Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Medal Predictions

[Epic Failure 359]

39 minutes ago, mpjmcevoy said:

I think such a large number of bronzes is the classic sign of caution. In recent cycles, GBR have usually been a little gold heavy, rather than bronze heavy.

 

 

 

 I think 20 golds are well within reach.

That was sort of my point. I think the total number of medals is likely to be pretty accurate but I'm not remotely convinced that I got the colours right.

 

One easy example to show what I was doing is that I have Molly Caudrey down for bronze. It certainly wouldn't be a shock if that's where she finished, but neither would it surprise me if she were a top the podium.

[Fly_like_a_don 1,142]

7 hours ago, Gagaska93 said:

Look at my simulation

 

https://x.com/Igrzyska2024/status/1800452575268917752

Is there a full stimulation u have done

[RussB 189]

4 hours ago, Epic Failure said:

That was sort of my point. I think the total number of medals is likely to be pretty accurate but I'm not remotely convinced that I got the colours right.

 

One easy example to show what I was doing is that I have Molly Caudrey down for bronze. It certainly wouldn't be a shock if that's where she finished, but neither would it surprise me if she were a top the podium.

I have the GB gold count at 20-24 range mainly driven by cycling (cross discipline) and rowing contributing double digits. Those sports I feel very confident in.

 

athletics and swimming is harder to predict but I think both should be able to contribute. Keely and men’s 4x2 for instance should be firm firm favs. 

 

Beyond them I expect traditional strengths in sailing and equestrian to have a good degree of success. 
 

it’s not an exact science though we are sticking our fingers in the air; the team has a wide variety of medal hopes across sports and it just depends on how the cookie crumbles. Statistically being that bronze heavy relative to gold and silver would be highly unlikely though!

[De_Gambassi 1,267]

13 hours ago, phelps said:

Italian biggest sports website (OA) full predictions

 

https://www.oasport.it/2024/07/olimpiadi-parigi-2024-il-medagliere-di-oa-sport-tutti-i-podi-italia-ottava-francia-terza/

 

once again, imho,  and maybe even  and  have been underestimated, meanwhile  and, above all,  have been clearly overestimated

I don't think 60-65 medals for France is that much of an overestimation. Myself, I'm about 55-60 medals and I was trying to keep my expectations down. Gold medals is another subject though.

Edited July 16, 2024 by De_Gambassi

[Gagaska93 18]

8 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Is there a full stimulation u have done

Yes, it is simulation I have done myself

[phelps 8,282]

3 hours ago, De_Gambassi said:

I don't think 60-65 medals for France is that much of an overestimation. Myself, I'm about 55-60 medals and I was trying to keep my expectations down. Gold medals is another subject though.

yeah, of course I was talking of the number of gold medals mainly...totals might be more accurate, but details sometimes are just out of this world (boxing and wrestling predictions are absolutely not reliable except for a few weight classes, tbh)

[Fly_like_a_don 1,142]

2 hours ago, Gagaska93 said:

Yes, it is simulation I have done myself

I mean all nations in medal tally?

[Gagaska93 18]

45 minutes ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

I mean all nations in medal tally?

Name of nations in polish language.

[Gagaska93 18]

Just now, Gagaska93 said:

Name of nations in polish language.

 

[Gagaska93 18]

Just now, Gagaska93 said:

Name of nations in polish language.