How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games Beijing 2022?

[Topicmaster1010 6,598]

With two weeks to go until the opening ceremony and with countries finalizing their rosters, it's time for the big question!

[hckošice 16,630]

Barring Covid and Injuries disaster it should be as often, anything between Zero and Three.

 

It is not a secret that all our hopes this time are only and only on the shoulders of one certain Alpine Skier, a sport in which we never won a Olympic medal before. If everything works well, she should be able to bring a medal home, but it may also end in another disappointement just like 4 years ago...

 

well, let´s hope for the best this time and at least one medal, no matter of which color, any single medal would be already huge for us.

[dcro 10,211]

Zero (0).

[Vic Liu 1,701]

6-10 golds and 15-20 medals.

[Topicmaster1010 6,598]

 Canada

 

Alpine Skiing: On paper, we definitely should win 0 medals here but we did win one medal during the World Cup season this year. Our skiers are definitely capable of winning a surprise medal. 0-1 medals

 

Biathlon: Perhaps if one of our biathletes shoots clean, a medal in the individual could be possible in the most unpredictable sport (as shown by a 4th place finish from Scott Gow earlier this year). 0-1 medals

 

Bobsleigh: Between Justin Kripps, Christine de Bruin, and Cynthia Appiah, I would expect at least one medal. If everything goes according to plan, then a medal in all 4 disciplines. 1-4 medals

 

Cross-Country Skiing: With Alex Harvey's retirement, we've gone in a full rebuild mode. There's a couple of promising skiers on the men's side but it's safe to say that we won't contend at these Olympics. 0 medals

 

Curling: 4 years ago, I would have easily said 3 medals but the results over the last 4 years has shown that the rest of the world has caught up. I'll say that at least one team should medal but hopefully all 3 can make the podium. 1-3 medals

 

Figure Skating: What a difference 4 years makes. All but one member of the team that won gold in the team event in 2018 are retired. Maybe we win a medal in ice dance. Maybe we can beat out Japan for the bronze medal in the team event. Otherwise, no chance in the other disciplines. 0-2 medals

 

Freestyle Skiing: We have medal contenders in every discipline besides women's moguls and probably men's aerials. We should at least get one medal in ski cross, one in halfpipe and one between moguls and slopestyle/big air. 3-11 medals

 

Ice Hockey: Women's hockey should be our safest medal. Without NHL players, the men's team is no longer gold medal favourites but should still be contenders. 1-2 medals

 

Luge: Like figure skating, our luge program has gone into a rebuild except we don't have any medal contenders. 0 medals

 

Nordic Combined: No athletes. 0 medals

 

Short Track: Started out the World Cup season poorly but ended strongly. We at least won 2 medals at every world cup stop and the most we won is 7 so I'll put that as the range. Pascal Dion, Kim Boutin and Courtney Sarault will be the biggest medal hopefuls here. 2-7 medals

 

Skeleton: Definitely capable of a surprise in the women's event. 0 chance of a medal in the men's. 0-1 medals

 

Ski Jumping: Nope. 0 medals

 

Snowboarding: Biggest medal chances here are in the men's/women's slopestyle/big air events and men's snowboard cross. Let's go with 2-5 medals. 

 

Speed Skating: The sport that's made the most progress for us since the last Olympics. Possibility for medals in the men's 500m, 1500m, as well as the long distance, team pursuits and mass starts for both genders. 3-9 medals

 

Pessimistic Total: 13 medals 

 

Optimistic Total: 46 medals 

 

If we take the median, that would be 29.5. I'll say 26 would be more realistic.

[Topicmaster1010 6,598]

And for my ethnic nation of Taiwan, 0 medals as always in the winter games but it would be a great result if Huang Yu-Ting could get a top 10 finish in speed skating.

[pdr4332 261]

Hopefully 1 (someone of the guys in short track or one of the 2 relays)

[rafalgorka 1,821]

One medal will be ok this time.

 

Ski jumping - they are very weak this season, so I don't have any hopes.

But a chance for a medal is in W 500m short track speed skating (Maliszewska).

Biggest fun for me would be a medal in alpine skiing (W GS) by Maryna Gąsienica-Daniel but 5th or 6th place is more realistic, she is a contender but she hasn't been in top3 in the world cup yet.

Lately we had a win in Snowboard parallel GS world cup by Aleksandra Król, so this may be a surprise medal.

 

A medal in any other event would be a very big surprise for me. But you never know, maybe speed skating, maybe women's biathlon (Monika Hojnisz)... Who would have predicted a gold for Poland in 50km race walk in Tokyo, heh?

[rafalgorka 1,821]

@Topicmaster1010 a good result for Erin Mielzynski would be nice, she has a family in Poland, they have a fancy restaurant in Warsaw.

[Agger 1,841]

That's easy... 0! We have an outside chance or 2, but expecting anything would be crazy!

 

For my second nation, it's much harder. I would say 15 medals for Sweden, though higher is in no way impossible.