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Paris 2024 - Early Predictions - Day by Day


rafalgorka
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Day 4 (July 30, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Women’s Team

Gold- :USA United States

Silver- :BRA Brazil

Bronze- :CHN China

 

:GBR fourth. 

 

Fencing- Women’s Epee Team

Gold- :ITA Italy 

Silver- :POL Poland

Bronze- :KOR South Korea

 

Judo- Women’s -63kg

Gold- :FRA Clarisse Agbegnenou

Silver- :JPN Megumi Horikawa

Bronze- :GBR Lucy Renshall

Bronze- :SLO Andreja Leški


Sharir and Piovesana place fifth, losing their bronze medal bouts. 
 

Judo- Men’s -73kg

Gold- :GEO Tato Grigalashvili

Silver- :BEL Mathias Casse

Bronze- :JPN Takanori Nagase

Bronze- :AZE Saeid Mollaei

 

Rugby Sevens- Women’s Tournament

Gold- :NZL New Zealand

Silver- :AUS Australia

Bronze- :USA United States

 

Shooting- Mixed Team 10m Air Rifle

Gold- :CHN China

Silver- :KOR South Korea

Bronze- :USA United States

 

Shooting- Men’s Trap

Gold- :CRO Giovanni Cernogoraz

Silver- :CZE Jirí Lipták

Bronze- :USA Derek Mein

 

Surfing- Men’s Shortboard

Gold- :BRA Gabriel Medina (or maybe that’s what I’m hoping for haha)

Silver- :USA John John Florence (aka. the GOAT)

Bronze- :BRA Filipe Toledo

 

Brazil still needs to win the team event at the 2023 ISA Surf Games though. 
 

Surfing- Women’s Shortboard

Gold- :USA Carissa Moore

Silver- :FRA Vahine Fierro (home break, and placed 3rd at the 2023 WSL Tahiti Pro)

Bronze- :AUS Molly Picklum

 

Swimming- Women’s 100m Backstroke

Gold- :AUS Kaylee McKeown

Silver- :USA Regan Smith

Bronze- :USA Katharine Berkoff

 

Swimming- Men’s 800m Freestyle

Gold- :TUN Ahmed Hafnaoui

Silver- :AUS Sam Short

Bronze- :ITA Gregorio Paltrinieri

 

Swimming- Men’s 4x200m Freestyle Relay

Gold- :GBR Great Britain

Silver- :USA United States

Bronze- :KOR South Korea

 

:AUS just off the podium in 4th. 

 

Table Tennis- Mixed Doubles 

Gold- :CHN China

Silver- :JPN Japan

Bronze- :KOR South Korea

 

Triathlon- Men’s Individual

Gold- :GBR Alex Yee

Silver- :FRA Léo Bergére

Bronze- :POR Vasco Vilaça

 

:NZL Hayden Wilde finishes in fourth. 

 

Medal Table After Day 4

:CHN 10-2-3– 15

:USA 6-11-10– 27

:JPN 5-5-3– 13

:AUS 4-6-3– 13

:GBR 4-3-5– 12

:FRA 4-3-4– 11

:ITA 4-3-3– 10

:CAN 4-0-2– 6

:GER 3-2-1– 6

:KOR 2-2-7– 11

:BRA 2-1-2– 5

:NZL 2-1-0– 3

:HUN 2-0-0– 2

:SUI 1-2-1– 4

:GEO 1-1-2– 4

:BEL 1-1-0– 2

:TUN 1-1-0– 2

:LTU 1-0-0– 1

:CRO 1-0-0– 1

:SVK 1-0-0– 1

:SRB 0-2-0– 2

:NED 0-1-2– 3

:UKR 0-1-2– 3

:GRE 0-1-1– 2

:POL 0-1-1– 2

:ESP 0-1-1– 2

:CZE 0-1-1– 2

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:ROU 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:SWE 0-1-0– 1

:SLO 0-0-2– 2

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:IND 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:UZB 0-0-1– 1

:TPE 0-0-1– 1

:AZE 0-0-1– 1

:RSA 0-0-1– 1

:HKG 0-0-1– 1

:AZE 0-0-1– 1

:POR 0-0-1– 1

:NOR 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
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Day 5 (July 31, 2024)

 

Artistic Gymnastics- Men’s Individual All-Around

Gold- :JPN Daiki Hashimoto

Silver- :CHN Zhang Boheng

Bronze- :UKR Illia Kovtun

 

Cycling- Men’s BMX Freestyle

Gold- :FRA Anthony Jeanjean

Silver- :AUS Logan Martin

Bronze- :JPN Rimu Nakamura

 

:GBR Declan Brooks finishes less than a point back of bronze in fourth, followed by :USA Justin Dowell in fifth, reigning World Champion :GBR Kieran Reilly in sixth, and :CRO Marin Rantes in seventh. 

 

Cycling- Women’s BMX Freestyle

Gold- :USA Hannah Roberts

Silver- :SUI Nikita Ducarroz

Bronze- :CZE Iveta Miculycova

 

Canoe Slalom- Women’s C1

Gold- :GER Elena Lilik

Silver- :AUS Jessica Fox

Bronze- :GBR Mallory Franklin

 

Diving- Women’s 10m Synchro Platform

Gold- :CHN Chen Yuxi/Quan Hongchan

Silver- :GBR Andrea Spendolini-Sirieix/Lois Toulson

Bronze- :MEX Gabriela Agundez/Alejandra Orozco

 

Fencing- Men’s Team Sabre

Gold- :HUN Hungary

Silver- :KOR South Korea

Bronze- :ITA Italy

 

Judo- Women’s -70kg

Gold- :JPN Saki Niizoe

Silver- :CRO Barbara Matić

Bronze- :NED Sanne van Dijke

Bronze- :GRE Elisavet Teltsidou

 

Judo- Men’s -90kg

Gold- :GEO Lasha Bekauri

Silver- :UZB Davlat Bobonov

Bronze- :HUN Kristian Toth

Bronze- :CUB Iván Felipe Silva Morales

 

Shooting- Women’s Trap

Gold- :ESP Fatima Galvez 

Silver- :SMR Alessandra Perlii

Bronze- :SVK Zuzana Rehák-Štefčeková

 

Swimming- Women’s 100m Freestyle

Gold- :AUS Mollie O’Callaghan

Silver- :HKG Siobhan Haughey

Bronze- :AUS Emma McKeon

 

Swimming- Men’s 200m Butterfly

Gold- :HUN Kristof Milak
Silver- :FRA Leon Marchand

Bronze- :USA Thomas Heilman

 

:JPN Tomoru Honda finishes in fourth. 

 

Swimming- Men’s 200m Breastroke

Gold- :CHN Qin Haiyang

Silver- :AUS Zac Stubbelty Cook

Bronze- :NED Arno Kammiga

 

Swimming- Women’s 1500m Freestyle

Gold- :USA Katie Ledecky

Silver- :CHN Li Bingje

Bronze- :ITA Simona Quadarella

 

Swimming- Men’s 100m Freestyle

Gold- :ROU David Popovici

Silver- :USA Caleb Dressel

Bronze- :AUS Kyle Chalmers

 

Triathlon- Women’s Individual

Gold- :GBR Beth Potter

Silver- :BER Flora Duffy

Bronze- :FRA Cassandre Beaugrand

 

Rowing- Men’s Quadruple Sculls

Gold- :NED Netherlands

Silver- :POL Poland

Bronze- :AUS Australia

 

Rowing- Women’s Quadruple Sculls

Gold- :NED Netherlands

Silver- :CHN China

Bronze- :GBR Great Britain

 

Medal Table After Day 5

:CHN 12-5-3– 20

:USA 8-12-11– 31

:JPN 7-5-4– 16

:AUS 5-9-6– 20

:GBR 5-4-7– 16

:FRA 5-4-5– 14

:ITA 4-3-5– 12

:GER 4-2-1– 7

:CAN 4-0-2– 6

:HUN 4-0-1– 5

:KOR 2-3-7– 12

:NED 2-1-4– 7

:BRA 2-1-2– 5

:GEO 2-1-2– 5

:NZL 2-1-0– 3

:SUI 1-3-1– 5

:ESP 1-1-1– 3

:BEL 1-1-0– 2

:CRO 1-1-0– 2

:TUN 1-1-0– 2

:ROU 1-1-0– 2

:SVK 1-0-1– 2

:LTU 1-0-0– 1

:POL 0-2-1– 3

:SRB 0-2-0– 2

:UKR 0-1-3– 4

:CZE 0-1-2– 3

:GRE 0-1-2– 3

:UZB 0-1-1– 2

:HKG 0-1-1– 2

:BER 0-1-0– 1

:MGL 0-1-0– 1

:KOS 0-1-0– 1

:SMR 0-1-0– 1

:FIJ 0-1-0– 1

:SWE 0-1-0– 1

:SLO 0-0-2– 2

:TUR 0-0-1– 1

:IND 0-0-1– 1

:KAZ 0-0-1– 1

:TPE 0-0-1– 1

:AZE 0-0-1– 1

:RSA 0-0-1– 1

:AZE 0-0-1– 1

:POR 0-0-1– 1

:MEX 0-0-1– 1

:CUB 0-0-1– 1

:NOR 0-0-1– 1

Edited by Josh
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Maybe someone else would like to join this thread?

 

we could add all the predictions together (e.g. 3 pts for every gold medal pick for a certain athlete, then 2 pts and 1 pt) 

 

I would like to see the outcome of it

 

I know it is too early, that is just for fun, and this week not much is going on in sports world

Edited by rafalgorka

 

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Day 5 Wed 31.07

 

60. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - M Individual All-Around

 

1. Zhang Boheng CHN

2. Daiki Hashimoto JPN

3. Illia Kovtun UKR

 

Asian Games champion beating Champion of the World this time.

 

61. BMX CYCLING - M Freestyle

 

1. Kieran Reilly GBR

2. Logan Martin AUS

3. Nick Bruce USA

 

Another gold for reigning WCH in Paris.

 

62. BMX CYCLING - W Freestyle

 

1. Hannah Roberts USA

2. Sun Sibei CHN

3. Nikita Ducarroz SUI

 

USA chasing China in the medal table.

 

63. CANOE SLALOM - W C1

 

1. Mallory Franklin GBR

2. Jessica Fox AUS

3. Monica Doria Villarubla AND

 

A first ever olympic medal for Andorra!!! Franklin winning gold after great internal battle vs Kimberley Woods.

 

64. DIVING - W Synchro 10m Platform

 

1. China

2. Great Britain

3. United States

 

3rd gold for China in synchro diving.

 

65. FENCING - M Sabre Team

 

1. United States

2. Korea Rep.

3. Hungary

 

Young Colin Heathcock doing miracles both in semifinal and final, pushing US Team for a bit surprosing gold medal.

 

66. JUDO - W -70kg

 

1. Saki Nizoe JPN

2. Sanne van Dijke NED

3. Barbara Matic CRO

3. Michaela Polleres AUT

 

And another judo gold for Japan.

 

67. JUDO - M -90kg

 

1. Luka Maisuradze GEO

2. Sanshiro Murao JPN

3. Ivan Felipe Silva Morales CUB

3. Christian Parlati ITA

 

Like Canadians in W -57kg... When Maisuaradze wins the internal competition against Bekauri, winning olympic gold is a bit easier for him.

 

68. ROWING - M Quadruple Sculls

 

1. Netherlands

2. Italy

3. Poland

 

First Dutch gold in Paris. And a very nice bronze for Poland.

 

69. ROWING - W Quadruple Sculls

 

1. China

2. Great Britain

3. Netherlands

 

Poland got silver in Tokyo in this event. But sadly didn't qualified this time .

 

70. SHOOTING - W Trap

 

1. Jessica Rossi ITA

2. Fatima Galvez ESP

3. Zuzana Rehak-Stefecekova SVK

 

Lin Yi-chun TPE 4th.

 

71. SWIMMING - W 100m Free

 

1. Mollie O'Callaghan AUS

2. Siobhan Haughey HKG

3. Sarah Sjoestroem SWE

 

O'Callaghan and Haughey both under 52 secs.

 

72. SWIMMING - M 200m Fly

 

1. Leon Marchand FRA

2. Krisztof Milak HUN

3. Krzysztof Chmielewski POL

 

One of the best races of the games. Milak back in decent form but Marchand somehow beats him on last meters. And a first swimming medal for Poland since Otylia show in 2004.

 

73. SWIMMING - M 200m Breast

 

1. Qin Haiyang CHN

2. Zac Stubblety-Cook AUS

3. Dong Zhihao CHN

 

Qin Haiyang completes breaststroke double.

 

74. SWIMMING - W 1500m Free

 

1. Katie Ledecky USA

2. Simona Quadarella ITA

3. Li Bingjie CHN

 

75. SWIMMING - M 100m Free

 

1. Kyle Chalmers AUS

2. Pan Zhanle CHN

3. David Popovici ROU

 

Chalmers by 0,02 sec because... why not???

 

76. TRIATHLON - W Individual

 

1. Cassandre Beauregard FRA

2. Beth Potter GBR

3. Taylor Spivey USA

 

French athlete winning gold in an event which people can watch even without tickets. Despite early hours, huge crowds celebrating this one.

Edited by rafalgorka

 

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My medal table after Day 5 (76 events)

 

:CHN 13-5-6---24

:USA 8-13-10---31

:AUS 8-6-6---20

:FRA 8-2-3---13

:GBR 7-5-7---19

:JPN 5-6-3---14
:ITA 4-8-4---16

:GEO 3-0-0---3

:KOR 2-3-4---9

:CAN 2-2-1---5

:BRA 2-1-2---5

:TUN 2-0-0---2

:GER 1-3-2---6

:NED 1-3-2---6

:HUN 1-1-2---4

:NZL 1-1-1---3

:SLO 1-1-1---3

:BEL 1-1-0---2

:UKR 1-0-3---4

:SRB 1-0-2---3

:AZE 1-0-1---2

:CRO 1-0-1---2

:FIJ 1-0-0---1

:LTU 1-0-0---1

:POL 0-2-2---4

:HKG 0-2-1---3

:GRE 0-2-0---2

:IND 0-2-0---2

:ESP 0-2-0---2

:ROU 0-1-2---3

:SUI 0-1-2---3

:SVK 0-1-2---3

:KUW 0-1-0---1

:MEX 0-1-0---1

:MDA 0-1-0---1

:AUT 0-0-2---2

:KOS 0-0-2---2

:POR 0-0-2---2

:UZB 0-0-2---2

:AND 0-0-1---1

:ARG 0-0-1---1

:CUB 0-0-1---1

:CZE 0-0-1---1

:IRI 0-0-1---1

:ISR 0-0-1---1

:SWE 0-0-1---1

:TUR 0-0-1---1

Edited by rafalgorka

 

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Early thoughts on medal table after Day 5:

 

CHN well ahead of USA - but maybe I am too optimistic for China and not enough optimistic for USA.

CHN wins here majority of events when they are gold medal favs (diving synchro M 10m platform may be an exception) but in Asian Games they sometimes (rarely but still) lost some almost certain gold medals... Schedule for first days is in China's favour imo though. USA should come closer later on.

And I think there may be more gold medals for USA in swimming than I predicted. It's hard to imagine that they won't improve from 2023 WCH results.

 

So far great olympics for AUS. Lots of gold medals but here it may go other way - will they be able to perform so strong in the pool like in 2023 WCH???

 

FRA are having a good time. Hosts usually go better than usual so I think there is really a big a chance for at least one gold medal for them daily.

 

Team GB very impressive. They will have many supporters in Paris, such a short trip for them.

 

JPN get gold only in judo so far but maybe I missed sth here.

 

Fantastic games for GEO but... why not? I haven't picked any surprise gold for them.

I don't pick many surprise gold at all, I know. And I favour current WCH way tooooo much, I know.

But firstly, those are early thoughts and I don't have much time for serious research.

And secondly, I don't know much about many sports (surfing, BMX cycling, judo, archery, shooting, fencing and many others) so I follow the WCH results and ranking lists because what else can I do?

 

Only one gold on Day 5 for GER is a big surprise for me. I don't think it will be that bad for them. I should check back once again on the events when they have medal contenders, probably I missed sth...

 

FIJ gold in rugby is a bit wishful thinking for me... But why not, that would be 3 in-a-row.

 

0-2-2 for Poland is a lot I think. Still no gold but that would be a really nice result. Maybe i am biased here but still I haven't predicted a medal in shooting which is possible (Mixed 10m Air Rifle, W Air Pistol) and I haven't predicted any Polish medal which would be a massive surprise and we ALWAYS have at least one totally surprising summer olympic medal (M 50km race walk in Tokyo, anyone???). So hopefully we will get 4.

 

From those 4 swimming medal would be the best fun for me because... you know, that's swimming. And our guy would be there on all the photos from this Marchand vs Milak battle...

 

And Poland in a good mood so far because M volleyball team and Iga Świątek in W singles are winning their matches comfortably so far...

 

Some NOCs without a medal so far: NOR DEN BUL IRL PHI EGY LAT EST FIN - but no worries, your time will come.

 

Although... FIN, well... ??? :-((( but we will find sth...

 

Enjoy, stay tuned!

 

 

 

 

Edited by rafalgorka

 

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Day 6 Thu 01.08

 

77. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - W Individual All-Around

78. ATHLETICS - M 20km Race Walk

79. ATHLETICS - W 20km Race Walk

80. CANOE SLALOM - M K1

81. FENCING - W Foil Team

82. JUDO - W -78kg

83. JUDO - M -100kg

84. ROWING - W Double Sculls

85. ROWING - M Double Sculls

86. ROWING - W Four

87. ROWING - M Four

88. SAILING - W Skiff 49erFX

89. SAILING - M Skiff 49er

90. SHOOTING - M 50m Rifle 3 Positions

91. SWIMMING - W 200m Fly

92. SWIMMING - M 200m Back

93. SWIMMING - W 200m Breast

94. SWIMMING - W 4x200m Free Relay

 

 

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1 hour ago, rafalgorka said:

Day 6 Thu 01.08

 

77. ARTISTIC GYMNASTICS - W Individual All-Around

78. ATHLETICS - M 20km Race Walk

79. ATHLETICS - W 20km Race Walk

80. CANOE SLALOM - M K1

81. FENCING - W Foil Team

82. JUDO - W -78kg

83. JUDO - M -100kg

84. ROWING - W Double Sculls

85. ROWING - M Double Sculls

86. ROWING - W Four

87. ROWING - M Four

88. SAILING - W Skiff 49erFX

89. SAILING - M Skiff 49er

90. SHOOTING - M 50m Rifle 3 Positions

91. SWIMMING - W 200m Fly

92. SWIMMING - M 200m Back

93. SWIMMING - W 200m Breast

94. SWIMMING - W 4x200m Free Relay

 

Day 6 could be a really great day for the :NED!:cheer:

We've got at least seven medal contenders in Rowing (M2x and W4-), Sailing (M+W Skiff), Judo (Guusje Steenhuis and Michael Korrel) and Swimming (Tes Schouten in W 200m breast).

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