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Men's Basketball NBA 2023 - 2024


Totallympics
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With the NBA 2023-24 Season tip-off only a couple days away, I will give it try to make estimated predictions for each team for their regular season and come with my predicted final ranking of the NBA 2023-24 Regular Season.

 

NBA 2023-24 Regular Season Predictions

 

 

Eastern Conference

 

Atlantic 

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Boston Celtics 56-60 22-26 2
2 Philadelphia 76ers 46-50 32-36 4
3 New York Knicks 44-48 34-38 6
4 Brooklyn Nets 37-41 41-45 9
5 Toronto Raptors 37-41 41-45 10

 

Central

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Milwaukee Bucks 57-61 21-25 1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers 49-53 29-33 3
3 Indiana Pacers 38-42 40-44 8
4 Chicago Bulls 37-41 41-45 11
5 Detroit Pistons 29-33 49-53 13

 

Southeast

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Miami Heat 45-49 34-37 5
2 Atlanta Hawks 39-43 39-43 7
3 Orlando Magics 32-36 46-50 12
4 Charlotte Hornets 26-30 52-56 14
5 Washington Wizards 26-30 52-56 15

 

 

Western Conference

 

Northwest  

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Denver Nuggets 51-55 27-31 2
2 Minnesota Timberwolves 42-46 36-40 6
3 Oklahoma City Thunder 39-43 39-43 9
4 Utah Jazz 34-38 44-48 12
5 Portland Trailblazers 28-32 50-54 14

 

Pacific

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Phoenix Suns 52-56 26-30 1
2 Golden State Warriors 46-50 32-36 3
3 Sacramento Kings 45-49 33-37 4
4 Los Angeles Lakers 45-49 33-37 5
5 Los Angeles Clippers 41-45 37-41 8

 

Southwest

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank
1 Memphis Grizzlies 42-46 36-40 7
2 New Orleans Pelicans 38-42 40-44 10
3 Dallas Mavericks 38-42 40-44 11
4 Houston Rockets 29-33 49-53 13
5 San Antonio Spurs 26-30 52-56 15

 

 

 

Eastern Conference

 

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank

1 Milwaukee Bucks 57-61 21-25 1
2 Boston Celtics 56-60 22-26 2
3 Cleveland Cavaliers 49-53 29-33 3
4 Philadelphia 76ers 46-50 32-36 4
5 Miami Heat 45-49 34-37 5
6 New York Knicks 44-48 35-38 6
7 Atlanta Hawks 39-43 39-43 7
8 Indiana Pacers 38-42 40-44 8
9 Brooklyn Nets 37-41 41-45 9
10 Toronto Raptors 37-41 41-45 10
11 Chicago Bulls 37-41 41-45 11
12 Orlando Magic 32-36 46-50 12
13 Detroit Pistons 29-33 49-53 13
14 Charlotte Hornets 26-30 52-56 14
15 Washington Wizards 26-30 52-56 15

 

Western Conference

 

 

Div. Rank Team Wins (Between)

Loses

(Between)

Predicted Rank

1 Phoenix Suns 52-56 26-30 1
2 Denver Nuggets 51-55 27-31 2
3 Golden State Warriors 46-50 32-36 3
4 Sacramento Kings 45-49 33-37 4
5 Los Angeles Lakers 45-49 33-37 5
6 Minnesota Timberwolves 42-46 36-40 6
7 Memphis Grizzlies 42-46 36-40 7
8 Los Angeles Clippers 41-45 37-41 8
9 Oklahoma City Thunder 39-43 39-43 9
10 New Orleans Pelicans 38-42 40-44 10
11 Dallas Mavericks 38-42 40-44 11
12 Utah Jazz 34-38 44-48 12
13 Houston Rockets 29-33 49-53 13
14 Portland Trailblazers 28-32 50-54 14
15 San Antonio Spurs 26-30 52-56 15

 

Edited by Wumo
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  Eastern Conference         Western Conference    
  Team Projected Wins Comments     Team Projected Wins Comments
1 Boston Celtics  59-61 Combination of talent and motivation should lead to the best regular season record this year   1 Phoenix Suns 55-57 Injury risk is significant but I think team will want to win a lot of regular season games. Still don't think they beat Denver come playoff time.
2 Milwaukee Bucks  51-53 This team is old, injury prone and while Mike Budenholzer was a playofff disaster he was an excellent regular season head coach. I like them in the playoffs but this team will win less than you would think in the regular season.   2 Denver Nuggets 55-57 Probably won't try hard enough for the one seed. Depth is a bit of a question mark too.
3 Cleveland Cavaliers 50-52 Terrible playoff team but should replicate regular season success   3 Minnesota timberwolves 49-51 I hate this pick but I was going to hate whoever I put third here. Let's bet on Anthony Edwards
4 Philadelphia 76ers 47-49 Have found ways to win despite internal dysfunction before. Might fall apart this time though.   4 Oklahoma City Thunder 48-50 Might be slightly too high but too many people underestimate the rising young team.
5 Miami Heat 45-47 Who knows what to do with them.    5 Golden State Warriors 44-46 I want to put them lower.
6 Atlanta Hawks 43-45 I hate putting them this high but Quin Snyder for a full year, should be a playoff team   6 Dallas Mavericks 44-46 I don't rate this team but let's back Luka.
7 New York Knicks 42-44 Might be a bit low but I don't want to overhype them based off beating a hapless Cleveland team in the playoffs.   7 Los Angeles Lakers 43-45 Oh look its an overrated Lakers team, What's new? This one should make the playoffs though
8 Orlando Magic 42-44 Should be fun to watch.    8 Los Angeles Clippers 43-45 No idea what to do with them. Depth isn't as good as it used to be.
9 Indiana Pacers 40-42 Also will be fun to watch. I'm hoping this is too low for them.   9 Memphis Grizzlies 43-45 Not the Grizzlies team of the last couple of years. I Hate the moves they made. How long will it take for people to realise that Marcus Smart and Dillon Brooks are basically the same player except Brooks is now a better defender.
10 Toronto Raptors 40-42 I kind of want to put them higher based off their talent but they might trade half their team by February.   10 Sacramento Kings  41-43 I'm sorry, I really am. They are due for a litlle bit of regression though.
11 Chicago Bulls 34-36 Should have tanked last year. Still should tank this year. Generally teams trying to be mediocre end up being worse than average.   11 New Orleans Pelicans 39-41 Don't know what to do with these either.
12 Brooklyn Nets  27-29 Not a very good team   12 Portland Trail Blazers 30-32 I think this is last year's jazz except with more oung talent. They may tank the shit out of this but for now I kind of think they are too good to tank. This is not the consensus on them though.
13 Charlotte Hornets  26-28 Have inherited the title of worst vibes team from Houstan. Talent is better than this record but this team is dysfunctional.   13 Utah Jazz 30-32 Sneaky difficult team to peg.
14 Detroit Pistons 23-25 Will be better but starting from a very low bar. I am not high on Cade Cunningham's potential   14 Houston Rockets  25-27 I like a lot of this team. They should be better than this but I don't trust them
15 Washington Wizards 18-20 Easy pick for worst team in the league. Jordan Poole is just about the best possible asset for a team that is trying to lose   15 San Antonio Spurs 24-26 They should be fun to watch but probably won't win that many games. I don't think they will actually finish 15th.

 

Here's my two cents. This may be the league, sporting event I follow the closest and yet I have never quite managed to figure out preseason predictions. This year is especially difficult because the middle tier in the league is huge. There were a lot of very similar teams around the middle last year and they are alll basically still there plus a couple of the high win total teams last year have regressed and all the teams from the bottom last year are trying to be better this year. For what its worth I think Denver will repeat and I'm not just saying that because I am a Nuggets fan.

Edited by Ogreman
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1 hour ago, rafalgorka said:

Jokic triple double after being drunk all summer. Respect. Is this game that easy? Really???

It's just a 3-pt shooting contest most of the time and moreover, everyone is still more or less playing small ball. A center who can pass the ball is kryptonite in the modern NBA. And most opponents just want to outscore the other team than play genuine defense.

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8 hours ago, Ogreman said:
  Eastern Conference         Western Conference    
  Team Projected Wins Comments     Team Projected Wins Comments
1 Boston Celtics  59-61 Combination of talent and motivation should lead to the best regular season record this year   1 Phoenix Suns 55-57 Injury risk is significant but I think team will want to win a lot of regular season games. Still don't think they beat Denver come playoff time.
2 Milwaukee Bucks  51-53 This team is old, injury prone and while Mike Budenholzer was a playofff disaster he was an excellent regular season head coach. I like them in the playoffs but this team will win less than you would think in the regular season.   2 Denver Nuggets 55-57 Probably won't try hard enough for the one seed. Depth is a bit of a question mark too.
3 Cleveland Cavaliers 50-52 Terrible playoff team but should replicate regular season success   3 Minnesota timberwolves 49-51 I hate this pick but I was going to hate whoever I put third here. Let's bet on Anthony Edwards
4 Philadelphia 76ers 47-49 Have found ways to win despite internal dysfunction before. Might fall apart this time though.   4 Oklahoma City Thunder 48-50 Might be slightly too high but too many people underestimate the rising young team.
5 Miami Heat 45-47 Who knows what to do with them.    5 Golden State Warriors 44-46 I want to put them lower.
6 Atlanta Hawks 43-45 I hate putting them this high but Quin Snyder for a full year, should be a playoff team   6 Dallas Mavericks 44-46 I don't rate this team but let's back Luka.
7 New York Knicks 42-44 Might be a bit low but I don't want to overhype them based off beating a hapless Cleveland team in the playoffs.   7 Los Angeles Lakers 43-45 Oh look its an overrated Lakers team, What's new? This one should make the playoffs though
8 Orlando Magic 42-44 Should be fun to watch.    8 Los Angeles Clippers 43-45 No idea what to do with them. Depth isn't as good as it used to be.
9 Indiana Pacers 40-42 Also will be fun to watch. I'm hoping this is too low for them.   9 Memphis Grizzlies 43-45 Not the Grizzlies team of the last couple of years. I Hate the moves they made. How long will it take for people to realise that Marcus Smart and Dillon Brooks are basically the same player except Brooks is now a better defender.
10 Toronto Raptors 40-42 I kind of want to put them higher based off their talent but they might trade half their team by February.   10 Sacramento Kings  41-43 I'm sorry, I really am. They are due for a litlle bit of regression though.
11 Chicago Bulls 34-36 Should have tanked last year. Still should tank this year. Generally teams trying to be mediocre end up being worse than average.   11 New Orleans Pelicans 39-41 Don't know what to do with these either.
12 Brooklyn Nets  27-29 Not a very good team   12 Portland Trail Blazers 30-32 I think this is last year's jazz except with more oung talent. They may tank the shit out of this but for now I kind of think they are too good to tank. This is not the consensus on them though.
13 Charlotte Hornets  26-28 Have inherited the title of worst vibes team from Houstan. Talent is better than this record but this team is dysfunctional.   13 Utah Jazz 30-32 Sneaky difficult team to peg.
14 Detroit Pistons 23-25 Will be better but starting from a very low bar. I am not high on Cade Cunningham's potential   14 Houston Rockets  25-27 I like a lot of this team. They should be better than this but I don't trust them
15 Washington Wizards 18-20 Easy pick for worst team in the league. Jordan Poole is just about the best possible asset for a team that is trying to lose   15 San Antonio Spurs 24-26 They should be fun to watch but probably won't win that many games. I don't think they will actually finish 15th.

 

Here's my two cents. This may be the league, sporting event I follow the closest and yet I have never quite managed to figure out preseason predictions. This year is especially difficult because the middle tier in the league is huge. There were a lot of very similar teams around the middle last year and they are alll basically still there plus a couple of the high win total teams last year have regressed and all the teams from the bottom last year are trying to be better this year. For what its worth I think Denver will repeat and I'm not just saying that because I am a Nuggets fan.

This is huge! Thanks. I like some of those one-liners. Respect.

 

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