Winter Olympic Games 2018 Early Qualification Predictions

[hckošice 14,834]

Also for don´t forget that the winter olympic future can be bright entering much more different sports, this year Argentina experienced some really interesting things at winter youth olympic games, like Veronica Ravenna in Luge or Esmeralda Villalonga in freestyle skiing slopestyle. Also I remeber some Argentinians competing in figure skating

[intoronto 5,644]

4 minutes ago, hckosice said:

Also for don´t forget that the winter olympic future can be bright entering much more different sports, this year Argentina experienced some really interesting things at winter youth olympic games, like Veronica Ravenna in Luge or Esmeralda Villalonga in freestyle skiing slopestyle. Also I remeber some Argentinians competing in figure skating

 

Their only good figure skating athlete retired very young. 

[hckošice 14,834]

6 minutes ago, intoronto said:

 

Their only good figure skating athlete retired very young. 

 

oh, that sad to hear. thanks

[konig 1,504]

Denis Margalik retired too young for a cronical injury, dont make me remember that 

[OlympicIRL 5,532]

I really have no idea but it's likely we will be able to count our team on one hand

 

[Federer91 2,797]

We would probably have around the same number like we usually have 15-20, with 20 the unrealistic number and 15 the reasonable one. 

 

The certain ones for me are 11 so far (bar any injuries):

biathlon - 5 men + 1 women

snowboard - Alexandra Jekova and Rado Yankov

ski-jumping - Zografski

alpine - Albert Popov

cross-country - Tsinzov

 

For the rest it will depend how many filler quotas we will get. Like in Sochi we had 4 alpine, 4 cross-country and a luger even, who went on a good holiday.  And i don't even know if these people still train. Maybe there is a chance in short track dunno.  

 

[uk12points 434]

GREAT BRITAIN

Team Size prediction for Winter Olympic Games 2018 PyeongChang

 

Ski Sports

 

Alpine Skiing  (3-4) - 2 basic quota, plus potentially 2 quota for athletes ranked in the Top 30 (Dave Ryding Slalom, Alexandra Tilley Slalom or Giant Slalom)

Likely athletes to qualify: Dave Ryding, Alexandra Tilley, Jack Gower/Charlie Raposo (for 2nd male spot) and Charlotte Guest (for 2nd female spot)

Cross Country Skiing  (4-6) - 2 basic quota, plus 2 quota for being ranked in top 300 (Andrew Musgrave 41st Distance, Andrew Young 10th Sprint, Annika Taylor 147th Sprint). Potentially 2 Top 30 points list quota (Young 10th, Musgrave 41st (even higher with new 12.71 points score from most recent WC moving him 22nd). There is a question over whether the BOA will accept all these quota, considering Musgrave and Young will have single handedly won them all and Callum Smith is the only other British male ranked inside the top 1000. Likely athletes to qualify: Andrew Musgrave, Andrew Young, Callum Smith, Annika Taylor, Sarah Hale and James Clugnet (potential 4th male spot)

Ski Jumping  (0) - Never say never - but gone are the days of Eddie the Eagle!!

Nordic Combined  (0)

Freestyle Skiing  (6-9) -

AERIALS: Llyod Wallace on qualification borderline  SKI CROSS: Emily Sarsfield on qualification borderline  HALFPIPE: Tough ask but Molly Summerhays, Rowan Cheshire and Madison Rowlands can all qualify, Muuray Buchan on the borderline on the mens side  SLOPESTYLE:  James Woods should qualify, Isabel Atkin and Katie Summerhays should qualify as well, Anna Vincenti possibly.

Snowboarding  (5-7) -

SBX: Zoe Gillings-Brier should qualify  SLOPESTYLE/BIG AIR:  Jamie Nicholls, Billy Morgan, Rowan Coultas fo the men and Katie Omerod and Aimee Fuller for the women.  HALFPIPE: Outside chance for Ayla Thidling to qualify.

Biathlon  (1-2) - Probably 1 in each gender!

 

 

Skating Sports

 

Speed Skating  (0) - Nope

Short Track Speed Skating  (4-10) - Potential for both genders to qualify a relay team. If not, then for the women Elise Christie and Charlotte Gilmartin should qualify, maybe too soon for Kathryn Thompson and Jennifer Pickering both born in 1996/7. On the Men's side without a relay 2 or 3 quota is possible and will be between Richard Shoebridge, Joshua Cheetham, Jack Whelbourne and Farrell Treacy.

Figure Skating  (2-3) - Chance for Phillip Harris to qualify in men's singles, his scores have consistently improved this season. Penny Coomes and Nick Buckland haven't competed this season due to Penny's injury but hopefully they can qualify in the Ice Dance.

 

 

Sleigh Sports

 

Luge  (0-1) - Now we are competing on the Nations Cup and have the same training facilities/coaches as the skeleton program so by 2022 we should have a strong team.

Skeleton  (3-5) - The woman can qualify 3 athletes with Lizzie Yarnold, Laura Deas and Donna Creighton/Ashleigh Pittaway-Fay, but 2 at worse. The men will be between 1 (Dom Parsons) and 2 if anyone else can join him high up in the rankings.

Bobsleigh  (8-11) - Should qualify 2x4-man, 1-2x2-man and 1x2-woman.

 

 

Team Sports

 

Curling  (12) - All teams should qualify

Ice Hockey  (0) - Already out

 

 

 

Total Optimistic Prediction  -  (70)

Total Pessimistic Prediction  - (48)

 

Total Realistic Prediction  -  (59)

[Federer91 2,797]

5 hours ago, Jur said:

Man, I really feel so jelaous...

 

Why, Spain has 2 very good chances for medals in Javier Fernandez and Lucas Eguibar. Actually many of us should be the jealous ones. 

[hckošice 14,834]

5 minutes ago, Federer91 said:

 

Why, Spain has 2 very good chances for medals in Javier Fernandez and Lucas Eguibar. Actually many of us should be the jealous ones. 

 

 

20 minutes ago, Federer91 said:

snowboard - Alexandra Jekova and Rado Yankov

 

I see here 2 medal chances too

[hckošice 14,834]

1 hour ago, OlympicIRL said:

I really have no idea but it's likely we will be able to count our team on one hand

 

 

small in quantity but interesting in quality especially Seamus O´Connor