Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day

[MagyarBabu 86]

MEDAL TABLE After DAY 13 (244/329)

 

 

Women Windsurfing's Bronze and Men 73kg Weightlifting's Silver Medal are missing.

 

 

 CHN 33-20-13

 USA 27-24-28

 FRA 20-16-14

 GBR 13-18-12

 JPN 11-14-5

 AUS 10-14-12

 GER 8-10-10

 NED 7-7-11

 DEN 6-3-3

 ITA 5-9-13

 KOR 5-7-5

 HUN 5-6-6

 ROU 5-2-1

 CAN 5-1-7

 ESP 4-5-3

 UKR 4-3-4

 GEO 4-2-3

 SWE 4-2-1

 SLO 4-1-2

 JAM 3-5-1

 KAZ 3-3-5

 BEL 3-3-0

 CZE 3-2-4

 GRE 3-0-4

 NZL 2-6-3

 POL 2-5-4

 TUR 2-4-4

 IRL 2-3-3

 BRA 2-2-9

 KEN 2-2-4

 BUL 2-2-2

 IND 2-1-4

 SRB -

 INA 2-1-3

 TUN 2-1-1

 SVK 2-1-0
 THA -

 NOR 2-0-2

 COL 2-0-1

 SUI 1-4-4

 CRO 1-3-2

 IRI -

 ISR 1-2-2

 UZB 1-1-7

 ARM 1-1-3

 MEX 1-1-2

 CUB 1-1-1

 ECU -

 MGL -

 AZE 1-0-5

 LTU 1-0-3

 KGZ 1-0-2

 MAR -

 RSA 1-0-1

 UGA -

 BAH 1-0-0

 CYP -

 VEN -

 ETH 0-2-2

 BOT 0-2-0

 LAT -

 HKG 0-1-3

 TPE 0-1-2

 KOS -

 EGY 0-1-1

 MDA -

 PER -

 BIH 0-1-0

 DMA -

 FIJ -

 NIG -

 LCA -

 TJK -

 PHI 0-0-3

 POR 0-0-2

 

Argentina, Aruba, Austria, Chile, Finland, Grenada, Ivory Coast, Nigeria, Singapore; 0-0-1

 

Edited October 27, 2023 by MagyarBabu

[phelps 7,314]

2 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

TRACK CYCLING - Women's Keirin

 

1.  M. Bayona

2.  L. Friedrich

3.  E. Andrews

 

TRACK CYCLING - Men's Omnium

 

1.  B. Thomas

2.  O. Wood

3.  I. Leitão

 

 

WEIGHTLIFTING - Women's 59kg

 

1.  S. Luo

2.  K. Konotop

3.  R.F. Lawal

 

WEIGHTLIFTING - Men's 73kg

 

1.  W. Wichuma

2.  A. Churkin*

3.  J. Bak

*I think it's difficult to get this one right, as the  guy is suspended for doping 

[MagyarBabu 86]

21 minutes ago, phelps said:

*I think it's difficult to get this one right, as the  guy is suspended for doping 

ouch... Never trust Kazakhs when it comes to weightlifting I guess 

[phelps 7,314]

4 minutes ago, MagyarBabu said:

ouch... Never trust Kazakhs when it comes to weightlifting I guess 

never...

[rafalgorka 1,426]

12 hours ago, MagyarBabu said:

DAY 13 - August 8th

 

 

CANOE SPRINT - Women's K4 500m

 

1.  Poland

2.  New Zealand

3.  Australia

 

 

 

Oh, that would be awesome, that would be a first ever olympic gold medal for Poland in canoeing and we already have 22 (!!!) medals in this sport (8 silver, 14 bronze). Karolina Naja has 4 olympic medals already (1 silver: Tokyo K2 500m, 3 bronze: London K2 500m, Rio K2 500m, Tokyo K4 500m) - one of the greatest but not so well-known athletes in Poland these days,

 

I hope you are right in your predictions and I am terribly wrong here...

[rafalgorka 1,426]

On 10/23/2023 at 5:49 PM, Prakash_k said:

Weightlifting medal prediction (most predictible sport.i m directly going through IWF paris ranking  https://iwf.sport/qualif2024/P2024_Qualification/   ) 

 

 

Thanks, this link is very helpful...

[rafalgorka 1,426]

On 10/18/2023 at 12:13 AM, mpjmcevoy said:

No way Djok misses one last chance to win Olympic Singles Gold and complete the set. He'll arrive on one leg if he has to.

Can't agree more.

[rafalgorka 1,426]

Day 14 Fri 09.08

 

244. ATHLETICS - W 4x100m Relay

 

1. United States

2. Jamaica

3. Ivory Coast

 

After all the 100m and 200m and all the NBC hype this is an event which will be remembered for a long time. Jamaicans don't have great first 2 changes and Sha'Carri has a nice lead beginning the anchor leg. Shericka Jackson chasing hard but comes just short. CIV doesn't mess things up like in Budapest and they get awesome bronze. GBR 4th. POL nicely 6th with great anchor leg by Ewa Swoboda.

 

245. ATHLETICS - W Shot Put

 

1. Chase Ealey USA

2. Sarah Mitton CAN

3. Auriol Dongmo POR

 

Ealey winning quite comfortably.

 

246. ATHLETICS - M 4x100m Relay

 

1. Unites States

2. Jamaica

3. Japan

 

Great run by Japanese sprinters who deny Italians, Jacobs messed things a bit this time and ITA only 4th.

 

247. ATHLETICS - W 400m

 

1. Sydney McLaughlin-Levrone USA

2. Marileidy Paulino DOM

3. Natalia Kaczmarek POL

 

Great competition between McLaughlin and Paulino. Wonderful medal for POL here, absolutely amazing. Natalia with new NR - 49.21 (previous NR: 49.28 set by Irena Szewińska when she won gold in Montreal 1976). Great traditional finish by Natalia made this bronze possible. This is my "Rebeca Andrade Tokyo-Like Moment" @thiago_simoes. I cherish Polish ind running medals so much, they are so rare... Shaunae Miller-Uibo BAH back in competition but not in such a good form, and this is the main factor that leads 3rd place possible for Poland. If she was running under 49secs and McLaughlin is there, Natalia had no chances. Anyway, 4. Miller-Uibo BAH 5. Williams BAR 6. Klaver NED 7. Adeleke IRL 8. Bolingo BEL. Only one US athlete in the final but she gets gold for Team US.

 

248. ATHLETICS - M Triple Jump

 

1. Andy Diaz Hernandez ITA

2. Hugues Fabrice Zango BUR

3. Jaydon Hibbert JAM

 

Havana likes this one...

 

249. ATHLETICS - W Heptathlon

 

1. Nafissatou Thiam BEL

2. Katarina Johnson-Thompson GBR

3. Anna Hall USA

 

Hall messes things much and this lets Thiam to get 3rd olympic heptathlon gold in a row, coming back from injury. KJT very emotional in the victory lap, you rarely see anything like that.

 

250. ATHLETICS - W 10,000m

 

1. Gudaf Tsegay ETH

2. Sifan Hassan NED

3. Grace Loibach Nawowuma KEN

 

Only first gold for Ethiopia in Paris. What took them so long? I have to check ETH chances again...

 

251. ATHLETICS - M 400m Hurdles

 

1. Rai Benjamin USA

2. Karsten Warholm NOR

3. Alison Dos Santos BRA

 

Ha! Benjamin denies Tokyo olympic champ on the last 20m. We've seen Warholm running much faster before but this time he managed to clear all the hurdles according to the rules heh... McMaster 4th for IVB. So no olympic medal for them.

 

252. BEACH VOLLEYBALL - W Tournament (but it could be M - the schedule is not clear here)

 

1. Ana Patricia Ramos, Eduarda "Duda" Santos Lisboa BRA

2. Sara Hughes, Kelly Cheng USA

3. Tina Graudina, Anastasija Samoilova LAT

 

Tina - Anastasija get a nice bronze but earlier they put on a furious SF battle against Hughes/Cheng losing 1-2 like in 2023 WCH but only 16-18 in 3rd set. Great BRA - USA final in a wonderful scenery in the evening close to the Eiffel Tower. Beach volleyball gets to be one of the most popular sport in Paris olympics. Deserved that for sure.

 

253. BOXING - W 50kg

 

1. Buse Cakiroglu TUR

2. Wu Yu CHN

3. Ingrit Valencia COL

3. Wassila Lkhadiri FRA

 

I need to check COL medal again though...

 

254. BOXING - W 66kg

 

1. Busenaz Surmeneli TUR

2. Yang Liu CHN

3. Charlie Cavanaugh CAN

3. Ivanusa Moreira Gomes CPV

 

Turks go mad - 2 wins one by one!!! Ivanusa gets her bronze but i need to check this event once again after Day 16 for sure. Anyway, Ivanusa - cool name.

 

255. BOXING - M 71kg

 

1. Sewon Okazawa JPN

2. Vahid Abasov SRB

3. Marco Verde MEX

3. Aslanbek Shymbergenov KAZ

 

256. BOXING - M 92kg

 

1. Julio Cesar La Cruz CUB

2. Aziz Abbes Mouhidiine ITA

3. Davlat Boltaev TJK

3. Jack Marley IRL

 

CUB vs ITA - what an amazing bout! Just awesome. Oh, we were waiting for sth like that for so long. Boxing is back, many say. This final will be still talked about when boxing finals will get started at Warsaw 2044 olympics...

 

257. BREAKING - W Ind.

 

1. India Sardjoe aka India NED

2. Dominika Banevic aka Nicka LTU

3. Liu Qingyi aka 671 CHN

 

LTU would prefer to get a basketball medal but if it is denied, they celebrate what is possible. POL would love to celebrate M high jump medal but if it is denied... Or wait, Norbert Kobielski made it to the Saturday final, let's see what he can do...

 

258. CANOE SPRINT - M K2 500m

 

1. Portugal

2. Hungary

3. Germany

 

First gold for Portugal in Paris.

 

259. CANOE SPRINT - W C1 200m

 

1. Yarsleidis Cirilo CUB

2. Lin Wenjun CHN

3. Nevin Harrison USA

 

CHN and USA athletes are so focused on each other that they let a third one get gold here. Fans dancing Salsa in the stands.

 

260. CANOE SPRINT - W K2 500m

 

1. Denmark

2. New Zealand

3. Poland

 

Carrington denied another gold by Dannish girls. A nice bronze for Poland here.

 

261. DIVING - W 3m Springboard

 

1. Chen Yiwen CHN

2. Chang Yani CHN

3. Maddison Keeney AUS

 

Canada surprisingly 4th here (Pamela Ware), a new experience for them.

 

262. FOOTBALL - M Tournament

 

1. France

2. Spain

3. Brazil

 

FRA gets gold after 92nd minute goal. This is one of the most cherished French gold medals in Paris.

 

263. HOCKEY - W Tournament

 

1. Netherlands

2. Australia

3. Argentina

 

Final is good but bronze medal game even better. ARG win over GER after furious fight.

 

264. RHYTHMIC GYMNASTICS - W Ind. All-Around

 

1. Darja Varfolomeev GER
2. Sofia Raffaelli ITA

3. Daria Atamanov ISR

 

First non-judo medal for Israel in Paris. Seems like they are good not in the combat sports only, you know... I have a feeling I need to check back my W windsurfer predictions though.

 

265. SPORT CLIMBING - M Boulder/Lead

 

1. Jakob Schubert AUT

2. Tomoa Narasaki JPN

3. Jesse Grupper USA

 

First gold for Austria here.

 

266. SWIMMING - M 10km Marathon

 

1. Florian Wellbrock GER

2. Oliver Klemet GER
3. Domenico Acerenza ITA

 

GER 1-2 here.

 

267. TABLE TENNIS - M Team

 

1. China

2. Japan

3. Korea Rep.

 

TPE 4th after very surprisingly beating GER in QF.

 

268. TAEKWONDO - M 80kg

 

1. Simone Alessio ITA

2. Seif Eissa EGY

3. Daniel Quesada Barrera ESP

3. Saleh ElSharabaty JOR

 

269. TAEKWONDO - W 67kg

 

1. Magda Wiet Henin FRA

2. Jie Song CHN

3. Julyana Al-Sadeq JOR

3. Sarah Chaari BEL

 

First ever JOR woman with an olympic medal.

 

270. TRACK CYCLING - M Sprint

 

1. Harrie Levreysen NED

2. Nicholas Paul TTO

3. Jair Tjon En Fa SUR

 

This is only 3nd olympic medal for SUR, after 2 medals for Nesty in Seoul.

 

271. TRACK CYCLING - W Madison

 

1. France

2. Great Britain

3. Italy

 

Poland sadly 4th here. Missing this bronze by an inch... FRA wins a very important gold here in this battle vs Team GB for a 3rd place in medal tally.

 

272. WEIGHTLIFTING - M 89kg

 

1. Karlos Nasar BUL

2. Mirostafa Javadi IRI

3. Keydomar Vallenilla VEN

 

273. WEIGHTLIFTING - W 71kg

 

1. Liao Guifang CHN

2. Angie Palacios ECU

3. Loredana-Elena Toma ROU

 

274. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - M 57kg

 

1. Stevan Micic SRB

2. Arsen Haratyunyan ARM

3. Zalimkhan Abakorov ALB

3. Meirambek Kartbay KAZ

 

JPN only 5th here.

 

275. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - M 86kg

 

1. David Taylor USA

2. Hassan Yazdani IRI

3. Azamat Dauletbekov KAZ

3. Javrail Shapiev UZB

 

No medal for SMR here (Myles Amine).

 

276. WRESTLING FREESTYLE - W 57kg

 

1. Tsugumi Sakurai JPN

2. Anastasia Nichita MDA

3. Helen Maroulis USA

3. Elvira Kamaloglu TUR

 

Anzhelina Lysak POL loses bronze medal vs Maroulis.

 

Bronze-medal game in FOOTBALL - W Tournament: 

 

beats 3-1

 

Bronze-medal game in VOLLEYBALL - M Tournament:

 

beats 3-1

 

Other Team Sports:

 

BASKETBALL - W Semis

 

beats

beats

and we USA vs CHN final on the last day.

 

HANDBALL - M Semis

 

beats relatively easy

beats by 1 goal only

 

WATER POLO - M Semis

 

beats both M and W HUN water polo teams in the finals

beats after overtime

 

Edited October 28, 2023 by rafalgorka

[rafalgorka 1,426]

Medal table in the end of day 14 (276 events PLUS W Football and M Volleyball bronze medalists)

 

37-27-21---85

35-38-30---103

23-10-16---49

19-19-18---56

14-15-11---40

13-13-13---39

13-9-12---34

13-9-6---28

10-14-14---38

5-9-3---17

5-8-9---22

5-7-13---25

5-7-7---19

5-1-4---10

4-2-4---10

4-1-3---8

3-3-5---11

3-3-4---10

3-3-2---8

3-2-1---6

3-1-7---11

3-0-3---6

2-6-2---10

2-4-8---14

2-4-5---11

2-2-4---8

2-2-3---7

2-2-2---6

2-2-2---6

2-2-1---5

2-1-8---11

2-1-3---6

2-1-2---5

2-0-0---2

1-4-3---8

1-3-1---5

1-3-1---5

1-2-5---8

1-2-4---7

1-2-2---5

1-2-2---5

1-2-1---4

1-2-0---3

1-1-4---6

1-1-3---5

1-1-2---4

1-1-2---4

1-1-2---4

1-1-1---3

1-1-1---3

1-1-0---2

1-0-4---5

1-0-3---4

1-0-1---2

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

1-0-0---1

0-2-3---5

0-2-1---3

0-2-1---3

0-2-0---2

0-1-4---5

0-1-3---4

0-1-2---3

0-1-1---2

0-1-1---2

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-1-0---1

0-0-4---4

0-0-3---3

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-2---2

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

0-0-1---1

[rafalgorka 1,426]

Correction: there were 277 events already (I mentioned all the events but I doubled no. 218

 

2 days to go - will USA jump ahead of CHN in the end? Will POL win volleyball gold???

Edited October 29, 2023 by rafalgorka