Winter Olympic Games 2018 Debuting, Coming Back, Returning and Missing Nations

[intoronto 6,419]

is now officially qualified.

[intoronto 6,419]

is officially qualified now! Will make a reappearance after its only appearance in 2006.

[ahjfcshfghb 294]

Algeria might have a chance in Slopestyle Snowboarding. French guy failed to qualify for Sochi and changed to Algeria, has Algerian origins (I checked, the name is Algerian. Lol)

https://data.fis-ski.com/dynamic/athlete-biography.html?sector=SB&listid=&competitorid=103280&type=result

Seems he's a bit down the reallocation list, though.

What I don't understand is how Slopestyle and Big Air seem to have the same qualifying quotas? 

https://data.fis-ski.com/dynamic/olympic-quotas-list.html?sectorcode=sb&listid=2018&nationcode=&disciplinecode=SS-BA&Search=search

[ahjfcshfghb 294]

Here's a possibly helpful guide to which debuting/returning/otherwise unlikely (unsure of qualification) countries we may see and how likely it is we'll see them:

(Estimates are my own. Only countries with currently active athletes registered with their respective bodies are included.)

 

Alpine Skiing:

  >95%

  >95%
 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 >95%

 90% (you never know)

 80%

 80%

 70%

 40%

 20-30%

 20% (qualified, but unlikely to go)

 15%

 10% (qualified, but near-impossible to go)

 10%

 10%

 5%

 5%

 5% (in the unlikely event he resumes competition he should get in)

 3%

 1%

 0.1%

 0.01%

 

Cross-Country Skiing:

 >95%

 >95%

 95%

 95%

 55%

 35%

 30%

 30%

 25%

 25%

 10% (unsure if active, but did start competing on short notice before Sochi)

 5%

 5%

 2%

 

Freestyle Skiing:

 30%

 20%

 20%

 15%

 5% (could maybe make it if he decided to, but it is unlikely)

Snowboarding:

 30%

 5%

 

Figure Skating:

 60%

 60%

 40%

 30%

 5%

 

Speed Skating:

 75%

 40%

 

Short Track:

 75%

 35%

 30%

 30%

 30%

 10%

 0.01%

 

 

 

Bobsleigh:

 65%

 55%

 1% (they did say they'd come back sometime...)

 

Skeleton:

 35%

25%

 

Luge:

 30% (active, but has said he's struggling with funding to get to 2018)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited September 20, 2017 by ahjfcshfghb
Added Virgin Islands in Skeleton, Jordan and Dominican Republic in Alpine Skiing and Indonesia in Short Track. Also adjusted numbers a little and added some real outsiders.

[dcro 10,210]

should likely qualify in alpine skiing.

 

Meanwhille, chance for to qualify in women's figure skating is next to impossible.

[ahjfcshfghb 294]

37 minutes ago, dcro said:

should likely qualify in alpine skiing.

 

Meanwhille, chance for to qualify in women's figure skating is next to impossible.

She will compete at the Olympic qualification event. But yeah it's a long shot. 10% is quite generous.

[heywoodu 16,004]

Isn't there that Tongan-British guy in alpine skiing who's trying to qualify, or did he give up already? I forgot his name, some dude with 70kg of hair on his head.

Edited August 29, 2017 by heywoodu

[dcro 10,210]

5 minutes ago, heywoodu said:

Isn't there that Tongan-British guy in alpine skiing who's trying to qualify, or did he give up already? I forgot his name, some dude with 70kg of hair on his head.

 

Ah, yes, the one that's been getting 500 FIS points in couple of races he tried.  He doesn't have "active" remark on his FIS bio so I guess he gave up (despite having a gofund me page or something).

[ahjfcshfghb 294]

7 hours ago, dcro said:

 

Ah, yes, the one that's been getting 500 FIS points in couple of races he tried.  He doesn't have "active" remark on his FIS bio so I guess he gave up (despite having a gofund me page or something).

Yup. Think he has. Shame about the Cayman Islander too, he could have been quite competitive. He's dropped out though since he's starting a virtual reality business that fixes eye disorders!

[ahjfcshfghb 294]

For those of you interested in the Puerto Rico situation they sent me this:

 

The guidelines to participate are highly subjective. 

 

Because all Puerto Ricans are U.S. citizens, the Puerto Rico Olympic Committee is very sensitive to mainland U.S. persons using them as a back door into the Olympics. In an Olympic year, I typically get a couple of e-mails from people who think our federation is some sort of sports fantasy camp, and promise to “promote” Puerto Rico if they go to the Olympics. So, to answer your question, with the current political environment, a prospective Olympic competitor for Puerto Rico would have to be born on the island, have multi-generational Puerto Rican ancestry, and be somewhat of a threat to win a medal. We had a native-born 50-point slalom skier who should have gone to both Vancouver and Sochi; however, because she was more American than Puerto Rican, they wouldn’t send her.

 

Charles Flaherty is definitely American. His family are bona-fide residents of Puerto Rico, but he’s still facing an uphill battle to go to Korea. We hope he can convince the Puerto Rico Olympic Committee (COPUR) to send him, but nobody is holding their breath… :-/

 

David Steele