Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

Prakash_k · October 23, 2023

Weightlifting medal prediction (most predictible sport.i m directly going through IWF paris ranking https://iwf.sport/qualif2024/P2024_Qualification/ )

Men’s event :

61kg: 🇨🇳 🇮🇹 🇹🇭

73 kg :🇮🇩🇹🇭🇯🇵

89kg: 🇨🇳 🇧🇬 🇮🇷

102g: 🇨🇳 🇰🇷 🇧🇭

109+ kg:🇬🇪🇧🇭 🇦🇲

women’s event:( not sure which two cat China will drop. 49 & 89+ is sureshot gold for china )

49 kg : 🇨🇳 🇹🇭 🇺🇸

59 kg: 🇺🇦 🇨🇴 🇼🇸

71 kg: 🇨🇳 🇪🇨 🇷🇴

89kg: 🇪🇬 🇳🇴 🇪🇨

89+ kg: 🇨🇳 🇰🇷🇹🇭

Edited October 24, 2023 by Prakash_k

rafalgorka · October 24, 2023

Day 12 Wed 07.08

198. ARTISTIC SWIMMING - Team

1. China

2. Japan

3. Spain

Ukraine 4th.

199. ATHLETICS - Race Walk Mixed Relay

1. Spain

2. China

3. Japan

This event turns out to be much more entertaining than many thought before. Poland 9th.

200. ATHLETICS - W Pole Vault

1. Katie Moon USA

2. Nina Kennedy AUS

3. Eliza McCartney NZL

This time Katie jumps over the Moon, 5cm higher than Kennedy. Wilma Murto FIN 4th.

201. ATHLETICS - M Discus Throw

1. Kristjan Ceh SLO

2. Daniel Stahl SWE

3. Mykolas Alekna LTU

0,10 cm difference between 1st and 2nd. Stahl visibly disappointed. Lukas Weisshaidinger AUT 4th.

202. ATHLETICS - M 400m

1. Wayde van Niekerk RSA

2. Antonio Watson JAM

3. Matthew Hudson-Smith GBR

Van Niekerk is back! He runs much slowe than his Rio WR but this is very entertaining race - top 6 within 0,3 sec.

203. ATHLETICS - M 3000m Steeplechase

1. Soufiane El Bakkali MAR
2. Lamecha Girma ETH
3. Simon Kiprop Koech KEN

Budapest 2023 1-2 the same again. But this time Birma is beaten by 0,5 sec only. A race for ages.

204. BOXING - M 63.5kg

1. Sofiane Oumiha FRA

2. Wyatt Sanford CAN

3. Lai Chu-en TPE

3. Lasha Guruli GEO

205. BOXING - M 80kg

1. Arlen Lopez CUB

2. Oleksandr Khyzhniak UKR

3. Toqtarbek Tanatqan CHN

3. Eumir Marcial PHI

206. SAILING - Mixed Dinghy 470

1. Spain

2. Japan

3. Germany

207. SAILING - Mixed Multihull Nacra 17

1. Great Britain

2. Italy

3. Sweden

208. SKATEBOARDING - M Park

1. Gavin Bottger USA

2. Jagger Eaton USA

3. Augusto Akio BRA

209. SPORT CLIMBING - W Speed

1. Aleksandra Mirosław POL

2. Desak Made Rita Kusuma Dewi INA

3. Emma Hunt USA

Gold nr 2 for Poland in Paris! Ola Mirosław beats WR in semis and then goes on to win gold but with a small error in the final, after a very hard battle. Natalia Kałucka loses in QF against Emma Hunt but both have a great performance there, only 0,02 sec diffference.

210. TAEKWONDO - M 58kg

1. Vito Dell'Aquila ITA

2. Jun Jang KOR

3. Adrian Vicente ESP

3. Mohamed Khalil Jendoubi TUN

211. TAEKWONDO - W 49kg

1. Panipak Wongpattanakit THA

2. Merve Dincel TUR

3. Adriana Cerezo ESP

3. Ju Zuo CHN

212. TRACK CYCLING - M Team Pursuit

1. Denmark

2. Italy

3. New Zealand

First gold for Denmark in Paris. I probably have to update my dressage predictions though...

213. TRACK CYCLING - W Team Pursuit

1. Great Britain

2. New Zealand

3. France

Australia 4th.

214. WEIGHTLIFTING - M 61kg

1. Li Fabin CHN

2. Eko Yuli Irawan INA

3. Theerapong Silachai THA

215. WEIGHTLIFTING - W 49kg

1. Jiang Huihua CHN

2. Jourdan Delacruz USA

3. Mihaela-Valentina Cambei ROU

216. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 77kg

1. Akzhol Makhmudov KGZ

2. Sanan Suleymanov AZE
3. Malkhas Amoyan ARM

3. Alexandrin Gutu MDA

217. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 97kg

1. Mohammad Hadi Saravi IRI

2. Artur Aleksanyan ARM

3. Artur Omarov CZE

3. Gabriel Rosillo CUB

218. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - W 50kg

1. Yui Susaki JPN

2. Feng Ziqi CHN

3. Sarah Hildebrandt USA

3. Dolgorjavyn Otgomjargal MGL

rafalgorka · October 24, 2023

Medal table in the end of day 12 (217 events)

30-22-18---70

27-36-21---84

18-15-17---50

17-8-16---41

13-12-10---35

11-13-8---32

9-6-6---21

8-11-10---29

6-7-10---23

5-7-11---23

5-7-2---14

5-6-6---17

4-7-5---16

4-2-3---9

3-2-1---6

3-0-3---6
3-0-2---5

2-3-3---8

2-3-2---7

2-2-4---8

2-2-1---5

2-1-6---9

2-1-4---7

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-0-1---3

2-0-0---2

1-4-3---8

1-3-7---11

1-2-3---6

1-2-2---5

1-2-1---4

1-1-3---5

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-0-3---4

1-0-2---3

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

:MAR 1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-3-1---4

0-2-1---3

:INA 0-2-0---2

0-1-3---4

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

:CPV 0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

rafalgorka · October 24, 2023

TEAM SPORTS on Day 12 Wed 07.08

BASKETBALL - W Quarters

:USA beats :BRA

:AUS beats :SRB

:FRA beats :BEL

:CHN beats :ESP

9-12:

:PUR :SEN :CAN :JPN

HANDBALL - M Quarters

:FRA beats :SWE

:GER beats :CRO

:DEN beats :NOR

:EGY beats :ESP

9-12.

:JPN :ARG :SLO :ISL

HOCKEY - W Semis

:NED beats :GER

:AUS beats :ARG

VOLLEYBALL - M Semis

:POL beats :BRA 3-1 POLAND IN THE FINAL!!!

:ITA beats :USA 3-2 20-18 in 5th set, a match for ages

WATER POLO - M Quarters

:HUN beats :SRB

:ESP beats :CRO

:GRE beats :USA

:ITA beats :MNE

9-12.

:FRA :JPN :AUS :RSA

Edited November 5, 2023 by rafalgorka

rafalgorka · October 24, 2023

Day Thu 08.08

218. ATHLETICS - W Long Jump

219. ATHLETICS - M Javelin Throw

220. ATHLETICS - M 200m

221. ATHLETICS - W 400m Hurdles

222. ATHLETICS - M 110m Hurdles

223. BOXING - W 54kg

224. BOXING - M 51kg

225. CANOE SPRINT - M C2 500m

226. CANOE SPRINT - M K4 500m

227. CANOE SPRINT - W C2 500m

228. CANOE SPRINT - W K4 500m

229. DIVING - M 3m Springboard

230. HOCKEY - M Tournament (bronze-medal game :AUS vs :BEL and final :GER vs :NED

231. SAILING - M Kite

232. SAILING - W Kite

233. SPORT CLIMBING - M Speed

234. SWIMMING - W 10km Marathon

235. TAEKWONDO - M 68kg

236. TAEKWONDO - W 57kg

237. TRACK CYCLING - M Omnium

238. TRACK CYCLING - W Keirin

239. WEIGHTLIFTING - W 59kg

240. WEIGHTLIFTING - M 73kg

241. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 67kg

242. WRESTLING GRECO-ROMAN - M 87kg

243. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - W 53kg

we will know bronze medalists in BOXING - W 75kg, M 57kg

and there will be bronze-medal game in M FOOTBALL - :BRA vs :ARG

other team sports:

M BASKETBALL semis: :USA vs :CAN and :FRA vs :SRB

W HANDBALL semis: :FRA vs :DEN and :NOR vs :SWE

W VOLLEYBALL semis: :TUR vs :SRB and :USA vs :BRA

W WATER POLO semis: :NED vs :ESP and :USA vs :HUN

MagyarBabu · October 25, 2023

DAY 12 - August, 7th

ARTISTIC SWIMMING - Team

1. :CHN P.R. of China

2. :JPN Japan

3. :USA USA

ATHLETICS - Race Walking Mixed Relay

1. :ESP Spain

2. :ITA Italy

3. :ECU Ecuador

ATHLETICS - Women's Pole Vault

1. :AUS N. Kennedy

2. :USA K. Moon

3. :NZL E. McCartney

ATHLETICS - Men's Discus Throw

1. :SLO K. Čeh

2. :SWE D. Ståhl

3. :LTU M. Alekna

ATHLETICS - Men's 400m

1. :BAH S. Gardiner

2. :JAM A. Watson

3. :JAM R. McDonald

ATHLETICS - Men's 3000 Steeplechase

1. :MAR S. El Bakkali

2. :ETH L. Girma

3. :KEN S.K. Koech

BOXING - Men's 63kg

1. :FRA L. Hamraoui

2. :CUB A. Cruz Gomez

3. :ARM H. Bachkov :UZB R. Abdullaev

BOXING - Men's 80kg

1. :CUB A. Lopez Cardona

2. :KAZ N. Oralbay

3. :ESP G.S. Jalidov :MAR M.Assanghir

SKATEBOARDING - Men's Park

1. :USA T. Schaar

2. :AUS K. Palmer

3. :USA J. Eaton

SPORT CLIMBING - Women's Speed

1. :INA D. Made Rita Kusuma

2. :POL A. Mirosław

3. :POL N. Kałucka

SAILING - Mixed 479 (Dinghy)

1. :GER Germany

2. :ESP Spain

3. :SUI Switzerland

SAILING - Mixed Multihull (Nacra)

1. :ITA Italy

2. :GBR Great Britain

3. :FRA France

TAEKWONDO - Women's 49kg

1. :THA P. Wongpattanakit

2. :TUR M. Dincel

3. :CRO B. Duvančić :SRB T. Bogdanović

TAEKWONDO - Men's 58kg

1. :KOR J. Jang

2. :NIG N. Issaka

3. :ITA V. Dell'Aquila :TUN M.K. Jendoubi

TRACK CYCLING - Women's Team Pursuit

1. :GBR Great Britain

2. :NZL New Zealand

3. :USA USA

TRACK CYCLING - Men's Team Pursuit

1. :DEN Denmark

2. :ITA Italy

3. :GBR Great Britain

WEIGHTLIFTING - Women's 49kg

1. :CHN H. Jiang

2. :THA S. Khambao

3. :USA J.E. Delacruz

WEIGHTLIFTING - Men's 61kg

1. :CHN F. Li

2. :GEO S. Mashvelidze

3. :ITA S. Massidda

WRESTLING - Men's Greco-Roman 77kg

1. :KGZ A. Makhmudov

2. :HUN Z. Lévai

3. :ARM A. Amoyan :SRB V. Nemeš

WRESTLING - Men's Greco-Roman 97kg

1. :IRI M.A. Saravi

2. :BUL K.M. Milov

3. :ARM A. Aleksanyan :AZE A. Niftullayev

WRESTLING - Women's Freestyle 50kg

1. :JPN Y. Susaki

2. :MGL O. Dolgorjavyn

3. :USA S. Hildebrandt :CHN Z. Feng

Edited October 25, 2023 by MagyarBabu

MagyarBabu · October 25, 2023

MEDAL TABLE After DAY 12 (218/329)

:CHN CHN 28-19-13

:USA USA 26-24-24

:FRA FRA 17-14-13

:GBR GBR 13-14-12

:AUS AUS 10-14-10

:JPN JPN 10-14-5

:GER GER 6-7-10

:NED NED 6-7-10

:DEN DEN 6-3-3

:ITA ITA 5-8-12

:HUN HUN 5-6-4

:ROU ROU 5-2-1

:CAN CAN 5-1-6

:KOR KOR 4-7-4

:ESP ESP 4-2-3

:GEO GEO 4-2-2

:SWE SWE 4-2-1

:UKR UKR 3-2-4

:CZE CZE 3-1-4

:SLO SLO 3-1-2

:GRE GRE 3-0-4

:NZL NZL 2-5-2

:IRL IRL 2-3-3

:TUR TUR 2-3-2

:BEL BEL 2-3-0

:BRA BRA 2-2-9

:KAZ KAZ 2-2-4

:KEN KEN -

:BUL BUL 2-1-2

:INA INA -

:TUN TUN 2-1-1

:SVK SVK 2-1-0

:NOR NOR 2-0-2

:POL POL 1-5-4

:SUI SUI 1-4-4

:CRO CRO 1-3-2

:JAM JAM 1-3-1

:ISR ISR 1-2-2

:IRI IRI 1-2-1

:UZB UZB 1-1-5

:ARM ARM 1-1-3

:IND IND -

:SRB SRB -

:CUB CUB 1-1-1

:MEX MEX -

:MGL MGL -

:THA THA 1-1-0

:LTU LTU 1-0-3

:COL COL 1-0-1

:ECU ECU -

:KGZ KGZ -

:MAR MAR -
:RSA RSA -

:BAH BAH 1-0-0

:CYP CYP -

:UGA UGA -

:VEN VEN -

:ETH ETH 0-2-2

:LAT LAT 0-2-0

:HKG HKG 0-1-3

:KOS KOS 0-1-2

:TPE TPE 0-1-1

:EGY EGY -

:MDA MDA -

:PER PER -

:BIH BIH 0-1-0

:BOT BOT -

:DMA DMA -

:FIJ FIJ -

:NIG NIG -

:LCA LCA -

:TJK TJK

:AZE AZE 0-0-5

:PHI PHI 0-0-3

Argentina, Aruba, Austria, Chile, Finland, Ivory Coast, Portugal; 0-0-1

Edited October 25, 2023 by MagyarBabu

Josh · October 25, 2023

@rafalgorka will do a couple days of my predictions in a couple of days, if possible can you remind me? (anytime on Sunday works) :yes

Prakash_k · October 25, 2023

On 10/24/2023 at 10:11 PM, rafalgorka said:

SPORT CLIMBING - W Speed

1. Aleksandra Mirosław POL

2. Desak Made Rita Kusuma Dewi INA

How is this sport in term of predictability? Indonesian are very much sure about kusuma dewi gold

Edited October 26, 2023 by Prakash_k

phelps · October 25, 2023

4 hours ago, Prakash_k said:

How is this sports in term of predictability? Indonesian are very much sure about kusuma dewi gold

it's close between the top contenders, very close (and there's always the chance of a false start that kills you when you don't expect)

I think anything can happen between :INA :POL and :CHN (maybe even :USA ) in the women's event, and it's even less predictable in the men's division (though :INA and :CHN are the main favourite, but with many more contenders)

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