Andry84

The relays that will make the final in Poland will be qualified, the rule changed a lot of months ago, so in the remote scenario that the 8 finalist in Poland will be different from the 8 already qualified Jamaica will be out. But it's very unlikely, so there will be some spots that will remain open and will be assigned through ranking.

At the moment nothing official and the Junior Worlds are not in Saudi Arabia anymore, will be held in Tashkent Probably we will have to wait the last document that IWF sent to CIO 3 weeks ago.

No, the entry list for Colombia tournament are closed, there isn' t any online event and Saudi Arabia event.There is only the junior worlds at the end of May but only for under 20 (born from 2001)

I think we already have the qualified in this category, in my opinion we will have : Chn, Uzb, TUR, Col, Ita, JPN, Ina (if Deni won't be allowed but I think he will, probably Spain could qualify, to make a full men team) , Fra, Geo, Mex, KOR(India could have a small chance but he need to improve in world junior next month) , Madgascar, Samoa

I think that in the new qualification document that IWF propose some days ago to CIO(but nobody knows what is written inside) that rule will be cancelled.

I try with Italy Archery: 0 (chance with Nespoli in individual and mixed team) Athletics 0-1 best chance Tamberi, small chance in 20 km race walking Boxing : 1 i think 1 girl could take it Canoeing sprint: 0 (small chances for k2 1000) Cycling MTB: 0 (small chance for men) Cycling road 1-2 : best chance Gannain ITT and Longo Borghini in women Cycling track 2-3 : men team pursuit and omnium women, chance also in women madison Fencing 4-6: individual foil men, team foil women, team men epee, team men sarbre, individual women epee Gymnastic 1: best chance is Lodadio men rings, very slim chance for girls Rhythmics 0: i don't think the medal will arrive but the Italian girls have chance in groups Judo 1 : best chance are Lombardo and Giuffrida, then we have some good outsiders. Karate 2-3 : Busà, Bottaro, Crescenzo, Semeraro (if qualifies), Busato are all medal contenders. Rowing 3: quadruple, 2-, 2xpl, 4- (3 of these must take medal) Sailing 1 : Nacra 17 the best chance, very good outsiders both 470 and both Rsx Shooting 3 : women trap, mixed trap and 1 surprising medal in pistol Sport climbing 0 : i don't think in medals but Rogora can go for a top 8 Swimming 5-6 : 2 from Paltrinieri, 1 from Quadarella, 1 from Detti, 1 from breastroke, 1 from Bruni 10km Taekwondo: 1 Dell'aquila Tennis 0 : i don't think the medal is possible but this is definitely the best moment in last 40 years for men tennis, probably the worst for women. Volleyball: 1 women team Waterpolo 0 : i don't think in medal but our team will be competitive for sure. Weightlifting 0 : I would never have thought to speak about weightlifting in medal projections in my life and I don't think the medal will come, but if Pizzolato repeats 370 kg it will be a medal, also Zanni will go for a top 6. Wrestling 1 : ok, Chamizo. I think it's time to reach and try to go over the 30 medals, the big problem will be the gold medals, I don't see many of them.

Nagy will be ahead of the Austrian guy, I think the only problem is if Bulgaria choose 109 instead of 61 and there should be the risk for Ruiz (Spa) to finish out from the qualification in 109 and choosing the +109 where he will be easily qualified, but it's really difficult.....

Cycling, rowing, sailing and you have 10 gold medals, then there is hockey, judo, archery, Hassan and something else.....

Are you joking, I don't see Netherlands with less than 12 or 13 gold and 40 medals....

Difficult to say, he should be good for European spot if Orsag stay in top 8 and Mart Seim doesn't show in Colombia.

Is he paid for doing the coach or is a hobby? He doesn't know anything on how the ranking works, the final placement doesn't matter, the important thing is the total kg lifted, and there is no chance for Veronyka to qualify. She has a lot of European lifters ahead of her.

The Turkish guy will overtake Zanni, but I think both will finish in top 8 and so also Kingue Matam will fly to Tokyo(he managed to defend some points from Georgia) , the French girl in59 kg I think she will qualify too. There is still the Colombian tournament for European weightlifters but I don't think it will change a lot.

Pity for Zanni, 2 bad mistakes in the clean, in the past days he did 178kg in training. For the Olympic pass should be 99,9% done.

This time the WA standards are very, very, very hard and we will send every athletes who will achieve it, with some different windows of time. In swimming it's not understandable how you can ask 14.50.0 in 1500 freestyle,1. 56.40 in 200 backstroke, or not sending in 200 butterfly with 1.56.10(1.55.5 the time we ask, probably it will be enough for final) , it's a semifinal time, or asking 2.07.5 in 200 butterfly women, it's probably very close to a final time, or 4.13.0 in 400 medley and 59.30 in 100 breastroke, i don't agree with our federation, in this way we are leaving home swimmer that have great chances of semifinal and I think that in the end our federation will fill some of these spots that will remain free.

I agree with you, also in Italy we have very very difficult times to achieve to book the ticket for individual races to Tokyo, for examples 14.50.0 in 1500 free, 1.55.5 in 200 butterfly, 1.46.4 in 200 free, 4.13.0 in 400 medley, 51.5 in 100 butterfly,59. 3 in 100 breastroke, 48.20 in 100 free,21. 79 in 50 free, for men. For women 24.6 in 50 free, 4.06 in 400 free, 2.11.0 in 200 medley, 2.07.5 in 200 butterfly, 2.23.9 in 200 breastroke. In my opinion these times are too difficult, basically only very, very good swimmers can achieve these times, if you are a quite good swimmer you stay at home. I think the Fina limits are already quite difficult, probably too easy only in 800 and 1500 freestyle, but in the the other races are good enough to fly to Tokyo.

You are right, the Colombian is suspended and China will likely skip this weight, in this case probably both France and Turkey will be in Tokyo.

I think that at least Chn, Ind, INA, USA, Col, VIE, Dom, PNG will finish ahead of both European and will be selected by their Noc.

It's the second one, but for looking like that , there is something suspicious...

I know, but I think that at the end there will be 8 weightlifters that will be selectioned by their Noc ahead of Erdogan and Michel, so only 1 of them will go with European pass, but it's only my prediction.

If she can compete in women weightlifting, I don't see any reason why Semenia can't compete in women 800 metres....

She must stay ahead of Erdogan, now I think she is still ahead but with few points of margin, there is still 1 tournament in Colombia open for European athletes, I think both have to fly there.

Anais Michel will be probably some points ahead of Erdogan (i am not sure, it's about very few points) i think both will fly to Colombia for the last tournament. I think they have no chance to finish in top 8, PNG and DOM have great chances to overtake both of them.

Alberto Razzetti. 1. 57. 13 200 medley Yesterday also Stafano Ballo qualified in 200 free but only for the 4x200relay swimming 1.46.80 not for the individual race. Elena Di Liddo qualified for the mixed relay swimming 57.8 in 100 butterfly, but not for individual race.

Martina Carraro. 1.05.86 NR 100 breastroke Arianna Castiglioni is out despite swimming 1.06.00. We will see if she will be brought to Tokyo swimming in the medley relay

I think the World Cup in Tokyo is cancelled...... Bah.... Fina will try to find another place and date to hold the World cup