OlympicsFan

@heywoodu: How is it looking in the Netherlands? Today i read that one german state alone (Nordrhein-Westfalen) has already treated 39 patients from the Netherlands and that the number dramatically increased over the past week. Are your hospitals overrun?

You don't seem to know it yet, but there is only one correct answer for the winner in men's road race/time trial: Remco Evenepoel. This kid was already great in 2019, just imagine how much better he will be in 2021. Daria Bilodid also seems like a pretty safe bet, but i don't agree about Nathalie Moellhausen, my prediction would be Yiwen Sun (although i will cheer for Coraline Vitalis).

So what about some of the best tv shows of all time? Sopranos, The Wire, Six Feet Under ... you never even watched them?

Yes (in my opinion). I had a similar experience a couple of years ago. I watched one or two episodes, but found it to be too "slow", so i stopped. Later on i gave it another try and watched the whole series in a couple of weeks. This is also one of very few shows (in my opinion) that knew when to end (most say it has one of the best endings of any tv shows ever), so even the last season didn't decrease in quality.

Now that we are the owner of Italy, do we get the copyright for pizza and ice ream?

I already told you that back then, you could have listened to me and saved your money ... Now please listen to me this time at least: Neither Inception nor Interstellar is that great either ...

I really like the idea of this thread, but i would prefer to only predict the actual medallists in each event and not all the results of all the preliminary rounds.

Why Brazil 2016 and not for example Spain 2008 - 2012? Edit: I guess you only meant teams that actually played at the olympics and not the greatest teams overall? Even in that case i don't know why you named the 2016 brazilian teams, considering that they barely beat a pretty trash german team.

What about 1976 and 1916?

If Interestellar and Inception is your standard for greatness, then i guess i am in for a big disappointment when i decide to watch "Arrival" ...

Haven't seen it, but Amy Adams is in it, so it must be a great movie. Thanks for the recommendation. Edit: Wasn't your favorite movie "Gladiator" just a couple of months ago ... ?

Some preliminary result from a study conducted in Heinsberg (the region in Germany that was hit the hardest): They randomly tested 500 people and found out that 15 % of them had been infected. If we assume that 15 % of all people in this region have already been infected, then it would mean that 37500 people have been infected, while officially only 1500 people have tested positive. This would mean that the actual number of infected people is 25 times higher than the official number. The study also suggests that the real death rate therefore is 0.37 %. Earlier the scientist who conducted this study also said that they took samples from different objects (door knobs etc.) in a household with infected people and that they weren't able to cultivate the virus in the laboratory, which probably means that it is extremely "difficult" to get infected via objects.

Sorry, but there is EXACTLY ONE player on that list who might have been world class in 2018: Keylor Navas Kagawa and Chicharito were world-class a long time ago (maybe Lichtsteiner and Kolarov too) Ziyech was world-class last season, but this was the only season when he ever was world class If this is your definition of world-class, then there are probably a couple thousand world-class players ...

1) You were saying that the US and GB might very well be top 2 in terms of healthcare sytem. If you would tell that to the people in the US (30 million people without health insurance) or GB (ridiculously low number of ICU beds per 100.000 compared to Germany for example) they would probably think that you are joking. 2) I have no problem with making a conclusion about a ranking that has 100 % been proven wrong by reality. The US and GB are top 2 in the ranking, but in reality they are closer to bottom 2 (in terms of dealing with this pandemic). Of course their political leaders also played their part, but the things i mentioned in 1) played a major role and you don't have to be a nuclear physicist to know that 10 % of your population not having health insurance or your country having only roughly 1/5th of the ICU beds per 100.000 compared to Germany leaves you pretty vulnerable to a pandemic. I also have absolutely no clue how anyone can think that countries that haven't dealt with an epidemic like this (at least somewhat recently) (GB, the US), would be better prepared than countries (South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and to some degree Japan) that have been through this multiple times in the past two decades alone. Edit: Maybe this ranking was based on a pandemic where noone would get sick ... then it might be accurate, but in a scenario were a large number of people get ill at the same time, there is absolutely no way that any expert would think that GB (and to some degree the US) is better prepared than all of Switzerland/South Korea/Japan/Singapore/Germany/Norway/...

What? Countries like GB, Sweden or the Netherlands are pretty low on the list of ICU beds per 100000. Those countries might have some of the most "cost-effective" health care systems in the world, but certainly not some of the "best prepared" health care systems. Also the US without a doubt has the least "cost-effective" health care system in the world. They are spending the most and still roughly 10 % of their people aren't even insured. If you really think that the american or british health care system is great, then you obviously have no clue.

Reverse ranking? The US, UK and the Netherlands are among the countries that have had the worst response to this. You might as well put Italy on 1, Spain on 2 and France on 3 ... meanwhile Norway is way done the list and Iceland for example is nowhere to be seen ...

I guess we won't agree. For me it was a really boring world cup. Russia wasn't doing a bad job as a host, but for me it is always better to have a world cup in a country with a lot of tradition and in addition to that after the group stage it was already more than obvious that France would win the tournament (because none of the other major countries were at their best), so there was never really any excitement. You also seem to have a very interesting definition of "world class players". Which of the following teams had at least one world class player? Russia Saudi Arabia Iran Morocco Peru Australia Nigeria Iceland Switzerland Serbia Costa Rica Sweden Mexico Tunisia Panama Japan In my opinion the absence of Italy, Chile and the Netherlands also didn't help the overall quality.

I think one of your problems also was that you did very few tests initially (the same is true for GB and the US), so for most of the time your government had no clue how widespread the epidemic actually was.

What about the 1954 final? Maybe i am biased, but i think most people who were already alive back then agree(d) that it was a very exciting match.

2018 was pretty boring for me (not only because Germany got eliminated early), in my opinion 2006 was clearly better. It just doesn't feel right when none out of Germany/Spain/Argentina/Italy/Brazil makes the semifinal.

As far as i know that isn't correct. I think the city of Hamburg is counting their deaths this way, but the RKI (Robert-Koch-Institut) that is responsible for the statistics for Germany as a whole counts everyone who died and was tested positive, even if he/she died from something else. For example look at the following case: In Heinsberg a 78-year-old man died of heart failure without having any problems with his lungs, but he was still counted as a corona victim (after testing positive). Also in two retirement homes in Würzburg and Wolfsburg about 30 patients died and all were counted as corona victims although, as you might suspect, most of them were pretty old (80+) and had at least one underlying condition.

In case some people are interested about the situation in Germany: - Apparently Germany increased its critical care bed capacity to 40k and of those between 15k and 20k are currently free (which means roughly 34 intensive care beds per 100.000 people, compared to roughly 10 intensive care beds per 100.000 people in Italy/Spain/France) - Currently there are roughly 2200 patients with Covid-19 who need intensive care, 1800 of them need addititonal oxygen - The number of ventilators was increased to 30k - Over the last couple of days Germany always had roughly 6000 new cases and 100 - 150 new deaths (which suggests that currently one person statistically only infects one other person), in total there are about 95k confirmed cases and roughly 1400 deaths, so the death rate (which has been steadily increasing over the past couple of weeks) is now at about 1.5 % - The measures that were taken seem to be working and the doubling time is at 9 days currently, Angela Merkel said that only when the doubling time is at 14 days or so it will be time to consider lifting some of the restrictions - The current testing capacity is at roughly 100k tests per day and in total around 1.5 million tests were conducted so far, of which roughly 7 % were positive - Sadly (for all men) german doctors are also observing (like their colleagues from other countries) that men need intensive care more often than women Edit: According to Dietmar Hopp (main shareholder of Curevac) by this fall Curevac might be able to produce a couple houndred million doses of vaccine ... but the leading (german) virologists keep insisting that it will take at least 12 more months to get a vaccine. I would like to believe Hopp on this, but i fear that he won't be right.

Sad. They did the same to Canada and France already. Will be interesting to see a) How Trump will act if/when the US will be first to produce a vaccine b) How Trump will react if Germany won't sell the US a vaccine (if Curevac will be the first to produce one) or ventilators (produced by Dräger)

What a bullshit list... How can Hungary be on the list but not countries like South Korea or Norway?

Does anyone have any idea how much a reusable FFP3 mask normally costs? I wanted to buy one on Ebay (in Germany), but at the moment they seem a bit overpriced ... 172,50 € (with more than half an hour to go until the auction is over) for ONE mask seems a bit high for me ... ? https://www.ebay.de/itm/MOLDEX-FFP-3-RD-Air-Plus-3405-Maske-Wiederverwendbar/223959878076