Who is a lock to win a Gold Medal at the Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

[Triplecast 156]

  On 2/25/2024 at 6:12 PM, Dkats said:

I would say US Men’s basketball team assuming that they actually bring a full strength team 

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  On 2/25/2024 at 10:46 PM, Timezone said:

Even at full strength USA not the juggernaut they once were 

 

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USA Women more likely to win than men are.  

[mattiekav119 14]

Dare I say Faith Kipyegon 

[NearPup 3,190]

I’m willing to bet my life savings that at least one of the “locks” mentioned in this thread won’t win gold xD

[Josh 11,026]

I wouldn’t say China is a lock in either team table tennis event, Japan is right up there in both genders and could potentially win gold (it’s very unlikely though, but still doable)

 

I’d add  Uta Abe in judo (women’s 52kg),  in team artistic swimming, and  Ryan Crouser in athletics (men’s shot put)

[Josh 11,026]

Oh and while the majority of the diving events are safe golds for China, I think men’s 10m and men’s 10m synchro are vulnerable. 

[heywoodu 15,334]

  On 2/25/2024 at 6:16 PM, Jinzha said:

and McLaughlin rarely ever competes.

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The main reason I'm hoping for her not to win

 

Nothing against her personally, but I do like to see champions not avoid every possible competition...

[heywoodu 15,334]

  On 2/25/2024 at 11:38 PM, NearPup said:

I’m willing to bet my life savings that at least one of the “locks” mentioned in this thread won’t win gold xD

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Of course

 

Even if there's 100 events where one athlete/team has like a 95% chance to win (which is very high and generally reserved for at best a handful of events), it is still highly unlikely for all of those 100 to actually win  

Edited February 26, 2024 by heywoodu

[heywoodu 15,334]

  On 2/25/2024 at 9:12 PM, mpjmcevoy said:

It's VERY difficult to see past the Dutch male sprinters, even now, for example.

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But there is just no way they are anywhere near a 'lock' for gold, with the rise back to the top of the Australians, the Brits who always have something extra at the Olympics and Hoogland who is going down rather than up.

[dullard 721]

  On 2/25/2024 at 8:49 PM, phelps said:

just to name a few...

 

 Leon Marchand (swimming, men's 200m and 400 IM at least)

Track Cycling,  men's Team Sprint and Harrie Lavreysen (Individual Sprint)

 Karlos May Nasar (weightlifting, men's -89kg)

 all the table tennis, weightlifting and diving competitions in which they compete

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Marchand didn't even have the fastest time in the 200 IM last year.

 

  On 2/25/2024 at 9:19 PM, Topicmaster1010 said:

In swimming,  Summer McIntosh should be a heavy favourite to win the women's 400m Individual Medley.

 

And if she doesn't swim the 800m freestyle (which seems very likely), then Ledecky should be a lock in that event too.

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The 1500 is a lock for Ledecky regardless.

 

 

[dullard 721]

  On 2/25/2024 at 12:54 PM, Timezone said:

Australia 4x200m Woman Relay 

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They've misfired too many times to call them a lock.

Edited February 26, 2024 by dullard