Men's Rugby Sevens Qualification to Summer Olympic Games Paris 2024

[Josh 11,497]

2 hours ago, JoshMartini007 said:

Quite the group for the final qualifier. Loving the depth in rugby sevens.

 

As much as I would like to see another upset it is hard to see  or  not winning the final spot.

This version of South Africa has no chance at the quota. IMO Great Britain is the heavy favorite right now. 

[NaBUru38 218]

For years, South Africa refused Olympic sports for teams qualified on continental or repechage sports.

 

If they win the men's repechage, they will sure revert that policy.

Edited December 26, 2023 by NaBUru38

[SalamAkhi 329]

First Challenger last week in Dubaï. Less interesting than the women's competition regarding the Olympic qualification tournament, as the huge favorites will be South Africa or GB, but some notes worth keeping. 

Apart from Mexico there is not much difference between all the teams, despite Kenya taking it in the end. Chile seems to have stepped up a bit, Germany still strong but still unable to wrap things up, as is HK.

[Josh 11,497]

Men’s Final Olympic Qualifier Pools

 

Pool A

 South Africa

 Chile

 Tonga

 Mexico

 

Pool B

 Great Britain 

 Canada

 Uganda

 China

 

Pool C

 Spain

 Hong Kong

 Papau New Guinea

 Brazil

[Epic Failure 359]

The draw for the knockouts would set Spain vs GBR and Canada vs RSA for the 2 semi finals, if all others went to form etc. Spain are capable of pulling a shock for me against GBR.

 

Though still think that RSA will have too much for everyone else. GBR are seemingly getting worse year on year, which is pretty damning considering our resource advantage. 

[SalamAkhi 329]

South Africa is not guaranteed a win imo. They always falter as the year goes on. 

[dodge 1,040]

Don’t think any of them are guaranteed to win. 4 very flaky teams. Obviously GB are still heavy favourites 

[mpjmcevoy 375]

Just now, dodge said:

Don’t think any of them are guaranteed to win. 4 very flaky teams. Obviously GB are still heavy favourites 

Several of these teams are good enough at their best they should already have qualified. They are here specifically because they are flakey. (The Irish, to be fair, are not flakey, hence they aren't here). The one that manages to contain its own flakiness best will probably win.

[dodge 1,040]

Sure. I wouldn’t be surprised to see either SA or GB win a medal, but it also wouldn’t be a surprise when one or both doesn’t qualify 

 

for the record so far this seaisn

 

Dubai

 1st

 10th

 11th

 12th

 

Cape Town

 6th

 7th

 9th

 10th

 

Perth

 5th

 8th

 11th

 12th

 

Vancouver 

 7th

 9th

 11th

12th

 

LA

 2nd

 4th

 11th

 12th 

HK

 6th

 8th

 11th

12th 

South Africa on top in 4 of the 6. Spain 2nd in 3 of last 4. Only one event where 2 of these 4 weren’t the bottom two

[Epic Failure 359]

Adding Singapore's results to the table

 

3rd

6th

10th

12th

 

Okay, I'm slightly less defeatist about after this weekend. They thumped both France and Australia, as well as being a botched pass away from beating Ireland in the SF.

 

I'm still worried about South Africa finding a way to win (too many actual rugby world cups have conditioned me to assume they'll *always* find a way) but I at least think GBR should be competitive.

 

Honestly, it's a shame both teams won't be in Paris. Partially their fault, partially the way the qualification system is set up.