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phelps

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Posts posted by phelps

  1. On 4/16/2024 at 2:09 AM, Rafa Maciel said:

    Final track cycling quota projection:

     

    image.png

     

    I think there are 2 quota reallocations on the cards on the men's side - Israel and Suriname don't have a second eligible rider and so they will have to reject the quota. Assuming that is the case, I'd project that :HUN and :KAZ will get an individual quota for sprint/keirin. 

     

    On the women's side, there is only 1 quota which should be subject to reallocation - Italy don't have an eligible second rider in the keirin/sprint behind Miriam Vece. In the most likely scenario, Italy will probably reject the keirin quota resulting in :ESP picking up the spot for sprint/keirin.

     

    However, it may be possible that Italy could accept the second individual keirin quota and use it to nominate an extra endurance rider. Technically, I don't see anything in the qualification document that would prevent this - unless the eligibility clause relating to 10 points applies to the individual event - and it would give them the option of resting a rider for team pursuit qualifying. Given the team pursuit is run over 2 days rather than 1, I'm not sure it would actually give them that much of an edge though, so I'd still expect them to return the quota. 

    I don't think :ITA would reject any quota...

     

    it would be stupid by them, they should use that quota to name one more specialist for the endurance races

  2. 11 hours ago, OlympicsFan said:

    I still don’t see China seriously threatening the U.S. or Australia. China should be about 1.5 seconds behind after the first leg and all the waves will make it very difficult to catch up. I think China is a rather clear favorite for bronze, but probably not more than that. I actually think that China could medal in all 7 relays. The men’s 800 free relay should be the closest call, followed by the men’s 400 free relay. There is a chance that only 4 different nations will win relay medals. Especially the women’s relays look super „shallow“, only the U.S., Australia, China and maybe Canada look like realistic medal contenders. No European nation has a realistic medal chance.

    no way :CHN can win a medal in the men's 4*200m free relay

     

    :GBR can only throw it away, then :USA and :KOR are definitely a lot better than them, even :ITA with Ragaini's explosion already have a better lineup than :CHN 

    and :AUS are also still ahead, even if they're not performing at their best yet (and maybe they're not going to show their real potential until the Games)

  3. 19 hours ago, Rafa Maciel said:

    Assuming it's the same structure as last year's worlds, then the top 2 sailors at the end of the opening series of 20 races will go directly through to the final.

     

    Sailors ranked 3-10 progress to the semi-finals with the top ranked sailor in each semi-final starting with 2 wins, the 2nd ranked sailor starting with 1 win. The other 2 sailors start from 0. The first sailor to get to 3 wins advances to the final so it is unlikely that they would need all 8 races. 

     

    In the final, the same structure applies - the sailor who topped the opening series starts the final with 2 wins, the sailor who finished 2nd has 1 win and the qualifiers from the semi-final start with 0. The first to 3 takes gold.  

    yes, that's the official format of the Formula Kite international events

  4. Chinese Nationals, Day #5


    women's 100m Freestyle


    1.Yang Junxuan, 52.68
    2.Wu Qingfeng, 53.25
    3.Cheng Yujie, 53.27
    4.Zhu Menghui, 54.12
    5.Yu Yiting, 54.24
    6.Li Bingjie, 54.36


    men's 200m Fly


    1.Niu Guangsheng, 1.55.46
    2.Xu Fang, 1.56.97


    women's 1500m Freestyle


    1.Gao Weizhong, 16.06.19
    2.Ma Yonghui, 16.16.18


    men's 200m Breaststroke


    1.Qin Haiyang, 2.08.87
    2.Dong Zhihao, 2.10.08


    men's 100m Freestyle


    1.Pan Zhanle, 46.97
    2.Wang Haoyu, 48.11
    3.Ji Xinjie, 48.33
    4.Chen Jun'er, 48.40
    5.Liu Wudi, 48.54
    6.Hong Jinquan, 48.93


    women's 200m Fly semis

     

    Zhang Yufei, 2.07.50
    Gong Zhenqi, 2.08.27
    3 more women @ 2.09.X


    men's 200m Backstroke semis

     

    Tao Guannan, 1.57.80
    Xu Jiayu, 1.58.86


    women's 200m Breaststroke semis

     

    Tang Qianting, 2.26.14
    Ye shiwen, 2.26.53
    3 more women @ 2.27.X

  5. women's Trap

     

    Shooters qualified to the Final

     

    :AUS Penny Smith, 121 (:AUS already have 2 OQPs)
    :SVK Zuzana Rehak-Stefecekova, 119 (already qualified to the OGs)
    :POR Maria Ines Coelho De Barros, 119 (already qualified to the OGs)

    :AUS Laetisha Scanlan, 118 (:AUS already have 2 OQPs)
    :GUA Adriana Ruano Oliva, 118 (:GUA already have 2 OQPs)

    :FRA Melanie Couzy, 118

     

     

    Olympic Quota Place (to the NOC, NOT to the athlete): :FRA and :KAZ 

  6. men's Trap

     

    Shooters qualified to the Final

     

    :ITA Mauro De Filippis, 124 (:ITA already have 2 OQPs)
    :TUR Oguzhan Tuzun, 122
    :ALB Arian Kumi, 122
    :MLT Gianluca Chetcuti, 122

     

    Shooters going to the Shoot-Off

     

    :ITA Massimo Fabbrizi, 121 (:ITA already have 2 OQPs)
    :ITA Giovanni Pellielo, 121 (:ITA already have 2 OQPs)

    :FRA Clement Bourgue, 121
    :USA William Hinton, 121 (:USA already have 2 OQPs)
    :SLO Matjaz Lepen, 121
    :POR Armelim Filipe Rodrigues, 121
    :KUW Naser Meqlad, 121
    :GBR Matthew John Coward-Holley, 121
    :CZE Jan Palacky, 121
    :IRI Mohammad Beyranavand, 121 (already qualified to the OGs)
    :DOM Domingo Lorenzo, 121
    :ESP Andres Garcia, 121

     

  7. women's Trap

     

    Shooters qualified to the Final

     

    :AUS Penny Smith, 121 (:AUS already have 2 OQPs)
    :SVK Zuzana Rehak-Stefecekova, 119 (already qualified to the OGs)
    :POR Maria Ines Coelho De Barros, 119 (already qualified to the OGs)

     

    Shooters going to the Shoot-Off

     

    :KAZ Maria Dmitriyenko, 118
    :AUS Laetisha Scanlan, 118 (:AUS already have 2 OQPs)
    :ESP Fatima Galvez, 118 (already qualified to the OGs)
    :GUA Adriana Ruano Oliva, 118 (:GUA already have 2 OQPs)

    :FRA Melanie Couzy, 118
    :TUR Safiye Temizdemir, 118

     

    so, it's a 3-way fight for the OQPs: :KAZ:FRA:TUR

     

     

     

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