website statistics
Jump to content

Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022 Early Qualification Predictions

Olympian1010
 Share

Recommended Posts

JoshMartini007 Rising Star

JoshMartini007   2,538

Posted
Posted
15 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Great job!

Can you elaborate on these specific countries please, as in which sports?

Azerbaijan - Alpine Skiing (1), Figure Skating (2)

Cayman Islands - Alpine Skiing (1)

Colombia - Alpine Skiing (1)

Ecuador - Alpine Skiing (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

Jamaica - Bobsleigh (1)

Madagascar - Alpine Skiing (1)

Malaysia - Alpine Skiing (2)

Moldova - Alpine Skiing (1), Luge (4)

Monaco - Alpine Skiing (2), Bobsleigh (4)

Nigeria - Bobsleigh (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

 

Mostly base quotas in alpine skiing

Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Replies 40
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

JoshMartini007
JoshMartini007

Here's my simulation of the number of athletes for each country. Note I did not take into account injuries (or people missing out due to COVID) and potential athletes that will reactivate themselves d

rafalgorka
rafalgorka

@phelps THANK YOU!   Maybe we can try day-by-day Beijing predictions - what would we watch on every day, what are the most interesting events for us,  what are our medal predictions, how our

hckošice
hckošice

Slovensko   Team Size Prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2022 Beijing   Ski Sports   Alpine Skiing  (7) - Baring health issues and injuries, Petra Vlhová and both

Olympian1010 Experienced

Olympian1010   7,976

Posted
Posted
12 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Azerbaijan - Alpine Skiing (1), Figure Skating (2)

Cayman Islands - Alpine Skiing (1)

Colombia - Alpine Skiing (1)

Ecuador - Alpine Skiing (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

Jamaica - Bobsleigh (1)

Madagascar - Alpine Skiing (1)

Malaysia - Alpine Skiing (2)

Moldova - Alpine Skiing (1), Luge (4)

Monaco - Alpine Skiing (2), Bobsleigh (4)

Nigeria - Bobsleigh (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

 

Mostly base quotas in alpine skiing

Colombia just had an athlete go under 300 points at the U23 World Champs in Cross Country. If he can get his points under 300, they’ll have a cross country skier too!

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Agger Rising Star

Agger   1,663

Posted
Posted
5 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Here's my simulation of the number of athletes for each country. Note I did not take into account injuries (or people missing out due to COVID) and potential athletes that will reactivate themselves during the 2021-2022 season (since I have no information on them). In total 91 nations will participate. Let's see how far off I am in 2022.

 

 

:DEN Denmark - 3

Pretty interesting that you have us at only 3 :mumble:

Link to comment
Share on other sites
JoshMartini007 Rising Star

JoshMartini007   2,538

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, Agger said:

Pretty interesting that you have us at only 3 :mumble:

 

Yeah, I was surprised when I was going down the list. To be fair, they just barely missed out in both curling teams and men's ice hockey. Do you know if Denmark is restricting travel by more than other nations? I noticed places with more restrictions (e.g. Australia) have smaller teams than expected.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Agger Rising Star

Agger   1,663

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, JoshMartini007 said:

 

Yeah, I was surprised when I was going down the list. To be fair, they just barely missed out in both curling teams and men's ice hockey. Do you know if Denmark is restricting travel by more than other nations? I noticed places with more restrictions (e.g. Australia) have smaller teams than expected.

Not for athletes. However it should be mentioned that some skiers have their base in Norway or USA which may have an impact. But some athletes (like speed skater Viktor Hald Thorup) haven't prioritized competing this year as well.

I strongly question that we'll qualify in curling. The federation has lost most of the funding meaning that there's been no way to prioritize. But well, we're in the Worlds, so maybe. I have us as small favourites for the men's ice hockey, but that's not the first time.

To me the main question would be how tough the national qualification will be. We should be able to qualify more than 3 (also without ice hockey, but how many will actually be selected?

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
intoronto Proficient

intoronto   5,644

Posted
Posted
54 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Azerbaijan - Alpine Skiing (1), Figure Skating (2)

Cayman Islands - Alpine Skiing (1)

Colombia - Alpine Skiing (1)

Ecuador - Alpine Skiing (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

Jamaica - Bobsleigh (1)

Madagascar - Alpine Skiing (1)

Malaysia - Alpine Skiing (2)

Moldova - Alpine Skiing (1), Luge (4)

Monaco - Alpine Skiing (2), Bobsleigh (4)

Nigeria - Bobsleigh (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

 

Mostly base quotas in alpine skiing

For Azerbaijan are you expecting a couple to qualify?

I highly doubt Cayman Islands will qualify. They have no current active skier (their athlete who qualified in 2018, retired before the games)

Are you expecting 2 sleds in the men's 2 men to qualify for Monaco?

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Olympian1010 Experienced

Olympian1010   7,976

Posted
Posted
36 minutes ago, intoronto said:

For Azerbaijan are you expecting a couple to qualify?

I highly doubt Cayman Islands will qualify. They have no current active skier (their athlete who qualified in 2018, retired before the games)

Are you expecting 2 sleds in the men's 2 men to qualify for Monaco?

Azerbaijan stands a good chance of qualification in the women’s single and men’s single.

 

Monaco should be able to get a 4-man sled.

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Olympian1010 Experienced

Olympian1010   7,976

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Azerbaijan - Alpine Skiing (1), Figure Skating (2)

Cayman Islands - Alpine Skiing (1)

Colombia - Alpine Skiing (1)

Ecuador - Alpine Skiing (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

Jamaica - Bobsleigh (1)

Madagascar - Alpine Skiing (1)

Malaysia - Alpine Skiing (2)

Moldova - Alpine Skiing (1), Luge (4)

Monaco - Alpine Skiing (2), Bobsleigh (4)

Nigeria - Bobsleigh (1), Cross-country Skiing (1)

 

Mostly base quotas in alpine skiing

Jamaica might be able to get more than one athlete bobsleigh if the rankings work out in their favor.

 

Moldova might be able to get a biathlete or two as well. 

“Sport has the power to change the world. It has the power to inspire. Sport can create hope where once there was only despair” - Nelson Mandela

Link to comment
Share on other sites
OlympicsFan Rising Star

OlympicsFan   858

Posted
Posted
7 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Here's my simulation of the number of athletes for each country. Note I did not take into account injuries (or people missing out due to COVID) and potential athletes that will reactivate themselves during the 2021-2022 season (since I have no information on them). In total 91 nations will participate. Let's see how far off I am in 2022.

 

:ALB Albania - 1

:ASA American Samoa - 1

:AND Andorra - 5

:ARG Argentina - 9

:ARM Armenia - 4

:AUS Australia - 34

:AUT Austria - 110

:AZE Azerbaijan - 3

:BLR Belarus - 38

:BEL Belgium - 18

:BOL Bolivia - 2

:BIH Bosnia and Herzegovina - 5

:BRA Brazil - 8

:BUL Bulgaria - 15

:CAN Canada - 206

:CAY Cayman Islands - 1

:CHI Chile - 3

:CHN China - 167

:COL Colombia - 1

:CRO Croatia - 9

:CYP Cyprus - 1

:CZE Czech Republic - 114

:DEN Denmark - 3

:ECU Ecuador - 2

:EST Estonia - 26

:FIN Finland - 98

:FRA France - 97

:GEO Georgia - 7

:GER Germany - 181

:GBR Great Britain - 62

:GRE Greece - 5

:HAI Haiti - 1

:HKG Hong Kong - 3

:HUN Hungary - 13

:ISL Iceland - 5

:IRI Iran - 4

:IRL Ireland - 4

:ISR Israel - 4

:ITA Italy - 129

:JAM Jamaica - 1

:JPN Japan - 134

:KAZ Kazakhstan - 31

:KEN Kenya - 1

:KOS Kosovo - 1

:KGZ Kyrgyzstan - 1

:LAT Latvia - 61

:LBN Lebanon - 3

:LIE Liechtenstein - 6

:LTU Lithuania - 12

:LUX Luxembourg

:MAD Madagascar - 1

:MAS Malaysia - 2

:MLT Malta - 1

:MEX Mexico - 2

:MDA Moldova - 5

:MON Monaco - 6

:MGL Mongolia - 2

:MNE Montenegro - 3

:MAR Morocco - 1

:NED Netherlands - 42

:NZL New Zealand - 16

:NGR Nigeria - 2

:PRK North Korea - 2

:MKD North Macedonia - 3

:NOR Norway - 115

:PAK Pakistan - 2

:PER Peru - 2

:PHI Philippines - 1

:POL Poland - 51

:POR Portugal - 2

:PUR Puerto Rico - 1

:ROU Romania - 21

:RUS Russia - 209

:SMR San Marino - 1

:SRB Serbia - 5

:SVK Slovakia - 48

:SLO Slovenia - 45

:RSA South Africa - 1

:KOR South Korea - 69

:ESP Spain - 13

:SWE Sweden - 117

:SUI Switzerland - 178

:TPE Chinese Taipei - 3

:THA Thailand - 4

:TLS Timor-Leste - 1

:TTO Trinidad and Tobago - 1

:TUR Turkey - 6

:UKR Ukraine - 41

:USA United States - 219

:UZB Uzbekistan - 1

:ISV Virgin Islands - 1

I hope that you are wrong for Germany, but I fear that your prediction won’t be far off.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing

  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • JoshMartini007
      Men's Baseball WBSC Premier12 2024

      By JoshMartini007 · Posted

      Pretty crazy, just imagine if they won the World Baseball Classic (though personally I equate the two pretty closely).
    • batbobi
      [OFF TOPIC] WWE Thread

      By batbobi · Posted

      WWE Survivor Series: WarGames 2024     Main Card:   United States Champion LA Knight vs. Shinsuke Nakamura Singles Match for the United States Championship     Intercontinental Champion Bron Breakker vs. Sheamus vs. Ludwig Kaiser Triple Threat Match for the Intercontinental Championship     World Heavyweight Champion Gunther vs. Damian Priest Singles Match for the World Heavyweight Championship     Liv Morgan, Nia Jax, Tiffany Stratton, Raquel Rodriguez & Candice LeRae vs. Bianca Belair, Rhea Ripley, Bayley, Iyo Sky & Naomi Women's WarGames Match     Roman Reigns, CM Punk, Jey Uso, Jimmy Uso & Sami Zayn vs. Solo Sikoa, Jacob Fatu, Bronson Reed, Tanga Loa & Tama Tonga Men's WarGames Match
    • bestmen
      [OFF TOPIC] Politics Thread

      By bestmen · Posted

      She was looking to talk about human right and everything .. . really      Algerian delegation expels  war criminal Tzipi Livni from UNAOC forum in Portugal   https://al24news.com/en/algerian-delegation-expels-zionist-war-criminal-tzipi-livni-from-unaoc-forum-in-portugal/        💪
    • hckošice
      Men's Football UEFA European Champions League 2024 - 2025

      By hckošice · Posted

      Really reaaaaaally hard to care less
    • freds77
      Winter Olympic Games Milano-Cortina 2026 News

      By freds77 · Posted

      https://olympics.com/ioc/news/milano-cortina-2026-unveils-greatest-journey-as-olympic-torch-relay-route-announced
    • Topicmaster1010
      Men's Baseball WBSC Premier12 2024

      By Topicmaster1010 · Posted

    • batbobi
      [OFF TOPIC] WWE Thread

      By batbobi · Posted

      WWE introduced two new Women's Championship belts. The first one introduced was the Women's United States Championship and not shortly after that the Women's Intercontinental Championship. The Women's US Title will be exclusive to SmackDown and the Women's IC Title will be exclusive to RAW.
    • Swewi
      Biathlon IBU World Cup 2024 - 2025

      By Swewi · Posted

      Linn Gestblom (previously Persson) Will miss all season. Not recovered after surgery.
    • copravolley
      Alpine Skiing FIS World Cup 2024 - 2025

      By copravolley · Posted

      Greece and Portugal also have winter sports centres - but of course these are not homologated routes for World Cup competitions I have never been to Albania personally, so I don't know the country at all. I have been in southern Croatia, though, and there are mountains there but you definitely can't ski there (I was there in the summer, but it's also impossible in the winter). World cup taking place there only in Zagreb.    In general the case of Colturi and Kostelic is completely different: Colturi has no ties to Albania and Janica Kostelic was Croatian and didn't left their country even though at the beginning of her carrier (and also her brother Ivica) her father had to pay for everything and the federation's support was zero. This only changed later. I imagine that the Kostelic family had offers from other countries (Austria, Switzerland, Italy?) to compete for them, which were much richer (at the beginning of the 21st century Croatia was a very poor country and devastated by war). All the more respect for them because they were true Croatian patriots until the end. I can imagine the Colturi family in a similar situation... Her mother would probably negotiate with half of Alpine Europe for Lara to compete for them Which of course doesn't change the fact that the Italian federation completely gave a shit in this situation. They let such talent go in a situation where they hasn`t a single female athlete on the podium of the World Cup in slalom for a dozen or so years. In the giant slalom it's not much better either, only there the older athletes cloud the picture: Brignone and Bassino. However, behind these two there is absolutely nothing...
    • copravolley
      Men's Football UEFA European Champions League 2024 - 2025

      By copravolley · Posted

      Atalanta is probably playing the most beautiful football in Europe right now: spectacular and effective. It's nice to watch and they don't have to spend a lot of money for it.   Inter is playing very economically. It's not impressive but it's consistently collecting points. It's also the only team in the Champions League that hasn't conceded a goal this season.   Milan played very poorly yesterday but they won. They have 9 points and are close to qualifying for the play-offs.
×
×
  • Create New...