Dennis

Nooooo! 

He also got disqualified on Friday. 

4 minutes ago, intoronto said:

Looks like Nil Llop   is into a qualification position in the 500m!

Great news! Did not expect this anymore!

MAX! Very weird finish though, after lap 53 I was 100% sure he wouldn't win anymore.

Here there were also fireworks in my street 

Not taking the quotas into account for the distances that will be skated tonight, we have a total of 25 countries already secured of at least one quota:

In 2018, 29 different countries competed. Differences so far:

• No participation in 2018, but quota secured for 2022:   
• Participated in 2018, no quota secured for 2022 (yet):        

 will send its first ever skater to the Olympics (women's 500m) and no skater from  had qualified since 1992 and now they qualified both a male and female speed skater. 

 Marten Liiv will almost certainly qualify tonight for both men's 500 and 1.000m, so Estonia will be the 26th country added to the list.

 Loubineaud is now 2nd reserve on the men's 5.000m, 3rd on the men's 10.000m and 4th on the men's mass start. 

No reasonable hope for any of the other countries to qualify. I'm most disappointed by . They also don't have any talents coming up in the junior circuit. 

Women's team pursuit quota, unless a miracle happens in the B-group:

Final quota men's mass start:

 x1  x1  x2  x2  x1  x1  x1  x1  x2  x2  x2  x2  x2  x1  x2

Host quota:  x1

Reserves:        

Rule D.2.6 of the qualification document may be applied:

Additional competitors for the Mass Start event, up to a maximum of 30 competitors, may be entered during Games time. Additional starting positions will then be made available to athletes who have been entered and participated in at least one (1) distance/event. The allocation of these additional starting positions will be done according to the Reserve list for the Mass Start event (as per D.2.5), with priority to NOCs without an already entered athlete in the Mass Start event

 However, the Belarussian guy has not qualified for any individual distance and  have 0 quota on individual distances. So this rule may only be applied to  Peter Michael who JUST missed out on a qualifying spot on the 5k and might fall out of the qualification spots after the B-group 1.500m later tonight.   

Hoolwerf 

He got a lot of criticism, because he was 24th in the World Cup ranking on the mass start after 2/3 competitions. If he wouldn't be in the top 24 after the final competition today, the Netherlands would lose their maximum number of quota for men of 9. Got the pressure of a whole speed skating loving nation on his back and now he wins the final race! 

Women's 1.000m quota for now. The top 20 of the Olympic qualification ranking is fixed. 10 more skaters will be added after the B-Group has finished.

Qualified based on ranking:

 x3  x1  x2  x1  x2  x3  x2  x3  x1  x2

43 minutes ago, Dennis said:

Maybe my calculations are incorrect, but Roest and Blokhuijsen both not starting on the 1.500m may cost the Netherlands a quota on this distance. They're taking such a risk. 

Roest finished 19th in the final ranking, which is enough, but still  

4 minutes ago, NearPup said:

If Michael sneaks into the 1500m he will also be able to start the mass start, fwiw. He's guaranteed to be a reserve in the mass start, and up to six reserves can enter the mass start if they are already skating another event.

 

A sad outcome from today: Haralds Silovs was 0 points away from qualifying for the mass start (lost out on best result to Tai)

Yeah, it's sad. I like Silovs a lot. However, I wouldn't be surprised if Ning Zhongyan will kick  Tai back to position 25. Ning decided to skip the 1.500m to focus on the mass start final.

Men's 1.500m quota for now. The top 20 of the Olympic qualification ranking is fixed. 10 more skaters will be added after the B-Group has finished.

Qualified based on ranking:

 x2  x2  x1  x3  x1  x1  x3  x3  x2  x2

1 minute ago, NearPup said:

It looks like this is the Olympic debut for in speed skating.

 

It also looks like and will both miss out on these Olympics entirely - is first reserve in the 10000m and was 3 points away from qualifying in the 5000m

Yeah, really happy with  being in. I saw it coming for a few years when her times became more and more competitive, but it was always going to be close. 

Sad about Peter Michael missing out, he's such a fun skater.

Colombia has some talented juniors, for example the reigning national champion on the women's 500m and 1.000m is a 15-year-old and I wouldn't be surprised if Diego Amaya is going to win a medal during the Junior World Championships this year (if they won't be cancelled). He got a silver medal and two 4th places during the 2020 Youth Olympics. So let's hope for some Colombian skaters in Milan.

Maybe my calculations are incorrect, but Roest and Blokhuijsen both not starting on the 1.500m may cost the Netherlands a quota on this distance. They're taking such a risk. 

Women's 500m quota if my calculations are correct:

   x3 x2   x3  x2 x3 x2 x2 x3    x2

Reserves:         

Brittany Bowe misses out on a quota for the USA by 2 points after skipping 3 races, and  Sandrine Tas gets surpassed in the final race of the season and is now first reserve.

56 minutes ago, NearPup said:

I know there was a lot of suspense, but I have breaking news: van der Poel has won the long distance world cup.

 

Edit: this is actually incorrect, Bloemen has a minuscule chance of catching up, but it involves Bloemen winning the final race and van der Poel not finishing or being DQed.

Not 100% true, all points are doubled during the World Cup Final, so in theory even #11 in the standings Marwin Talsma could still win if all the entire top 10 ends their seasons after the Olympics.  

Men's 5.000m provisional quota list before the B-Group has been skated:

• 100% certain if my calculations are correct: x3 x3 x3  
• Qualified on time for now, but can all change once the B-Group has skated: 

  • Casey Dawson - 6:10.803 

  • Livio Wenger - 6:12.132 

  • Ethan Cepuran 6:12.378 

  • Felix Rijhnen 6:15.069 

  • Sverre Lunde Pedersen 6:15.116 

  • Hallgeir Engebråten 6:15.130 

Men's 10.000m final quota based on my calculations:

• Qualified based on ranking:      x2  
• Qualified based on time:     

Reserves (in order):         

 Shen Hanyang misses out on a host quota by 0.7 seconds on a 10.000m 

29 minutes ago, NearPup said:

...why would it take them so long? Lame.

Deadline is December 24th. Don't think they'll publish them before that date, but maybe there will be a positive surprise.

Just now, Dennis said:

Women's 5.000m final quota (of couse my calculations, so there could be errors):

 

• Top 8 in combined 3.000m/5.000m World Cup standings (max 2 per country):         
• 4 skaters qualified based on time:     

 

Reserves (in order):         

Final provisional list will be published by the ISU around Christmas.   

Women's 5.000m final quota (of couse my calculations, so there could be errors):

• Top 8 in combined 3.000m/5.000m World Cup standings (max 2 per country):         
• 4 skaters qualified based on time:     

Reserves (in order):         

Women's 3.000m provisional quota before the B-Group has been skated. The B-Group will be skated after midnight, and I won't stay up for that:

• 100% qualified as they are sure of a top 14 ranking no matter the outcome of the B-Group:  x3   x2 x3     
• Final quota based on ranking between  and  ( Han Mei qualifies, unless  Morozova wins the B-Group) 

• Currently qualified based on time:

1.  Evgeniia Lalenkova - 3:57:876
2.  Mei Han - 3:58.759 (only relevant if Morozova wins B-Group, otherwise she will qualify based on ranking)
3.  Nadezhda Morozova - 3:59.647 (only relevant if she doesn't win the B-Group)
4.  Sofie Karoline Haugen - 4:02.662
5.  Mia Kilburg-Manganello - 4:02.914
6.  Natalia Czerwonka - 4:04.222
7.  Ekaterina Sloeva - 4:04.685

4 minutes ago, dcro said:

Lollobrigida for the win?

Provisional quota for the men's 500m after 7/8 races (my calculation, might have mistakes):

 x1

 x2

 x2

 x1

 x1

 x2

 x2

 x3

 x1

 x2

 x3

 x2

 x3

 x3

 x2

Reserve list in order:        

 Nil Llop got disqualified in race 7 unfortunately, but one chance left to qualify.

1 minute ago, Belle said:

When it’s time for men’s 5000 in Calgary? 

22:35 Stockholm time

Tried to make a quick calculation. Provisional quota's on the women's 500m after 7/8 races:

 x1 ()

 x1

 x1 

 x1

 x3

 x2

 x1 

 x3

 x1

 x2

 x3

 x2

 x2

 x3

 x1 

 x1 

 x2

Reserves, in order:         

3 hours ago, heywoodu said:

Nearly all of the top Dutch skaters have gone home to prepare for the OQT around Christmas, so they'll skip Calgary. This is done under the assumption the maximum number of quota are already certain, with the men's mass start (although Jorrit Bergsma went home as well) and the women's 3k as exceptions.

Very risky, I have a feeling we’ll lose some quotas because of this decision.