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Latest Posts around Totallympics
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By JoshMartini007 · Posted
Here's the first update of my medal predictor for alpine events using results up to the World Championships. - As per Olympic rules, only the four best athletes per nation are currently considered in the simulation (until NOC confirms who is competing or an athlete is ruled out of the Olympics due to injury/ban/etc.) - For the combined event, I just took the best performing athletes from each nation in the downhill and slalom events and simulated their combined performance. I then proceeded with the 2nd, 3rd and 4th best athletes for the nation (if applicable) - Each event is simulated 1000 times and the medalists counted. Eventually I plan to do a 10,000x simulations for more robustness, but as I may still tweak the formula I don't want to waste processing time each time I run the simulation. - While I did include the chance for an athlete to DNF the race it is currently a flat rate for all athletes. This currently benefits certain athletes which are well known to DNF races more often than expected. Overall, this showcases the unpredictability of the sport and the accuracy difficulties predictors like GraceNote have when listing only the top 3. Looking at the percentages, for many of the events you'd actually only expect 1/3 to actually medal more often than not. I want to create predictors for the other sports so I will only update this periodically. Men's Downhill Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 18% 13% 11% 42% 2 Franjo Von Allmen 17% 12% 10% 39% 3 Alexis Monney 11% 10% 8% 29% 4 Miha Hrobat 9% 9% 7% 25% 5 Cameron Alexander 8% 9% 7% 24% 6 Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 5% 8% 19% 7 Dominik Paris 5% 6% 7% 18% 8 Justin Murisier 6% 5% 6% 18% 9 Daniel Hemetsberger 4% 4% 4% 12% 10 James Crawford 3% 4% 4% 11% Men's Super-G Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 30% 16% 11% 57% 2 Stefan Rogentin 11% 11% 10% 32% 3 Raphael Haaser 10% 9% 11% 30% 4 Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 11% 10% 28% 5 Fredrik Moeller 7% 10% 10% 27% 6 Franjo Von Allmen 7% 7% 7% 21% 7 Mattia Casse 8% 6% 7% 20% 8 Cameron Alexander 6% 5% 6% 16% 9 James Crawford 4% 4% 4% 13% 10 Dominik Paris 2% 3% 4% 9% Men's Giant Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 22% 12% 10% 45% 2 Alexander Steen Olsen 15% 13% 9% 37% 3 Loic Meillard 11% 11% 8% 30% 4 Henrik Kristoffersen 8% 9% 9% 25% 5 Thomas Tumler 5% 7% 7% 19% 6 Zan Kranjec 4% 5% 5% 14% 7 Luca De Aliprandini 4% 5% 5% 14% 8 Lucas Pinheiro Braathen 4% 4% 6% 14% 9 Stefan Brennsteiner 3% 5% 6% 14% 10 Atle McGrath 4% 5% 5% 13% Men's Slalom Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Clement Noel 31% 16% 9% 55% 2 Atle McGrath 11% 13% 10% 33% 3 Henrik Kristoffersen 11% 11% 9% 31% 4 Timon Haugan 8% 9% 10% 27% 5 Loic Meillard 8% 10% 8% 26% 6 Manuel Feller 8% 8% 9% 24% 7 Linus Strasser 5% 5% 8% 19% 8 Lucas Pinheiro Braathen 5% 6% 7% 18% 9 Fabio Gstrein 3% 3% 5% 11% 10 Kristoffer Jakobsen 2% 3% 5% 10% Men's Combined Rank Nation Name Gold Silver Bronze Total 1 Marco Odermatt 29% 16% 12% 57% Loic Meillard 2 Nils Allegre 20% 15% 12% 46% Clement Noel 3 Vincent Kriechmayr 13% 13% 12% 37% Manuel Feller 4 Franjo Von Allmen 9% 12% 10% 31% Daniel Yule 5 Alexis Monney 6% 8% 8% 22% Tanguy Nef 6 Daniel Hemetsberger 6% 7% 9% 21% Fabio Gstrein 7 Dominik Paris 4% 6% 6% 15% Alex Vinatzer 8 Adrian Sejersted 3% 6% 5% 15% Atle McGrath 9 Fredrik Moeller 3% 4% 6% 12% Henrik Kristoffersen 10 Cyprien Sarrazin 2% 3% 4% 9% Steven Amiez -
By Topicmaster1010 · Posted
Qualification gets underway in just under six hours! First up, we have Taiwan, Nicaragua, Spain and South Africa battling it out for two qualification places in Taipei. Qualification is round robin format. -
By Topicmaster1010 · Posted
Lineups for the championship game tonight. Canada Forwards Brayden Point -- Connor McDavid -- Mark Stone Sidney Crosby -- Nathan MacKinnon -- Sam Reinhart Brandon Hagel -- Anthony Cirelli -- Mitch Marner Brad Marchand -- Sam Bennett -- Seth Jarvis Defenseman Devon Toews -- Cale Makar Josh Morrissey -- Colton Parayko Travis Sanheim -- Drew Doughty Goalies Jordan Binnington Adin Hill Scratched: Sam Montembeault, Thomas Harley, Travis Konecny Injured: Shea Theodore (upper body) United States Forwards Brady Tkachuk -- Jack Eichel -- Matthew Tkachuk Jake Guentzel -- Auston Matthews -- Jack Hughes J.T. Miller -- Dylan Larkin -- Matt Boldy Brock Nelson -- Vincent Trocheck -- Chris Kreider Defenseman Noah Hanifin -- Adam Fox Jaccob Slavin -- Brock Faber Zach Werenski -- Jake Sanderson Goalies Connor Hellebuyck Jake Oettinger Scratched: Jeremy Swayman, Kyle Connor Injured: Charlie McAvoy (upper body) -
By Grassmarket · Posted
National Indoor Championships weekend coming up. Will post some of the easily to watch ones. First up, starting tomorrow . It's on terrestrial TV, but seemingly not geoblocked. Livestream - 1. Tag bei der Hallen-DM in Dortmund, am 21.02. ab 17.55 Uhr | sportschau.de -
By JockCartier · Posted
Hey now! It's only been aboot 8 years of nothing much -
FSCB qualified in the next round after defeated PAOK last night, 2-0. This is the third win against PAOK this season of Europa League, we beat them in the group phase as well FCSB will play Olympique Lyon or Eintracht Frankfurt in next round. Huge congrats to FCSB. Romania is proud of them
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Mixed Single Relay Non-Olympic Event Final Results France Julia Simon Quentin Fillon Maillet 35:25.1(0+7) Norway Ragnhild Feimsteinevik Johannes Thingnes Boe 35:30.8(0+15) Germany Franziska Preuss Justus Strelow 35:33.4(0+4) Full Final Result HERE
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Just to rephrase what I meant, there's no doubt they will dominate in general, I just feel that the Biathlon results might be weaker this time around.
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By Monzanator · Posted
even lost to but nobody expected miracles. TVP Sport crew said their view at the range was obscured by a giant flag -
Zero golds at all in biathlon, Nordic combined and alpine skiing? I mean, it is of course possible, but the chance is under 1% I'd say
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