Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024 Qualification Quota Simulation

[freds77 124]

 can't qualify in men's football too, they are eliminated by Congo at the 2nd round of the qualification to the 2023 Africa U-23 Cup of Nations.

Edited January 17, 2023 by freds77

[rafalgorka 1,821]

16 hours ago, Topicmaster1010 said:

 

I'll see what I can do. Maybe I'll do a breakdown of a few countries that are represented a lot on this forum or I can do a breakdown by sport.

 

For the countries you mentioned,

 

Belize has universality quotas in athletics and the men's K-1 1000m in canoe sprint.

 

Tanzania has two swimming universality quotas, 3 quotas in men's marathon, 1 quota in the women's marathon and a judo universality quota in the men's -66kg.

 

Oman has universality quotas in the 3 universality quotas in athletics, swimming and shooting (Women's 10m air pistol).

 

I was not able to assign universality quotas in athletics or swimming to specific events. I just made sure that the NOC had an athlete who had a result in an eligible event. Otherwise it probably would have taken me an extra 12 hours to finish .

 

 

 

Thanks a lot.

 

I am obviously very interested how you counted these 214 athletes for Team Poland. So if you have time for it, let us know.

 

Extra 12 hours, you say... Man, this is really impressive.

I have been doing sth similar you did for some olympics back in the shooldays and it took me much more time. Respect.

 

PS. And how does your TPE simulation look like???

[Topicmaster1010 6,574]

14 hours ago, LDOG said:

 can't qualify in men's football.  

 

14 hours ago, freds77 said:

 can't qualify in men's football too, they are eliminated by Congo at the 2nd round of the qualification to the 2023 Africa U-23 Cup of Nations.

 

I was unaware of this. Thank you guys for letting me know! I will fix the team sizes.

[Topicmaster1010 6,574]

On 1/15/2023 at 3:19 PM, Makedonas said:

I'm curious, who did you have for Greece in sailing, athletics, and swimming? Thank you in advance.

Okay, let's do this!

 

 

Athletics:

 

Miltiadis Tentoglou (Men's High Jump) - Achieved Entry Standard

Emmanouil Karalis (Men's Pole Vault) - 23rd in World Rankings

Christos Frantzeskakis (Men's Hammer Throw) - Achieved Entry Standard

Michail Anastasakis (Men's Hammer Throw) - 31st in World Rankings

 

Tatiana Gusin (Women's High Jump) - 27th in World Rankings

Aikaterina Stefanidi (Women's Pole Vault) - Achieved Entry Standard

Spyridoula Karydi (Women's Triple Jump) - 32nd in World Rankings

Chrysoula Anagnostopoulou (Women's Discus Throw) - 25th in World Rankings

Stamatis Scarvelis (Women's Hammer Throw) - 21st in World Rankings

Elina Tzengko (Women's Javelin Throw) - Achieved Entry Standard

Antigoni Ntrismpioti (Women's 20km Race Walk) - Achieved Entry Standard

 

Sailing (calculated using world rankings):

 

Men's iQFOiL - Leonidas Tsortanidis

Men's ILCA 7 - Adonis Bougiouris

Women's ILCA 6 - Vasileia Karachaliou

Mixed Nacra17 - Iordanis Paschalidis (and whoever their partner is)

 

Swimming

 

The following athletes achieved an olympic qualifying time in 2022:

Kristian Gkolomeev - Men's 50m Freestyle

Apostolos Christou - Men's 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke

Anna Ntountounaki - Women's 100m Butterfly

 

+ 4 athletes from qualifying for two relays (Men's medley + Mixed medley)

[Laraja 1,522]

On 1/15/2023 at 11:46 AM, Topicmaster1010 said:

 

 Brazil: 292 (-18)

(Archery - 4, Athletics - 45, Badminton - 2, Boxing - 4, Slalom Canoe - 2, Sprint Canoe - 3, BMX - 2, Mountain Biking - 3, Road Cycling - 1, Diving - 5, Equestrian - 9, Fencing - 2, Football - 36, Artistic Gymnastics - 10, Rhythmic Gymnastics - 6, Trampoline - 1, Handball - 14, Judo - 14, Modern Pentathlon - 3, Rugby Sevens - 12, Sailing - 10, Shooting - 4, Skateboarding - 12, Surfing - 5, Swimming - 22, Table Tennis - 5, Taekwondo - 7, Tennis - 4, Triathlon - 4, Indoor Volleyball - 24, Beach Volleyball - 8, Weightlifting - 2, Wrestling - 7)

If possible, i would love to see a breakdown for Brazil. Great work!

[Josh 13,471]

On 1/15/2023 at 6:46 AM, Topicmaster1010 said:

 Canada: 300 (-78)

(Archery - 2, Athletics - 51, Badminton - 8, Basketball - 12, 3x3 Basketball - 4, Boxing - 3, Breaking - 1, Slalom Canoe - 2, Sprint Canoe - 14, BMX - 1, Mountain Biking - 2, Road Cycling - 3, Track Cycling - 15, Diving - 6, Equestrian - 9, Fencing - 8, Football - 18, Golf - 4, Artistic Gymnastics - 10, Trampoline - 2, Judo - 7, Rowing - 28, Rugby Sevens - 12, Sailing - 7, Skateboarding - 7, Sport Climbing - 1, Surfing - 2, Swimming - 23, Table Tennis - 2, Taekwondo - 3, Tennis - 6, Triathlon - 4, Beach Volleyball - 4, Water Polo - 12, Weightlifting - 1, Wrestling - 6)

 

@Topicmaster1010 I’d love to see a breakdown for Canada. 300 athletes at the 2024 Olympics seems a little low for us, even if quotas have been reduced. 
 

Team Sports: Basketball- I’m shocked you don’t have us qualifying in men’s basketball, even though we had a nightmare Olympic Qualification Tournament, I still think we can get 2nd in the Americas behind United States. 

 

Volleyball- Could qualify, could miss out. Although we are ranked 14? (I think.) we had some great wins at the 2022 Women’s Volleyball World Championships over the likes of Dominican Republic/Germany/Thailand, and almost beat Poland in five sets. 

 

Individual Sports: Boxing- I would predict a couple more athletes than that (Maybe around 5-6) by looking at IBA World Rankings.

 

Same for breaking, we have two “B-Boys” ranked inside the top 12. We also have a “B-Girl” ranked inside the top 25, but I’m not too sure she will qualify. 

 

For surfing, surprised that you have us qualifying two athletes.  I suppose both are competing in the women’s event? Sanoa & Erin?

Other than that, great work 

 

 

 

[nenad 456]

Great work. Personally I think, it's vastly overestimates Serbian team. Both volleyball teams, women's handball and both basketball teams. Very very tricky. I would go with men's basketball but not women's, there is a change of generations there, men's volleyball we're not top class anymore. And in handball it is far more likely that we qualify in men's rather than women's and even there it's probably below 50 percent. But great job doing all of this. 

[Dnl 726]

@Topicmaster1010 is it possible to see the details of who are the athletes and in what category? Like go instance in sailing athletics or who is in skating or breakdancing? Would be much appreciated 

[Makedonas 2,262]

On 1/18/2023 at 2:18 AM, Topicmaster1010 said:

Okay, let's do this!

 

 

Athletics:

 

Miltiadis Tentoglou (Men's High Jump) - Achieved Entry Standard

Emmanouil Karalis (Men's Pole Vault) - 23rd in World Rankings

Christos Frantzeskakis (Men's Hammer Throw) - Achieved Entry Standard

Michail Anastasakis (Men's Hammer Throw) - 31st in World Rankings

 

Tatiana Gusin (Women's High Jump) - 27th in World Rankings

Aikaterina Stefanidi (Women's Pole Vault) - Achieved Entry Standard

Spyridoula Karydi (Women's Triple Jump) - 32nd in World Rankings

Chrysoula Anagnostopoulou (Women's Discus Throw) - 25th in World Rankings

Stamatis Scarvelis (Women's Hammer Throw) - 21st in World Rankings

Elina Tzengko (Women's Javelin Throw) - Achieved Entry Standard

Antigoni Ntrismpioti (Women's 20km Race Walk) - Achieved Entry Standard

 

Sailing (calculated using world rankings):

 

Men's iQFOiL - Leonidas Tsortanidis

Men's ILCA 7 - Adonis Bougiouris

Women's ILCA 6 - Vasileia Karachaliou

Mixed Nacra17 - Iordanis Paschalidis (and whoever their partner is)

 

Swimming

 

The following athletes achieved an olympic qualifying time in 2022:

Kristian Gkolomeev - Men's 50m Freestyle

Apostolos Christou - Men's 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke

Anna Ntountounaki - Women's 100m Butterfly

 

+ 4 athletes from qualifying for two relays (Men's medley + Mixed medley)

Thank you for this! Unfortunately Karachaliou will be representing Portugal and not Greece.

[Topicmaster1010 6,574]

On 1/15/2023 at 7:04 AM, rafalgorka said:

If you don’t mind , could you put here details about certain NOCs?

e.g. How did you count it for Team Poland? What events are these 15 rowers for example???

Enjoy!

 

 Team Poland Simulation Results

 

Archery:

Women's - Sylwia Zyzanska (65th in World Rankings)

 

Athletics:

 

Men:

Mateusz Borkowski - 800m (57th in World Rankings)

Konrad Bukowiecki - Shot Put (Achieved Entry Standard)

Damian Czykier - 110m Hurdles (Achieved Entry Standard)

Patryk Dobek - 800m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Pawel Fajdek - Hammer Throw (Achieved Entry Standard)

Michal Haratyk - Shot Put (16th in World Rankings)

Norber Kobielski - High Jump (12th in World Rankings)

Kacper Lewalski - 800m (61st in World Rankings)

Piotr Lisek - Pole Vault (19th in World Rankings)

Wojciech Nowicki - Hammer Throw (Achieved Entry Standard)

Karol Zalewski - 400m (31st in World Rankings)

Michal Rozmys - 1500m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Robert Sobera - Pole Vault (43rd in World Rankings)

Oskar Stachnik - Discus Throw (31st in World Rankings)

Jakub Szymanski - 110m Hurdles (36th in World Rankings)

Robert Urbanek - Discus Throw (28th in World Rankings)

Marcin Wrotynski - Hammer Throw (25th in World Rankings)

 

Women:

Monika Andrzejczak - Marathon (272nd in World Rankings)

Adrianna Czapla - 800m (43rd in World Rankings)

Sofia Ennaoui - 1500m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Nikola Horowska - 200m (33rd in World Rankings)

Katarzyna Jankowska - Marathon (279th in World Rankings)

Natalia Kaczmarek - 400m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Klaudia Kardasz - Shot Put (36th in World Rankings)

Anna Kielbasinska - 400m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Alicja Konieczek - 3000m Steeplechase (34th in World Rankings)

Malwina Kopron - Hammer Throw (Achieved Entry Standard)

Paulina Ligarska - Heptathlon (15th in World Rankings)

Eliza Megger - 1500m (52nd in World Rankings)

Izabela Paskiewicz - Marathon (161stin World Rankings)

Ewa Rozanska - Hammer Throw (16th in World Rankings)

Angelika Sarna - 800m (45th in World Rankings)

Klaudia Siciarz - 100m Hurdles (33rd in World Rankings)

Pia Skrzyszowska - 100m Hurdles (Achieved Entry Standard)

Magdalena Stefanowicz - 100m (86th in World Rankings)

Justyna Swiety-Ersetic - 400m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Adrianna Sulek - Heptathlon (Achieved Entry Standard)

Ewa Swoboda - 100m (Achieved Entry Standard)

Anna Wielgosz - 800m (22nd in World Rankings)

Anita Wlodarczyk - Hammer Throw (Achieved Entry Standard)

Klaudia Wojtunik - 100m Hurdles (48th in World Rankings)

Daria Zabawska - Discus Throw (30th in World Rankings)

Katarzyna Zdzieblo - 20km Race Walk (Achieved Entry Standard)

 

+ qualification in all 5 relays so there's some additional relay athletes

 

Boxing (I redid the boxing simulation so Poland lost a quota):

Aneta Rygielska - Women's 60kg

Elzbieta Wojcik - Women's 66kg

Lidia Fidura - Women's 75kg

 

Canoe Slalom

Athletes in all canoe and kayak disciplines. Current Simulation has Michal Pasiut (Men's Kayak), Grzegorz Hedwig (Men's Canoe), Klaudia Zwolinska (Women's Kayak), Aleksandra Stach (Women's Canoe)

 

Canoe Sprint

Quotas in Men's K-4 500m, Men's C-2 500m, Women's K-4 500m, Women's C-2 500m. So that means that Poland should have at least a boat in every event. Also an extra quota added in the Women's C-1 200m.

 

Mountain Biking

One in each gender (Bartlomiej Wawak and Paula Gorycka)

 

Road Cycling

1 man + 3 women

 

Track Cycling

Full team in men's sprint (3), women's sprint (3), men's distance (4) and women's distance (4) events. Plus an extra quota earned from the women's omnium.

 

*All cycling quotas qualified through the nations rankings

 

Diving

One athlete in the men's 10m Platform (Robert Lukaszewicz)

 

Equestrian

Eventing + jumping teams qualified through Group C qualification events.

 

Fencing

Women's Team Epee (Top 4), Men's and Women's Team Foil (Top ranked team in Europe outside the top 4)

 

Golf

Adrian Meronk in the men's event (48th in the world rankings)

 

Judo

Women's -52kg - Aleksandra Kaleta (16th in World Rankings)

Women's -57kg - Julia Kowalczyk (18th in World Rankings)

Women's -63kg - Angelika Szymanska (8th in World Rankings)

Women's -70kg - Katarzya Sobierajska (Continental Quota)

Women's -78kg - Beata Pacut-Kloczko (8th in World Rankings)

 

Modern Pentathlon

2 men + 1 woman. We have Lukasz Gutkowski (European Championships) and Daniel Lawrynowicz (35th in World Rankings) in the men's event and Natalia Dominiak (30th in World Rankings) for the women.

 

Rowing

Men's Single Sculls, Men's Pair, Men's Double Sculls, Men's Four, Men's Quadruple Sculls, and Women's Lightweight Double Sculls.

 

Sailing

Quotas in men's windsurfing, men's kite, men's skiff, women's windsurfing, women's kite, women's dinghy, women's skiff, and mixed dinghy.

 

Shooting

Kacper Baksalary - Men's Skeet (Reallocated Quota)

Tomasz Bartnik - Men's 50m Rifle 3 Positions (2022 World Championships)

Klaudia Bres - Women's 25m Pistol (2022 European Championships)

Oskar Miliwek - Men's 25m Rapid Fire Pistol (2024 European Championship)

Maciej Kowalewicz - Men's 50m Rifle 3 Positions (2023 World Championships)

Julia Piotrowska - Women's 10m Air Rifle (2022 World Championships)

Aneta Stankiewicz - Women's 50m Rifle 3 Positions (Reallocated Quota)

Joana Wawrzonowska - Women's 25m Pistol (2023 World Championships)

 

Sport Climbing

1 in men's speed, 2 in women's speed. Marcin Dzineski has the men's quota and is qualified through the olympic qualifier series. The Kalucka's are currently the two top ranked Polish climbers in women's speed so they qualify through the world championships and european qualifier.

 

Swimming

The following achieved an Olympic Qualification Time:

Laura Bernat - Women's 200m Backstroke

Pawel Juraszek - Men's 50m Freestyle

Krzysztof Chmielewski - Men's 200m Butterfly

Jakub Majerski - Men's 100m Butterfly

Ksawery Masiuk - Men's 100m Backstroke, 200m Backstroke

Paulina Peda - Women's 100m Backstroke

Kasia Wasick - Women's 50m Freestyle

 

+ Olympic selection time for David Wiekiera in the men's 200m breaststroke

+ addition relay quotas for Men's 4x100m Freestyle, Men's 4x100m Medley, Women's 4x200m Freestyle, Women's 4x100m Medley, and Mixed 4x100m Medley

 

 

Table Tennis

2 men (Jakub Dyjas & Maciej Kubik) and 1 woman (Natalia Bajor). All qualify through world rankings.

 

Taekwondo

Women's -57kg - Patrycja Adamkiewicz (Europe Continental Event)

Women's +67kg - Aleksandra Kowalczuk (Europe Continental Event)

 

Tennis

Hubert Hurkacz (10th in World Rankings)

Kamil Majchrzak (77th in World Rankings)

 

Iga Swiatek (1st in World Rankings)

Magda Linette (48th in World Rankings)

+1 additional women's athlete for doubles

 

Triathlon

Women's - Paulina Klimas (50th in World Rankings)

 

Indoor Volleyball

Both men's and women's teams

 

Beach Volleyball

Bryl/Losiak for men (6th ranked team)

 

Wrestling

Men's 86kg Freestyle - Sebastian Jezieranski (Europe Qualification Tournament)

Men's 67kg Greco-Roman - Mateusz Bernatek (Europe Qualification Tournament)

Women's 50kg Freestyle - Anna Lukasiak (2023 World Championships)

Women's 57kg Freestyle - Anhelina Lysak (2023 World Championships)