website statistics
Jump to content

Road Cycling Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024


Totallympics
 Share

Recommended Posts

37 minutes ago, Rafa Maciel said:

There are a handful of races over the next couple of weeks for the men's tour with the last big race of the season being Il Lombardia next weekend. I think this event may have been upgraded this year as the ranking points have increased compared to last year - there are now 800 ranking points for the winner so it could have significant impact on the final rankings.

 

On the other hand, the women's tour is pretty much done and dusted with just 3 1-day races to go and the Tour of Guangxi so I am not expecting any dramatic shifts in the rankings as France would need to net 500 points to overtake GB.

:POL men's cyclists needs 400 points to surpass :ERI and :KAZ to move to 20th place in ranking and gets second quota, it's still any chance for that or it's rather wishful thinking?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

33 minutes ago, rybak said:

:POL men's cyclists needs 400 points to surpass :ERI and :KAZ to move to 20th place in ranking and gets second quota, it's still any chance for that or it's rather wishful thinking?

If Kiakowski wins Lombardia. Which is not likely, i think, but is equally not impossible - so long as Ineos pick him

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, rybak said:

:POL men's cyclists needs 400 points to surpass :ERI and :KAZ to move to 20th place in ranking and gets second quota, it's still any chance for that or it's rather wishful thinking?

Not impossible but unlikely - a 400 point swing at this stage of the season is difficult to see, but if it is going to happen then the journey starts today:

 

Coppa Bernocchi:POL Rafal Majka takes on :ERI Henok Mulubrhan and Natnael Tesfatzion. As a ProSeries event, there are 200 points available for the win but at a minimum, Majka needs a top 8 finish and has to finish ahead of both Eritreans. That would net him 50 points.  

 

3-Oct: Tre Valli Varesine - :POL Rafal Majka is again scheduled to take part and at least on the preliminary entry list, there are no riders from :KAZ or :ERI. Again, it is a ProSeries event so 200 for the win so Majka needs top 8 finish. 

 

3-Oct: Binche-Chimay-Binche- No ranking riders from :POL taking part so it will be down to the performance of :ERI Biniam Girmay to determine the impact. As a Class 1 event, there are 125 points available for the win. If Girmay gets a top 4 finish and Majka hasn't scored in his 2 races, it becomes very difficult for Poland to overtake. 

 

Ultimately, the race is going to come down to the level of activity from the ranking riders and at the moment, there doesn't seem to be a huge amount scheduled for :POL although the start lists for some of the events are incomplete. So their best chance of moving up the ranking comes at Il Lombardia - a top 5 finish from Kwiatowski and suddenly things look a lot brighter for Poland. 

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

For me, there's only 2 cliff edge "races". Can Spain get 4-500 points from the last two weeks to overtake France for the 5th spot? It probably needs Bilbao/Mas/Landa to win Lombardia. Very unlikely. GB are safe in 4th

 

Currently Eritrea are just a few points ahead of Kazakhstan for 20th/21st. That might go down to the wire

 

Everything else is settled IMO

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Coppa Bernocchi:POL Rafal Majka takes on :ERI Henok Mulubrhan and Natnael Tesfatzion. As a ProSeries event, there are 200 points available for the win but at a minimum, Majka needs a top 8 finish and has to finish ahead of both Eritreans. That would net him 50 points.  

 

So Majka didn't manage a top 8 finish - he came home in 22nd, 1:30 behind winner Wout Van Aert. He did however finish ahead of both Eritreans but he'll only net 5 points. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, dodge said:

For me, there's only 2 cliff edge "races". Can Spain get 4-500 points from the last two weeks to overtake France for the 5th spot? It probably needs Bilbao/Mas/Landa to win Lombardia. Very unlikely. GB are safe in 4th

 

Currently Eritrea are just a few points ahead of Kazakhstan for 20th/21st. That might go down to the wire

 

Everything else is settled IMO

For GB to be looking at full road teams men's and women's is slightly bonkers in historic context, but there men's hope is the TT, I think - if Pidcock does MTB (and he'll be the favourite in all likelihood if he does) I can't see him doing the road race, but he's probably the only Brit suited to the course.

 

Ireland, however, have a real medal shout, I think with Ben Healy - the obvious Slovenians and Low countries superstars will be favourites, of course.

 

Om the women's side I suspect the TT will be Henderson and Backstedt Óg, and both are far from also-rans. Pfeiffer Georgi seems the form road racer to add.

 

No real idea who Ireland would pick on the women's side - most attention seems to be on the women's pursuit on the track

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ireland have Mia Griffen at WT level but she has had a disastrous year with injury. She’ll hopefully be part of the pursuit team. So will Lara Gillespie, who’s probably our best cyclist. 
 

Megan Armitage is the likely choice. If they get the spot of course 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Whilst there are still 10 events left on the men's tour before the end of the Olympic ranking window, today is the last big set piece event on the men's tour and the one which has the potential to have the biggest impact on the size of the teams in Paris next year - Il Lombardia. 

 

At this stage, we know that :BEL :DEN and :SLO are going to have a full team of 4 riders. That leaves :ESP :GBR and :FRA battling it out for the remaining 2 full team spots.

 

The official UCI ranking currently has Spain in 4th place ahead of GB and France but on an adjusted basis - excluding any results from Oct-22 - GB would be ahead of France and Spain. (Although the numbers are slightly different, this is in line with the current PCS ranking). Based on the ranking released on 03-Oct, GB had a lead of around 200 points on France and 500 points on Spain (Spain had a very good Il Lombardia in 2022)

 

Since the last ranking release, we have had a number of events in Italy and across these, both France and Spain have been able to outscore GB causing the gaps to close somewhat. GB now have a lead of around 130 on France and around 270 on Spain. With 800 points available for the win today and with top 8 riders scoring at least 200 points, GB's lead is not insurmountable.

 

Ranking riders taking part in Il Lombardia:

 

:GBR Adam Yates & Simon Yates

 

:FRA Guillaume Martin, Thibaut Pinot, Valentin Madouas, Pavel Sivakov, Romain Bardet

 

:ESP Mikel Landa, Ion Izagirre, Carlos Rodriguez, Enric Mas, 

 

So from a pure numbers perspective, France and Spain both have the numbers to be able to swamp the points taken by the Yates brothers. If any of the Spanish or French ranking riders get a top 8 finish without that being matched by one of the Yates, then it is very possible that they will move ahead of GB in the rankings.  

Edited by Rafa Maciel
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

Ranking riders taking part in Il Lombardia:

 

:GBR Adam Yates & Simon Yates

 

:FRA Guillaume Martin, Thibaut Pinot, Valentin Madouas, Pavel Sivakov, Romain Bardet

 

:ESP Mikel Landa, Ion Izagirre, Carlos Rodriguez, Enric Mas, 

 

 :ESP have lost Enric Mas to DNF and Mikel Landa unlikely to figure after a big crash. Advantage swings to France and GBR.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

  • Latest Posts around Totallympics

    • Rather negative     Both towards Vollering and towards the coach, who has been making a mess of this for years now (like Tokyo). Vollering literally said "it was not good for me that Markus and Vos were still in the front towards the end"     One of the most well-known journalists (albeit a bit of a drama queen, but in this case, he's right): "Absurdly bad race by Vollering. Unbelievable."   An entire analysis titled "Vollering only thought of herself and threw away and almost certain Dutch medal": https://www.wielerflits.nl/nieuws/demi-vollering-dacht-alleen-aan-zichzelf-en-verspeelt-vrijwel-zekere-wk-medaille-voor-nederland/   Vollering: "They were all riding just to make me lose"   https://www.gelderlander.nl/video/productie/vollering-mij-laten-verliezen-wk-zurich-772648?referrer=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.google.com%2F   The 100th time Vollering shows she should simply not be in a team like this. It is always trouble, every single time. We need a team with like 6 Marianne Vos clones, she has the experience, she can read a race like absolutely nobody else in the world can and she plays her role, whether that's the team captain or working for someone else, without complaining and to the fullest extent.   Vollering is the exact opposite of Vos. Vollering rides for Team Vollering, which consists of Demi Vollering. No matter what.
    • What did Dutch press make out of it? It was one of the worst "teamworks" I have ever seen in cycling.
    • There is a ton of evidence, even if you don't believe the Bible is real,  that israel is our ancestral land.  And we simply took what's ours.  And in fact there was never anyone named Palestinians there.   Simply a name given to the region by the Roman's.  But the actual people is just a collective of individuals from different Arab countries where they were kicked out from.  And we are expected to cater to them.   There are plenty of other countries that should take them.   Iran, qatar, Iraq, Kuwait, Yemen, Algeria,  libiya, Egypt, Tunisia, Morocco to name a few.   
    • Completely lost track of when the other final, but I just finished watching the pre-recorded version of it.   Team “Magic Mike” McEwen defeated Team Gushue 8-3 to win his third title (and in a row) of the season. 
    • Massive win indeed, a 80+ kilometer solo in the world championships, damn  (I mean, Sivakov jumped with him to try and help him of course, but couldn't do anything but sit in his wheel until he got dropped )
    • If even Erdogan calls you a psychopath, you're probably been....bad.    
    • Meanwhile:         https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maher_al-Assad
    • Sure, some things are simply historical events retold with a kind of fantasy layer over it, to make it more appealing to read and/or - most importantly - to put some lessons into it, which is fine (and which is the main way to read most religious texts, as 'lessons' and messages by the writers instead of actual historical facts). But let's not pretend that things like Moses splitting the sea or the entire exodus have a significant historical basis, based on actual evidence. Anyway, like I said: I'm well aware people who believe the religious book of their choosing is a historical book aren't going to ever believe otherwise, I grew up in a town full of similiarly minded people  
    • Have you ever been to Israel? Because you can find historical evidence of many of the "stories"   And btw we are talking about 3000 years before us    
    • What a win, and what a year for this guy!     
×
×
  • Create New...