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Men's Basketball FIBA World Cup 2023 Road to Paris 2024


Totallympics
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1 hour ago, Mecki83 said:

I just did some math on the Italy/Serbia/Dominican Republic group.
Let's assume that Domincan Republic and italy will win their games against Puerto Rico.

 

Then there are two possible outcomes:

 

1) Serbia looses against Dominican Republic

-> 1st place in group I goes to Domincan Republic

-> 2nd place in group I goes to Italy (and will potentially face USA in the QF)

 

2) Serbia wins against Dominican Republic

-> Serbia/Italy/Dominican Republic are tied 

-> next criteria is the difference in baskets for the matches between the teams with the same number of points 

-> Italy is already fixed at 160-163 = -3

-> Domincan Republic is currently at +5

-> Serbia is at -2

=> It is not possible for Italy to finish in 1st place (and avoid USA in the QF). It is possible that Italy will finish in 3rd place (if Seribia wins with less than 8 points).

 

OK...first assumption already failed. :facepalm:

So I would say...everything is possible in group I (all teams tied with 7 points)

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3 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Looks like :PUR got the win over :DOM that essentially turns the final group game into an elimination match. Here are the permutations and rankings:

 

Winner :ITA :PUR
:DOM

1.  :DOM

2. :ITA

1.  :PUR

2. :DOM

:SRB

1.  :ITA

2. :SRB

1.  :SRB

2. :PUR

 

Wow, so a win for the QF but no team can gain 1st place by their own.

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3 minutes ago, Mecki83 said:

Wow, so a win for the QF but no team can gain 1st place by their own.

Yup and with :USA looming for second place (unless they throw their final game) things will be a bit tense. Italy/Puerto Rico will occur first so Dominican Republic/Serbia will know if they are playing for first or second in the group.

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8 minutes ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Yup and with :USA looming for second place (unless they throw their final game) things will be a bit tense. Italy/Puerto Rico will occur first so Dominican Republic/Serbia will know if they are playing for first or second in the group.

At least it is fair as DomRep an Serbia cannot both reach the finals.

And even if DomRep/Serbia will know that they will face USA in the QF it is nonetheless better than loosing in the group stage.
 

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4 minutes ago, Mecki83 said:

At least it is fair as DomRep an Serbia cannot both reach the finals.

And even if DomRep/Serbia will know that they will face USA in the QF it is nonetheless better than loosing in the group stage.
 

To be honest, better for us to lose to DR and not bother with 3 more meaningless games in the WC. 

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