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JoshMartini007

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Everything posted by JoshMartini007

  1. Yes, the host quota is only given if France doesn't qualify in the event. If they do, then it gets reallocated to the world ranking.
  2. Universality quotas account for around 200 and relay-only athletes will also be at around 175. That's already 44% of the total swimming quota, leaving just over half for the "actual" individual competitors. To translate better, each event would have an average of 17 unique swimmers. Of course, in swimming there are athletes which compete in multiple events, but even with that it isn't hard to see why some events struggle to have 16 non-universality entrants.
  3. Could they not share a zoomed out photo? Looks nice though
  4. Athlete quotas can vary wildly in rowing depending on which boat qualifies. Here are the biggest winners and losers by number of boats vs. 2020 (ignoring Belarus/Russia). Winners +3 boats +3 boats +2 boats +2 boats +2 boats +2 boats Losers -8 boats -4 boats -3 boats -2 boats (might get tripartite quota) Everyone else either gained or lost one boat or had no change.
  5. That makes more sense to award the East Asian quotas now. This means that the men's singles world rankings will have 10 quotas (plus athletes who are also qualified in the mixed doubles).
  6. I decided to take a deeper look on the v race for the final quota. Schedule wise the Netherlands has a tougher remaining schedule. Between the non-overlapped teams they have while Canada has plus they have a head to head match against each other. This could also be to the Netherlands' benefit as they could score some extra points should they pull off an upset (particularly against the Dominican Republic). On the flip side, Canada's match against Germany could be quite dangerous as they are quite capable of beating us which would inflict some damage. Obviously the head to head match will be very important and given it is the penultimate match it could very well determine who gets to go to the Olympics.
  7. I think golf has a decent qualification system. Maybe increase nations eligible to send up to 4 athletes from top 15 to top 30 or 50, but that likely only affects a couple of players at the most.
  8. While I do enjoy cross-country, I always thought jumping was more popular.
  9. Klimkait was in 2020 while Deguchi gets 2024
  10. Now that the continental qualifiers are over, here's the situation for the final continental quotas. On June 11th, the highest ranked eligible athlete from Africa, Asia, Europe and Pan America will get the quota. Here's what the top three look like. Africa Men 19. Quadri Aruna 73. Ibrahima Diaw 118. Saheed Idowu Africa Women 111. Lucie Mobarek 140. Lynda Loghraibi 183. Ammadine Litobaka Aruna pretty much has his spot locked up. The women's quota likely goes to Algeria. Asia Men 42. Kirill Gerassimenko 48. Chun Ting Wong 51. Noshad Alamiyan Asia Women 117. Jingyi Zhou 164. Song Gyong Pyon 179. Alice Chang The men's quota for Asia is quite competitive, but all three will qualify through the rankings. On the women's side the depth is pretty bare now that most of the top athletes have qualified. Singapore has a large lead to win a second quota. Europe Men 38. Liam Pitchford 43. Alvaro Robles 49. Ovidiu Ionescu Europe Women 16. Xiaoxin Yang 20. Sofia Polcanova 44. Xia Lian Ni Europe as usual is quite competitive at this stage. All of these athletes will qualify through the world rankings. Pan America Men 54. Nicolas Burgos 74. Brian Afanador 78. Alberto Mino Pan America Women 11. Adriana Diaz 122. Ivy Liao 127. Yadira Silva Diaz is pretty much qualified. Burgos is in a good position too. Afanador and Mino could make a run, but at the same time they are in a decent position world rankings wise too. The final quotas will be decided through the overall rankings on June 18th. Assuming the above continental qualifiers remains unchanged, the men's side will start with 9 quotas while the women will have 11. Note as quotas are awarded more will be reallocated due to duplicates between singles and mixed doubles. Men 43. Alvaro Robles (reallocation) 48. Chun Ting Wong (reallocation) 49. Ovidiu Ionescu (reallocation) 51. Noshad Alamiyan 56. Daniel Habesohn 72. Eduard Ionescu 73. Ibrahima Diaw 74. Brian Afanador 78. Alberto Mino 79. Martin Allegro 81. Mihai Bobocica 84. Maciej Kubik ------------------------ 85. Siu Hang Lam 86. Daniel Gonzalez 91. Jinbao Ma 92. Paul Drinkhall 93. Andreas Levenko 94. Lubomir Pistej 95. Cedric Nuytinck 98. Benedek Olah I'm not 100% sure if the reallocation of the East Asia and Oceania quotas happen before or after the world ranking quotas. If before, then the East Asia quota will go to Hong Kong (Wong or Lam). If after, it could still go to Hong Kong (Lam), but should Lam make the cut-off then it will go to Temuulen Myandal, though with only four points I wouldn't be surprised if a North Korean player took the quota. The Oceania quota is currently in the hands of Vicky Wu. Women 20. Sofia Polcanova 44. Xia Lian Ni 56. Giorgia Piccolin 60. Maria Xiao (reallocation) 65. Tatiana Kukulkova 66. Georgina Pota 78. Ivana Malobabic 80. Barbora Balazova 81. Hana Matelova 84. Izabela Lupulesku 87. Solomiya Brateyko 94. Debora Vivarelli ----------------------------- 95. Dora Madarasz (reallocation) 104. Sibel Altinkaya 106. Sarah De Nutte 108. Jocelyn Lam 113. Zhehan Yang 116. Sofia-Xuan Zhang 117. Jingyi Zhou 119. Rachel Moret The East Asia reallocation is currently going to Song Gyong Pyon.
  11. It's not like Hess was much slower than Knox in the breaststroke. He can swim the heats of both relays, maybe even the finals should he improve between now and the Olympics.
  12. Correct, the sport director can choose anyone on the team to swim in the relays. The only caveat is that the relay-only swimmers must swim in at least one relay. If not, then Canada's final relays (men's or women's 4x100m medley) will be disqualified.
  13. Pretty much. She's a good depth pick for the freestyle relays.
  14. With that said, 8 teams for the 3x3 is ridiculous, less than the 5x5 variant. Should be 16 teams IMO.
  15. Yes, for all continents, except Oceania.
  16. To be fair, she's been living in Portugal for years now trying to get citizenship. She technically couldn't leave Portugal to compete for STP or else it would have restarted the citizenship process again.
  17. No, Africa gets four quotas, three will be decided at this qualifier while the fourth is decided through the world rankings on June 11th. This is similar to Europe where they get six quotas, but only five will be decided at their respective qualifier.
  18. By rankings, same for all the other continents
  19. Asia is notorious helpful to each other in table tennis. In 2016, all the top players withdrew from the overall Asian qualifier because they could qualify through the rankings. This ended up costing a few European table tennis players a spot in the Olympics.
  20. I'm not seeing much options. The men's 4x200m is going to get eliminated in the heats so no need to enhance them and the women's 4x200m already has the top six qualified. The men's 4x100m has Hussey and Kharun as options so they may not need Fullum-Huot. Smith and/or Sienna Angove in the women's 4x100m will likely be picked. They can also be an extra backup option for the 4x200m. On the medley side we are pretty well covered except for the men's breaststroke leg, but I don't think we are going to replace Knox in the heats. I'd love for them to select Alexanne Lepage (she technically wouldn't even be a relay-only athlete as she can slot right into the 100m breaststroke), but with Wog and Pickrem they will probably keep it as is.
  21. Nice. Unfortunately, our team won't grow much over the next two days. Maybe one or two new swimmers. However, some of our relay-only athletes may get individual events.
  22. The wording of the document is a bit awkward since they mention freestyle swimmers in priority 3, but as you mentioned they will be automatically qualified through priority 2. I think it was written that way just in case we qualified the medley relay, but not the freestyle relay. I decided to keep the medley selections together rather than split them up. Of course, relay selections are provisional, the director could select anyone on the team to compete. They just need to make sure that our relay-only athletes compete in at least one race.
  23. Here's the qualification list by priority after Day 5. People in italics are qualified in a higher priority. Priority 1: Finish in the top 2 and achieve the OQT at the event. Javier Acevedo (M 100m Backstroke) Mary-Sophie Harvey (W 200m Freestyle, W 100m Butterfly) Tristan Jankovics (M 400m Individual Medley) Ilya Kharun (M 200m Butterfly) Yuri Kisil (M 100m Freestyle) Josh Liendo (M 100m Freestyle) Maggie MacNeil (W 100m Butterfly) Kylie Masse (W 100m Backstroke, W 200m Backstroke) Summer McIntosh (W 200m Freestyle, W 400m Freestyle, W 400m Individual Medley) Sidney Pickrem (W 200m Breaststroke) Regan Rathwell (W 200m Backstroke) Blake Tierney (M 100m Backstroke, M 200m Backstroke) Ingrid Wilm (W 100m Backstroke) Kelsey Wog (W 200m Breaststroke) Priority 2: Finish in the top 4 in the 100m and 200m freestyle events to compete in the relays. Javier Acevedo (M 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Alexander Axon (M 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Jeremy Bagshaw (M 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Julie Brousseau (W 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Brooklyn Douthwright (W 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Mary-Sophie Harvey (W 4x100m Freestyle Relay, W 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Patrick Hussey (M 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Yuri Kisil (M 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Finlay Knox (M 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Josh Liendo (M 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Summer McIntosh (W 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Emma O'Croinin (W 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Penny Oleksiak (W 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Taylor Ruck (W 4x100m Freestyle Relay) Lorne Wigginton (M 4x200m Freestyle Relay) Priority 3: Winners of the 100m freestyle, backstroke, breaststroke and butterfly to compete in the relays. Sophie Angus (W 4x100m Medley Relay) Finlay Knox (M 4x100m Medley Relay) Josh Liendo (M 4x100m Medley Relay) Maggie MacNeil (W 4x100m Medley Relay) Kylie Masse (W 4x100m Medley Relay) Penny Oleksiak (W 4x100m Medley Relay) Blake Tierney (M 4x100m Medley Relay) Priority 4: Additional 100m and 200m freestyle or 100m medley athletes to compete in the relays (based on director's recommendation) TBD Priority 5: Swimmers who have achieved the OQT during the qualification period (March 1, 2023 - June 23, 2024) and finished in the top 2 Sophie Angus (W 100m Breaststroke) Ella Jansen (W 400m Individual Medley) Priority 6: Swimmers who have achieved the OCT during the qualification period, won the event and finished within 1% if their fastest time will be provisionally nominated pending World Aquatics invitation. Penny Oleksiak (W 100m Freestyle) Current Total: 26 (11 men, 15 women) Note: People could be added in priority 5 or 6 should they achieve an OQT/OCT between now and June 23rd.
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