JoshMartini007

Here's the direct Olympic qualification schedule. Overall up to 71 events will offer direct quotas to the Olympics (in archery, diving & tennis it depends on the results). I did not include trampoline since I am 99% sure we will qualify someone and thus the quota will be voided. All medal days except October 31st will offer quotas with October 23rd and November 4th offering quotas in 5 sports. Date Sport Event Stage Quotas October 21st Diving Women's 10m Platform Final Gold Medalist Shooting Men's 10m Air Rifle Final 1 Athlete Women's 10m Air Rifle Final 1 Athlete Sport Climbing Women's Speed Final 1 Athlete October 22nd Shooting Men's 25m Rapid Fire Pistol Final 2 Athletes Men's Skeet Final 2 Athletes Women's Skeet Final 2 Athletes Sport Climbing Men's Speed Final 1 Athlete October 23rd Diving Men's 3m Springboard Final Gold Medalist Equestrian Team Dressage Final 2 Teams Gymnastics Men's Artistic Individual All-Around Final 1 Athlete Women's Artistic Individual All-Around Final 1 Athlete Modern Pentathlon Men's Individual Final 5 Athletes Women's Individual Final 5 Athletes Sport Climbing Men's Combined Final 1 Athlete October 24th Diving Women's 3m Springboard Final Gold Medalist Shooting Women's 25m Pistol Final 2 Athletes Sport Climbing Women's Combined Final 1 Athlete October 25th Boxing Women's -57kg Quarterfinal 4 Athletes Women's -60kg Quarterfinal 4 Athletes Diving Men's 10m Platform Final Gold Medalist Equestrian Individual Dressage Final 2 Athletes Shooting Women's 50m Rifle 3 Positions Final 1 Athlete October 26th Boxing Men's -51kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's -57kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's -63.5kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's -71kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's -80kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's -92kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Men's +92kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's -50kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's -54kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's -66kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's -75kg Semifinals 2 Athletes Shooting Men's 10m Air Pistol Final 1 Athlete Women's 10m Air Pistol Final 1 Athlete Women's Trap Final 2 Athletes October 27th Shooting Men's 50m Rifle 3 Positions Final 1 Athlete Men's Trap Final 2 Athletes October 28th Tennis Men's Singles Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's Singles Semifinals 2 Athletes October 29th Equestrian Team Eventing Final 2 Teams Handball Women's Tournament Final 1 Team October 30th Surfing Men's Shortboard Final 1 Athlete Women's Shortboard Final 1 Athlete Table Tennis Mixed Doubles Semifinals 2 Teams November 1st Equestrian Team Jumping Final 3 Teams November 2nd Artistic Swimming Women's Duets Final 1 Duet Gymnastics Women's Rhythmic Individual All-Around Final 1 Athlete Women's Rhythmic Group All-Around Final 1 Team November 3rd Artistic Swimming Mixed Team Final 1 Team Equestrian Individual Jumping Final 3 Athletes Field Hockey Men's Tournament Final 1 Team Sailing Men's iQFoil Final 2 Boats Women's iQFoil Final 2 Boats Men's ILCA 7 Final 4 Boats Women's ILCA 6 Final 4 Boats November 4th Breaking B-Boys Final 1 Athlete B-Girls Final 1 Athlete Field Hockey Women's Tournament Final 1 Team Handball Men's Tournament Final 1 Team Sailing Men's Formula Kite Final 2 Boats Women's Formula Kite Final 2 Boats Water Polo Men's Tournament Final 1 Team Women's Tournament Final 1 Team November 5th Archery Mixed Recurve Team Final 1 Team Men's Individual Recurve Semifinals 2 Athletes Women's Individual Recurve Semifinals 2 Athletes Sailing Men's 49er Final 2 Boats Women's 49erFX Final 2 Boats Mixed Nacra 17 Final 2 Boats

Semifinals are set v v Zambia got the upset against Madagascar

This will be their 8th games in a row.

Since we are talking about increasing quotas here's a look of my minimum quota increase for existing events. This was made under the principal that Olympic events should have 12 entrants for teams (3+ athletes) and 16 entrants for individuals/pairs. Two exceptions, synchronized diving and rowing eights were made as they do not justify an increase to 16 and 12 entrants and thus were only bumped up to 12 and 8 respectively. As I tried to keep the increases to a minimum some athlete quotas were doubled up (e.g. the increase in fencing teams will use an athlete from the individual event so only sees an overall increase of 2 per team). Aquatics (Artistic Swimming) - 12 Aquatics (Diving) - 16 Aquatics (Water Polo) - 22 Basketball (3x3) - 32 Canoeing (Sprint) - 28 Cycling (BMX Freestyle) - 8 Cycling (Track) - 40 Fencing - 48 Rowing - 90 Sport Climbing (Sprint) - 4 Weightlifting - 40 Total - 340 Clearly the IOC hates rowing, even holding the eights to 8 entrants they are missing quite a lot of athletes. Weightlifting is obviously being punished for its doping issues as it is missing by far the most individual/pair quotas. The 10,500 athlete quota was made under the 2016 program which included 306 events in 28 sports. 2024 will have 329 in 32 sports with only breaking (32 athletes) not being a core sport going into 2028. You can't increase the number events without increase the athlete quota. It's that simple.

I don't think there's that many quotas to get rid of without getting rid of some events. Maybe reduce the men's football from 16 to 12 teams (that's already 72/144), but the IOC wouldn't want to lose that source of income. The hope would be that any addition of sports would see an increase in the overall athlete quota. If the current Olympic sport federations are smart they may push for something like 11,500 and then for 2032 try to get the overall athlete quota to 11,000 plus whatever Australia proposes.

Strong rebound by Angola, just need a win or draw to qualify to the Olympics.

Baseball/Softball (including women's baseball and men's softball). I'd like to see lacrosse, but as mentioned before it is definitely not Olympic ready. Maybe ice hockey so we can guarantee NHL players

Pretty close matches...

Group Stage is complete. The 3 remaining Brazilian men's teams are all in the same eighth bracket. At best only 1 will reach the quarterfinals.

Exciting, though we will probably be the weakest nation at the World Cup

I'm not 100% sure cricket will have its best players. There's a lot of hurdles in India and to a lesser extent the Caribbean nations.

While it was a terrible idea initially, DanceSport did well in promoting breaking around the world. Given the number of competing nations it has gone from almost non-existent to one of the biggest non-Olympic event.

Though one thing I must say, new sports must be added during the application process so nations can vote on it in the event of multiple host applications, not after the host has been awarded

Demonstration sports were a thing for quite a while. I'm on the fence. For non-venue specific sports like karate or squash, a decision should be made one way or another, but for sports like baseball/softball and cricket where the venue is specific (and expensive) I don't mind them showing up every now and then. Like I don't expect Paris to host a baseball/softball tournament.

Lacrosse is great to watch, but the sport is less developed worldwide than flag football

Good luck to Cuba in the VNL. Serbia is technically reachable, but like Canada in the women they are going to need to defeat a few top teams.

Cuba is about to become Italy's biggest fan...

What a match. With that said I almost half expect to wake up with Mexico winning. What a crazy group...

Not they are not eligible for a tripartite quota

There must be a nation represented in each continent (Africa, Asia, Europe, NORCECA, South America) in the 12 team tournament.

To be fair FIG has always gave apparatus specialists the short straw, it was only until recently they decided to give them quotas.

Yeah basically, Bulgaria needs to beat Belgium in order for Canada to qualify. World Ranking-wise we would need to catch Serbia which I don't see happening.

in the men's cricket final

Because I have way too much time on my hands today, here are the 11 possible outcomes. Along with the chance each scenario has at happening (hope my math is correct). Scenario 1 - 6.25% chance AM1 AM2 Scenario 2 - 6.25% chance AM1 AM2 Scenario 3 - 6.25% chance AM1 AM2 Scenario 4 - 6.25% chance AM1 AM2 Scenario 5 - 50% chance AM2 AM1 Scenario 6 - 6.25% chance :FRA AM2 :GER :ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN :AUS AM1 :JPN :HUN Scenario 7 - 6.25% chance :USA :BEL :NGR :SEN :CHN :FRA AM2 :GER :ESP :BRA :SRB :NZL :AUS AM1 :JPN :HUN Scenario 8 - 3.125% chance :USA :BEL :NGR :SEN :CHN :FRA AM2 :NZL :ESP :BRA :JPN :GER :AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN Scenario 9 - 3.125% chance :USA :BEL :NGR :SEN :CHN :FRA AM2 :GER :ESP :BRA :JPN :NZL :AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN Scenario 10 - 3.125% chance :USA :BEL :JPN :NZL :CHN :FRA AM2 :GER :ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN :AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN Scenario 11 - 3.125% chance :USA :BEL :JPN :GER :CHN :FRA AM2 :NZL :ESP :BRA :NGR :SEN :AUS AM1 :SRB :HUN

Here are the restrictions for the draw The four hosts will be immediately allocated to the tournament taking place in their country. USA and France can not be drawn in the same Tournament. There must be a minimum of one and a maximum of two European teams in each Tournament. China and Japan cannot be drawn in the same Tournament. Australia and New Zealand cannot be drawn in the same Tournament. The two African teams must be drawn in the same Tournament to ensure that all Regions are represented at the Olympic Games. There must be a team from Americas in each Tournament. This restricts the draw quite a bit. For example, must be in the same group as . From there the other two teams can be a combination of 's group can only be AM1 AM1 AM2 AM2 's group can only be 's group can only be AM1 AM1 AM1 AM2 Nigeria and Senegal are severely restricted with only two possible outcomes. France and Americas 2 will also be in the same tournament