very happy, if we win one. But the second possibility is Boardercross, men.
Alpine Skiing: If Neureuther and Luitz weren't injured, my guess would have been 0 - 5 medals. As it is, I see chances with Rebensburg (two disciplines), men's speed and in the team event. I know that nothing of this is even a very high chance, except maybe Vicky in Giant Slalom, but note that I also mentioned 0 medals as a possibility.
I definitely think that we have a chance for a medal in women's team event's in Cross Country.