If you make the quarterfinals then you are guaranteed at least a spot in the OQT. and are already qualified to the Olympics, should they make the quarters is also already qualified (they need to beat by 6 goals and hope beats ). Additionally, the winner (or second place should France win) qualifies to the Olympics. Should win then gets the European quota.
Currently, are in the quarterfinals. One spot will go to or . Croatia needs to defeat Hungary while Montenegro loses to Sweden (probably the more likely scenario). The other two spots are between . Here's what the table looks like:
Winners
1.
2.
1. *
2. *
1.
2. **
1.
2.
* Spain must defeat the Netherlands by 4 goals to eliminate Czechia or they are eliminated. Czechia can only finish second. If they defeat the Netherlands by 11 goals then they finish first and Netherlands finish second. If they defeat the Netherlands by 19 then the Netherlands are eliminated and Czechia finishes second.
** Brazil must defeat Czechia by six goals to finish second, if not then Czechia finishes second.
Overall, the Netherlands are pretty much safe barring a complete collapse against Spain. The second team is quite open.
Additionally, one (or two should Brazil make the quarterfinals) third place team will qualify to the OQT. Looking at the standings, should Group IV end with Spain & Czechia winning then the third place team will finish 9th. Should that not happen and both Croatia and Montenegro win their final matches then Croatia will finish 9th. Should Croatia win and Montenegro lose (and the Group IV scenario doesn't happen) then Montenegro will very likely finish 9th. Should Croatia lose and the Group IV scenario doesn't happen then Hungary will likely finish 9th.
Overall are pretty much in the OQT while the remaining three spots could go to . Minus whoever qualifies here.