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Vic Liu

Totallympics Medallist
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Everything posted by Vic Liu

  1. I love this comedian who always suddenly say some simple common sense that other typical politicians would never say.
  2. I am not an expert of Muslim issues. But I guess Shias Iranian will not support Sunnis Taliban. For China, we don't care who's in charge, democracy or not, we just want a stable government to do business.
  3. Some extent of chaos is within expectation, but airplane taking off with people clinging on the surface and seeing them dropping off is totally beyond my imagination. Firstly I saw it reported by Russian media and I thought it’s fake news.
  4. it is even more chaotic and horrifying than Saigon if the video is true.
  5. According to KHL official website, China already neutralized 15 Asian-rooted players and another 10 local Chinese players will join the team soon. Now I will upgrade my expectation a little bit. https://en.khl.ru/clubs/kunlun/team/
  6. TBH I don't know either for women's normal life. I guess Taliban will make some progress to please major powers to earn their recognition. I hope the progress is not just a show but normality. Anyway, the first step of normal life is that you and your beloved don't have to fear to die. If Afghan women and men could safely survive and make a living without fear of sudden explosion is already a progress towards normality and already better than Syria. Any other improvements can only be gained step by step by their own.
  7. People think Saigon 1975 is betrayal and abandonment. But it's just from western perspective full of arrogance. For Vietnam it's the ending of war, ending of chaos. It means they don't have to pick a side to fight and die meaninglessly. They can start to focus on survival, food, education and economy instead of death for democracy, freedom, liberalism or communism. Vietnam is much better than most westerners anticipated and Saigon is a very prosperous city nowadays thanks to ending of the war. So US is not god who should be responsible for Vietnamese or Afghan's future. It isn't supposed to be there at the very beginning and have no right to help locals to choose a "democratic" government. It's better late than never of US withdrawal.
  8. During the OG, I am just too focused on games and I censored all kinds of news from real world. But now it’s time to back to reality. It may sounds cruel but I do support US and its allies withdrawal from Afghan. An foreign forces made government is without futures. It’s fate is leaning on the extent of foreign interference. Once it’s abandoned, it’s definitely gonna be miserable. The future of Afghan should be shaped by its own people with or without violence. Well the fate of the weak is never on its own. When to enter and when to leave your country is never up to you. Good luck to Afghan people.
  9. Have faith on yourself. You are just 100% correct.
  10. The first "rumor" I saw is that Sapporo, Japan showed interest. But my common sense tell me it's just rumor.
  11. Proud to see 0 "EL" in equestrian and that's my goal (maybe also theres)
  12. The Chinese Ice Hockey team just went to Russia and supposed to be trained and attend KHL and WHL there until the WOG. They are weak but at least they are training hard. And sorry to @hckošice it's very unlikely to see men's team's withdrawal now.
  13. I am quite grateful that Japan successfully host this very different OG despite all kinds of difficulties including internal protests and rapidly changing COVID situation. It is not wonderful since there is no spectators but it's respectful to fulfill its commitment to the international society. So I would not ask too much from Japan, on the contrary I am grateful of what they offered. I am not satisfied with the creepy opening ceremony and I don't like Japanese athletes sometimes over-scored on sports judged by referees. But when it all ends, that feeling is just let go. I began to appreciate that it's quite difficult to host the games with so much pressure and you can't require the host to benefit 0 with so much cost. So I would like to sincerely thank Japan. It provided a wonderful stage for athletes and provided so much joy, excitement, up and downs for fans. Arigoto Nippon . Lastly hope we can have spectators in Beijing 2022. If so I will wave my hands in TV.
  14. Any news about which ten classes will appear on Paris 2024? We will have new manmade OR and WR soon again.
  15. 1. I rated 8/10. We have a big recovery from Rio flop. Our traditional sports like diving, weightlifting, table tennis are consistent while badminton and gymnastics are recovered from Rio underperformance. Swimming and Athletics are a little bit better than I thought, we have first swimming relay gold and first field events gold. Rowing, Canoeing and Sailing all received at least one gold and all receiving medals on men's events. What disappointed me is that we have no golds on combat sports with 5 silvers and 4 bronzes. We have to strengthen combat sports for next OG. 2. Surprises go to WR and gold on swimming 4*200 women's free relay and gold of swimming men's 200m IM. Also shooting with 4 golds are also beyond my expectation. Heatbreaks go to Women's Volleyball eliminated on group stage and no golds on Taekwondo, 4-time olympian Wu Jingyu gonna retire again without a medal. 3.The overall goal is definitely achieved. The performance of most sports are beyond or meet expectations. Only combat sports are a little disappointing. 4.Sports with potential and receiving good results in Tokyo will be much more invested for sure. These sports are Rowing, Canoeing and Sailing. These sports are already "rich" compared to some combat sports like wrestling, with gold in pocket and breakthrough on men's events, they will receive more fund from authority and got more sponsorship. Swimming and Athletics also will get more investment in terms of training conditions and equipment, foreign coaches and more international tournaments opportunities.
  16. 1. Boomed out early 2. Russia’s performance deserved the gold 3. 200m fly got it and breaking OR 4. got it with PB 5. Bronze medal is already a breakthrough for men’s rowing
  17. So the actual answer is 38 Golds and 88 Medals. I think my prediction is quite accurate. Medals and golds number are both correct for Artistic Swimming, Basket 3*3, Canoeing Sprint, Fencing, Artistic Gymnastics, Trampoline, Rowing and Weightlifting. At least one of medals or golds number correct for Athletics, Badminton, Cycling Track, Diving, Karate and Table Tennis. Sailing and Shooting are beyond estimation while Archery, Boxing, Volleyball and Taekwondo are under estimation. Below is the prediction vs. actual by sport: Archery - 2 vs. 0 Artistic Swimming - 2 vs. 2 Athletics - 8 (2 Gold) vs. 5 (2 Gold) Badminton - 6 (1 Gold) vs. 6 (2 Gold) Basket 3x3 - 1 vs. 1 Boxing - 3 (1 Gold) vs. 2 Canoeing Sprint - 3 (1 Gold) vs. 3 (1 Gold) Cycling Track - 1 vs. 1 (1 Gold) Diving - 10 (7 Gold) vs. 12 (7 Gold) Fencing - 1 (1 Gold) vs. 1 (1 Gold) Gymnastics Artistic - 8 (3 Gold) vs. 8 (3 Gold) Gymnastics Trampoline - 3 (1 Gold) vs. 3 (1 Gold) Karaté - 2 (1 Gold) vs. 2 Rowing - 3 (1 Gold) vs. 3 (1 Gold) Sailing - 1 vs. 2 (1 Gold) Shooting - 5 (2 Gold) vs. 11 (4 Gold) Swimming - 8 (2 Gold) vs. 6 (3 Gold) Swimming Marathon - 1 vs. 0 Table Tenis - 7 (5 Gold) vs. 7 (4 Gold) Taekwondo - 3 (1 Gold) vs. 1 Volleyball - 1 (1 Gold) vs. 0 Weightlifting - 8 (7 Gold) vs. 8 (7 Gold) Wrestling - 2 vs. 4 Total 89 vs. 88 Gold 36 vs. 38
  18. full of administrative procedure, long and boring. Not a ceremony for audience but for IOC and Tokyo.
  19. Hahaha. Indeed I almost forgot. If we have to find someone to blame, it will not be him or FIG. We know how FIG works, you can't have it all after receiving 4 golds from them. Look at Russia what happened to them after receiving 2 team golds. If we have to find someone to blame, no.1 should be Women's Volleyball, total unexpected boomed out. No.2 should be table tennis mixed double. You can only blame those sports fate on your own not by referees.
  20. We lost the gold medal race 38-39 on the last day. A little bit sad but still quite excited when you engaged in this full process. It's an almost perfect OG for us with 38 golds and 88 medals with some breakthrough and some unexpected losses. But it's the beauty of sport and Olympics. Start to looking forward to Paris 2024 now.
  21. Athletics Women's high jump 30% Athletics Women's 4*400 relay 70% ✔ Athletics Men's 4*400 relay 70% ✔ Golf Women 70% ✔ Basketball Men 60% ✔ Waterpolo Women 60% ✔ Baseball 40% Wrestling Men's 97kg freestyle 30% Basketball Women 90% Volleyball Women 70% Boxing Men's 91+kg 30% Boxing Men's 63kg 30% Total 36+2.2=38.2 Canoeing WC2 60% ✔ Diving Men's 10m 80% ✔ Boxing Women's 69kg 30% Karate Women's 61+kg 50% Wrestling Women's 50kg 30% Boxing Women's 75kg 40% Total 38+0.4=38.4 Race to the final day!
  22. The race for table no.1 is still on. leads by 5 golds but nothing is settled yet. Here is the gold medal chances and possibilities for each two nations listed and predicted by me: Athletics Women's high jump 30% Athletics Women's 4*400 relay 70% Athletics Men's 4*400 relay 70% Golf Women 70% Basketball Men 60% Waterpolo Women 60% Baseball 40% Wrestling Men's 97kg freestyle 30% Basketball Women 90% Volleyball Women 70% Boxing Men's 91+kg 30% Boxing Men's 63kg 30% Total 31+6.5=37.5 Canoeing WC2 60% Diving Men's 10m 80% Boxing Women's 69kg 30% Karate Women's 61+kg 50% Wrestling Women's 50kg 30% Boxing Women's 75kg 40% Total 36+2.9=38.9 So it's very close prediction number and it all depends on capability to realize the possibility. Very interesting for me to chase it.
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