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Alpine Skiing Discussion | Qualification to Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026 Road to Milano Cortina 2026


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  On 1/29/2025 at 6:54 AM, Topicmaster1010 said:

Has anyone been keeping track of Olympic quotas by any chance?

 

Some guy on wikipedia has been attempting to keep track and has linked which athlete has met the requirements but I haven't had the time to go through each athlete. 

 

Assuming wikipedia is correct, then :UAE UAE is set to make their Winter Olympic debut and :KEN:SGP:RSA:TOG would return to the games after missing 2022.

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This is written based on criteria applied to all National Olympic Committees (NOCs) with at least one male or female athlete who has a minimum FIS point of less than 120 for slalom (SL) and giant slalom (GS), or less than 80 for other events

  On 1/29/2025 at 2:20 PM, erw said:

This is written based on criteria applied to all National Olympic Committees (NOCs) with at least one male or female athlete who has a minimum FIS point of less than 120 for slalom (SL) and giant slalom (GS), or less than 80 for other events

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I know that. I was just wondering if any users on here have been keeping track of quotas since FIS likely won't make the qualification points list public until spring at the earliest. 

 

And judging by the lack of replies on here, it would seem like the answer is no unsurprisingly :d

_

I had totally missed it, but :CZE Tereza Nova suffered a bad crash in training for the Garmisch downhill a bit over a week ago, and was kept in a coma. Can't find anything more recent, not sure that's a good sign or not...

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:BRA earn a women's Alpine spot on FIS Points - although for the Nation, not the skier.

 

Alpine skiing-Brazil secure women's Olympic alpine skiing berth after 12 years

  On 2/11/2025 at 9:12 PM, Grassmarket said:

:BRA earn a women's Alpine spot on FIS Points - although for the Nation, not the skier.

 

Alpine skiing-Brazil secure women's Olympic alpine skiing berth after 12 years

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Still odd that in alpine skiing one can still qualify through random races all over the world. Cross-country's system isn't perfect, but it at least mostly closed that loophole for fixed races after Project Bogota :p 

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I'm attempting to create a medal projector for the 2026 Olympics. Instead of just listing the top 3 favourites I wanted to give a percentage athletes have to win a medal. My first events completed were downhill, here are the top 10.

 

Men's Downhill

Athlete Gold Silver Bronze Total
:SUI Marco Odermatt 17% 14% 10% 41%
:SUI Franjo Von Allmen 17% 11% 9% 37%
:SUI Alexis Monney 10% 9% 9% 28%
:SLO Miha Hrobat 8% 9% 8% 25%
:CAN Cameron Alexander 7% 9% 7% 23%
:AUT Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 7% 6% 20%
:SUI Justin Murisier 6% 7% 6% 19%
:ITA Dominik Paris 5% 5% 6% 16%
:AUT Daniel Hemetsberger 5% 4% 5% 14%
:CAN James Crawford 3% 4% 5% 12%

 

 

Women's Downhill

Athlete Gold Silver Bronze Total
:ITA Sofia Goggia 27% 15% 12% 54%
:CZE Ester Ledecka 13% 11% 9% 33%
:AUT Cornelia Huetter 12% 11% 8% 31%
:ITA Federica Brignone 11% 12% 11% 34%
:USA Lauren Macuga 9% 9% 8% 26%
:SUI Lara Gut-Behrami 6% 8% 9% 23%
:USA Breezy Johnson 5% 7% 7% 19%
:SUI Corinne Suter 5% 7% 6% 18%
:ITA Laura Pirovano 2% 3% 5% 10%
:ITA Marta Bassino 2% 3% 4% 9%

 

In order to prevent my computer from dying I only ran the simulation 1000 times so no tenth of a percentage is listed. For nations with many athletes I just took the four highest ranked athletes as per event rules and removed the rest. Eventually as NOCs announce their teams I can refine it properly.

 

Any surprises?

  On 2/12/2025 at 11:27 PM, JoshMartini007 said:

I'm attempting to create a medal projector for the 2026 Olympics. Instead of just listing the top 3 favourites I wanted to give a percentage athletes have to win a medal. My first events completed were downhill, here are the top 10.

 

Men's Downhill

Athlete Gold Silver Bronze Total
:SUI Marco Odermatt 17% 14% 10% 41%
:SUI Franjo Von Allmen 17% 11% 9% 37%
:SUI Alexis Monney 10% 9% 9% 28%
:SLO Miha Hrobat 8% 9% 8% 25%
:CAN Cameron Alexander 7% 9% 7% 23%
:AUT Vincent Kriechmayr 7% 7% 6% 20%
:SUI Justin Murisier 6% 7% 6% 19%
:ITA Dominik Paris 5% 5% 6% 16%
:AUT Daniel Hemetsberger 5% 4% 5% 14%
:CAN James Crawford 3% 4% 5% 12%

 

 

Women's Downhill

Athlete Gold Silver Bronze Total
:ITA Sofia Goggia 27% 15% 12% 54%
:CZE Ester Ledecka 13% 11% 9% 33%
:AUT Cornelia Huetter 12% 11% 8% 31%
:ITA Federica Brignone 11% 12% 11% 34%
:USA Lauren Macuga 9% 9% 8% 26%
:SUI Lara Gut-Behrami 6% 8% 9% 23%
:USA Breezy Johnson 5% 7% 7% 19%
:SUI Corinne Suter 5% 7% 6% 18%
:ITA Laura Pirovano 2% 3% 5% 10%
:ITA Marta Bassino 2% 3% 4% 9%

 

In order to prevent my computer from dying I only ran the simulation 1000 times so no tenth of a percentage is listed. For nations with many athletes I just took the four highest ranked athletes as per event rules and removed the rest. Eventually as NOCs announce their teams I can refine it properly.

 

Any surprises?

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I think that Ledecka will not compete in women's downhill in Cortina :mumble:

  On 2/13/2025 at 7:56 PM, Gianlu33 said:

I think that Ledecka will not compete in women's downhill in Cortina :mumble:

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You're probably correct, but we should wait until she or the NOC confirms it.

  On 2/4/2025 at 7:24 AM, heywoodu said:

I had totally missed it, but :CZE Tereza Nova suffered a bad crash in training for the Garmisch downhill a bit over a week ago, and was kept in a coma. Can't find anything more recent, not sure that's a good sign or not...

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Still without change (information from 4 days ago) But it is induced coma.

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