website statistics
Jump to content
  • Register/Login on Totallympics!

    Sign up to Totallympics to get full access to our website.

     

    Registration is free and allows you to participate in our community. You will then be able to reply to threads and access all pages.

     

    If you encounter any issues in the registration process, please send us a message in the Contact Us page.

     

    We are excited to see you on Totallympics, the home of Olympic Sports!

     

Tokyo 2020 Day after Day as it could have happened


Recommended Posts

1 minutę temu, heywoodu napisał:

 

Yes. Things might change a little now that it's moved to 2021, in which he was supposed to go for the Tour de France I think, but Olympic MTB gold is his main big goal for now at least.

Yes, everything might change.

 

I make my predictions for 2020 - it is day after day as it could have happened, if the games were not postponed.

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290243
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, rafalgorka said:

 

Yes that's what I meant, the latest 'news' (mostly from last year) is about him having made the choice for MTB and not the road race. Possibly the current situation changes something, but for now - to the best of our knowledge - that's still the plan.

.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290244
Share on other sites

2 minuty temu, heywoodu napisał:

 

Yes that's what I meant, the latest 'news' (mostly from last year) is about him having made the choice for MTB and not the road race. Possibly the current situation changes something, but for now - to the best of our knowledge - that's still the plan.

 

I predicted clean sweep 1-2-3 for the Netherlands in women's road race. Do you think it is possible? What do you think about this young girl - Lorena Wiebes? I put her in 2nd place.

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290245
Share on other sites

THIS IS LIST OF EVENTS FOR

Day 5 Wednesday

 

  1. 3x3 BASKETBALL – Women

 

  1. 3x3 BASKETBALL – Men

 

  1. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS – Men Individual All-Around

 

  1. CYCLING ROAD – Men Individual Time Trial

 

  1. CYCLING ROAD – Women Individual Time Trial

 

  1. DIVING – Men Synchronised 3m Springboard

 

  1. EQUESTRIAN – Dressage Individual

 

  1. FENCING – Men Sabre Team

 

  1. JUDO – Women -70 kg

 

  1. JUDO – Men -90 kg

 

  1. ROWING – Women Double Sculls

 

  1. ROWING – Men Double Sculls

 

  1. ROWING – Women Four

 

  1. ROWING – Men Four

 

  1. RUGBY – Men

 

  1. SURFING – Women

 

  1. SURFING - Men

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 200m Freestyle

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 200m Butterfly

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 200m Individual Medley

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 1500m Freestyle

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 4 x 200m Freestyle Relay

 

  1. WEIGHTLIFTING – Men 73 kg

 

Any thoughts, olympic fans? ;-))

 

Stay healthy!

#TeamMoura-heywoodu

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290249
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

Don't worry. On day 5 Fede is swimming 200 freestyle ;-))))))

 

I expect 6 silver medals for Italy in first 4 days. Which one of them has the biggest chances for gold in your opinion? I have my bets here ;-)

 

day 1 - Vito Del'Aquilla - Taekwondo Men -58 kg

day 2 - Elisa Di Francisca - Fencing Women Foil Individual

day 2 - Manuel Lombardo - Judo Men -66 kg

day 2 - Gabriele Detti - Swimming Men 400m Freestyle

day 3 - Alessio Foconi - Fencing Men Foil Individual

day 3 - Diana Bacosi - Shooting Women Skeet

day 4 - none

-In cycling,men's road race, everithing it's possible. Italy have good chances, with Trentin, WC silver medallist and european champion, and Nibali, probably gold in Rio without fall down.
- In taekwondo, Vito dell'Aquila's silver is rigth, but have minimum 40% for gold.
-In mixed Archery, Nespoli/Landi are a good good team. Gold is hard, but not impossible.
- In men's individual sabre, Curatoli (n.3 WR and bronze in WC) and Samele are in good position. Maybe both are out at the first round, maybe both in medal.
- In the women's epee there are Navarria, WC 2018, and Fiamingo, two times WC and silver medal in Rio. In 2019 Worldcup, they were focused on team competition, so have a bad ranking. But in Tokyo, they are  among the favorites.

So, at the end of day1, i think italy has minimum 1 gold medal.:
Ciclyng road 15%
taekwondo 40%
Mixed archery 20%
FEncing men individual sabre 25%
fencing women epee 45%

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290277
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Giovanni Gianni Cattaneo said:

-In cycling,men's road race, everithing it's possible. Italy have good chances, with Trentin, WC silver medallist and european champion, and Nibali, probably gold in Rio without fall down.

 

This course is most likely too hard for Trentin, it's not just hilly, it's basically mountaineous..of course there are plenty of options left, like you said, everything is possible in men's road races :p 

.

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290282
Share on other sites

On 15/04/2020 at 06:54, rafalgorka said:
  1. EQUESTRIAN – Dressage Team

 

  1. GERMANY                                                              wch18-1
  2. UNITED STATES                                                    wch18-2
  3. GREAT BRITAIN                                                    wch18-3

 

American team has become useless this year. It's much more likely that Denmark will be on the podium (either silver or bronze).

#banbestmen

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290284
Share on other sites

22 hours ago, rafalgorka said:

THIS IS LIST OF EVENTS FOR

Day 5 Wednesday

 

  1. 3x3 BASKETBALL – Women

 

  1. 3x3 BASKETBALL – Men

 

  1. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS – Men Individual All-Around

 

  1. CYCLING ROAD – Men Individual Time Trial

 

  1. CYCLING ROAD – Women Individual Time Trial

 

  1. DIVING – Men Synchronised 3m Springboard

 

  1. EQUESTRIAN – Dressage Individual

 

  1. FENCING – Men Sabre Team

 

  1. JUDO – Women -70 kg

 

  1. JUDO – Men -90 kg

 

  1. ROWING – Women Double Sculls

 

  1. ROWING – Men Double Sculls

 

  1. ROWING – Women Four

 

  1. ROWING – Men Four

 

  1. RUGBY – Men

 

  1. SURFING – Women

 

  1. SURFING - Men

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 200m Freestyle

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 200m Butterfly

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 200m Individual Medley

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 1500m Freestyle

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 4 x 200m Freestyle Relay

 

  1. WEIGHTLIFTING – Men 73 kg

 

Any thoughts, olympic fans? ;-))

 

Stay healthy!

18) My prediction would be: Ledecky and Titmus will fight for gold, bronze is very open (Anderson, Pellegrini, Sjöstrom (if she swims it), Haughey, Ikee, Oleksiak, Ruck, McKeon, Schmitt, 2 chinese girls)

19) Milak ahead of Urlando and Seto (or maybe LeClos/Kenderesi)

20) Hosszu ahead of 2 out of Ohashi/Baker/Margalis/Walsh/Ye Shiwen

21) Ledecky ahead of Quadarella and Köhler or one of the chinese girls

22) USA, Japan, Russia, GB and Australia are all very close, so too close to call ...

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290297
Share on other sites

On 12/04/2020 at 08:45, rafalgorka said:

My predictions ctd.

 

Day 2 Sunday

 

  1. ARCHERY – Women Team

 

  1. CHINESE TAIPEI                                                               wch19-1
  2. KOREA REPUBLIC                                                            wch19-2
  3. GREAT BRITAIN                                                               wch19-3

 

  1. CYCLING ROAD – Women Road Race

 

  1. NED   Annemiek van Vleuten                                              wch 19-1, indrank-3
  2. NED   Lorena Wiebes                                                           indrank-1
  3. NED   Anna van der Breggen                                               wch 19-2

 

  1. DIVING – Women Synchronised 3m Platform

 

  1. CHN   Shi Tingmao, Wang Han                                           wch19-1, rank-2
  2. CAN   Jennifer Abel, Melissa Citrini-Beaulieu                    wch19-2, rank-1
  3. MEX   Paola Espinosa, Melany Hernandez                          wch19-3

 

  1. FENCING – Women Foil Individual

 

  1. RUS    Inna Deriglazova                                                        wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. ITA     Elisa Di Francisca                                                      wch19-3, indrank-2
  3. FRA    Pauline Ranvier                                                         wch19-2

 

  1. FENCING – Men Epee Individual

 

  1. HUN   Gergely Siklosi                                                          wch19-1, indrank-3
  2. RUS    Sergey Bida                                                               wch19-2, indrank-1
  3. JPN     Masaru Yamada                                                        indrank-2

 

  1. JUDO – Women -52 kg

 

  1. JPN     Uta Abe                                                                     wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. FRA    Amandine Buchard                                                   indrank-2
  3. RUS    Natalia Kuziutina                                                       wch19-2

KOS   Majlinda Kelmendi                                                    wch19-3, indrank-4

 

  1. JUDO – Men -66 kg

 

  1. JPN     Joshiro Maruyama                                                     wch19-1, indrank-2
  2. ITA     Manuel Lombardo                                                     indrank-1
  3. KOR   Kim Lim-Hwan                                                          wch19-2, indrank-8

MDA  Denis Vieru                                                                wch19-3

 

  1. SHOOTING – Women 10m Air Pistol

 

  1. GRE   Anna Korakaki                                                          wch18-1, indrank-3
  2. SRB    Zorana Arunovic                                                        wch18-2, indrank-1
  3. IND    Manu Bhaker                                                             indrank-2

 

  1. SHOOTING – Men 10m Air Rifle

 

  1. IND    Divyansh Singh Panwar                                             indrank-1
  2. RUS    Sergey Kamenskiy                                                     wch18-1, indrank-5
  3. CRO   Petar Gorsa                                                                wch18-2, indrank-2

 

  1. SKATEBOARDING – Men Street

 

  1. USA   Nyjah Huston                                                            indrank-1, wch19-1
  2. JPN     Yuto Horigome                                                          indrank-2, wch19-2
  3. POR    Gustavo Ribeiro                                                         indrank-3, wch19-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 400m Individual Medley

 

  1. JPN     Daiya Seto                                                                 wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. USA   Jay Litherland                                                            wch19-2, indrank-2
  3. GBR   Max Litchfield                                                           wch19-7, indrank-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 400m Freestyle

 

  1. AUS   Mack Horton                                                             wch19-2, indrank-2
  2. ITA     Gabriele Detti                                                            wch19-3, indrank-3
  3. LTU    Danas Rapsys                                                            wch19-4, indrank-4

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 400m Individual Medley

 

  1. HUN   Katinka Hosszu                                                         wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. CHN   Ye Shiwen                                                                 wch19-2, indrank-2
  3. JPN     Yui Ohashi                                                                 wch19-3, indrank-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 4 x 100m Freestyle Relay

 

  1. AUSTRALIA                                                                       wch19-1, rank-1
  2. UNITED STATES                                                                wch19-2, rank-2
  3. CANADA                                                                             wch19-3, rank-3

 

  1. TAEKWONDO – Women -57 kg

 

  1. GBR   Jade Jones                                                                  wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. KOR   Lee Ah-Reum                                                            wch19-2, indrank-2
  3. CAN   Skylar Park                                                                wch19-3, indrank-6

CHN   Zhou Lijun                                                                 wch19-3, indrank-8

 

  1. TAEKWONDO – Men -68 kg

 

  1. KOR   Lee Dae-Hoon                                                           wch19-3, indrank-1
  2. GBR   Bradly Sinden                                                            wch19-1, indrank-2
  3. ESP     Javier Perez                                                                wch19-2, indrank-4

CHN   Shuai Zhao                                                                indrank-3

 

  1. WEIGHTLIFTING – Men 61 kg

 

  1. CHN   Li Fabin                                                                     wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. INA    Eko Yuli Irawan                                                        wch19-2, indrank-2
  3. COL   Francisco Mosquera                                                   wch19-3, indrank-5

 

  1. WEIGHTLIFTING – Men 67 kg

 

  1. CHN   Chen Lijun                                                                 wch19-1, indrank-1
  2. PRK    Pak Jong-Ju                                                                wch19-3, indrank-3
  3. UZB   Adkhamjon Ergashev                                                wch19-4, indrank-4

 

TOKYO 2020 MEDAL TABLE AFTER DAY 2 SUNDAY 29/339

 

  1. KOREA REPUBLIC             6-3-1                     10
  2. CHINA                                  4-1-4                     9
  3. JAPAN                                 3-3-2                     8
  4. HUNGARY                          2-1-0                     3
  5. AUSTRALIA                        2-0-0                     2
  6. RUSSIA                                1-3-1                     5
  7. NETHERLANDS                 1-2-1                     4
  8. UNITED STATES                1-2-1                     4
  9. INDIA                                   1-1-4                     6
  10. GREAT BRITAIN                1-1-2                     4
  11. BRAZIL                                 1-0-0                     1
  12. CHINESE TAIPEI                1-0-0                     1
  13. GEORGIA                            1-0-0                     1
  14. GREECE                                1-0-0                     1
  15. SLOVENIA                          1-0-0                     1
  16. THAILAND                          1-0-0                     1
  17. UKRAINE                            1-0-0                     1
  18. ITALY                                    0-4-2                     6
  19. KOREA DPR                        0-2-0                     2
  20. CANADA                             0-1-2                     3
  21. FRANCE                               0-1-1                     2
  22. SERBIA                                 0-1-1                     2
  23. DENMARK                          0-1-0                     1
  24. INDONESIA                        0-1-0                     1
  25. ROMANIA                          0-1-0                     1
  26. KOSOVO                             0-0-2                     2
  27. SPAIN                                  0-0-2                     2
  28. UZBEKISTAN                     0-0-2                     2
  29. COLOMBIA                        0-0-1                     1
  30. CROATIA                             0-0-1                     1
  31. IRAN                                     0-0-1                     1
  32. KAZAKHSTAN                   0-0-1                     1
  33. LITHUANIA                        0-0-1                     1
  34. MEXICO                              0-0-1                     1
  35. MOLDOVA                         0-0-1                     1
  36. MONGOLIA                       0-0-1                     1
  37. PORTUGAL                        0-0-1                     1

 

About your swimming predictions: I would say that they look pretty good, but i think the US will win a medal in women's 400 IM and i also think Hagino and/or an american guy not named Litherland will win a medal in men's 400 IM.

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290298
Share on other sites

On 13/04/2020 at 10:48, rafalgorka said:

Day 3 Monday

 

  1. ARCHERY – Men Team

 

  1.  CHINA                                                                                wch19-1
  2.  INDIA                                                                                 wch19-2
  3.  KOREA REPUBLIC                                                           wch19-3

 

  1. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS – Men Team

 

  1. RUSSIA                                                                                wch19-1
  2. UNITED STATES                                                                rank-1
  3. CHINA                                                                                 wch19-2

 

  1. CANOE SLALOM – Men C1

 

  1. FRA    Cedric Joly                                                                 wch19-1
  2. GER   Sideris Tasiadis                                                          rank-1
  3. ESP     Ander Elosegi                                                            wch19-2

 

  1. CYCLING MOUNTAIN BIKE – Men Cross-Country

 

  1. SUI     Nino Schurter                                                            wch19-1, rank-1
  2. SUI     Mathias Fluckiger                                                      wch19-2, rank-2
  3. BRA   Henrique Avancini                                                    rank-3

 

  1. DIVING – Men Synchronised 10m Platform

 

  1. CHN   Cao Yuan, Chen Aisen                                              wch19-1
  2. RUS    Aleksandr Bondar, Viktor Minibaev                         wch19-2
  3. GBR   Tom Daley, Matty Lee                                              wch19-3

 

  1. FENCING – Women Sabre Individual

 

  1. UKR   Olga Kharlan                                                             wch19-1, rank-1
  2. RUS    Sofya Velikaya                                                          wch19-2, rank-2
  3. FRA    Manon Brunet                                                            rank-3

 

  1. FENCING – Men Foil Individual

 

  1. FRA    Enzo Lefort                                                               wch19-1, rank-2
  2. ITA     Alessio Foconi                                                           rank-1
  3. GBR   Marcus Mepstead                                                      wch19-2

 

  1. JUDO – Women -57 kg

 

  1. CAN   Christa Deguchi                                                         wch19-1, rank-1
  2. JPN     Tsukasa Yoshida                                                       wch19-2, rank-2
  3. POL   Julia Kowalczyk                                                      wch19-3

FRA    Sarah Cysique                                                            wch19-5

 

  1. JUDO – Men -73 kg

 

  1. JPN     Shohei Ono                                                    wch19-1
  2. AZE    Rustam Orujov                                               wch19-2, rank-2
  3. RUS    Denis Yartsev                                                wch19-3

CAN   Arthur Margelidon                                         rank-4

 

  1. SHOOTING – Women Skeet

 

  1. CHN   Wei Meng                                                      rank-1
  2. ITA     Diana Bacosi                                                  wch19-1
  3. GER   Nadine Messerschmidt                                   rank-2

 

  1. SHOOTING – Men Skeet

 

  1. USA   Vincent Hancock                                           wch18-1
  2. SWE   Stefan Nilsson                                                rank-1
  3. CZE    Tomas Nydrle                                                wch19-1

 

  1. SKATEBOARDING – Women Street

 

  1. BRA   Pamela Rosa                                                  wch19-1
  2. BRA   Rayssa Leal                                                    wch19-2
  3. JPN     Aori Nishimura                                              wch19-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 100m Butterfly

 

  1. CAN   Maggie MacNeil                                            wch-1, rank-1
  2. SWE   Sarah Sjostrom                                               wch-2, rank-2
  3. AUS   Emma McKeon                                              wch-3, rank-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 100m Breaststroke

 

  1. GBR   Adam Peaty                                                   wch-1, rank-1
  2. BLR    Ilya Shymanovich                                          wch-12 , rank-2
  3. GBR   James Wilby                                                   wch-2, rank-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Women 400m Freestyle

 

  1. AUS    Ariarne Titmus                                               wch-1, rank-1
  2. USA   Katie Ledecky                                               wch-2, rank-2
  3. USA   Leah Smith                                                     wch-3, rank-3

 

  1. SWIMMING – Men 4 x 100m Freestyle Relay

 

  1. UNITED STATES                                                    wch-1, rank-1
  2. RUSSIA                                                                    wch-2, rank-2
  3. AUSTRALIA                                                           wch-3, rank-3

 

  1. TABLE TENNIS – Mixed Doubles

 

  1. CHN   Xu Xin, Liu Shiwen                                       wch19-1
  2. JPN     Maharu Yoshimura, Kasumi Ishikawa          wch19-2
  3. GER   Patrick Franziska, Petrissa Solja                    wch19-3

 

  1. TAEKWONDO – Women -67 kg

 

  1. CHN   Zhang Mengyu                                               wch-1
  2. CRO   Matea Jelic                                                     rank-1
  3. TUR    Nur Tatar                                                        wch-2

CIV    Ruth Gbagbi                                                   rank-2

 

  1. TAEKWONDO – Men -80 kg

 

  1. AZE    Milad Beigi                                                    wch-1
  2. RUS    Maksim Khramtcov                                       rank-1
  3. GRE   Apostolos Telikostoglou                                wch-2

CIV    Cheick Sallah Cisse                                       rank-3

 

  1. TRIATHLON – Men

 

  1. FRA    Vincent Luis                                                  wch19-1
  2. ESP     Mario Mola                                                    wch19-2
  3. ESP     Javier Gomez                                                 wch19-3

 

  1. WEIGHTLIFTING – Women 55 kg

 

  1. CHN   Liao Qiuyun                                                   wch19-1
  2. PHI     Hidylyn Diaz                                                  wch19-3
  3. COL   Yenny Sinnisterra                                          wch19-5

 

TOKYO 2020 MEDAL TABLE AFTER DAY 3 MONDAY 50/339

 

  1. CHINA                                  10-1-5                   16
  2. KOREA REPUBLIC             6-3-2                     11
  3. JAPAN                                 4-5-3                     12
  4. UNITED STATES                3-4-2                     9
  5. FRANCE                               3-1-3                     7
  6. AUSTRALIA                        3-0-2                     5
  7. RUSSIA                                2-7-2                     11
  8. GREAT BRITAIN                2-1-5                     8
  9. CANADA                             2-1-3                     6
  10. BRAZIL                                 2-1-1                     4
  11. HUNGARY                          2-1-0                     3
  12. UKRAINE                            2-0-0                     2
  13. INDIA                                   1-2-4                     7
  14. NETHERLANDS                 1-2-1                     4
  15. AZERBAIJAN                      1-1-0                     2
  16. SWITZERLAND                  1-1-0                     2
  17. GREECE                                1-0-1                     2
  18. CHINESE TAIPEI                1-0-0                     1
  19. GEORGIA                            1-0-0                     1
  20. SLOVENIA                          1-0-0                     1
  21. THAILAND                          1-0-0                     1
  22. ITALY                                    0-6-2                     8
  23. KOREA DPR                        0-2-0                     2
  24. SWEDEN                             0-2-0                     2
  25. SPAIN                                  0-1-4                     5
  26. GERMANY                          0-1-2                     3
  27. SERBIA                                 0-1-1                     2
  28. CROATIA                             0-1-1                     2
  29. BELARUS                             0-1-0                     1
  30. DENMARK                          0-1-0                     1
  31. INDONESIA                        0-1-0                     1
  32. PHILIPPINES                      0-1-0                     1
  33. ROMANIA                          0-1-0                     1
  34. COLOMBIA                        0-0-2                     2
  35. IVORY COAST                    0-0-2                     2
  36. KOSOVO                             0-0-2                     2
  37. UZBEKISTAN                     0-0-2                     2
  38. CZECH REPUBLIC             0-0-1                     1
  39. IRAN                                     0-0-1                     1
  40. KAZAKHSTAN                   0-0-1                     1
  41. LITHUANIA                        0-0-1                     1
  42. MEXICO                              0-0-1                     1
  43. MOLDOVA                         0-0-1                     1
  44. MONGOLIA                       0-0-1                     1
  45. POLAND                              0-0-1                     1
  46. PORTUGAL                        0-0-1                     1

2) I would be very surprised if the US would finish ahead of China and Japan.

8) Would be quite funny if Deguchi would steal the gold medal from a japanese girl in front of her home crowd.

16) I don't see Australia beating Brazil (or even Italy).

Attachment is the great fabricator of illusions; reality can be obtained only by someone who is detached.
 

 

Link to comment
https://totallympics.com/forums/topic/2360-tokyo-2020-day-after-day-as-it-could-have-happened/page/8/#findComment-290299
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • 2028 Team Size Projection – Jan 2026 Update   Here’s an update to my 2028 Team Size Projection. While I touch upon major events changes may occur due to results in smaller events. Additionally, several sports released their qualification document so there may be cases where I have to update the projection. I will only include sports where there is an update.   Here is the link to the updated sheet.     Aquatics (Water Polo) The Men’s European Championships saw take gold. The victory moved Serbia up a few places between European nations. With that said, no one fell out of Olympic qualification with the likes of France and Romania still on the outside looking in. remains on the edge.   Athletics (Marathon) Both the Xiamen and Osaka marathons were held this month along with a few other smaller events. While there were a few changes in the rankings, in terms of Olympic projections gains an athlete in the men’s marathon at the expense of   Badminton Major tournaments include the Malaysia Open and India Open. New updates which affected projections include the women’s doubles where overtook . As Polina Buhrova is also scheduled to compete in the singles event, an additional spot has been open. Other changes in the women’s singles was loses one of their quotas. and benefit from those losses.   Indonesia’s loss on the women’s side is offset by gaining a second player in the men’s singles. This puts   on the outside.   Canoeing The qualification document for both Slalom and Sprint were released/updated. No significant changes were found in the Sprint update. Slalom had significant changes relative to 2024 where the initial quotas will be decided by rankings and kayak cross will now have significant quotas being allocated. After adjustment, the following nations lost a quota; Andorra, Chinese Taipei, Ireland, New Zealand, North Macedonia, Slovakia, and Sweden. The following nations gained a quota; Canada, China, France, Italy, South Africa, Spain, and Tunisia.   Cricket The Women’s T20 World Cup Qualifier was held. No changes to the projection.   Equestrian (Dressage & Jumping) Various World Cup events were held. No changes to the projections were made.   Fencing We had two Grand Prix this month, one for epee and the other for sabre. In men’s epee, overtakes . On the women’s side, the United States moved into the top 4 in the team ranking, pushing Estonia down to fifth. This pushed out of Olympic qualification while takes the Americas quota. This caused a downstream effect on the individual side as Ukraine takes an individual quota and Canada relinquishes their quota, additionally, gained a quota while lost one.   In men’s sabre, now takes the Asian team quota pushing down to just an individual quota. No changes were found in women’s sabre.   Handball Four men’s continental championships were held this month. finished top in Africa while a couple of upsets were saw in South America and Asia where and won over and respectively. Despite their wins, they currently haven’t leapfrogged into being projected to qualify. We’ll see how they perform at the World Championships.   Europe saw finish fourth. This was enough to push it into Olympic qualification projection. They pushed out.   Rowing The qualification document was released. There was a change in boat allocation relative to 2024 and the continental qualifier was slightly different than what I projected. Additionally, I assumed coastal rowing would allow 2 men and 2 women to compete in its three events, but the max is 1 man and 1 woman. This has caused significant changes to the projections.   Overall, the United States lost four quotas. Canada, France, Germany, Ireland, Lithuania, New Zealand, Norway, and Spain lost two quotas and Algeria, Argentina, Croatia, Cuba, Egypt, Kazakhstan, Netherlands, Portugal, Tunisia lost one quota.   The following nations have gained two athletes; Japan, Morocco while the following nations gained one athlete; Angola, Austria, Belgium, Chile, Chinese Taipei, Cote d’Ivoire, Denmark, Estonia, Kuwait, Latvia, Mexico, Romania, Philippines, Paraguay, Puerto Rico, South Africa, South Korea, Switzerland, Togo, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu   Rugby Sevens Fixing a couple of mistakes. First on the men, actually has the Asian quota over and in the women as is essentially shutting down the program, I think it is only right to remove them until they decide to compete again. This means is also projected to qualify.   As for new updates, we saw the third tier SVNS compete, which brought no new updates and the Singapore SVNS. I also didn’t add the Dubai or Cape Town SVNS in my calculations. For both, while there was some shuffling no one ultimately fell out.   Shooting The Asian Shotgun Championships were held this month. A few top shooters were missing. The only change to the projection is is set to qualify in women’s trap, pushing out   Squash The Tournament of Champions was held this month. Additionally, the qualification document was released. There was some restriction as to how many nations can send two players and this sport will offer universality quotas.   The following nations lost an athlete quota; Colombia, France, Great Britain, Hong Kong, Malaysia, and New Zealand. The following nations gained an athlete quota; Canada, Pakistan, Spain (x2), Switzerland, Ukraine   Triathlon The qualification document was released. There are a few changes relative to 2024. Projection changes include: Losses to Hong Kong and Slovenia and gains for Austria and China.   Weightlifting The qualification document was released. One change to be made was the reallocation process for host nation quotas. Due to this, El Salvador Iraq, Palau, Sri Lanka, Tuvalu, and Vanuatu lost quotas while Australia, China, Dominican Republic, Iran, and Samoa (x2) gained quotas.   Wrestling The qualification document was released. There were some significant changes to the qualification process including using the world rankings and the final qualifier only consisting of non-qualified nations. The projection changes are as follows; losses to Belarus, Bulgaria, China, Georgia, Germany, Hungary, Japan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Mongolia, Russia, South Korea, Sweden, and Turkey.   Belgium and Lithuania gained 2 quotas while American Samoa, Austria, Estonia, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Latvia, Madagascar, Spain, and Turkmenistan gained 1 quota.
    • Looks like we in the Philippines are in the same situation. No news yet on whether we’ll be able to watch the Games 
    • Cricket is any day in a better position than Baseball, Modern Pentathlon or Rowing 8s globally
    • http://i.imgur.com/gLJZbix.jpg   Honestly football is just on another level. For other sports, an expanded field or creating multiple host cities likely only works with baseball, cricket and maybe basketball, and only in very specific countries.
    • No streaming for the games in India. I contacted IOC they just sent me a list where the games will be shown live.    Last games we had the Olympic channel and YouTube showing the live coverage for regions with no media rights. This time sadly no such schedule.   So much about making the games accessible to all...
    • What revealed those files of Epstein !!!! thousands of scandals , horrible diguisting things mixing politic criminalities , robbery , scam , manipulation...etc    all those celebrities of shht that you love   
    • I wonder if instead of having flexibility around what sport to add there should be one or two team sports per game with an expanded field (of 16 or 32 or w/e) where the host gets to pick which which team sports (if any) has an expanded field.
    • Dunno if this is geoblocked, but this is from our weekly comedy show Saturday Night Live  
    • I don't buy that she's doing this just to start the race if she thinks she won't be competitive.  We'll probably know more after the training run and far be it from me to know how that's going to work with a torn ACL, but if she knows she can't do it, she'll give that spot to another skier
    • And this with relatively small fields, so lots of nations with no skin in the game.
×
×
  • Create New...