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How Many Medals do You Expect from Your Nation at the Winter Olympic Games Milano Cortina 2026? Road to Milano Cortina 2026


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25 minutes ago, Josh said:

66% chance for a medal in moguls seems low though...

 

Men's relay being 5th in short track, and Clarke only having a 0.5% chance at a medal also seem off

 

Why is ski mountaineering there, we didn't even qualify anyone :p

The probability of winning a medal in the men's 500m also seems a bit off :p

 

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On 2/3/2026 at 4:56 AM, Topicmaster1010 said:

The probability of winning a medal in the men's 500m also seems a bit off :p

 

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1.6 medals for Canada in the men's 500m sound reasonable no? Dandjnou e Dubois can both easily medal, especially if they plan a team strategy

2 hours ago, thevorminatheria said:

1.6 medals for Canada in the men's 500m sound reasonable no? Dandjnou e Dubois can both easily medal, especially if they plan a team strategy

Now I see how it works, thanks for clarifying. I thought it described the probability of a nation winning a medal in that event out of 100%

 

Great job on the site by the way. Very informative and good predictions!

_

Done my prediction contest and I went with 11 medals for GBR including 7 Golds. Probably ambitious and unlikely for them to all go our way, but honestly, at least five of those Gold medalists are at minimum co-favourites in their events. Just shows how good a place we're in for these games.

 

A reminder that GBR's best previous medal haul at a Winter Olympics is 5 medals and we've never won more than one Gold at a single games. At the very least, we should beat that (hopefully I haven't just jinxed it for us).

Don't know if I get enough time for this but I'll be rooting for :FIN :CZE:LAT :EST :JPN :KOR 

3 hours ago, Fly_like_a_don said:

Don't know if I get enough time for this but I'll be rooting for :FIN :CZE:LAT :EST :JPN :KOR 

Back in the day when :GBR had nobody and nothing in most sports, I always used to go for :CAN - still remember the Torino CC Sprint!

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